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Jordan Reed

Washington Redskins

Reed Starts Season on PUP


The Redskins have not released a specific injury, so we must assume that its connected to the shoulder or recurring concussions.

Fantasy Goo: I would hold off drafting any shares of Reed until the injury is confirmed. The Redskins opened training camp today, although unlikely it could be a new concussion or concussion-like symptoms, any new concussion issues will likely land Reed out of football.


07/26/17, 04:41 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Trevor Siemian

Denver Broncos

Siemian To Open Camp As Starter


Trevor Siemian will start training camp with first team. He and Paxton Lynch will rotate daily.

Fantasy Goo: While both have similar season total values, Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders both clearly benefit from opposite receivers. Lynch adds value to Sanders gets a boost due to the deep ball and Siemian boosts Demaryius due to short ball accuracy.


07/26/17, 02:30 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Cody Kessler

Cleveland Browns

Kessler Opens Camp as QB1


Mary Cay Cabot has reported that Cody Kessler will get the first crack as starting QB in Brown's camp per Hugh Jackson.

Fantasy Goo: Kessler has the highest upside of of the Brown's current QB's in 2017. DeShone Kizer may be the long term plan, but I like Kessler for fantasy production in 2017.


07/26/17, 11:19 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Le'Veon Bell

Pittsburgh Steelers

Bell To Holdout


Le'Veon Bell reportedly turned down a 5 year extension averaging $12 million per year, and still hasn't signed his tender. Now star WR, Antonio Brown is calling out for the RB to show up and play via Instagram.

Fantasy Goo: The $12 million would make Le'Veon the highest paid RB in the and 50% higher than the current bread winner, LeSean McCoy. To me this says that Lev is going to hold out and is willing to miss regular season games (and paychecks) to receive a massive deal.


07/26/17, 11:09 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Matthews

Philadelphia Eagles

Matthews Knee Tendinitis Could Be Serious


Jordan Matthews has had a knee issue for the past month, so there is a chance it is more serious than tendinitis. This is a big story to keep track of through the Eagles training camp which kicks off today.

Fantasy Goo: Matthews is in elite company as one of only 5 WRs to open their career with 3 consecutive season with 65+ catches and 800+ yards. Joining Randy Moss, Odell Beckham Jr., A.J. Green and Mike Evans. If this issue persists or worsens, that success probably wont be sustained through a fourth season.


07/26/17, 10:27 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Ty Montgomery

Green Bay Packers

Ty Works With The Footwork King


Ty has reportedly been working out with Rischad Whitfield out of Houston to improve his footwork. Whitfield has been credited for working with both Melvin Gordon and Le'Veon Bell prior to their respective breakout sophomore seasons.

Fantasy Goo: This is not a guaranteed success as he also has worked with the likes of Jaelen Strong and Josh Huff so take this news with a grain of salt. However, Ty could see a vast improvement with improved footwork he could hit more holes, and have the confidence to be patient and let blocking develop.


07/26/17, 10:19 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Theo Riddick

Detroit Lions

Riddick Reportedly In Line for RZ Work


Tim Twentyman of the Detroit Lions homepage expects Cooter to utilize Riddick in the Red Zone more in 2017.

Fantasy Goo: Riddick converted all 3 of his RZ targets into scores. But this report contradict's Warren Sharps analysis that shows rushing in the RZ has a 58% success rate vs 43% for passing. I'm calling this news fluff and still expect big things from Abdullah.


07/26/17, 10:07 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Miami Dolphins

Throw More Coal Into The Jay-Train


Mike Pouncey, the Dolphins All-Pro caliber center, should be back and healthy for camp.

Fantasy Goo: Ajayi averaged 18.8 fantasy points with Pouncey on the field compared to 9.0 without his star center. Expect Ajayi to have a sharp increase in price due to this news.


07/26/17, 09:51 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Kenneth Dixon

Baltimore Ravens

UPDATE: Dixon Out For Season


Dixon's surgery today was a repair of the meniscus rather than a trimming. This is the better surgery for long term use, but Dixon will not play in 2017.

Fantasy Goo: Terrance West steps in line for a large workload, but the 2016 number one pass offense in terms of volume will see a high dosage of Woodhead and potentiall Buck Allen out of the backfield.


07/25/17, 05:30 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Vance McDonald

San Francisco 49ers

Niners Cutting McDonald?


