Week 20
January 20, 2018
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Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?


Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.


01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting


Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.


01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

It's A Trap


Jay Ajayi (knee) is practicing in full for the Divisional Round.

Fantasy Goo: Atlanta is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s this year and they are more susceptible to pass-catching backs. Todd Gurley rushed 14 times for 101 yards in the Rams' Wild Card loss to the Falcons, adding four receptions for 10 additional yards. Ajayi might have been drafted before Gurley this year, but that was clearly a mistake. Ajayi has talent, but he’s far from a good option this week.


01/09/18, 07:16 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Back in Action


Chris Hogan (shoulder) is expected to return for Saturday's Divisional Round game against the Titans.

Fantasy Goo: He’s going to take a couple of weeks to get in tune with the offense, I’m looking to save him until the Super Bowl if you’re in one of those one and done fantasy playoff tournaments.


01/09/18, 07:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints

Strength vs Strength


Saints RBs led NFL during regular season in receptions (9.0) and receiving yards (77.8) per game.
Vikings held opposing RBs to fewest yards per target (4.2) and 3rd-fewest yards per game (30.6).

Fantasy Goo: The Vikings have been absolutely sick in all aspects on defense this year. If the Saints are going to pull this one out it sounds like it’s going to have to be a Brees week, I’m not so sure he’s going to be the guy you want to start on the road this week.


01/09/18, 07:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

Not The Real McCoy


LeSean McCoy said if he plays Sunday, "I want to be able to cut well enough to where I don't have a lot of pain cutting. I just want to be close, or the best as far as 100 percent as I can get. The type of game like this, you got to lay it all on the line.”

Fantasy Goo: McCoy is a poor play against the Jags this week. The Jags strength on defense is against the pass (#1 in FP allowed), but they are still strong against the rush (11th). I’m not taking any Bills on fantasy playoff squads or in DFS this week.


01/04/18, 09:29 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Arrow Pointing Down


DeMarco Murray (knee) didn't practice again Thursday. Derrick Henry show ready to go.

Fantasy Goo: The way to attack KC is through the air, they rank 9th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. They will most likely be in negative game script. KC hasn’t allowed any team to score over 20 points in Arrowhead all year.


01/04/18, 09:27 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Julio Jones

Atlanta Falcons

No Fly Zone


Julio Jones finished 11th in NFL in red-zone targets but caught only 5 of 19. He finished 4th in targets inside 10 but only caught 4 of 11.

Fantasy Goo: The Rams have a strong pass defense, especially against outside receivers, but are second worst in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. Freeman and Coleman are the only Falcons I am considering this week.


01/04/18, 09:25 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Under the Radar


In the first game with TJ Jones (shoulder) on IR last week, Kenny Golladay played 95% of snaps and led DET WRs with 8 targets.

Fantasy Goo: Marvin Jones has a history of shredding the Packers defense and is a solid play at $6500 on DK, but Golladay is half the price ($3300) and will probably see a similar number of targets. If Detroit had something to play for I’d be stacking the heck out of this game, but I still think it’s smart to have one of these guys in the line-up this week.


12/31/17, 09:46 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Rookie Debut


Patrick Mahomes was 2nd in PFF’s QB Rating when kept clean in preseason. He rushed for 744 yards, 22 TDs in his last two years at Texas Tech. Denver has allowed multiple passing TDs to six-straight QBs not named Petty or Brissett.

Fantasy Goo: The rookie was supposed to take over for Alex Smith much earlier this season, but Smith and the Chief’s came out firing on all cylinders and kept the rookie on the bench. Mahomes will get his chance this week as Smith gets a week off before the playoffs. Denver may be packing it in, but they still have one of the best defenses and I expect they will play more inspired this week against a division rival.


12/31/17, 09:32 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Wayne Gallman

New York Giants

Last Man Standing


Giants will be without Shepard (neck), Engram (ribs), and King (concussion) vs. WAS. Wayne Gallman has 9, 7, 8 target counts in last three weeks.

Fantasy Goo: Washington ranks 24th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s and Gallman is $4200 on DK. Feels like a great way to save and pay up at other positions.


12/31/17, 09:21 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Burfict Situation


Bengals LB Vontaze Burfict ruled out for game Sunday at Baltimore because of shoulder injury.

