Week 11
November 19, 2017
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Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Rookie Wall?


Fournette came off of essentially 20 days of resting and rehabbing the injured ankle suffered in the fourth quarter of Jacksonville’s October 15th loss to the Rams, when he suited up last week against the L.A. Chargers. Last week, he carried 17 times for 33 yards. According to Florida Football Insiders, Leonard Fournette's ankle is "still not right," and he could be limited if he plays this week against the Browns.

I’ve heard a few people recognize that Cleveland’s run defense has been underrated this year. They started out pretty strong, but they have been fading lately, especially when it comes to the pass-catching backs over the past five games. Yeldon or Ivory could be that sneaky flex you’re looking for.


11/18/17, 11:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.floridafootballinsiders.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ground and Pound


According to Forecast.io, it's expected to be 39° F and with a 18% chance of snow and 20 MPH wind in Cleveland at 1:00 PM ET.

This is something to watch Sunday morning, especially if you were high on the Jacksonville passing game facing Cleveland this weekend. The snow doesn’t matter, but the wind could eliminate any deep balls. If you’re looking for a Dede or K. Cole explosion, like I have been, I think we’re going to have to wait at least one more week. Marquis Lee should be fine, he’ll still get his targets. The running game should benefit, but Fournette is questionable with an ankle.


11/18/17, 11:02 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotowire.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

Ajayi Slated for More Work in Week 11


Coaches have come out and said there is a concentrated effort to increase Ajayi's workload.

Fantasy Goo: Certainly Corey Clement impressed in their last game, Week 9 against Denver. However, he won't sustain the pace of 3TDs on just 13 touches. I do like both players in GPP, I would certainly save Clement for the larger tournaments where you take on more risk in order to differentiate yourself from the field. Still, Ajayi has had a bye week and a game to get familiar with his new digs. Each game from now on, should highlight his comfort and growth in the system.


11/18/17, 03:02 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.philly.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Tevin Coleman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com

Buffalo Bills

Bills Getting Gashed


In the last 3 weeks, the Buffalo Bills have given up 8 TDS. There is not a team in the league that has given up more than 8 rushing TDS ALL SEASON!

Fantasy Goo: There is trepidation about Gordon this week. Ekeler made a bit of a name for himself last week as Gordon owners experienced fits or rage and madness last week. I still like Gordon even in cash this week. Still whichever back you prefer, they should have a field day.


11/18/17, 12:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Jamaal Williams

Green Bay Packers

Next Man Up


As expected, Ty Montgomery officially ruled OUT for Sunday against the Ravens. Jamaal Williams should start at running back.

Williams is not Montgomery or Jones, I would not recommend starting him if you can prevent it. It will probably take a positive game script for him to be heavily use, don’t be surprised if we see Cobb being used in the backfield, especially in third-and-long situations.


11/17/17, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alshon Jeffery

Philadelphia Eagles

Open Door for Agholor


Eagles coach Doug Pederson says that Alshon Jeffery's ankle injury has been lingering for a while, but he is "optimistic" he'll play against the Cowboys Sunday night. He will be listed as questionable.

I’m looking at Nelson Agholor having a nice opportunity to put up some points with Dallas being the 24th ranked defense against opposing WR’s. Ertz coming off of the injury report is an obvious play, he’s a must start whenever he’s on the field.

It seems as though Jeffery plays through injuries every year, but he’s not very effective when he does. His injuries tend to linger and former performance enhancer users tend to get hurt more often.


11/17/17, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kareem Hunt

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Charcandrick West

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Sterling Shepard

New York Giants

Sterling Shepard's Time to Shine


The Giants are going to need to put the ball in the air against KC. Keep an eye on the winds in this one. If it is north of 15mph, I will lessen my DFS shares.

Fantasy Goo: If the winds are not bad, Shep could get some looks as he should dominate KC's Steven Nelson. There are 84 starting cornerbacks in the NFL for Week #11. Nelson comes in at #80 according to PFF


11/17/17, 06:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.nflweather.com


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Rob Gronkowski

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Mike Evans

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:43 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:42 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Melvin Gordon

Los Angeles Chargers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/15/17, 11:23 PM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Latavius Murray

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


LATAVIUS MURRAY – RB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 34% OF CBS LEAGUES

He is still getting a lot of touches, and this week had 17 carries for 68 yards with a touchdown. Getting the redzone carries makes him a worthy add in deeper leagues.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Garrett Celek