“One of the final moves of the previous regime was to sign off on a contract extension for McDonald, who was guaranteed $9.1 million with his new deal in December. Now, McDonald is not assured a roster spot as he and the other holdovers face stiff competition from the newcomers who were hand-picked for the scheme.”
If SF cut’s McDonald they still have to pay him his 9 million guaranteed money and take a 3.5mil cap hit this year.

Fantasy Goo: McDonald was one of my early season deep sleepers, but rumors of SF wanting him out have caused me to back off. His draft price has dropped like a rock and now I’m thinking that these beat reporters are out of their mind. I’m going back to targeting McDonald in the 18th round or later. He could have a huge year in the Shanahan offense.


07/25/17, 12:56 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.csnbayarea.com


Kenneth Dixon

Baltimore Ravens

Dixon Under the Knife


“The Ravens' need for another back intensified this week when the team learned that Dixon tweaked his knee while working out before training camp. Dixon, a second-year back, is believed to have a torn meniscus in his knee, according to sources. He'll have surgery today and the team will know more about the severity of the injury. This is Dixon's third knee injury since the Ravens took him in the fourth round of last year's draft.”

Fantasy Goo: This could set-up very well for Terrance West, but as someone who watched him in college, he’s not going to earn much more than what is blocked for him. If Woodhead is able to get back to full capacity we could also see a big year from him, especially in PPR. Either way this backfield is still looking like a committee that shouldn’t be considered until after the sixth/seventh round of your draft.


07/25/17, 09:37 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.baltimoresun.com


Marshawn Lynch

Seattle Seahawks

Lynch Not a Bell-Cow


“The depth at running back means he won’t have to shoulder a huge load. Something in the range of the 195 carries Latavius Murray had last year should suffice, perhaps less if both Washington and Richard see an increase.”

Fantasy Goo: If Lynch is at full-strength he won’t need to be a bell-cow to out preform Murray’s performance from last year. Murray finished as the RB13 (std scoring) in 2016, despite being fairly inefficient behind a top-5 O-line. I expect Lynch will be there to take Murray’s vacated red-zone carries, but expect to see DeAndre Washington take a larger role in this backfield, especially when we get to the second half of the season, and your fantasy playoffs.


07/25/17, 07:36 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.mercurynews.com


Paul Perkins

New York Giants

Perkins Not Ideal For 0-RB


Many fantasy analysts are valuing Perkins very high due to reports that he could be a 3 down back for the Giants.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have produced only 11 rushing TDs over the past two years. They have failed to have a 1,000 yard rusher since 2012 nor have they produced a PPR RB over RB20 since 2011. Perkins who lost college rushes to a Linebacker has limited upside in the Giants offense.


07/24/17, 11:47 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Sammy Watkins

Buffalo Bills

Watkins All The Way Back?


"After the season finale in New York, he said he hoped to avoid surgery, but days later elected to have the procedure done. His rehab appears to be on schedule, as he was able to participate in a few team drills before the Bills wrapped up their spring practices. With six weeks between mandatory minicamp and start of training camp, Watkins should be close to 100 percent when camp starts Thursday."

Fantasy Goo: Watkins has WR1 upside when he is healthy and he is currently being drafted in the third round. Others that have gone through this procedure and have come back to full upside include; Julian Edelman, Dez Bryant, and Julio Jones.


07/23/17, 07:00 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: buffalonews.com


Eddie Lacy

Seattle Seahawks

Lacy Loses Weight, Gains Primary Role


“Lacy is the favorite to start over Thomas Rawls, who will still have a role. At a minimum, C.J. Prosise will be the third-down back and a big factor in the passing game.”

Fantasy Goo: In the five games he started last year, Lacy averaged over five yards a carry, all of Rawls value stems from four random, good games he had against weak defenses in 2015. Lacy’s biggest competition is going to come from Prosise. Prosise is a converted from receiver in college and at 6’, 220lbs, has the size-speed combo to take over as the primary back.


07/23/17, 06:56 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Kelley

Washington Redskins

Fat Rob Gets the Nod


Rob Kelley is slated to be the starting RB in Washington, however Perine will still have the opportunity to play a big role in the offense.

Fantasy Goo: Though Perine may be the higher scoring back in 2017, getting a couple early games from Kelley could be very valuable given his low draft cost.


07/23/17, 01:37 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: rotoworld.com


Duke Johnson

Cleveland Browns

Duke Johnson In The Slot


As reported by Mary Cay Cabot, Duke Johnson is likely to take over slot WR work from Andrew Hawkins who is now a Patriot. This depends on Josh Gordon's status if he is granted reinstatement in September.

