Week 15
December 14, 2018
Articles
Newsfeeds
SHARE

Pyro® Twitterfeed

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @PyroStag: Been working on my 2019 Redraft Standard Rankings for the past few days, here is how the way to early version of my… https://t.co/JszPF2GkxN


07:54 PM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@MFHHLIVE Bills. Aaron Jones. Play Brees. Second back is Carson for me.


07:14 PM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @kfishbain: Bears practice report DNP: Eddie Jackson (shin) Limited: Bilal Nichols (knee) Full: Allen Robinson (hip) All three… https://t.co/VBTbG1dGQy


07:06 PM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@pavankambhatla Yeah tier 2 and three can pretty much be combined in my mind.


07:05 PM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@BleedGoldandRed Yeah, Keenan was one of the tougher ones, probably will end up with Thielen over Keenan and Allen in that next tier.


06:52 PM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@BleedGoldandRed Yeah, right up there. I really let me projections for receptions decide who to bump in PPR either way.


06:49 PM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


👀 https://t.co/zxMPdVnR4Q


04:57 PM, Dec 14, 2018

1

See Waz other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @friscojosh: I wrote about Washington and Kaepernick. https://t.co/QoSgOInq2g


04:40 PM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @ScottFish24: Fantasy football league fills 32 carts for Toys for Tots https://t.co/eq40i8dTMj via @KARE11 #fantasycares


04:21 PM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @Pat_Thorman: Gotta love when football twitter sets aside their differences and comes together for a good cause, like piling on a loud-mouthed clown.


04:19 PM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @pyromaniacmo: See how Vegas can help your Fantasy Football decisions for NFL Week 15 - check out the chart and the write-up on… https://t.co/3LFihqRKbk


02:14 PM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Tn32d9wiz9ngppdp

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @wolfejosh: Physics is visually SATISFYING. Ice––on a trampoline. https://t.co/8XvVRaDyiH


06:35 AM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @MrGeorgeWallace: Listen, before your sorry ass clicks 'reply all' ask yourself if every damn person you're replyin' to needs to know… https://t.co/RXGCHp0yiO


06:31 AM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


@PyroStag https://t.co/zGdxiY5mYf


05:37 AM, Dec 14, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


He Served the Longest Sentence of Any Innocent U.S. Inmate https://t.co/E2kfVw1XEI


05:13 AM, Dec 14, 2018

2

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@b_d_cobb The icon is set up for the player by default. Some still show as their old team (ie. Fitzmagic) but the s… https://t.co/v7hLCFtvpb


10:53 PM, Dec 13, 2018

0

See Waz other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


@LateRoundQB Even failed to mention Hill’s nagging injury.


10:39 PM, Dec 13, 2018

0

See Mo other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @CivilEats: 15% of @SierraNevada's employees were displaced by the campfire. The brewery sprung into action, and others followe… https://t.co/vBynKSEt68


10:31 PM, Dec 13, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


See how Vegas can help your Fantasy Football decisions for NFL Week 15 - check out the chart and the write-up on… https://t.co/3LFihqRKbk


10:17 PM, Dec 13, 2018

9

See Mo other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@troywinger Jackson for sure, and probably Williams for the other.


09:08 PM, Dec 13, 2018

1

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@b_d_cobb Hey man, I'm not sure where you were looking at but my Week 15 ranks weren't published until about an hou… https://t.co/99di82lKxm


09:07 PM, Dec 13, 2018

0

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@RyanHodge @stephenasmith Prepare for a pivot to Virgil Green.


