Week 20
January 20, 2018
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Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?


Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.


01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting


Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.


01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

It's A Trap


Jay Ajayi (knee) is practicing in full for the Divisional Round.

Fantasy Goo: Atlanta is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s this year and they are more susceptible to pass-catching backs. Todd Gurley rushed 14 times for 101 yards in the Rams' Wild Card loss to the Falcons, adding four receptions for 10 additional yards. Ajayi might have been drafted before Gurley this year, but that was clearly a mistake. Ajayi has talent, but he’s far from a good option this week.


01/09/18, 07:16 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Back in Action


Chris Hogan (shoulder) is expected to return for Saturday's Divisional Round game against the Titans.

Fantasy Goo: He’s going to take a couple of weeks to get in tune with the offense, I’m looking to save him until the Super Bowl if you’re in one of those one and done fantasy playoff tournaments.


01/09/18, 07:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints

Strength vs Strength


Saints RBs led NFL during regular season in receptions (9.0) and receiving yards (77.8) per game.
Vikings held opposing RBs to fewest yards per target (4.2) and 3rd-fewest yards per game (30.6).

Fantasy Goo: The Vikings have been absolutely sick in all aspects on defense this year. If the Saints are going to pull this one out it sounds like it’s going to have to be a Brees week, I’m not so sure he’s going to be the guy you want to start on the road this week.


01/09/18, 07:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

Not The Real McCoy


LeSean McCoy said if he plays Sunday, "I want to be able to cut well enough to where I don't have a lot of pain cutting. I just want to be close, or the best as far as 100 percent as I can get. The type of game like this, you got to lay it all on the line.”

Fantasy Goo: McCoy is a poor play against the Jags this week. The Jags strength on defense is against the pass (#1 in FP allowed), but they are still strong against the rush (11th). I’m not taking any Bills on fantasy playoff squads or in DFS this week.


01/04/18, 09:29 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Arrow Pointing Down


DeMarco Murray (knee) didn't practice again Thursday. Derrick Henry show ready to go.

Fantasy Goo: The way to attack KC is through the air, they rank 9th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. They will most likely be in negative game script. KC hasn’t allowed any team to score over 20 points in Arrowhead all year.


01/04/18, 09:27 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Julio Jones

Atlanta Falcons

No Fly Zone


Julio Jones finished 11th in NFL in red-zone targets but caught only 5 of 19. He finished 4th in targets inside 10 but only caught 4 of 11.

Fantasy Goo: The Rams have a strong pass defense, especially against outside receivers, but are second worst in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. Freeman and Coleman are the only Falcons I am considering this week.


01/04/18, 09:25 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Under the Radar


In the first game with TJ Jones (shoulder) on IR last week, Kenny Golladay played 95% of snaps and led DET WRs with 8 targets.

Fantasy Goo: Marvin Jones has a history of shredding the Packers defense and is a solid play at $6500 on DK, but Golladay is half the price ($3300) and will probably see a similar number of targets. If Detroit had something to play for I’d be stacking the heck out of this game, but I still think it’s smart to have one of these guys in the line-up this week.


12/31/17, 09:46 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Rookie Debut


Patrick Mahomes was 2nd in PFF’s QB Rating when kept clean in preseason. He rushed for 744 yards, 22 TDs in his last two years at Texas Tech. Denver has allowed multiple passing TDs to six-straight QBs not named Petty or Brissett.

Fantasy Goo: The rookie was supposed to take over for Alex Smith much earlier this season, but Smith and the Chief’s came out firing on all cylinders and kept the rookie on the bench. Mahomes will get his chance this week as Smith gets a week off before the playoffs. Denver may be packing it in, but they still have one of the best defenses and I expect they will play more inspired this week against a division rival.


12/31/17, 09:32 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Wayne Gallman

New York Giants

Last Man Standing


Giants will be without Shepard (neck), Engram (ribs), and King (concussion) vs. WAS. Wayne Gallman has 9, 7, 8 target counts in last three weeks.

Fantasy Goo: Washington ranks 24th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s and Gallman is $4200 on DK. Feels like a great way to save and pay up at other positions.


12/31/17, 09:21 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Burfict Situation


Bengals LB Vontaze Burfict ruled out for game Sunday at Baltimore because of shoulder injury.

Fantasy Goo: Collins becomes a solid RB1 this week. Cincinnati’s run defense is a sieve with Burfict out.