Fantasy Goo: Until we get news on Gordon, Duke Johnson should be in line to see about 50 additional targets in 3 WR sets. This number will likely be allocating among Johnson, Njoku and DeValve.


07/23/17, 01:26 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Carson Palmer

Arizona Cardinals

Last Hurrah for Palmer?


"Last year, he kind of came in September, had already worn his arm out by overthrowing all summer," Arians said. "We found a nice regimen, November and December he was playing as good as he’s ever played." After finding the right work-out regimen Palmer was the number 8 QB over the last eight weeks of the season. David Johnson said "his arm is definitely feeling good."

Fantasy Goo: Palmer could be the reason why late-round QB works this year, with an ADP around QB20 Carson has real bounce back potential and is practically free. The stat to watch to indicate 2017 success will be decreasing his league high 137 hits from 2016.


07/22/17, 01:43 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.nfl.com


Zach Miller

Chicago Bears

Bears Overload at TE


Miller's contract has one year remaining with a base salary of $1.5 million and the issue the Bears have to tackle is if they can take a chance knowing Miller's durability issues. He has played in 25 games and missed 23 since joining the team in 2014. The only free agent that received more guaranteed money than quarterback Mike Glennon was Dion Sims, who signed an $18 million, three-year contract with $10 million guaranteed, ensuring he will be a big part of Dowell Loggains' offense.

Fantasy Goo: The Bears are five deep at TE right now after drafting Adam Shaheen, acquiring Daniel Brown from Baltimore, and signing UDFA Ben Braunecker. Miller seems like the odd man out here and that’s why he is no longer a late-round flyer in deep leagues. I’ve switched gears to Dion Sims simply because of his athleticism and the Bears investment in him as an every-down TE.


07/22/17, 01:15 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.chicagotribune.com


Anquan Boldin

Detroit Lions

Boldin Trying Buffalo


Boldin will be working out for the Bills on Monday (7/24) “Boldin, 36, led the Lions with 22 red zone targets last season. He had 67 catches and a career-high eight touchdowns, though he averaged a career-worst 8.7 yards per grab (584 yards in total).” The Bills are looking pretty shallow at WR at this point, they’ll probably be looking to have a few other guys in as well.

Fantasy Goo: This could cut into any upside we were hoping for from Zay Jones, although you could argue that they are much different types of receivers that just happen to both work out of the slot. Boldin will certainly vulture some TD’s from the wide receivers, but it absolutely crushes any chance of Charles Clay having any value and probably snakes away a little of Johnathan Williams receiving potential.


07/22/17, 12:17 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Dez the panther tearing it up.

My Most Undervalued Players in MFL10s by Stagg Party

Posted by d-Rx on 06/29/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Through the course of piling up some MFL10s (mfl10s.com) this offseason I have a leg up on drafting, as I have literally been doing it since February. MFL10s have their own sort of cult following with over 1,800 drafts completed to date. MFL10s are PPR bestball drafts where you do not need to set a weekly lineup balancing the demand of being in too many leagues. Because of the following @fantasyADHD has created a great real-time ADP application for you to follow along and also make better decisions while drafting, you can see that work at http://fantasyadhd.com/mfl10_live/ and play around with a variety of settings. MFL10s has a mix of analysts and casual drafters, allowing you to sharpen your fantasy football knife while others are still enjoying spring break. Roster construction is a very important part of MFL10s, but this is a piece outside of those confines, as great work has already been done in that area. If you want to learn more about the roster construction side of MFL10s one of the best follows is @beerswater of rotoviz and rotogrinders.

 

Let’s look at a few players and where they are currently going, and why I feel that they are undervalued. These guys are on more of my rosters than not, so if you want to take my ten dollars, you can start your sniping here.

 


Dez Bryant – Current ADP #19

Since I decided I wouldn’t cherry pick here and pick the first or second pick of the third round, and instead go a little deeper, I found myself landing with Dez, as I often do in the early parts of the second round. Dez brings a long history of fantasy dominance on his resume, including a stretch from 2012-2014 where he was one of the best wide receivers in the world. More recently, people seem to look at his numbers and think, Dez can’t exist without Romo, but let me tell you, Dez thrived after returning from injury last season. Including the playoffs, but excluding that Week 17 tilt in which he played like five plays, Dez averaged as many fantasy points as Jordy Nelson over the course of the season. At 28, Bryant also averaged the highest yards per catch mark of his career. The former Oklahoma State Cowboy, can be had at a value if you play your cards right and he finds himself on the field for all 16. I mean, he has had 10 touchdowns in his last 11 games with Dak? Is that good?

