Week 3
September 19, 2017
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Chris Thompson

Washington Redskins

Thompson Flashes


Thompson only had three carries, but two of them went for scores, including a 61-yard scamper. He finished with six touches for 106 yards and two scores. Rob Kelley could miss time with the injury and Thompson is lightening in a bottle.

Fantasy Goo: Thompson is the back to own in PPR leagues, his floor is solid with the passing downs work and he will probably average five carries a game if Kelley (ribs) is out.


09/19/17, 07:08 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


Chris Carson

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Backfield Jumble


Carson was the man at running back for the Seahawks, running the ball 20 times for 93 yards, and he caught one pass for 7 yards to give him 100 total yards on the day. Lacy is a non-factor, and Rawls does not look like he will be able to keep Carson from getting the Lion share of carries going forward.

Fantasy Goo: Carson will probably be the number one waiver add in your league, and if you have the number one pick you NEED to add Carson now.


09/19/17, 07:06 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


D'Onta Foreman

Houston Texans

The Foreman Is On The Job


The Texans want to get Foreman more involved in the offense, and this week he had 12 carries for 40 yards. He is going to be in a 60/40 split with Lamar Miller, but there is upside if Miller goes down. His workload should only increase as the season moves along.

Fantasy Goo: If he’s still available, if you have space on your roster, and if you can wait a few weeks for him to take even more of the role, then this is your guy to grab. Foreman could emerge as the Texans primary back by the end of the year.


09/19/17, 07:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


Rashard Higgins

Cleveland Browns

They Call Him "Hollywood"


Browns placed WR Corey Coleman on injured reserve with a broken hand. Coleman underwent surgery on his broken right hand Monday. Higgins played 54-of-71 snaps against the Ravens, 12 more than Kenny Britt. He also turned 11 targets into seven catches for 95 yards. He was just promoted off the practice squad on Saturday, so he could be a one hit wonder.

Fantasy Goo: Normally I would say to just put him on your watch list, but he could emerge into what we thought Kenny Britt would be. Britt is playing like he doesn’t give a crap right now, which is giving Higgins opportunity and with Coleman out for at least eight weeks there might not be anyone else to throw to.


09/19/17, 07:00 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Will Fuller

Houston Texans

Strong Out, Fuller In


Will Fuller (collarbone) returned to practice on Monday. It's a potential sign Fuller could return for Week 3. The Houston Chronicle reported in early August that Fuller would likely miss "2-3 months," but Fuller is an elite athlete in optimal condition, and he is capable of beating a lengthy timetable like that. The Texans also placed WR Jaelen Strong on waivers and the Jaguars have claimed him.

Fantasy Goo: It’s too bad the Texans still don’t have a QB. Fuller could add a valuable weapon for Watson, but I don’t see Watson being a productive QB that can maintain two WR’s with weekly fantasy value. Keep Fuller on the watch list just in case Watson proves he can produce or they shift to a free agent QB.


09/19/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


A.J. Green

Cincinnati Bengals

Green looking forward to Green Bay


A.J. Green has struggled to get going this season, with 10 receptions for 141 yards and no touchdowns. This week he faces a Packers defense that could be without Mike Daniels and Ahmad Brooks. Julio Jones had 108 yards against the Packers last week, and without the pass rush of Daniels Green should be able to make more plays downfield this week. The Bengals are looking for their first touchdown of the season, and Dalton wants it to be a passing touchdown to A.J.


09/19/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Le'Veon Bell

Pittsburgh Steelers

Bell looking for a breakthrough against the Bears


Le'Veon has only totaled 138 yards with no scores through the first two weeks. Owners should be feeling good about his matchup this week against the Bears. Chicago is already without LB Jerrell Freeman, and last week lost his replacement Nick Kwiatkowski. The Bears are a mess and Bell should be able to exploit those weaknesses for big gains this week.


09/19/17, 06:52 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com

Carolina Panthers

Carolina In My Mind


Implied Team Totals: Panthers 25, Bills 18
Cam looked rusty last week, he was literally shaking his arm after passes like there was rust in his shoulder joint. Christian McCaffrey out-snapped Jonathan Stewart 70% to 43% in Week 1, but Stewart out-touched McCaffrey 20 to 18, and Stewart scored the backfield’s lone TD on a red-zone reception where McCaffrey served as a decoy. As Carolina is favored by a touchdown at home, this sets up as another positive-script game where Stewart can log a similar if not superior workload to his dynamic rookie counterpart, giving both Panthers backs RB2/flex appeal. I don’t like any of the receivers, Benjamin is only ranked within the startable range because of the implied opportunity and what should be a prime match-up.