09:00 PM, Dec 13, 2018

5

See Waz other Tweets

Dut45umx4aezaey

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @pyroman1ac: Spreading the Lines of Fantasy for Week 15 by @pyromaniacmo https://t.co/a91zBcoQVM https://t.co/bR9kf11Vww


06:05 PM, Dec 13, 2018

0

See Mo other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


JuJu Smith to face Daryl Worley from Oakland. No other starting CB in Week 14 is averaging more fantasy points allo… https://t.co/TcxQYjO8jr


09:22 PM, Dec 08, 2018

1

See Mo other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @fantasysixpack: The Fantasy Edge Podacst w/ @RRSSavill @JChan_811 @KevinMHuo Fantasy Football Week 14 🏈 DST Stream-0-Matic… https://t.co/wvn87xqarg


08:43 PM, Dec 08, 2018

0

See Mo other Tweets

Dso2xqrx4aeoems

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


@RapSheet https://t.co/FrlXlyFR2N


09:49 PM, Nov 22, 2018

1

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


@FinsBroadcaster The Outsiders C. Thomas Howell.Ralph Macchio. Patrick Swayze.RobLowe.Emilio Estevez.Tom Cruise.Di… https://t.co/NFDHuG2xRE


01:38 PM, Nov 18, 2018

2

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @DomiNateFF: Who did you bench on your #FantasyFootball teams in #Week10 that you regret? I’ll start…I played Fitzpatrick over… https://t.co/GZoHOiB8U7


10:54 AM, Nov 12, 2018

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @AdvSportsLogic: Before setting those line ups, check out out updated ranks. #FantasyFootball: Week 10 Updated Rankings QB:… https://t.co/oArauvIKdX


10:24 PM, Nov 11, 2018

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

He8yo46pym1-z-6_

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @FFD260: Ryan Fitzpatrick attempting to throw the lead block down. #Bucs #Redskins #NFL https://t.co/0Te1hbJEWJ


10:16 PM, Nov 11, 2018

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


02:13 PM, Oct 06, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/ZiHjlwIXio


03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


04:19 PM, Oct 04, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/XRG0konwbt


02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Wheeler Houdini d-Rx Pyro Draft Strategy

2018 Pyro Draft Strategy

Posted by d-Rx on 08/14/18

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

SHARE ON

Wheeler, Houdini & d-Rx® combine forces to deliver our 2018 Pyro Draft Strategy…

 

 

 

Houdini’s Draft Strategy:

 


KNOW YOUR LEAGUE

This is tried and true and must before you draft. Understanding the nuances of your league’s scoring system will allow you to avoid certain players while targeting others. Last season Jarvis Landry was the 14th best receiver in standard leagues, but the fifth best in PPR leagues. This is why you need to understand what makes your leagues scoring unique and take advantage of whatever the differences are: long TD bonus, 100+ bonus, 300+ bonus, TD only, etc.


DRAFT BEST AVAILABLE

The key to winning in fantasy football is having the best players on your team. While drafting you need to be flexible and sometimes change your plans on the fly, in order to take advantage of the great values. You may have come in thinking you were going to go zero running back, having the 10th pick, and then you find Saquon Barkley falling to you. It’s time to change your plan and take advantage of this good fortune. If you do this throughout your draft you will end up with a deep team of tradable talent. 


DRAFT KICKERS AND DEFENSES WITH YOUR LAST TWO PICKS

The fact is that the top defenses and kickers change every year, so there is no reason to jump for one of them during a round where you can add better talent at the skill positions. Over the last four years, there have only been five teams that have finished in the top five in two of the five years. There has also has not been a repeat of any team that finished in the top two in one year finishing in the top two the following year. As for the kickers, Gostkowski is the only one that appeared as the top kicker in two of the last four years(2015-2016)as well as finishing as the second-best kicker last year. Other than him the list is just as fluid as the defenses, with no kicker other than Gostkowski finishing in the top three in one year and repeating the feat the following year. The other benefit is that if 7 teams in a 10 team league all draft their kicker and defense before the last two rounds, you have the ability to draft skill players that should have been drafted earlier if it was not for the 14 wasted picks on kickers and defenses. 


BYE WEEKS MAKING YOU ANXIOUS?

The only positions that matter with byes weeks are quarterbacks, kickers and defenses. If you are not drafting a skill player because he has the same bye week as a player currently on your roster than you are violating my earlier rule of draft the best available player. You are trying to amass talent, and that means don’t be phased by the bye week. If all of your receivers and one of your running backs are all off in the same week, consider yourself lucky, as you will be a force to deal with every other week. You also need to understand that you will have time to overcome this if necessary by being smart on the waiver wire or with trades. Draft the best team and don’t let the bye week change your strategy. 


