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August 17, 2018
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Cooper Kupp

Los Angeles Rams

Mr. Cooper's neighborhood


Cooper Kupp was 4th in the NFL last year in red-zone targets. Kupp and Goff have the most chemistry of all the receivers on the team as Goff targeted him more than anyone last year. Everyone is expecting Cooks to lead these receivers in points this year, but Kupp will be the receiver to own. Sammy Watkins had eight red-zone touchdowns last year. Cooks is not a red-zone target receiver, so Kupp should see more targets and could sneak into the WR2 with massive upside.


08/13/18, 09:39 PM CDT by C-wags

Source: pyromaniac.com


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

The Jet is set to take off!


Mckinnon has been a super divisive player this offseason. Especially after the first preseason game where he didn't amass many yards and the following day he injured himself in practice. I constantly hear people question his ability to carry the ball 200+ times or that he can’t run between the tackles, or he’s unproven in a lead role. This is all NONSENSE and you shouldn’t believe any of it. Shanahan had his pick of players that he could’ve signed instead of Mckinnon, including Dion Lewis, Carlos Hyde, or drafting a rookie. He chose Mckinnon cause he felt he fit his offensive system in the same way that Devante Freeman fit his scheme. The 49ers just signed Alfred Morris today as a safety net, but I’m taking all the Mckinnon I can this year. I see him carrying the ball 205car/950yds/6td while also amassing 60rec/500yds/5td making him an RB1 this year. Don't be scared, and steal him away from people that are.


08/13/18, 09:24 PM CDT by C-wags

Source: pyromaniac.com


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

Too good, too fast


Marquiae goodwin has been targeted like a number one in camp. With Pierre Garcon likely squaring off with one of the toughest schedules against number one DBs, Goodwin could break out even more than he did last year. I wouldn't put it past him to put up T.Y HIlton numbers this year. Pick him up in the 6th and 7th round and pile up the points.


08/13/18, 09:11 PM CDT by C-wags

Source: pyromaniac.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

Ready To Fly


In 2016 Ajayi racked up 1272 yards on 260 carries and 8 TD’s and finished as the RB11 in both standard and PPR scoring. Last year Miami ran him out of town when he struggled in an anemic offense. He was not heavily used when he got to Philly, but his touches did increase every week until the Superbowl. He was also hyper efficient gaining 5.8 yards per carry and 9.1 yards per reception. Despite the general perception Clements usage went down with Ajayi’s arrival, even with Smallwood going down with injury. The Eagles have the number 1 offensive line as graded by PFF, and 18 RB targets and 192 carries vacated. Ajayi is a safe pick in the fourth round and a steal in the fifth.


08/02/18, 06:08 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.nflmock.com


Jimmy Graham

Green Bay Packers

Split Wide, Back in Stride


He is coming off a season that produced only 57 receptions for 520 yards, his fewest since his rookie season. With that said, Graham remains a big-time weapon in the red zone. He led the league last year with 27 targets in the region, which led to 10 touchdowns. You can bet Rodgers and play-caller Mike McCarthy will be utilizing his skills early and often when knocking on the door of the end zone.
Look for McCarthy to use a variety of personnel groupings with his new tight end group and expect to see Graham split out wide as a receiver much more than as a traditional in-line tight end.

This goes right along with what I was saying on Pyro podcast 308. I expect Graham to be used as a wide receiver and not a tight end. When Graham was negotiating his contract in his last season in New Orleans he wanted to be paid on scale with wide receivers because he rarely lined-up as an in-line tight end. When Seattle paid him, he did whatever they asked, and they asked him to block more. He was out for five games that year, but averaged one less reception per game and only scored two TD’s, after having at least nine TD’s in the previous four years. Overall Graham saw about 25% fewer targets while in Seattle compared to New Orleans and his fantasy numbers reflect it. I see Green Bay using him more like he was used in New Orleans, and even though he has obviously lost a step or two I see him as the major replacement for the Jordy Nelson targets.


07/22/18, 01:41 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.packersnews.com


Aaron Jones

Green Bay Packers

Cream Rises To The Top


Jones’ 5.55 YPC on first- and second-down carries trailed only Alvin Kamara (6.24) for best in the league last year. Jamaal Williams averaged 3.80 YPC on first- and second-down in 2017.