 

 

Sammy Watkins – Current ADP #32

Sammy Watkins is currently going in the middle of the third round, and if I had to I would select him earlier. First, games played in a past season actually have a negative correlation to games played in the next season, so OMG he’s injury prone people can bark up another tree. Second, through 3 seasons, Watkins has played more games than Julio Jones has, 36 to 34 with similar injury. Watkins has tallied 153/273 2,459 yards and 17 touchdowns vs. Julio’s 174/282 2,737 yards and 20 touchdowns. You can get Sammy in the third or fourth round, he is worth the risk. Third, targets are king and fantasy football, and last time I checked his main competition for targets is a rookie second rounder out of East Carolina in Zay Jones and Charles Clay who is not worth the dollars spent.

 

 

Ty Montgomery – Current ADP #49

What’s that? Are you not going to draft a running back during this fake draft you are doing in your head? Well, if you haven’t heard Ty Montgomery has officially switched positions and (un)officially(?) still gets to wear number 88, who am I kidding you knew this. You also probably know that the Packers added three rookie running backs during the draft to take his spot, but they haven’t yet and I am a believer that none of them will. Jamaal Williams is JAG who can carry the ball at an average rate, Aaron Jones is probably best as a third down back, and the third guy is a seventh round pick, lets chill out. Montgomery isn’t going to lose snaps on third down after converting from wide receiver. Those worried about Ty losing redzone work or early down work? Montgomery is actually the heaviest running back on the roster. How effective was he as a runner? Well he had more runs of 5+ yards after contact (20) on 102 carries than Lamar Miller (18) did on 318 attempts. Montgomery was one of the most elusive “running backs” in the league last season, constantly forcing broken tackles, let’s just hope that he can elude other drafters and onto my team this season.

 


Martavis Bryant – Current ADP #51

So far there is a theme on this list, a lot of wide receivers I can see returning plus value, at running back, they are fewer and far between. Bryant is another wide receiver I look for in the fourth or fifth rounds now that he has been completely reinstated from his suspension. Bryant is just a freak of nature with speed and length not seen since a wide receiver we really shouldn’t compare anyone too. Bryant has averaged 17.3 yards per catch in his two active seasons and has scored a touchdown on 18.4% of his receptions and 10% of his targets. These numbers don’t even include playoff games where the Alien has dominated the competition. In three playoff games  Bryant has averaged over 15 standard fantasy points a game, against some tough competition in Cincinnati, Denver, and the Baltimore Ravens. Martavis' per game average including playoffs produces a 16 game pace of 63 catches on 113 targets for 1039 yards, plus 92 rush yards and 11 total TDs. Bryant is a flat out freak, and his ADP doesn’t reflect the upside that most players are being drafted at.

 


Mark Ingram – Current ADP #63

Mark Ingram has seen his stock plummet since free agency and the draft, and can now be had in fifth or sixth rounds of drafts depending on the competition. The community is currently split, with some preferring Ingram and others his older counterpart in Adrian Peterson. Ingram is my clear preference here, much like I preferred Ajayi to that old buck Arian Foster last season. In#MFL10s, Ingram is the higher drafted player, being drafted a round and a half ahead of Peterson, but on other mock sites this varies, and there you can really take advantage of his price. Ingram has carried at least 50% of the load in each of the last three years, and with the slightly lower workload he has remained healthier, and the team could take the same approach with Peterson, rotating the early down work between the two in order to keep the other fresh. What Ingram does have on his side, however is he is much more effective in the passing game for a team that will drop back 650+ times this season that is incredibly important. Ingram is also one of the best pass blockers in the league, something that Adrian seemingly has no interest in doing. If Adrian Peterson gets a similar role to Hightower of the past few years, then Ingram will remain virtually unharmed in his role that saw him finish as a top-15 running back in each past two seasons.

 


Jimmy Graham – Current ADP #75

Jimmy Graham is currently coming off the board at the end of the sixth round and at that point, can be a value to your roster. Drafting Graham allows you to just stack two tight ends on your roster if you wish, as he possesses a solid floor and ceiling in his range of outcomes this season. Jimmy will be another year removed from his devastating knee injury, and while he made it back quicker than many imagined, including myself, he did get off to a slow start last season. Graham showed that his burst was back, averaging a career high in yards per catch and posting his highest yardage total since 2013. The Miami product also should get a bump from his quarterback in terms of potential touchdowns, as Wilson posted a TD rate of just 3.8% last season, well under his career average of 5.6%. Graham with another year of health and potential for more targets and touchdowns presents a value at his current ADP.