Fantasy Goo: Collins becomes a solid RB1 this week. Cincinnati’s run defense is a sieve with Burfict out.


12/31/17, 09:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Akeem No Dream


Charcandrick West is out Sunday vs Denver with an illness. Akeem Hunt and Kareem Hunt only RBs on active roster for KC. It would be a surprise to see Kareem play much. That means a ton of Akeem Hunt and likely some De'Anthony Thomas on passing downs.

Fantasy Goo: Akeem is min price ($3000) on DK so the definition of a free-square, but there’s a reason he’s bounced around the NFL and never earned a starting role. Denver is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, I’m not rostering Akeem when there are so many other options this week.


12/31/17, 09:17 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeAndre Hopkins

Houston Texans

Milestone Not Worth The Risk


Bill O'Brien on DeAndre Hopkins' status: 'Probably won't know up until game time'. Typically, we might classify this as coach-speak, but Hopkins has never missed a game, and is four catches away from 100 for the season. He's probably pushing hard to play.

Fantasy Goo: This is an awesome match-up for the Houston WR’s going against a very weak Indy pass defense, but there is really no reason for Hopkins to play, especially with the calf injury. At $8400 on DK he’s just way too pricey given this news. A sneaky start might be Will Fuller at $4300, he has 5 targets in each of the past three games and is coming off some difficult match-ups. Earlier in the season he was a superstar with Watson throwing the ball, but he has always had the big play in his arsenal no matter who the QB is.


12/29/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Vultures Are Always Flying


James White (ankle) remained limited at Thursday's practice. White was absent for last week's win over Buffalo but should be out there against the Jets in Week 17. He ranks eighth among running backs with 56 catches this year.

Fantasy Goo: Lewis dominated last week with White and Burkhead out, even though Gillislee vultured a TD. I would imagine that White playing will take away the five receptions Lewis had last week and the Jets actually have a better rush defense than the Pats week 16 opponent (Buf). The Pats will be looking to lock-up home field advantage and won’t be resting their starters, but they will probably be looking to get everyone some work as they prep for the playoffs. Gillislee appears to be nursing a hammy and is not expected to play, but let’s not forget how White performed last year in the Super Bowl.


12/29/17, 09:47 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Pittsburgh Steelers

Stars Sitting


The Steelers Marcus Gilbert tells reporter Tim Benz that the Steelers won't play Ben Roethlisberger or Le'Veon Bell in finale vs. Cleveland. Landry Jones will be under center for Pittsburgh and Fitzgerald Toussaint and Stevan Ridley will form a thoroughly underwhelming RB committee against the Browns.

Fantasy Goo: Underwhelming is an understatement for these two backs, a highly respected fantasy website hasn’t even updated the news on these two since the pre-season and doesn’t even recognize them as being on the team. The one player of note in this is Martavis Bryant, The Alien averages over 17 ppr points per game with Landry at the helm as opposed to 8.4 ppg with other QB’s. He also has 5 TD’s in 5 home games with Landry. Granted most of this production comes from 2015 when they worked together often in the preseason, but Bryant could be a very sneaky GPP play this week.


12/29/17, 09:23 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Play To Win The Game


Despite already being locked into the AFC's No. 3 seed, Jaguars coach Doug Marrone has no plans to rest starters in Sunday's game against the Titans. "Make no mistake about it, just so there is not a lot of talk during the week: When the players come in (Wednesday), we are talking about how we are going to play to win and do everything we possibly can to win this game, period," Marrone said. "I am not even thinking about what happens beyond that, and that is the way we are going to go about our business this week."

Fantasy Goo: I think it’s crazy of him to do, but I’m sure he has Tom Coughlin in his ear feeding him that old-school philosophy. Looks like Bortles, Fournette, Westbrook and Cole will be safe plays against a Titan’s team hoping to hold on to the sixth seed in the AFC.


12/26/17, 10:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Los Angeles Rams

Resting Starters


McVay hints that there will be Rams starters “who won’t play at all” on Sunday. The Rams are already locked into either the No. 3 or 4 seed in the NFC and will host a Wild Card round playoff game.

Fantasy Goo: Gurley, Goff, Woods, all sitting this week? That’s going to destroy so many hopes and dreams for teams that rode Gurley all year.