He’s slid two rounds since the announcement of his two game suspension, he is a screaming value if you can get him in the ninth round. We already knew he was going to be competing in a crowded backfield so missing two games really shouldn’t be a big hit to his overall production. The likelihood of either of the other two backs taking over the role is slim, Jones should be able to carve out 10 touches a game when he gets back with fresh legs. They are all high risk for injuries so I’m hoping this added rest will help Jones in the long run.


07/21/18, 06:51 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Nelson Agholor

Philadelphia Eagles

Solidified Role


In 2017, Nelson Agholor had 62 recs, 768 yds, 9 TDs and 7 games of WR2 or better. There is no reason he wouldn't maintain this output, even with additions in the offense. Agholor had to carve out a role for himself and beat out incumbent Jordan Matthews. This year he'll be the main slot receiver and have an established role from the start.


07/21/18, 06:49 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Sterling Shepard

New York Giants

Buying The Slot Receiver in a Shurmur Offense


Sterling Shepard is currently 24 years old with a 124/1,414/10 career line, in two seasons. He finished 2017 as the WR42 in 11 games (WR22 in FP/G) with only a 13.9% target share. He finished 2016 as the WR36 as a rookie. He's currently being drafted as the WR42 in MFL10’s.

Shepard does see more targets (+2.7), get more receptions (+2.3), more yards (+28), and get about three more PPR points per game when Beckham is out. But he still averages over 11 PPR points per game when he is playing. Apparently Shepard is more open in the end-zone when Beckham is playing, as he averages three times as many TD’s when they are both playing.


07/21/18, 06:47 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Allen Hurns

Jacksonville Jaguars

Plenty of Targets in Dallas


He’s been hampered by injuries over the past couple of years, but when he has stayed healthy and gotten the targets he has been successful. His best season was in 2015, he had 105 Targets for 64 Receptions at 1031 Yards for 10 TDs, that’s 16.11 Yards Per Reception and a 61% Catch Rate coming from Blake Bortles. He finished as the WR14 in Standard Scoring and WR18 in PPR.

He's an amazing value in the 11th round of current best-ball drafts.


07/21/18, 06:41 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Second Team Breath's New Life Into TE


Outside Brady, Luck is the only other QB to support 2 TE's, both Fleener and Allen had 8 TD's with Luck. Frank Reich runs 2 TE sets very successfully - see: 2018 Eagles. TE1's for Coach Reich have never finished worse than 12th. Yes, Doyle would seem like the obvious choice after last season, but that was with Brissett who needed a quick dump off outlet. Luck isn't a check-down machine.

Eric Ebron has lined up "everywhere" in the Colts offense. And the new tight end already is beginning to feel at home in Indianapolis. Without a strong WR2, Ebron could see a large number of targets. The Colt's line-up in two TE sets more than any other team in the NFL.


07/21/18, 06:36 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Matt Breida

San Francisco 49ers

Filling Coleman Role


“One guy who stood out at Niners practice to me was RB Matt Breida. No one talks about him, but the dude is gonna get some run this year. Fast downhill player.”

This is just some more camp hype from a beat reporter, but if they don’t get another running back through trade or free-agency Brieda is going to see plenty of touches to pay off being picked in the 15th round of fantasy drafts. McKinnon has never had over 205 touches in a season, that leaves plenty of opportunity in a Shanahan offense.


07/21/18, 06:28 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

McCoy starring down 30 with uncertainty


LeSean McCoy, despite ending the year as the #7 fantasy running back in standard leagues was a slight disappointment for fantasy owners last year. McCoy played in all 16 regular season games, but only cracked 100 yards rushing 4 times, and averaged 4.0 yards per rush, which was 23rd in the NFL. That all happened with a formidable QB with a scrambling ability that defenses had to respect, presumably allowing McCoy some more room before tacklers ascended.
The Bills have the least sexy QB situation in the entire NFL in my opinion. With Tyrod Taylor at the helm for most of the season last year, the bills had the 31st passing offense. None of the QBs on the Bills roster are considered mobile and without a wide receiver on their roster worthy of drafting in any fantasy formats, defenses can stack the box against McCoy. McCoy will be overused, underperform and probably get hurt because of it. McCoy’s ADP is in the second round, but wouldn’t touch him until the fourth or beginning of the fifth round.


06/29/18, 12:42 PM CDT by C-wags

Source: pyromaniac.com


Tyreek Hill

Kansas City Chiefs

Hill lookin' busty with chiefs new look.