 


Theo Riddick – Current ADP #83

Running backs that can catch passes are especially important in the MFL10 format as the sites PPR set up allows players like Riddick a nice weekly floor. In PPR leagues last season, Riddick averaged over 16 fantasy points a game, and in 2015 finished as the 18th overall running back on the strength of an 80-reception season. That 80-catch season happened with some guy named Ameer Abdullah, who is being drafted two rounds ahead of him, on the field for 16 games. Riddick will continue to be a bestball asset because him receiving work provides a safe double-digit point score if no one else on your roster rocks the house that week. Theo isn’t disappearing as the third down back, and after showing more than ever as a runner last season, could be in line for an even greater role going forward, despite the Ameer hype train seemingly ready to hit full speed at any time.

 

 

Kirk Cousins – Current ADP #104

So Kirk Cousins is currently coming off the board as QB11, despite finishing as QB5 last season and QB9 the season before that. Cousins threw for nearly 5,000 yards last season and completed 68% of his passes over the last two seasons. Kirk will get hopefully his best weapon back to full health in Jordan Reed, and also upgraded in the size department with Terrelle Pryor and hopefully some impact from last season first round pick Josh Doctson. The former Michigan State signal caller could also see a bump in touchdown rate after coming in at 4.1% last season, lower than his career average of 4.6% and career high of 5.3% in 2015. If Kirk threw touchdown at just his career average last season, he would have passed Andrew Luck in scoring and finished only a hair behind the top tier of fantasy passers. While there are some concerns about losing both DeSean Jackson, who is arguably the best deep ball catcher of the past decade, and Pierre Garcon in free agency, Cousins should be able to keep the ship going down the right path as he looks to secure a long-term big money deal, hopefully elsewhere.

 


Eric Ebron – Current ADP #112

 The much-maligned Eric Ebron is undervalued to me, as I think he is a clear top-10 option at the position. Ebron has his share of red flags, but he also has some great indicators of future success. First, let’s look at this one from Heath Cummings at CBS Sports: Travis Kelce’s 2015 season, 103 targets 72 receptions 875 yards, Eric Ebron’s 2016 (16 game pace) 104 targets 75 receptions 875 yards. Or how about this one from the great Pat Thorman of Pro Football Focus: Since 1980 only 5 TEs had more catches than Eric Ebron through their age-23 season. (Jason Witten, Rob Gronkowski, Aaron Hernandez, Tony Gonzalez, Todd Heap) & only 7 had more yards. Finally, how about this one from Graham Barfield of Fantasy Guru: Eric Ebron is one of 16 TEs since the 1970 merger to average 50+ Yards/Game in a single-season at 22 or 23-years-old. Now that you have heard from everyone else, let’s hear some things from me: If Eric Ebron scored at his career average rate in 2016, ~8% of catches, he would have scored 5 touchdowns, that would have made him TE8 last season ahead of Zach Ertz. Ebron has improved his catches, targets, yards per reception, and yardage each year in the league. EE (squirrel sound) is expected to play closer to 50% of his snaps in the slot this season after dropping down to 30% last year, he has a higher scoring rate from the slot and Boldin leaves behind 22 redzone targets, the third highest number in the league. Anquan also leaves behind six touchdowns on his 9 targets inside the ten-yard line, the arrow is pointing up for this now 24 year-old tight end, who the team has a ton of draft capital in, sign me up.

 

 

Kenny Britt – Current ADP #119

Kenny Britt is the new Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy football, he gets no respect, honestly though I must defer to my much older colleagues here, did I use that correctly? Britt is coming over from the Los Angeles Rams that had the worst QB play I can remember last season and still put up numbers. In 15 games, Britt hauled in 68 passes on 111 targets for 1,002 yards and 5 touchdowns. Now with the Browns, we are expecting everything to be different? Like they didn’t just pay him big money over the long term instead of just re-signing Terrelle Pryor? They did. Like Josh Gordon has yet to be reinstated? He hasn’t. Like his greatest competition for targets is a second year pro in Corey Coleman, or a rookie tight end from Miami who I am unsure if he is allowed to legally drink yet? They are. Britt will still see targets, and is being drafted as the 52nd WR off the board for a team that will need to throw to keep pace with the opposition. You interested yet? I am. 

 

 

 

By Stagg Party

 

 

 

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