12/31/17, 09:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Akeem No Dream


Charcandrick West is out Sunday vs Denver with an illness. Akeem Hunt and Kareem Hunt only RBs on active roster for KC. It would be a surprise to see Kareem play much. That means a ton of Akeem Hunt and likely some De'Anthony Thomas on passing downs.

Fantasy Goo: Akeem is min price ($3000) on DK so the definition of a free-square, but there’s a reason he’s bounced around the NFL and never earned a starting role. Denver is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, I’m not rostering Akeem when there are so many other options this week.


12/31/17, 09:17 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeAndre Hopkins

Houston Texans

Milestone Not Worth The Risk


Bill O'Brien on DeAndre Hopkins' status: 'Probably won't know up until game time'. Typically, we might classify this as coach-speak, but Hopkins has never missed a game, and is four catches away from 100 for the season. He's probably pushing hard to play.

Fantasy Goo: This is an awesome match-up for the Houston WR’s going against a very weak Indy pass defense, but there is really no reason for Hopkins to play, especially with the calf injury. At $8400 on DK he’s just way too pricey given this news. A sneaky start might be Will Fuller at $4300, he has 5 targets in each of the past three games and is coming off some difficult match-ups. Earlier in the season he was a superstar with Watson throwing the ball, but he has always had the big play in his arsenal no matter who the QB is.


12/29/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Vultures Are Always Flying


James White (ankle) remained limited at Thursday's practice. White was absent for last week's win over Buffalo but should be out there against the Jets in Week 17. He ranks eighth among running backs with 56 catches this year.

Fantasy Goo: Lewis dominated last week with White and Burkhead out, even though Gillislee vultured a TD. I would imagine that White playing will take away the five receptions Lewis had last week and the Jets actually have a better rush defense than the Pats week 16 opponent (Buf). The Pats will be looking to lock-up home field advantage and won’t be resting their starters, but they will probably be looking to get everyone some work as they prep for the playoffs. Gillislee appears to be nursing a hammy and is not expected to play, but let’s not forget how White performed last year in the Super Bowl.


12/29/17, 09:47 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Pittsburgh Steelers

Stars Sitting


The Steelers Marcus Gilbert tells reporter Tim Benz that the Steelers won't play Ben Roethlisberger or Le'Veon Bell in finale vs. Cleveland. Landry Jones will be under center for Pittsburgh and Fitzgerald Toussaint and Stevan Ridley will form a thoroughly underwhelming RB committee against the Browns.

Fantasy Goo: Underwhelming is an understatement for these two backs, a highly respected fantasy website hasn’t even updated the news on these two since the pre-season and doesn’t even recognize them as being on the team. The one player of note in this is Martavis Bryant, The Alien averages over 17 ppr points per game with Landry at the helm as opposed to 8.4 ppg with other QB’s. He also has 5 TD’s in 5 home games with Landry. Granted most of this production comes from 2015 when they worked together often in the preseason, but Bryant could be a very sneaky GPP play this week.


12/29/17, 09:23 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Play To Win The Game


Despite already being locked into the AFC's No. 3 seed, Jaguars coach Doug Marrone has no plans to rest starters in Sunday's game against the Titans. "Make no mistake about it, just so there is not a lot of talk during the week: When the players come in (Wednesday), we are talking about how we are going to play to win and do everything we possibly can to win this game, period," Marrone said. "I am not even thinking about what happens beyond that, and that is the way we are going to go about our business this week."

Fantasy Goo: I think it’s crazy of him to do, but I’m sure he has Tom Coughlin in his ear feeding him that old-school philosophy. Looks like Bortles, Fournette, Westbrook and Cole will be safe plays against a Titan’s team hoping to hold on to the sixth seed in the AFC.


12/26/17, 10:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Los Angeles Rams

Resting Starters


McVay hints that there will be Rams starters “who won’t play at all” on Sunday. The Rams are already locked into either the No. 3 or 4 seed in the NFC and will host a Wild Card round playoff game.

Fantasy Goo: Gurley, Goff, Woods, all sitting this week? That’s going to destroy so many hopes and dreams for teams that rode Gurley all year.


12/26/17, 09:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Grind It Out


Mike Mularkey said he's not ruling DeMarco Murray out just yet. He's day-to-day. The Titans are holding out hope to have him in limited role.