09/17/17, 10:30 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo @ Carolina


Implied Team Totals: Panthers 25, Bills 18
Tyrod is a solid sit for me on the road against a strong Carolina defense that silenced the 49ers on the road last week. McCoy will get 25 or so carries so I’m starting him in season-long, but his upside is capped so he’s a fade in DFS this week. Charles Clay led Buffalo in targets and caught his eighth TD in 29 games as a Bill. Last year’s Panthers allowed the league’s second-most fantasy points to tight ends, a position to which their Cover-3 zone can be vulnerable.


09/17/17, 10:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New England Patriots

New England @ New Orleans


Implied Team Totals: Patriots 31, Saints 25
Last year the Saints allowed the second-most points (454) and the most passing yards (4380), the Superdome is now known as football’s version of Coors Field for its elevation of offensive output. My top DFS plays are Brady, of course, Cooks in a revenge game, Gronk if you are ok with paying up at TE, and the way to get Gronk in a DK line-up is to play James White at RB2 or flex. White is cheap, and played the most snaps of the RB’s last week, he could have around 5 receptions for around 35-50yds and cross your fingers for a TD.


09/17/17, 10:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Hosting New England


Implied Team Totals: Patriots 31, Saints 25
The Saints, and Brees are a different animal at home than the road. Alex Smith shredded the Pats last week and even on short rest (6 days, compared to NE’s 10 days) Brees should see similar numbers. I feel good about starting Michael Thomas or Fleener, they should see the bulk of red-zone targets. The RB situation is in flux so the only RB I’m considering is Alvin Kamara, he’s obviously not a cash game play, but at $3500 he could pay-off in a big way.


09/17/17, 10:09 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars have alot to do to bounce back to fantasy relevance in week 2


With Blake Bortles playing the role as "game manager" it certainly puts a cap on the Jags offense as a whole,sure Leonard Fournette can be counted on to get the Lions share of work but at the cost of the passing game especially after losing AR15 who is left to count on ?
Blake threw for a meager 125 and a TD in week one's victory over Houston,but went 11 for 21 pass attempts. (21 attempts yoikes)
It seems the lack of faith in Bortles has everyone wondering if you can even start any pass catcher on this team.
The improvement of the defense should help but if history tells us anything it is that the Jags will be playing from behind and will be forced to throw. So again who's catching the ball in Jacksonville week 2?

Allen Hurns caught 3 out of 4 targets for 42 yards in the Jaguars' season opener and should be the one to take on the WR1 duties. He did show some fantasy value two years ago and is most likely to be the receiver with the most upside and is currently WR 49 on pyro rankings.

Marqise Lee was off the marq week 1 and had 4 balls thrown his way and failed to haul in a single catch, but he is in line to be the WR2. Maybe the increased workload and motivation of being more involved in the game plan will be the trick for Lee who's is WR 50 on pyro rankings.

Marcedes Lewis the tight-end failed to make a single reception of his two targets vs.the Texans. He could be called on to make up some of the loss of ARob but I'm not holding my breath. He only had 169 yards and a single touchdown all of last season Lewis is currently holding down TE 47 on the current pyro rankings.

Fantasy Goo: So if your like me the approach in Jacksonville is wait and see what happens Sunday vs Tennessee and hopefully we get the answers we are looking for by end of week three.


09/17/17, 05:13 AM CDT by PK Ripper

Source: pyromaniac.com

Green Bay Packers

Packers @ Falcons


Ty Montgomery played 75 of82 snaps, he’s playing a team that struggles to cover RBs and there’s a high over under. After allowing a league-high 14.5 receiving points per game to opposing backfields in 2016, Atlanta allowed a Week 1 high 23.1 points to the Chicago backfield receiving. Aaron Rodgers has thrown 10 touchdowns with at least three in each game and averaged 29.3 points per game. Randall Cobb accounted for 32 percent of the Green Bay targets Week 1.

Fantasy Goo: Start everyone mentioned above and Jordy. I guess Adams and Bennett are solid plays too, but I usually stay away from them in general, very TD dependent. This should be a shoot-out in Atlanta’s new stadium, and I expect Ty Montgomery to have the best value at $5800 on DK.


09/16/17, 06:28 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Double Hunt in KC


“Chiefs are releasing CJ Spiller again, per sources. This makes room on the 53 for RB Akeem Hunt, who can contribute on lots of special teams.”