TIERS

We have been preaching the use of Tiers since 2011 and I know the other guys are going to go in depth on this, but this is a must when drafting. Being able to know where the drop-offs are for each position allow you to make a more educated draft selection. If you have a need for a running back and a wide receiver and see that there are only two running backs and five wide receivers that you would take with this pick, then it makes sense to grab the running back and hope one of your five receivers comes back to you. By using the tier method you will see values at each position and understand when you need to be urgent and when you can relax at a position. 


ZIG WHEN OTHERS ZAG

It is better to be the owner that is starting a trend as opposed to the one who is at the end of a trend. If you are in the first round and have the seventh pick, with all of the players ahead of you taking running backs, it makes sense to be the first one to grab a receiver and see what comes back to you in round 2. The same goes later in the draft when there is a run at a certain position it creates the mindset in other owners that they need to grab this position before it runs out, thus leaving great talent at other positions for you to draft and start the next trend. Be the trendsetter, not the follower. 


AVOID FREE AGENT WIDE RECEIVERS WITH NEW TEAMS

Timing is so important in football, and most important between quarterbacks and receivers. When a free agent wide receiver signs with a new team there is always a learning curve, which hurts their top-end potential. In this day and age there are fewer practices for the timing to develop, which means most of the timing is figured out during season games. These players are usually drafted based on what they did with their former team in a different offense; I avoid these receivers all together. 2018 avoidables: Jarvis Landry, Dez Bryant, Sammy Watkins, Brandin Cooks.


CAREER YEAR BEWARE

Of all my draft strategies, identifying players that had a career year, and avoiding them the following year is one that always pays off. The game of football is so challenging, that when a player has more success then he has ever had before, it usually results in a regression the following year. A big part of the reason for the regression the next year is the focus that defensive coordinators will now put on that player. The other major factor is just how difficult it is to repeat on such a successful season. When you draft these players you are paying up for what they did last year, and you will be disappointed when they regress to their norm while on your team. 2018 Career Year Beware candidates: Todd Gurley(19TDs), DeAndre Hopkins(13TDs and nearly 1,400 yards).


SOFT TISSUE INJURY, YEAH I’M CONCERNED

A twisted ankle or shoulder injuries are ones that I can deal with because of the sure timetable to come back. The same can’t be said for a hamstring, quad or calf injury. These are the types of injuries that tend to linger as well as pop up again and again during the season. There is nothing worse than a player that misses most of the preseason with hamstring, comes back and has a great first quarter before leaving with a re-aggravation of that hamstring injury. It is important to check the web for current injury statuses before you draft your team. 


KNOW WHO THE TEAMS DRAFTING NEAR YOU HAVE TAKEN

When at your draft, it is important to keep track of who other teams have drafted, in order to maximize your tiers effectiveness. If your strategy is to wait to draft a quarterback or tight end, then it is imperative that you be aware of which teams still have to draft those players, as it will allow you not to waste a pick in your draft. This becomes even more important if you are picking at or near a wraparound pick.  


If you are in a situation where you still need to grab a wide receiver and a running back, and it is your pick. Pay attention to what the other teams have, and if you notice that most of them already have their running backs it would make sense to grab a receiver. This is especially important if your tiers show a drop off about to happen at the wide receiver position. If you are only looking at your needs and grab a running back, you might find that all of the receivers you wanted to take with your next pick are gone.  


If you are aware of what the other teams have on their roster, you will be able to make the right picks at the right time, while avoiding over drafting. Think of it this way, if you spent a ton of time prepping for your draft, and when the time comes you don’t pay attention to what players other teams have, you have done yourself a disservice at the worst possible time. 

 

By Houdini

 

 

 

Wheeler’s 2018 Draft Strategy:

 

There are many ways to approach your draft and no one approach will win you a championship or even get you the team you want just because it’s a solid plan. Each draft falls differently, it’s your ability to read the draft board that will get you the optimal line-up to start the season. Your strategy will also depend a lot on your draft position, roster size, and your scoring rules (PPR/non-PPR).I don’t know of many “standard” scoring leagues anymore, the trend is toward PPR scoring and I will be leaning toward the PPR scoring drafts in my approach here.