Fantasy Goo: They are really grinding him into the dirt if they play him this week. I didn’t see the injury, but it sounded pretty ugly from sources in the know. Keep away from him in whatever format you are playing this week, I’m giving Derick Henry a solid upgrade as the Titans are trying to hold on to the final playoff spot in the AFC.


12/26/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Philadelphia Eagles

All Locked Up


Pederson on playing Foles vs. Cowboys: “I’ve got to get him as many reps as he can and then be smart about it. Obviously, we have a lot of football left. Our season is really just beginning, quite honestly. We’ll be smart.”

Fantasy Goo: This is why you don’t play a championship game in week 17. I’m staying away from the Eagles regular starters, pretty much across the board, as they have a first round bye all locked up. Guys like Blount, Clement, and Nelson Agholor might have some DFS appeal, but we have to get closer to Sunday to see what they plan on doing.


12/26/17, 05:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

The good and the bad of fantasy football for the 2016 season

Cheers & Jeers: A Look Back on the 2016 Fantasy Football Season

Posted by d-Rx on 12/30/16

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

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A FF Podcast Network Collective Article

 


Mo, Partner at Pyromaniac - http://www.pyromaniac.com/

 

CHEERS

Trends come and go in this fast paced world of ours. Ladies and gentlemen, I give you… the pet rock, the band – Hanson, David Hasselhoff, Urkel, Pop Rocks, mood rings, David Hasselhoff again, pegged jeans, the mullet, the macarena, David Hasselhoff (come on Germany, seriously!), Gary Coleman, dapping (enough already), the Boz, and finally Garbage Pal Kids. Well, the same type of trending occurs in fantasy. However, the concept of drafting a QB late, the notion of streaming, can officially be declared a success.

 

In a year in which the fantasy pundits will debate the validity of “zero RB”, the benefits of QB streaming has with stood the test of time. In fact, for the past several years, there have been at least 40 different QBs that have finished inside the top 12 for a given week.  Take a look at Cam Newton. He was fantasy’s best QB in 2015. After the 2016 fantasy championships, he is ranked as the 17th best QB. While posters of Screech have not seen a bedroom wall for over a decade, the benefit of targeting a QB late in your draft is certainly a strategy to employ in 2017. Consider this, every week on the Pyro Light Fantasy Football podcast, I selected one official QB that was available on at least 50% of NFL Fantasy waiver wires. Tallying my picks up from weeks 1-16, if you took my advice, you would have finished with fantasies 7th best QB. Not only is streaming a QB viable, I dare say it should be a weapon employed in your fantasy arsenal going into next season.

 

JEERS

Things can look pretty bleak when you have literally been stabbed in the back, and your “friends”, your brothers in black have left you for dead, bleeding out on the cold, white snow. Alright, so the fantasy season perhaps is not as bad as things once looked for Jon Snow, but things were fairly grim.

 

Woa to yea who do not recognize power in numbers. For example, looking at fantasy relevant offensive positions, there were only 13 teams that were in the top 10 for at least two fantasy spots (QB, RB, WR, TE). That means, well over 50% of the NFL teams failed to place inside the top ten for more than one fantasy position. So, I give a plethora of fantasy owners a defiant BOOOO! In the NFL, unless you have a good QB, your WR play is going to suffer significantly. If you only have a running game, then teams will be able to stack the box and ultimately shut you down (Yeah, I’m looking at you LA). For far too long, there has been this fear of drafting multiple guys from the same team for fear of cannibalization. That is the very archaic thinking that I am jeering. Think about it, for every first down your WR gives you, that is three more downs to produce fantasy numbers for your TE. For every ten yard catch your TE delivers, it is that much closer to the red zone for your RB. So I say Jeers to those owners that draft talented players that are on an island, they are their teams ONLY fantasy relevant talent, and therefore, easy for defenses to key in on and stop. Out of the top 10 RBs, only 2 (McCoy and Howard) are on teams that do not have any other top 10 fantasy relevant players. Out of the top 10 WRs, only three are on teams that positional, have not other top ten rankings (the Bucs, the Giants, and the Sea Hawks).  The concept of cannibalization is a thing of the past, and I say “Shame! Shame! Shame!” to you fantasy owners who are not targeting multiple players from the elite teams. Indeed, there is Power in Numbers!

