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Eli Manning and Beckham Jr. for the Giants and Rodgers and Nelson for the Packers

New York Giants at Green Bay Packers - Wildcard Round - 2016 Playoffs

Posted by d-Rx on 01/06/17

by   The Archer


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New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers (-4.5); Over/Under: 44.5

 Sunday, January 8, 2017 at 4:40pm EST 


Weekly Matchups Week 18 - Giants against WR1 and Packers against WR1


Eli Manning has been terrible this year, and if it wasn’t for the “Back-up Bowl” aka Oakland vs Houston, I would rank Manning dead last for fantasy QBs this week. The Packers are the 9th worst fantasy defense against passers, but if you can’t be accurate more than 15 yards down field, there is nothing to gain in your fantasy match-up. Rashad Jennings and Paul Perkins have an interesting time share going on. Perkins received 36 carries to Rashad’s 29 in Week 16 and 17. Both rushers are a weak play against the 11th ranked defense against fantasy RBs, but at least one of them has a shot to put up relevant numbers. Odell Beckham Jr. and Sterling Shepard are both top rate receivers against the worst secondary of this fantasy season. Victor Cruz is a major dart throw, but in a game on the road against a premier offense, it’s all hand on deck for the Giants. This includes tight end, Will Tye, even though he has been a second thought in New York’s offense all season.


Want to hear how great the Giants defense has been this season? They allow .36 more fantasy points per game to quarterbacks than the studly Broncos defense. Aaron Rodgers will have a difficult time at home against a team only allowing 12.48 FF points per game, even with his QB1 ranking and “run the table” hot streak. The over/under is 44.5 points, so we’re looking at a 20-17 game. This will not be enough scoring for Rodgers to be the number one QB option in the wild card weekend. Ty Montgomery will also face a tough match-up against a top 5 rushing defense, and hasn’t broken 100 yards since Week 15. Defeating the Giants will come down to one thing, controlling the clock. The Packers can accomplish this by establishing a run game with Montgomery and Christine Michael. Michael is less likely to have a big game, but Green Bay will need to incorporate them early and often for playoff success. Jordy Nelson and the rest of the Packers receiving corps will face the 7th best fantasy defense, but you can’t sit any of them. Devante Adams and Nelson are all on hot streaks and even the return of Randall Cobb will bode well for the entire passing attack. Jared Cook and Richard Rodgers will share a “5 for 50” role in the offense, so they should not be seeing your starting lineup. 



By: ØC


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