Coming into each draft there are a few things you are going to need to do. First and foremost know your league set-up and scoring rules, look for any quirks or curve balls that differentiate your league from others and make a plan to exploit those rules. Know the draft room set-up on the website you are using, get familiar with what buttons you need to click in order to set up your queue and draft a player. Don’t be the guy that has to ask questions in the first round. Do a couple of mock drafts on your site in order to get familiar with the site and find players that are listed to high or better yet too low on the sites draft list. There are always discrepancies between ADP and/or where sites rank players pre-season that leaves sleepers available late, compare your rankings or tiers against the site to try to predetermine some players that might “sleep” a few rounds in your draft.


If you are still drafting using an old fashion draft board and stickers to draft your team then bravo, to your league. It’s actually more fun to draft that way, but it does make it more difficult on the commissioner, there are often discrepancies at the end when everyone is drinking, having fun, and not always paying close attention to what they are doing. When drafting the old-fashion way make sure you have a print-out of your tiers to use during the draft, using a laptop can be cumbersome when you are getting out of your seat to make picks and if you have a computer others will be annoying you to update them with information when they are making their picks. You may also want to have a “dummy” list available if there are people in your league that roll in without doing their own research. The last thing you want to do is give them a copy of our tiers and not giving them anything will just slow down your draft and cause them to be super annoying throughout the day.


Mock drafts are generally useless. I suggested doing a few on your site in order to get familiar with the surroundings, but mock drafts are not a reflection of how people will draft in reality. Most mocks will be auto drafted after a couple of rounds and will generally go right along with the rankings or ADP the host site uses to list the players. If you would like some real-life practice I suggest playing in a couple of best-ball leagues on Fanball.com or Draft.com. You can join these draft-only leagues for as little as $3 and they will give you a very accurate gauge of where players are actually being drafted. These sites are general known for their slow-drafts with 4-8 hour pick clocks, but they also have the option of doing fast drafts with a 30 second to 1 minute clock. Being on the clock in these drafts will absolutely prepare you for draft day in your home league.


The typical redraft fantasy league has roster sizes of sixteen players with nine starters (QB/2RB/2WR/TE/Flex/K/DST). When drafting in these leagues keep in mind that there will be plenty of quarterbacks, tight ends, kickers, and defenses on the waiver wire when the draft is over. There is very little need to draft a back-up in these positions. Limiting your initial roster to one player at these positions allows you plenty of room to draft high upside players at RB and WR and will help you guard against pre-season injuries.

 

Drafting this year has gone “oldskool” across the board, with an average of nine running backs going in the first round. This has a lot to do with four rookie RB’s from last year finishing in the top 12 in PPR scoring and more hype surrounding Saquon Barkley than any prospect in my memory. One would think that with an influx of high-scoring young RB’s the demand for the position would diminish some, but in reality it has done just the opposite. What it has caused is a perceived drop in projected scoring between the second and third tier instead of the first and second tier at the position.


What this has also done is push down some second tier WR’s to the point where all WR’s seem like a value in the second through fifth rounds. In the past two years most teams have also spread the ball around the offense so much that there is little difference (1.7ppr ppg) between the WR24 and WR44. With some players returning from injury and others switching teams or having new coaches and new offensive schemes, it is easy to clump the WR’s into one big group and just grab as many as you can in rounds 3-6.


In the draft-only (bestball) format I’ve been pounding all year it is logical to grab a running back in the first then 3-4 wide receivers, then 3-4 RB’s that could pop or bust from week to week because I don’t have to worry about when I want to start them. In a format where I am choosing my line-up every week I would much rather have two RB’s from the first three rounds and make decisions over my WR2 and flex spots throughout the season.