 

 

 

Jared Chastain, Co-Host of The County Fantasy Sports Podcast - http://thecountyfs.com/


CHEERS

I view my utmost cheer from an analytical perspective rather than as a player of fantasy football. In February I was on the Fantasy Life App and created a post. The topic was David Johnson. I had asked the other users if they thought he would be a top 3 running back in 2016. The responses I received were roughly an 80/20 split in favor of no. Some called me crazy. Some said he would be a top ten back but had no real belief that he could exceed that. When analyzing DJ this early offseason it seemed obvious he would be involved in both major aspects in 2016. I viewed him as a player with a bell-cow mentality that also possessed the versatility needed to be a successful pass catcher, thus making him a surefire three down back. Averaging 18.6 standard points on 21 touches in his final five regular season games, and with Palmer and Fitzgerald aging it seemed ideal to me that Arizona would rely heavily on a player with DJ’s skill set as much as possible to ensure they maintain the level of success they had encountered since Bruce Arians took over. Hats off to David Johnson & Arians for proving me right.

 

JEERS

My biggest jeer dates back to the conclusion of the 2015 season. I was 5-6 in my hometown league, which I am the commissioner of, and needed to win out to make the playoffs. I didn’t think I stood a chance so I traded away AP for a future pick. When the season concluded I realized not only would I have made the playoffs if I had kept Peterson, but I would’ve won the league. I facepalmed and decided to move along. At this year’s draft I used my acquired pick on ARob when Zeke was still on the board. I had been banging the Zeke drum all offseason, declaring he would be a top 5 back since approximately the day he was drafted. I decided to go against my gut to choose the “safer” option. To make matters worse, I used my following pick on Keenan Allen while Evans was available, which happened to be my gut call. In a nutshell I missed the playoffs, and my case of bad timing cost me two championship caliber players and replaced them with arguably the biggest bust of the 2016 season and a player who didn’t play more than a half of football.

 

 


Ryan Skolrud, Founder, SkullKing Football - www.skullkingfootball.com

As a fantasy football guru, I play in many leagues every year. I promised my wife that I would cut back this season, so instead of 7 leagues, I played in 5, lol. My “Cheer” and “Jeer” just so happen to be from the same league.

 

 

CHEERS

In one of my leagues, we have a $60 entry fee, $50 into the season long pot divided between the top 3 players at the end of the year, and $10 into a side pot for the highest scoring single week of the regular season. I had finished first and third in the first two leagues of its existence, but had never come close to the single week high score, until Week 3 of this year when the stars perfectly aligned. When I finished my draft for this team, I knew that I had a chance to put up a ton of points every week. It just so happens that Week 3 was when it would all come together. Marvin Jones went 6/205/2, Mike Evans went 10/132/1, AJ Green and Tyrell Williams and Dennis Pitta hit projection, and Mark Ingram and Charles Simms combined for 132 rush yards, 10 rec., 99 rec yds, and 2 TD. Matthew Stafford also contributed to the points fest with the help of Jones, going 385/3/1. To top it all off, New England’s defense foreshadowed the extreme inefficiency that would plague the rest of Brock Osweiler’s 2016 season. In the end, it was a great week. In a multi-bonus, PPR league I finished with 273 points when the average weekly score for the league was 174 points.

 

JEERS

In Weeks 1, 3, and 13 of the fantasy season I broke 210 points in the above mentioned league and went 2-1 in those three weeks. Unfortunately, I went 2-8 over the other 10 weeks of the season. There were a lot of reasons for the poor performances of my team in those 10 weeks. I dealt with injuries as AJ Green ended his season in week 11, Charles Simms went on IR for 8 weeks, Danny Woodhead tore his ACL in week 2, Antonio Gates had issues staying healthy and then trying to fight off Hunter Henry for productivity. However, There was a fair bit of mismanagement on my part as well. Jay Ajayi was on my bench for both of his 200 yard games during the regular season. Isaiah Crowell and Latavius Murray would both put up RB1 performances every week, as long as they were on my bench and not in the starting lineup. Marvin Jones decided to disappear for the remainder of the season after that Week 3 breakout game. Willie Snead made sure to lose a ton of production to rookie WR, Michael Thomas. And in one of the weeks that I needed him most, Mark Ingram lost a fumble on his first carry after a gain of 5 yards and was benched for the remainder of the contest in favor of Tim Hightower, netting me a whopping total of -2.5 points. This was the worst season in my fantasy career. But everyone has seasons like this every once in a while, so I am looking forward to bluer skies in future seasons.