Fantasy: Ok, this means absolutely nothing, but if you have that guy in your league that keeps sending annoying trades, you should pick up Akeem and send the guy an offer when you know he’s been drinking. All he’ll see is Hunt KC, if you make the right offer. Ask for someone good, but don’t get greedy.


09/16/17, 06:24 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Michael Crabtree

Oakland Raiders

Crabtree is the WR1 on Oakland yet again


Crabtree is the WR1a for the Raiders against a strong Jets defense in Oakland, but it’s the first home game of the year and they’ve already shown the ability to put up points. This game should end in a blowout which means more red-zone targets for Crabby, something that he didn’t see in Week 1. Look for another seven reception performance for around 100 yards and a touchdown.


09/16/17, 04:56 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Derek Carr

Oakland Raiders

Great matchup this week


Carr was very efficient against the Titans on the road but will break out in a major way at home against the withering Jets defense. Tyrod Taylor posted 18.7 FF points in Week 1 against NYJ and Carr has better weapons at his disposal. Carr could easily be the top QB this week and will continue to be the steal of the draft.


09/16/17, 04:54 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

Cooper scooper


Cooper had the big fantasy day with his 62 yards and a touchdown, but he had only five receptions on 13 targets! Something to be concerned about, but Amari also worked through a small knee injury. Use the eye-test in Week 2 to see if his efficiency improves, otherwise, Crabtree might re-take the WR1 spot on this powerful offense.


09/16/17, 04:54 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Emmanuel Sanders

Denver Broncos

2 inches short of explosion


Sanders was so close to a massive fantasy day but was overthrown by inches on two red-zone targets on Monday night. Sanders and Demaryius will mimic each other’s stat lines through the season, but ‘Manny usually sees the softer coverage. Over the course of the season, Demaryius will see a larger total FF point sum, but itll be Sanders that wins you the week.


09/16/17, 04:53 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Demaryius Thomas

Denver Broncos

Solid WR2 in all formats


Thomas will continue to be a solid WR2 especially in PPR leagues. Dallas is a similar test to the Chargers in defending receivers, so temper expectations for a breakout week, but you can definitely expect 6-8 receptions for just under 100 yards.


09/16/17, 04:52 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


C.J. Anderson

Denver Broncos

Anderson has Charles breathing down his neck...


Anderson rushed 20 times for 81 yards but was often replaced near the goal line and in long yardage situations. It was odd to see and may be a legitimate concern with Jamaal Charles in the back-up role. All CJ owners should think about stashing Charles on the bench. Dallas only allowed 9.6 and 3.5 FF points to Giant RBs so we should expect a similar output in Week 2, making CJ a flex candidate.


09/16/17, 04:50 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com

Dez the panther tearing it up.

My Most Undervalued Players in MFL10s by Stagg Party

Posted by d-Rx on 06/29/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Through the course of piling up some MFL10s (mfl10s.com) this offseason I have a leg up on drafting, as I have literally been doing it since February. MFL10s have their own sort of cult following with over 1,800 drafts completed to date. MFL10s are PPR bestball drafts where you do not need to set a weekly lineup balancing the demand of being in too many leagues. Because of the following @fantasyADHD has created a great real-time ADP application for you to follow along and also make better decisions while drafting, you can see that work at http://fantasyadhd.com/mfl10_live/ and play around with a variety of settings. MFL10s has a mix of analysts and casual drafters, allowing you to sharpen your fantasy football knife while others are still enjoying spring break. Roster construction is a very important part of MFL10s, but this is a piece outside of those confines, as great work has already been done in that area. If you want to learn more about the roster construction side of MFL10s one of the best follows is @beerswater of rotoviz and rotogrinders.

 

Let’s look at a few players and where they are currently going, and why I feel that they are undervalued. These guys are on more of my rosters than not, so if you want to take my ten dollars, you can start your sniping here.

 


Dez Bryant – Current ADP #19

Since I decided I wouldn’t cherry pick here and pick the first or second pick of the third round, and instead go a little deeper, I found myself landing with Dez, as I often do in the early parts of the second round. Dez brings a long history of fantasy dominance on his resume, including a stretch from 2012-2014 where he was one of the best wide receivers in the world. More recently, people seem to look at his numbers and think, Dez can’t exist without Romo, but let me tell you, Dez thrived after returning from injury last season. Including the playoffs, but excluding that Week 17 tilt in which he played like five plays, Dez averaged as many fantasy points as Jordy Nelson over the course of the season. At 28, Bryant also averaged the highest yards per catch mark of his career. The former Oklahoma State Cowboy, can be had at a value if you play your cards right and he finds himself on the field for all 16. I mean, he has had 10 touchdowns in his last 11 games with Dak? Is that good?