Tyreek Hill had a great 2017, amounting 75 receptions for 1183 yards and 7 touchdowns in 15 games. He’s currently being drafted in the middle of the third round in standard leagues, which would appear to be a great value. However, with promoted RB coach Eric Bieniemy presumably in-line to be the primary play caller, a new QB, Travis Kelce receiving the #1 target share and the addition of Sammy Watkins, I expect Hill’s numbers to decrease dramatically.
I believe Hill to be more of a boom or bust player this year. There’s no denying his break-away speed and ability to separate from defenders, and with Mahomes cannon of an arm, I expect them to connect deep on occasion. However, I believe Sammy Watkins to be the more complete receiver and likely to take more of the target share from Hill. Bundled with the change in offensive strategy toward the end of last year to run the ball more, the change to a young QB presumably resulting in a more conservative game plan, I see a major decline in the amount of touches Hill will get and see him as more of a 5-6 round flex play guy.


06/21/18, 10:54 AM CDT by C-wags

Source: pyromaniac.com


Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck


Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.


04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek


Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.


04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush


49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.


04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.sacbee.com


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving


Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.


04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons


Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)


04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch


Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.


04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.denverpost.com


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy


Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.


04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Off the top of our heads...

Off The Top Of Our Heads - 2016 After Week 2

Posted by d-Rx on 09/23/16

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

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Itchy's Thoughts


C’Mon! I Wanted CinciNASTY!

Call me crazy, but that Pitt/Cin game was a snoozefest. I know the field conditions weren’t great, but where was the chippiness? What happened to the AJ/AB competition? Green ended up with 2 catches for 38 yards and AB had 4 catches for 39 yards. A game decided by an iffy fumble call wasn’t what we were hoping for…

 

ALF of the People

As a Dallas fan I spent a handful of years legitimately hating Alfred Morris the football player. To see him take time to hang with the FEDEX Field crew before Sunday’s Dallas/Washington game is pretty awesome though. He’s a nice guy after all.

alfred morris with the crew in washington 

 

2016 Raiders, the 2015 Saints?

Oakland has given up 34 and 35 points to the Saints and Falcons respectively in weeks one and two. The season is young but you have to wonder if maybe the Raiders defense is transgressing right before our eyes. At least their offense has been robust enough to keep the Raiders in games, but if they keep letting teams score a gajillion points every week it might be time to start figuring out how to get Carr, Cooper, and Crabtree. Next up, Tennessee Titans.

 

GABBERT = GOAT!

Blain Gabbert GOAT

 

Freeman Schmeeman

Don’t look now, but Tevin Coleman is outpacing Devonta Freeman in targets so far in this young season, 8 to 4. Freeman was the more effective rusher in week 2 versus the Raiders, but owners have got to be frustrated with his lack of involvement in the passing game. Freeman didn’t get a single target versus fantasy football’s most generous defense. Last season Freeman had 97 targets in the passing game, this season he’s on pace for 32.

 

 

PyroLytics Thoughts


 

Jeff Fisher just won the Super Bowl!

Not really but as a Rams fan it’s what I call his Super Bowl. That’s all that seems to matter to him, whether he beats the Seahawks or not. It’s like he goes out of his way to extensively game plan for just this game. If only he put that much effort into all the other games on the schedule.

 

It’s Dwayne Washington time:

At 6’1, 223 pounds, Washington packs a powerful punch and if that wasn’t enough his 4.4 speed will make the second guess your angle on him. He’s a burner, a big bodied burner at that. Abdullah could miss some time due to injury and Washington has replaced Zach Zenner as being a goal line back the first 2 weeks of the season. Stash Dwayne Washington.

 

The Crow is feasting:

Hard to believe but Crowell as of Sunday night currently sits as the third leading rusher in the league after that massive performance against the Ravens, compiling 133 yards on 18 attempts. The Crows value is completely up in the air at this time considering the Browns are now strutting out their third string QB Cody Kessler. Yes, the Browns may want to emphasize the running game but stacked boxes aren’t a thing to mess with.

 

Stash Kenneth Dixon:

Two weeks in and neither Justin Forsett nor Terrance West have run away with the starting running back job in Baltimore. Dixon isn’t expected to be back until after week 4 so you have some time to wait out this transaction. Dixon has plenty of pass catching upside and could easily take over that role and quite possibly a feature role. It’s also fairly promising that Buck Allen has taken a complete backseat to Forsett and West.