I believe it is easier to find wide receivers off the waiver wire from week to week than it is to find starting RB’s. I think it is important to draft as many high-volume RB’s as possible in redraft because it can be very difficult to predict the big weeks from those “pass-catching”, “third-down” backs. Having one stud WR is awesome, but having two may not give you leeway to play match-ups. The top running backs are usually far more consistent from week to week than the top receivers.


I have been targeting Nelson, Walker and Rudolph at the TE position in rounds 7-8. Usually one of them will still be around at that time and I’ll take whoever falls to me. If they all go earlier I’ll grab Austin Sefarian-Jenkins very late (13th-15th) and stream the position if he falls on his face. There are about a dozen TE’s that are interchangeable after the three I mentioned so don’t reach for one too early. The position is so volatile week-to-week it is easy to play match-up’s if you are paying attention.


I think its fine to grab a QB after you have at least three RB’s and WR’s you feel are reliable. I always prefer waiting until the double-digit rounds and streaming the position, but there is often hidden value in the QB’s in the 7th through 10th rounds that people ignore. I find that people generally have polar thoughts on QB and either want one early or are willing to wait exceedingly long, when often times the answer is right in the middle, like Russell Wilson was last year. Of course we all tend to remember the guys that came from nowhere like Watson, Wentz or Alex Smith, but in reality those are players that we are scooping off the waiver wire and not drafting in a 16 round draft.


I will usually draft kicker and DST in the 14th and 15th round respectively, just to sneak in ahead of the people that wait till the last two rounds. Most likely the player I would have taken in the 14th will still be there in the 16th because people will be filling in K and DST or getting a back-up QB or TE at that time and wasting their picks.


Whatever you do, make sure you have fun, draft players you like, and don’t take this thing too seriously, there is way too much luck involved when you play in these smaller formats. Don’t argue about players, you’re not going to prove you’re smarter than someone until way after the draft, especially if there’s drinking involved. 


By @FF_Wheeler

 

 

 

 

d-Rx's Draft Strategy:

 


Listen to the Pyro Podcast!

 

We’ve been recording our 2 to 3-hour weekly show for longer than just about anyone out there. There are hundreds of #FF podcasts out there, but the Pyro Podcast was one of the first. You can find our show and subscribe to it at any of the following podcast platforms listed below!


iTunes: http://apple.co/1DtoGV4

Outcast:  https://overcast.fm/itunes465741642/fantasy-football-fire-pyro-podcast

Google Play: https://play.google.com/Pyro_Podcast

Spreaker: http://www.spreaker.com/pyromaniac 

Stitcher: http://bit.ly/21J4dXk

Player FM: https://player.fm/series/fantasy-football-fire-pyro-podcast


 

 

Get an 11x17 Printout Made of Your Tiers


Tiers are always the way to go, but multiple sheets of paper sort of defeat the birds eye view purpose they serve… so print your tiers on one 11x17 sheet of paper! I understand most of you don’t have a personal printer that prints a sheet that size, so head to Kinkos(now called FedEx Office for you old farts) and get the Excel sheet printed there. Tell the print pro there that you want to print the selected area that includes your tiers in it so it fits the 11x17 as large as possible before going to 2 pages. Boom! 1 sheet is all I bring to the draft besides beers, booze, buds and bitches.



Pay Attention to OFFENSIVE LINES and How They Affect Fantasy Football:

 

PyromaniacMo just recorded a solid Pyro Podcast Light episode on August 6th with John Tuvey, whose an OL specialist and a long time fantasy industry stalwart.

 


Pyro Light Fantasy Football Podcast – Episode 66

 

Offensive Lines w/ John Tuvey: http://bit.ly/2OYO9ki


A few teams that John Tuvey is staying away from for fantasy football this season are: 


  •  Buffalo Bills
  •  Houston Texas
  •  Carolina Panthers

 

Here is another reputable resource for offensive lines that you’ll see Chris Collinsworth push during his telecasts from Pro Football Focus:

 

https://www.profootballfocus.com/news/pro-nfl-offensive-line-rankings-all-32-teams-units-entering-2018

 

 

 

Be Fluid In Your Draft Approach, “BeLike Water”, Be Like Bruce Lee:

 

Based on the draft position you are picking from, it’s a good idea to know which player you want to draft with that first pick before the draft starts. If you don’t know your draft position days prior and the order is selection moments before the draft itself – play the, “if I have this draft slot on draft day I will take player X game.” You can do it, you’ve always been good at playing with yourself.