 

 

Sammy Watkins – Current ADP #32

Sammy Watkins is currently going in the middle of the third round, and if I had to I would select him earlier. First, games played in a past season actually have a negative correlation to games played in the next season, so OMG he’s injury prone people can bark up another tree. Second, through 3 seasons, Watkins has played more games than Julio Jones has, 36 to 34 with similar injury. Watkins has tallied 153/273 2,459 yards and 17 touchdowns vs. Julio’s 174/282 2,737 yards and 20 touchdowns. You can get Sammy in the third or fourth round, he is worth the risk. Third, targets are king and fantasy football, and last time I checked his main competition for targets is a rookie second rounder out of East Carolina in Zay Jones and Charles Clay who is not worth the dollars spent.

 

 

Ty Montgomery – Current ADP #49

What’s that? Are you not going to draft a running back during this fake draft you are doing in your head? Well, if you haven’t heard Ty Montgomery has officially switched positions and (un)officially(?) still gets to wear number 88, who am I kidding you knew this. You also probably know that the Packers added three rookie running backs during the draft to take his spot, but they haven’t yet and I am a believer that none of them will. Jamaal Williams is JAG who can carry the ball at an average rate, Aaron Jones is probably best as a third down back, and the third guy is a seventh round pick, lets chill out. Montgomery isn’t going to lose snaps on third down after converting from wide receiver. Those worried about Ty losing redzone work or early down work? Montgomery is actually the heaviest running back on the roster. How effective was he as a runner? Well he had more runs of 5+ yards after contact (20) on 102 carries than Lamar Miller (18) did on 318 attempts. Montgomery was one of the most elusive “running backs” in the league last season, constantly forcing broken tackles, let’s just hope that he can elude other drafters and onto my team this season.

 


Martavis Bryant – Current ADP #51

So far there is a theme on this list, a lot of wide receivers I can see returning plus value, at running back, they are fewer and far between. Bryant is another wide receiver I look for in the fourth or fifth rounds now that he has been completely reinstated from his suspension. Bryant is just a freak of nature with speed and length not seen since a wide receiver we really shouldn’t compare anyone too. Bryant has averaged 17.3 yards per catch in his two active seasons and has scored a touchdown on 18.4% of his receptions and 10% of his targets. These numbers don’t even include playoff games where the Alien has dominated the competition. In three playoff games  Bryant has averaged over 15 standard fantasy points a game, against some tough competition in Cincinnati, Denver, and the Baltimore Ravens. Martavis' per game average including playoffs produces a 16 game pace of 63 catches on 113 targets for 1039 yards, plus 92 rush yards and 11 total TDs. Bryant is a flat out freak, and his ADP doesn’t reflect the upside that most players are being drafted at.

 


Mark Ingram – Current ADP #63

Mark Ingram has seen his stock plummet since free agency and the draft, and can now be had in fifth or sixth rounds of drafts depending on the competition. The community is currently split, with some preferring Ingram and others his older counterpart in Adrian Peterson. Ingram is my clear preference here, much like I preferred Ajayi to that old buck Arian Foster last season. In#MFL10s, Ingram is the higher drafted player, being drafted a round and a half ahead of Peterson, but on other mock sites this varies, and there you can really take advantage of his price. Ingram has carried at least 50% of the load in each of the last three years, and with the slightly lower workload he has remained healthier, and the team could take the same approach with Peterson, rotating the early down work between the two in order to keep the other fresh. What Ingram does have on his side, however is he is much more effective in the passing game for a team that will drop back 650+ times this season that is incredibly important. Ingram is also one of the best pass blockers in the league, something that Adrian seemingly has no interest in doing. If Adrian Peterson gets a similar role to Hightower of the past few years, then Ingram will remain virtually unharmed in his role that saw him finish as a top-15 running back in each past two seasons.

 


Jimmy Graham – Current ADP #75

Jimmy Graham is currently coming off the board at the end of the sixth round and at that point, can be a value to your roster. Drafting Graham allows you to just stack two tight ends on your roster if you wish, as he possesses a solid floor and ceiling in his range of outcomes this season. Jimmy will be another year removed from his devastating knee injury, and while he made it back quicker than many imagined, including myself, he did get off to a slow start last season. Graham showed that his burst was back, averaging a career high in yards per catch and posting his highest yardage total since 2013. The Miami product also should get a bump from his quarterback in terms of potential touchdowns, as Wilson posted a TD rate of just 3.8% last season, well under his career average of 5.6%. Graham with another year of health and potential for more targets and touchdowns presents a value at his current ADP.