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


GARRETT CELEK – TE – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAGUES

With George Kittle out of the game, Celek had four catches for 67 yards with a 47-yard touchdown. He is viable as long as Kittle is out.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Jamison Crowder

Washington Redskins

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


JAMISON CROWDER – WR – REDSKINS – AVAILABLE IN 61% OF CBS LEAGUES

Crowder came back to action and had four receptions for 76 yards and one run for five yards. He is finally starting to make an impact when healthy.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Matt Breida

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


MATT BREIDA – RB – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAUGES

Breida had himself a nice game this week, carrying the ball nine times for 55 yards with a touchdown and had one catch for three yards. The 49ers are looking to the future, and Breida will get more looks going forward.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


CASE KEENUM – QB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 73% OF CBS LEAGUES

Looking for a quarterback? Well, how about Keenum? He has the job and the weapons and is doing well. This week he completed 21 of 29 passes for 304 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions. This is a first place team and they need him the rest of the way.


11/14/17, 07:39 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Corey Davis

Tennessee Titans

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


COREY DAVIS – WR – TITANS – AVAILABLE IN 42% OF CBS LEAGUES

Davis had four receptions for 48 yards, so not what we are expecting, but there is light for the future. He is starting to see more targets, and is the future of what the Titans want to be. He will see more looks going forward.


11/14/17, 07:38 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Marqise Lee

Jacksonville Jaguars

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


MARQISE LEE – WR – JAGUARS – AVAILABLE IN 42% OF CBS LEAGUES

He is on this list every week, and he came through again with six catches for 55 yards and a score. He is the best option in the Jaguars passing game.


11/14/17, 07:38 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com

Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons will have a hard to repeating the amazing offensive attack they had in 2016 this upcoming season

Career Year Beware! by Houdini

Posted by d-Rx on 06/20/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Every year when the fantasy drafts come around there are players that get way over drafted because the owners that pick them expect them to produce the same or better results than they did last year, but these players are coming off a career year and you should expect the opposite. These happen year after year, and the results are almost always the same, so if you are thinking of drafting one of these players, beware of the career year!!!

 


MATT RYAN

 

Matt Ryan is the poster child for Career Year Beware in 2017. Ryan is coming off career highs in yards (4,944), touchdowns (38) and a career low in interceptions (7). Matty Ice has been pretty consistent with six years in a row with more than 4,000 passing yards, but a look inside the numbers will tell you to beware of counting on a repeat. The Falcons have a dynamic offense with weapons all over the field, and that translated into a career high of 17 pass plays for 40 or more yards in 2016. He also completed seven pass plays of 50 or more yards with three of them going for touchdowns (64,75 & 76 yards). Ryan also had 11 touchdowns in 2016 that went for 30 or more yards. Let’s put this into context with his numbers from the year before. In 2015 Ryan only had nine plays of 40 or more yards compared to the 17 he threw in 2016. In fact Matt threw for a total of 17 plays over 40 or more yards in 2014 and 2015 combined. His seven plays of 50 or more yards is one more than he completed in 2014 and 2015 combined. His 11 touchdowns of 30 or more yards in 2016 were two more than he threw in 2014 and 2015 combined. There is no doubt that the Falcons have an amazing offense and Ryan is going to put up good numbers this year, but to think that he is going to repeat something that he has not previously done in his nine years in the league, is foolish. Ryan is being drafted much higher than last year when he was an afterthought, but beware because you are playing with fire if you think a repeat or increase on 2016 numbers is going to happen.

 


KIRK COUSINS

 

Captain Kirk is coming off a career high in passing yards (4,917) in his second season under the helm for the Washington Redskins. You may be thinking that it is a little early in Cousins career to beware, but there are many reasons you should beware of drafting the Captain in 2017. In 2016 Kirk had 13 plays of 40 or more yards, but eight of those plays came from DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, both of whom are not on the team in 2017. He also had seven plays of 50 or more yards, four of which went for touchdowns, three of which came from DeSean Jackson. In 2015 Kirk only had eight plays of 50 or more yards, half of which came from DJax. He also only had five touchdowns of 30 or more yards compared to the eight he threw in 2016. Cousins has a lot of upside for his career, but he has so many new weapons in the offense in 2017 that there is going to be a regression from the comfort level he had with Garcon and Jackson over the last two seasons. Captain Kirk is going to find that he is the only officer left on the ship, and if you draft him high you will both be on the bridge of ship that is caught in a gravitational pull and going down.