Always go by your tiers, and be fluid, don’t predetermine picks, but with that first pick have a sense of the foundation you want to build from. Let’s be honest, at this point, each column for each position in your tiers are looking pretty solid across the board, so to go in knowing the first pick and mocking and visualizing how your team can work around that player is always a great move. “Be the ball Danny...”

 

After the first pick, be fluid and evaluate the best pick each round whichever way the draft goes. It’s amazing how differently most drafts go than you suspect.

 



Show Up To Your Draft Early:

 

Be there early, get situated, get the YOUR spot, own your space. Type A mentality. I’ve noticed the guy showing up last is frantic for the start of the draft and trying to get caught up and comfortable while the league-mates that are situated are busy being focused on the task at hand. Drafting the best team.


Don’t be Howard J."Cruiser" Turkstra:

 

 


 

Don’t Worry About the ADP or Top 200 Player List From The Site You Are Drafting On:

 

We all do it, you see a big name at the top of the “Available Playerslist on Yahoo!, CBS, ESPN or whatever site you park your league on and drafting from and you are intrigued in taking that player because of his name compared to others below or around him. Don’t do it. Stick to your tiers.



No Need to Go Early on QBs this year:

 

The Depth at QB is insane nowadays. Stafford’s ADP is currently QB11, Matt Ryan is QB14, Marcus Mariota and Derek Carr are QB19 & 20. I’d rather take 2 of those guys in the 9th to 13th round than grab the top tier QB in the first hand full of rounds any day. Late Round QB has been a thing for a while now, but it’s finally foolproof. Top and middle QBs don’t distinguish their point advantage like RBs and WRs do.


2017: Cam Newton finished QB2 with 298 #FF points / Dak Prescott finished QB10 with 261 = 37 Point difference from taking your Quarterback (in theory) 8 QBs later.


2017: Le’Veon Bell finished RB2 with 257 #FF points / Jordan Howard finished RB10 with 176 = 81 point difference from taking your Running Back(in theory) 8 RBs later.


2017: Antonio Brown finished WR2 with 207 #FF points / Larry Fitzgerald finished WR10 with 150 = 57 points difference from taking your Wide Receiver(in theory) 8 WRs later.


The depth for QBs is there, the point differential at other positions is greater, so just wait!



Get Your Guys


Never be afraid to reach a little for a player that you covet for 2018. If your hunch turns out right you look like a star, if you are wrong, it’s not the end of the world. I get way more pissed off when I pass on a guy I know I really want and he gets taken before he comes back to me with my next pick than I do going after a guy I want and he doesn’t play well or gets hurt. 



Don’t start drinking or puffing till the actual draft starts, drink water!


We’ve all been in drafts that start hours after they were supposed to. The one guy who couldn’t get out of work or said he didn’t know the start time. Or the Fanball site is down just when you want to draft. Shit happens, don’t let it catch you shit faced when you need your wits about you. Also stay hydrated and drink plenty of water throughout the day and draft.



No Targets, No Fantasy Points


We dedicate a weekly piece of content for “Targets, Touches & Looks” on pyromaniac.com for 8 years now. The guys that are touching the ball the most game to game have more opportunities to score you a boatload of points. It's a huge barometer for me.


Here are the 2017 TTL final results: http://www.pyromaniac.com/op_eds/targets-touches-looks-2017-season-totals




I’m not scared to get my kicker & defense before the last 2 rounds.


I like to be one of the first guys to take a kicker(I always get Stephen Gostkowski, it’s only burned me once - 2 years ago) and defense… suck it Houdini!



Look at the strength of schedule for players when making your tiers


I think it’s also very important to look at what teams they play during your fantasy playoffs and Championship game. 