12/26/17, 09:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Grind It Out


Mike Mularkey said he's not ruling DeMarco Murray out just yet. He's day-to-day. The Titans are holding out hope to have him in limited role.

Fantasy Goo: They are really grinding him into the dirt if they play him this week. I didn’t see the injury, but it sounded pretty ugly from sources in the know. Keep away from him in whatever format you are playing this week, I’m giving Derick Henry a solid upgrade as the Titans are trying to hold on to the final playoff spot in the AFC.


12/26/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Philadelphia Eagles

All Locked Up


Pederson on playing Foles vs. Cowboys: “I’ve got to get him as many reps as he can and then be smart about it. Obviously, we have a lot of football left. Our season is really just beginning, quite honestly. We’ll be smart.”

Fantasy Goo: This is why you don’t play a championship game in week 17. I’m staying away from the Eagles regular starters, pretty much across the board, as they have a first round bye all locked up. Guys like Blount, Clement, and Nelson Agholor might have some DFS appeal, but we have to get closer to Sunday to see what they plan on doing.


12/26/17, 05:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Off the top of our heads...

Off The Top Of Our Heads - 2016 After Week 2

Posted by d-Rx on 09/23/16

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

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Itchy's Thoughts


C’Mon! I Wanted CinciNASTY!

Call me crazy, but that Pitt/Cin game was a snoozefest. I know the field conditions weren’t great, but where was the chippiness? What happened to the AJ/AB competition? Green ended up with 2 catches for 38 yards and AB had 4 catches for 39 yards. A game decided by an iffy fumble call wasn’t what we were hoping for…

 

ALF of the People

As a Dallas fan I spent a handful of years legitimately hating Alfred Morris the football player. To see him take time to hang with the FEDEX Field crew before Sunday’s Dallas/Washington game is pretty awesome though. He’s a nice guy after all.

alfred morris with the crew in washington 

 

2016 Raiders, the 2015 Saints?

Oakland has given up 34 and 35 points to the Saints and Falcons respectively in weeks one and two. The season is young but you have to wonder if maybe the Raiders defense is transgressing right before our eyes. At least their offense has been robust enough to keep the Raiders in games, but if they keep letting teams score a gajillion points every week it might be time to start figuring out how to get Carr, Cooper, and Crabtree. Next up, Tennessee Titans.

 

GABBERT = GOAT!

Blain Gabbert GOAT

 

Freeman Schmeeman

Don’t look now, but Tevin Coleman is outpacing Devonta Freeman in targets so far in this young season, 8 to 4. Freeman was the more effective rusher in week 2 versus the Raiders, but owners have got to be frustrated with his lack of involvement in the passing game. Freeman didn’t get a single target versus fantasy football’s most generous defense. Last season Freeman had 97 targets in the passing game, this season he’s on pace for 32.

 

 

PyroLytics Thoughts


 

Jeff Fisher just won the Super Bowl!

Not really but as a Rams fan it’s what I call his Super Bowl. That’s all that seems to matter to him, whether he beats the Seahawks or not. It’s like he goes out of his way to extensively game plan for just this game. If only he put that much effort into all the other games on the schedule.

 

It’s Dwayne Washington time:

At 6’1, 223 pounds, Washington packs a powerful punch and if that wasn’t enough his 4.4 speed will make the second guess your angle on him. He’s a burner, a big bodied burner at that. Abdullah could miss some time due to injury and Washington has replaced Zach Zenner as being a goal line back the first 2 weeks of the season. Stash Dwayne Washington.

 

The Crow is feasting:

Hard to believe but Crowell as of Sunday night currently sits as the third leading rusher in the league after that massive performance against the Ravens, compiling 133 yards on 18 attempts. The Crows value is completely up in the air at this time considering the Browns are now strutting out their third string QB Cody Kessler. Yes, the Browns may want to emphasize the running game but stacked boxes aren’t a thing to mess with.

 

Stash Kenneth Dixon:

Two weeks in and neither Justin Forsett nor Terrance West have run away with the starting running back job in Baltimore. Dixon isn’t expected to be back until after week 4 so you have some time to wait out this transaction. Dixon has plenty of pass catching upside and could easily take over that role and quite possibly a feature role. It’s also fairly promising that Buck Allen has taken a complete backseat to Forsett and West.