 


Theo Riddick – Current ADP #83

Running backs that can catch passes are especially important in the MFL10 format as the sites PPR set up allows players like Riddick a nice weekly floor. In PPR leagues last season, Riddick averaged over 16 fantasy points a game, and in 2015 finished as the 18th overall running back on the strength of an 80-reception season. That 80-catch season happened with some guy named Ameer Abdullah, who is being drafted two rounds ahead of him, on the field for 16 games. Riddick will continue to be a bestball asset because him receiving work provides a safe double-digit point score if no one else on your roster rocks the house that week. Theo isn’t disappearing as the third down back, and after showing more than ever as a runner last season, could be in line for an even greater role going forward, despite the Ameer hype train seemingly ready to hit full speed at any time.

 

 

Kirk Cousins – Current ADP #104

So Kirk Cousins is currently coming off the board as QB11, despite finishing as QB5 last season and QB9 the season before that. Cousins threw for nearly 5,000 yards last season and completed 68% of his passes over the last two seasons. Kirk will get hopefully his best weapon back to full health in Jordan Reed, and also upgraded in the size department with Terrelle Pryor and hopefully some impact from last season first round pick Josh Doctson. The former Michigan State signal caller could also see a bump in touchdown rate after coming in at 4.1% last season, lower than his career average of 4.6% and career high of 5.3% in 2015. If Kirk threw touchdown at just his career average last season, he would have passed Andrew Luck in scoring and finished only a hair behind the top tier of fantasy passers. While there are some concerns about losing both DeSean Jackson, who is arguably the best deep ball catcher of the past decade, and Pierre Garcon in free agency, Cousins should be able to keep the ship going down the right path as he looks to secure a long-term big money deal, hopefully elsewhere.

 


Eric Ebron – Current ADP #112

 The much-maligned Eric Ebron is undervalued to me, as I think he is a clear top-10 option at the position. Ebron has his share of red flags, but he also has some great indicators of future success. First, let’s look at this one from Heath Cummings at CBS Sports: Travis Kelce’s 2015 season, 103 targets 72 receptions 875 yards, Eric Ebron’s 2016 (16 game pace) 104 targets 75 receptions 875 yards. Or how about this one from the great Pat Thorman of Pro Football Focus: Since 1980 only 5 TEs had more catches than Eric Ebron through their age-23 season. (Jason Witten, Rob Gronkowski, Aaron Hernandez, Tony Gonzalez, Todd Heap) & only 7 had more yards. Finally, how about this one from Graham Barfield of Fantasy Guru: Eric Ebron is one of 16 TEs since the 1970 merger to average 50+ Yards/Game in a single-season at 22 or 23-years-old. Now that you have heard from everyone else, let’s hear some things from me: If Eric Ebron scored at his career average rate in 2016, ~8% of catches, he would have scored 5 touchdowns, that would have made him TE8 last season ahead of Zach Ertz. Ebron has improved his catches, targets, yards per reception, and yardage each year in the league. EE (squirrel sound) is expected to play closer to 50% of his snaps in the slot this season after dropping down to 30% last year, he has a higher scoring rate from the slot and Boldin leaves behind 22 redzone targets, the third highest number in the league. Anquan also leaves behind six touchdowns on his 9 targets inside the ten-yard line, the arrow is pointing up for this now 24 year-old tight end, who the team has a ton of draft capital in, sign me up.

 

 

Kenny Britt – Current ADP #119

Kenny Britt is the new Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy football, he gets no respect, honestly though I must defer to my much older colleagues here, did I use that correctly? Britt is coming over from the Los Angeles Rams that had the worst QB play I can remember last season and still put up numbers. In 15 games, Britt hauled in 68 passes on 111 targets for 1,002 yards and 5 touchdowns. Now with the Browns, we are expecting everything to be different? Like they didn’t just pay him big money over the long term instead of just re-signing Terrelle Pryor? They did. Like Josh Gordon has yet to be reinstated? He hasn’t. Like his greatest competition for targets is a second year pro in Corey Coleman, or a rookie tight end from Miami who I am unsure if he is allowed to legally drink yet? They are. Britt will still see targets, and is being drafted as the 52nd WR off the board for a team that will need to throw to keep pace with the opposition. You interested yet? I am. 

 

 

 

By Stagg Party

 

 

 

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