Which offenses score the most points, gain the most yards and have the highest snap counts? 


Those are the ones you want to get players on. 



Fuck With The Rest of Your League Before & During Draft


Send out a lot of smoke screens prior to your draft - call other owners and get a sense of what they are hearing and throw a bunch of believable BS out there for the others.



How do Team Defenses score in your league?


Everyone says pick defenses in the last 2 rounds! Really? I’ve had defenses score 32 points in a week against me before… in some leagues your defense can in some ways win you the week when there is a special teams return, huge sack day and/or lot's of interceptions… get a strong grasp of how your defenses are scored. Get the best couple defenses you like for consistency and if they peak, you have a DEF #1.



If you want to jinx yourself with over thinking injuries here are a couple solid options to help your torment.


Sports Injury Predictor: https://sportsinjurypredictor.com

Inside Injuries: https://www.insideinjuries.com/nfl/nfl-teams/



Bring a Bottle of Expensive Booze 


Bring a bright, shiny, boozy, expensive bottle booze that you want to use to fuck up your opponents. Something expensive or rare, to help get the others in your league hungry to consume some of the bourgeoisie! Works like a charm. Do the same thing with kind bud, tout how great your weed is (many of your league mates probably already know) and puff everyone up that you can.



Try Not to Take This Fantasy Stuff Too Seriously!


The point is to have fun…not worth ruining any relationships with old friends, family or anyone for that matter. But at the same time, if you really hate the person and need to use fantasy to cut the cord and get the tool out of your life for good. Do what you gotta do. Lol. I’m kidding, but I know there are a lot of you angry fucks out there.




Take Gronk if he’s still there in the 3rd round


Probably unlikely, but if Gronk slips because your opponents aren’t going after TEs or think he’s gonna get hurt, Brady is too old, etc… ya gotta take him. I wouldn’t go before the third, but do you! If the dude can stay healthy, I know, no guarantees - but along with contract year, I think this is gonna be a huge year for Gronk! I like Kelce as well, but he’s going in too early this year, I won’t over pay for him. Definitely don’t be the idiot that reaches on Ertz… he’s gonna be a bust this year against that ridiculous ADP he currently has.




Players I think are going to be BUSTS based on ADP:


Carson Wentz- He’s seriously injured, with Super Bowl LII MVP Nick Foles why rush back the future of your franchise. 


Zach Ertz- Lot’s of mouths to feed, I see some big games from him but going back to being inconsistent.


Deshaun Watson- Coming off an injury that will limit his elusiveness, behind a turnstile offensive line. He doesn’t want to be the next RGIII. It’s gonna be a down year for Deshaun because the top-brass are going to tell him to hit the deck instead of being a hero.


Josh Gordon- Right now he isn’t playing and is WR25, all the talent in the world, but he’s on the Browns, who have serious depth. Imagine if they sign Dez Bryant. It’s not 2014 anymore for Flash Gordon, even though he’s played very little NFL game-time minutes since then.


Christian McCaffrey- C.J. Anderson addition hurts his value - that guy is always under-valued and can play. He’s got a lot to prove, and he’s a “dog”. CMcC has new offensive coordinator, shitty offensive line that just had an injury to Amini Silatolu that it already couldn’t afford… seems like a limbo year for the Panthers. 3 years removed from the Super Bowl, the front office has done a shitty job building this team in a manner that gets them over the hump. 


DaVante Parker- He just broke his finger, going to be out the entire pre-season. They were shopping him before that. Albert Wilson is outplaying him. He’s been an over-drafted what-if guy for too long now. Move on, he was never a 1st round pick, he’s not going to turn it around.


LeSean McCoy- Even without the ex-girlfriend story this summer, Shady had an uphill battle for 2018. He’s playing behind young and crappy QBs. He’s 30. How much can this offense really provide you with LeSean as an RB1 or RB2? If he super slides and turns into a 4th or 5th round value pick and it seems like he’s not getting suspended, then draft him, but my expectations aren’t all that high. Right now he is going 28th overall at RB16. Keep an eye on the team, his situation and go from there.