 

As good as Gould:

Connor Barth missed a 31-yard field goal for Chicago on Monday night. According to NFL Research, Former Bears kicker Robbie Gould was 101-101 on field goals 31-yards & under. Ouch.

 

Sleepless in Seattle:

The Seahawks drive chart in 2016 is as follows:

Punt

FG

Punt

Int

Punt

Punt

FG

Punt

Downs

Fumble

Punt

Touchdown

Punt

FG

Punt

Punt

Fumble

Punt

Punt

Punt

Punt

Fumble

 

Going out on a limb and saying that’s not good.

 


Buy into Chris Ivory:
Gus Bradley is giving Rex Ryan a run for his money on who should be the first head coach fired this year. Look for Gus to find a scapegoat as he tries to buy time before their bye week in week 5, if he even makes it to the bye week. That scapegoat will be none other than TJ Yeldon and the Jags running game. TJ has looked less than stellar so far and Ivory is in prime position to steal carries and potentially take away the majority of carries. Leaving Ivory as a potential buy-low candidate. 


Stop with the Asiata talk:
Adrian Peterson goes down with an injury and the first thing that gets brought up is the 2014 season."Well when AP wasn't able to play in 2014 Asiata had the majority of carries over Mckinnon, therefore Asiata is gonna be the backup." Noit's Mckinnon plain and simple. No, it's not surprising that a a guy who converted from quarterback to running back had less carries in his rookie year than a guy who already had two years in the system. Mckinnon is the far superior talent, with Asiata your hoping for a touchdown or bust.


 

 

STiFFKiTTiES Thoughts

 

 

DraftKings is rolling out the Polish version of their website. See attached... 

 

FanDuel Poland

 

 

 

 

d-Rx's Thoughts

 

 

Whaddup Cuz:

Cousins has some major accuracy issues at the moment… painful to watch. No one was caressing the MSU grads nuts than me all offseason… SHIT!!

 

 

Chute out!

So much for that high scoring New Orleans Saints vs. New York Giants game. Went all in on that one being a shootout, and it was a total dud instead.

 

 

Arizona’s triplet in the backfield with the triplets split out.

David Johnson is a triplet, he has an older sister born minutes before him and a younger sister just after. Great story, wishing this kid the best.

 

http://bit.ly/2d6xppH

 

 

Tamme Gimpala No More

Time to start looking deeper at Jacob Tamme… he’s getting it done. He’s turned 16 targets into 11 catches for 126 yards and touchdown through 2 games.

 

 

Thanks for calling CDW…

Ben McAdoo looks like a customer service coordinator for CDW, not an FNL head coach.

 

Ben McAdoo looks like a CDW customer service rep

 

 

Just hand D. Murray the keys to the ship.

Could you imagine if DeMarco Murray got the full workload in Tennessee? As an owner, yeah, me too.

  

 

Is Todd Gurley even startable at this point?

If you look at this dudes game splits, it’s troubling. Since starting his NFL career last year with four 100-yard games in his first 5 games, he’s only had one game over the century mark since.

 

 

What are these Kelcie kids eating?

How can there be so many Kelce’s in the NFL? There should be at least on Noonan.

 

 

Kanye West floor tickets are $200

 

The Parking for the Rams game hit up to $200 for a space. Good lawd. I just bought a couple general admission tickets to see Kanye West in his home town of Chicago at the house that Jordan built, The United Center for $200. Still feel bad for the St. Louis Rams fans, I don’t care if there were 90,000 fans in the Coliseum yesterday - the stadium the tax payers of STL (which they are still paying for) was built in 

 

http://www.latimes.com/local/california/la-me-ln-rams-parking-20160918-snap-story.html

 

 

Home Field Dis-Advantage?

 

As I write this piece and watch The Bears at Home on MNF, I just friggin’ hope they can perform better at home this year than the 1-7 stinkfest they put up in Soldier Field last season. I was at 4 of those loses, it’s a tough pill to swallow when spend so much money and don’t put a winning product on the field for the ones paying the concessions. Holy crap do I wish we had hired Bruce Arians a few years back. Equally, I hope Kevin White shuts everyone up tonight and has a stellar game.

 


 

 

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