 

 

 

Johnny Slokes @johnnyslokes & K-mill @kmill5thdown - https://www.the-5th-down.com/

The 2016 fantasy football season has come and pass before our eyes. Now we are going to look back on a couple of cheers (good) and a couple of jeers (bad) players this year. We’ll also pick one colossal bust and another player that suffered from injuries.


CHEERS

Surprise Players of the Year

 

Johnny Slokes: Jordan Howard - How great has this guy been? 9 games over 100 yards from scrimmage, 7th in the league in rushing yards with 1,178 with another 298 receiving. He only needs 61 yards to break the Bears rookie rushing title. Waiver wire darling of the year.

 

K-Mill: Michael Thomas - In a year with a lot of focus going towards Laquon Treadwell and Corey Coleman, it was Michael Thomas that out produced both of them. Finishing at WR11 in PPR scoring, has 8 TDs and was either drafted late in drafts or was found on the waivers.

Honorable mentions: Matt Ryan, Jay Ajayi, Spencer Ware, Rishard Matthews and Tyrell Williams.

 

JEERS

The Busted and Bruised

 

Johnny Slokes: Allen Robinson - What do Rishard Matthews, Garcon, Crowder, Pryor, Mike Wallace, Thielen, Kenny Britt, Tyrell Williams, and Devante Adams all have in common? They all have more PPR points than Allen Robinson. Certainly it was going to be hard to duplicate 80 receptions for 1,400 yards and 14 TDs but 68 receptions for 801 yards and 6 TDs is not what we had in mind.


K-Mill: Keenan Allen - I know me and Johnny were both high on Keenan this year and it’s just terrible that he loses another year of his prime and another year with the aging Phillip Rivers. If you were one of those people that took Hopkins in the first then followed up with Keenan, it was probably a long year for you.


Dishonorable mentions: DeAndre Hopkins, Adrian Peterson, Doug Martin, Sammy Watkins, Jamaal Charles and Michael Floyd

 

We will have our full rewards show later on this week to highlight more players!

 

 

 

 

Kevin Cutillo AKA @wallycentral - http://www.flafflhouse.com/

 

CHEERS

There were a lot of great things that occurred throughout the 2016 fantasy football season for which we could give a solid round of cheers.  I think for most people who won a championship this year though the cheers would start with having one of the big three running backs on their roster: David Johnson, Ezekiel Elliott and Le’Veon Bell. For those of you who listen to the FLAFFL House podcast, you know our podcast started from a league (The Fantasy Life App Fantasy Football League…AKA FLAFFL)  and in that league, which is a typical half point PPR format,  those three guys finished 1st, 5th and 9th respectively in scoring (quarterbacks included).  That’s why my cheers doesn’t necessarily go out to those running backs but more to the people all around fantasy who followed the zero running back draft strategy.  Thanks to those people who loaded up on guys like Odell Beckham Jr. (26th), Antonio Brown (18th), Julio Jones (39th) and DeAndre Hopkins (who knows) and with a little help from a substance abuse suspension guys like me who are big on running backs were able to have both David Johnson and Le’Veon Bell on their team.  In fact, with David Johnson’s ADP being at 5th overall, Le’Veon Bell’s being at 13th and LeSean McCoy’s (who coincidentally finished at 10th in FLAFFL scoring) being at 26th you could potentially have had three of the top ten scorers on your team.  Not to mention adding TY Hilton and Doug Baldwin in the next two rounds to ensure a whopping five players in the top 37 of scoring.  So cheers to those zero running back players who helped us running back friendly folks win championships!

 

JEERS

My jeers for this year would have to go out to the tight end position and anyone who drafted one in the top 100 and expected to get good value from them.  Overall there were 10 tight ends drafted in the top 100 while only four of those finished in the top 100 in scoring, none of which were in the top 50.  In fact, only Travis Kelce, who carried an ADP of 55 and finished at 51st overall in scoring, presented a value somewhat close to his draft position.  Jimmy Graham, who carried an ADP of 110 and finished 86th in scoring is the only other tight end drafted near the top 100 who presented a positive value for the team drafting him.  Meanwhile guys like Kyle Rudolph and Cameron Brate both had ADPs in the two hundreds and yet were able to finish in the top 100 in overall scoring.  So jeers to those highly drafted tight ends and  those of you who didn’t listen to the FLAFFL House Podcast when we told you to wait on the position!  

 

 

 

 

 

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