Players I think are going to be SLEEPERS based on ADP:


Matt Brieta- Plays the Tevin Coleman role in Shannahan’s 49er offense opposite of Jerrick McKinnon, who I like, but could fall flat this season. If that happens Brieta could be one of the better value picks of any fantasy football draft.


Eric Ebron- Such an annoying player to draft, own, but mostly… start. After 585 days off, Andrew Luck’s arm looks like it will be alright this season and Ebron is arguably a top-3 target in that offense. He’s currently the TE21 off the board from Fantasy Pros ADP(8/14/18), in deeper bench leagues I’d take him with one of my last picks.


Jake Butt- Just a hunch that this guy does something special this year and then is a top-10 pick a year from now. He’s a special player.


Patrick Mahomes II- He’ll get thrown into the fire and have some huge outings and some serious dudes as well. Soooo much talent on that team, he’s the guy. Should be fun.


Jordy Nelson- Derek Carr to Jordy Nelson is going to be very similar to Carr to Crabtree. White Lightning currently sits at WR40 right now, give me a break.


Marquis Goodwin- From today: ESPN's Nick Wagoner reports Marquise Goodwin is "clearly Jimmy Garoppolo's favorite target."


Shady McCoy- Wait, didn’t I just see Shady up in above… yes! If he falls and the legal issues aren’t dire, then grab the dog and child beater I guess. 

 

 

Tyler Higbee - Great offense, he's the TE1, and it's his time. Value city!


 


Players I think can be LEAGUE WINNERS


Kyle Rudolph - Hello Cousins! Kyle is better than Jordan Reed. Rudolph has been really solid in his career with some shitbox QB play, I could see Kyle finish as the TE1 overall if the stars align. One of the tight ends I am locking in on for 2018. He’s been super productive, 2018 should be his best season yet.


Andrew Luck- The arm works. Looks like Andrew Luck is back! His ADP is going to start skyrocketing, but I still believe you can find him at a value. If he plays all 16, no reason he can’t finish top-5 at the position and have a solid % of QB1 weeks.


Julio Jones- 3 TDs last year… he’s going to beat that. From first round the last 4 seasons to 2nd this season, grab a top RB in the 1st and grab Julio with your second and be pumped up!


Aaron Jones- Aaron Jones is going as the 41st RB right now, 106 overall. Hmmm. On one of the best offenses and is the best RB on a team that is going to want to run more this year. Before he got hurt last season, he was the hottest RB in fantasy football. The league may suspend him, but that just helps you get a better deal.


Mike Gesicki- TE19, 173 overall. He’s the best receiver on the team. Remember Julius Thomas in Gase’s Broncos offense? Get ready!!


Kenyon Drake- You can see why they traded Jay Ajayi. Electric runner. My worry is the team and the talent around him, but if they surprise, Drake could be a top-10 RB this year. He’s perfectly ADP’d at RB17, just behind Mixon.


Kenny Golladay- He’s the most talented WR that Stafford has, and this is going to be (once again) a pass-heavy offense. Golladay is a tier one big-play wideout. His ceiling has some serious large skylights in it, the Instagram videos of him in camp are always impressive.


JuJu Smith-Schuster- The ceiling is vaulted ceilings high, but the floor is trapdoor low. His targets are lowish but does a lot with them. Explosive youngster. I’m not sure which way his sophomore season will go, but if it heads in the positive direction and he gains “TheAliens” targets and rookie Washington struggles, then he’ll be a stud. At WR 16 currently, he’s going ahead of the following WRs: Larry Fitz (nope), Demaryius Thomas (nope), Allen Robinson(maybe), Golden Tate (maybe), Marvin Jones (nope), Alshon Jeffrey (nope).


Mark Ingram- Always comes at a value! His suspension will keep owners away, get him and you have one of the most consistent RB1s in the league once he comes back. Kamara is not going to take his runs, they are better together than apart.

 

 

By d-Rx® 

 

 

 

 

 

 

By: Houdini, Wheeler & d-Rx®

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

Become a Pyro Pro: http://www.bit.ly/1K5Af4R