 

 

LEGARRETTE BLOUNT

 

Blount is coming off a career year in yards (1,161) and touchdowns (18). This is only the second time in his seven-year career that he has topped 1,000 yards, the last time coming in his rookie season. LaGarrette had 3 runs of 40 or more yards in 2016 (two that went for touchdowns), compared to no runs of 40 or more yards in 2015. Blount also had seven runs of 20 or more yards last season, compared to four 20-yard runs in 2015. LG was able to do most of his damage because of the offense that he was in with the Patriots. This year he will be playing for the Philadelphia Eagles, which has a lot of ground to catch up on the Patriots in terms of effective offense. Blount is going to see a major decrease in the number of touchdowns scored, as his previous career high was 11 fewer than he scored in 2016. LaGarrette is also a one-dimensional running back, and you are betting on fools’ gold if you are expecting the same return on investment in 2017. 

 


LATAVIUS MURRAY

 

Putting Murray on this list may be stretch, but there is enough reason to beware that he makes this list. Latavius is coming off a career high in touchdowns (12), which doubled his previous career high. Murray was not very dynamic in 2016, only rushing for 788 yards. He only had one run for 40 or more yards in 2016, and just five runs of 20 or more yards. In 2015 he rushed for 1,066 yards, but only had two runs of 40 or more yards, and nine runs of 20 or more yards. This year he is moving to Minnesota and joining a crowded backfield. The Vikings are not completely sold on Murray, which is why they drafted Dalvin Cook. Cook alone is a major reason to beware of Murray, but the fact is he is going to have a hard time getting anywhere close to the 12 touchdowns he scored last season, so beware.

 


T.Y. HILTON

 

Hilton is entering his sixth season, and he is coming off a career year with high marks in yards (1,448), receptions (91) and targets (155). T.Y. is a chunk receiver, as evidenced by his 14 pass receptions of 30 yards or more with four of them going for scores in 2016. That nearly doubled the production he had in 2015 with only nine plays of 30 or more yards with just two of them going for touchdowns. The Colts have a strong offense and Hilton is the main catalyst in the passing game, which should continue, but to expect a repeat of 2016 is not wise. In 2016 he averaged 20 yards more per game than he did in 2016, a major jump that is sure to see a regression in 2017. Hilton has also never been a major redzone target, which prevents him from being a double-digit touchdown scorer (career high 7 TDs) and will not allow him to be able to overcome the expected decrease in receiving yards. Hilton is one of my favorite players, but you should beware of over drafting him in 2017.

 


DAVANTE ADAMS

 

Adams had a breakout year in 2016 with career highs in yards (997), receptions (75), targets (121) and touchdowns (12). The final stat of 12 touchdowns is the one that makes Adams a major player to beware in 2017. Touchdowns are the hardest thing to repeat, even on an offense like the Packers. Adams was not a major big play threat with only seven receptions of 30 or more yards and two of 50 or more yards, only two of which went for scores. The Packers are bringing in another threat in the passing game in Martellus Bennett, who is going to take target share away from Adams, especially in the redzone. This makes Adams, while a player on the rise, a player to beware of in 2017.

 


KYLE RUDOLPH

 

Rudolph is second in line as the poster child for Career Year Beware in 2017, as he is coming off his best season in six years in the league. Kyle had career highs in yards (840), receptions (83), and targets (132). Those career marks are major increases from his previous levels. In 2017 Rudolph had 345 more yards, 30 more receptions and 39 more targets than his previous career highs. He had 11 plays of 20 or more yards in 2016 compared to just four such plays in 2015. Kyle had never had a season with more than 500 receiving yards prior to 2016, and expecting him to maintain or increase his production is a major stretch. The Vikings are not a dynamic offense and still mainly relies on the running game, especially in the redzone. If Rudolph were on a different team a better argument could be made against this prediction, but he doesn’t and you should beware.

 


DELANIE WALKER

 

Walker has been on a high for the last three seasons with more 800 receiving yards, 100 targets and has 17 of his career 31 touchdowns over that time frame. Last season he had a career high with seven touchdowns scored. Over the past two seasons Delanie has had 13 receptions for 20 or more yards and two for 40 or more yards with two touchdowns each season. The problem for Walker first and foremost is his age (33), and young up and coming receivers surround that him. Marcus Mariota has relied on Walker the last two seasons, but as his comfort level increases he is going to spread the ball around even more in 2017. Walker has been a stud tight end over the past three seasons, but you better beware over drafting him in 2017.

 

 


By Houdini

 

 

 


 

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