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Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys - Divisional Round - 2016 Playoffs

Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys - Divisional Round - 2016 Playoffs

Posted by d-Rx on 01/13/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys (-1.5); Over/Under 44.5

Sunday, January 15, 2017 at 3:40 EST

 

Weekly Matchups - NFL Divisional Playoffs - Packers @ Chiefs


Dak Prescott will face a Packer defense at home allowing the 9th most fantasy points to opposing fantasy QBs. In Week 6, Dak and the Cowboys won in Green Bay while posting 18.5 FF points, including 247 passing yards and three scores. He is my QB7 this Week well ahead of Brock Osweiller, but still second to last out of all fantasy passers in this divisional round. There are just better options out there, especially in a game where Dallas needs to play “keep-away” from Rodgers. Ezekiel Elliot is a mad man and posted 157 rushing yards on Green Bay in the first contest, so he is a no-brainer. Darren McFadden will spell Zeke for a few carries but not enough for him to warrant a flex spot. Dez Bryant and Cole Beasley are top plays this week due to Green Bay’s depleted secondary, plus Beasley posted 20.8 FF points in the first game between these two teams. Terrance Williams is a desperation flex, but there is slight upside due to the Packers allowing the most FF points to opposing pass catchers. Jason Witten is a boring play and likely to collect a “5 for 50” performance with a small possibility for a red-zone score.

 

Aaron Rodgers’ fantasy stats against these Cowboys at home back in Week 6 weren’t stellar, but there is a lot to say about timing. The Packers are on fire and haven’t lost a game in seven weeks. Rodgers is my #1 QB this week even though Dallas is a top 12 fantasy defense against passers. The Giants allowed 362 yards and four touchdowns to Rodgers at home and they were the second best fantasy defense against the QB position. Clearly, playoff Aaron Rodgers doesn’t care about how good a pass defense is. Ty Montgomery suffered a leg injury but returned to the game late Sunday afternoon. He was stuffed on multiple occasions, continuing to prove that predicting a big game from him is fruitless. Same goes with Christine Michael as they will most likely split carries and there has been no method to the run game from head coach Mike McCarthy. As the Cowboy defense only allows the 4th most FF points to rushers, neither of them is a solid candidate for a big day. Jordy Nelson will most likely not play with a rib injury, and if this is the case, Randall Cobb, Devante Adams and even Geronimo Allison are all great starts at least in the flex position. There is plenty to go around for all the receivers in a high scoring affair. Last but not least, Jared Cook has the best match-up on paper as Dallas allows the most FF points to opposing tight ends. This stat is bloated from two massive games by Zach Ertz and Jordan Reed, so you’ll need to lessen expectations from Cook.  

 

 

By: ØC

 

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