 

As good as Gould:

Connor Barth missed a 31-yard field goal for Chicago on Monday night. According to NFL Research, Former Bears kicker Robbie Gould was 101-101 on field goals 31-yards & under. Ouch.

 

Sleepless in Seattle:

The Seahawks drive chart in 2016 is as follows:

Punt

FG

Punt

Int

Punt

Punt

FG

Punt

Downs

Fumble

Punt

Touchdown

Punt

FG

Punt

Punt

Fumble

Punt

Punt

Punt

Punt

Fumble

 

Going out on a limb and saying that’s not good.

 


Buy into Chris Ivory:
Gus Bradley is giving Rex Ryan a run for his money on who should be the first head coach fired this year. Look for Gus to find a scapegoat as he tries to buy time before their bye week in week 5, if he even makes it to the bye week. That scapegoat will be none other than TJ Yeldon and the Jags running game. TJ has looked less than stellar so far and Ivory is in prime position to steal carries and potentially take away the majority of carries. Leaving Ivory as a potential buy-low candidate. 


Stop with the Asiata talk:
Adrian Peterson goes down with an injury and the first thing that gets brought up is the 2014 season."Well when AP wasn't able to play in 2014 Asiata had the majority of carries over Mckinnon, therefore Asiata is gonna be the backup." Noit's Mckinnon plain and simple. No, it's not surprising that a a guy who converted from quarterback to running back had less carries in his rookie year than a guy who already had two years in the system. Mckinnon is the far superior talent, with Asiata your hoping for a touchdown or bust.


 

 

STiFFKiTTiES Thoughts

 

 

DraftKings is rolling out the Polish version of their website. See attached... 

 

FanDuel Poland

 

 

 

 

d-Rx's Thoughts

 

 

Whaddup Cuz:

Cousins has some major accuracy issues at the moment… painful to watch. No one was caressing the MSU grads nuts than me all offseason… SHIT!!

 

 

Chute out!

So much for that high scoring New Orleans Saints vs. New York Giants game. Went all in on that one being a shootout, and it was a total dud instead.

 

 

Arizona’s triplet in the backfield with the triplets split out.

David Johnson is a triplet, he has an older sister born minutes before him and a younger sister just after. Great story, wishing this kid the best.

 

http://bit.ly/2d6xppH

 

 

Tamme Gimpala No More

Time to start looking deeper at Jacob Tamme… he’s getting it done. He’s turned 16 targets into 11 catches for 126 yards and touchdown through 2 games.

 

 

Thanks for calling CDW…

Ben McAdoo looks like a customer service coordinator for CDW, not an FNL head coach.

 

Ben McAdoo looks like a CDW customer service rep

 

 

Just hand D. Murray the keys to the ship.

Could you imagine if DeMarco Murray got the full workload in Tennessee? As an owner, yeah, me too.

  

 

Is Todd Gurley even startable at this point?

If you look at this dudes game splits, it’s troubling. Since starting his NFL career last year with four 100-yard games in his first 5 games, he’s only had one game over the century mark since.

 

 

What are these Kelcie kids eating?

How can there be so many Kelce’s in the NFL? There should be at least on Noonan.

 

 

Kanye West floor tickets are $200

 

The Parking for the Rams game hit up to $200 for a space. Good lawd. I just bought a couple general admission tickets to see Kanye West in his home town of Chicago at the house that Jordan built, The United Center for $200. Still feel bad for the St. Louis Rams fans, I don’t care if there were 90,000 fans in the Coliseum yesterday - the stadium the tax payers of STL (which they are still paying for) was built in 

 

http://www.latimes.com/local/california/la-me-ln-rams-parking-20160918-snap-story.html

 

 

Home Field Dis-Advantage?

 

As I write this piece and watch The Bears at Home on MNF, I just friggin’ hope they can perform better at home this year than the 1-7 stinkfest they put up in Soldier Field last season. I was at 4 of those loses, it’s a tough pill to swallow when spend so much money and don’t put a winning product on the field for the ones paying the concessions. Holy crap do I wish we had hired Bruce Arians a few years back. Equally, I hope Kevin White shuts everyone up tonight and has a stellar game.

 


 

 

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