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Chip Kelly is gone from Philadelphia, will they score enough touchdowns and gain enough yards to score fantasy football points in 2016

Philadelphia Eagles - 2016 Fantasy Football Stat Projections

Posted by d-Rx on 08/31/16

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Projecting to the upcoming season is a worthwhile exercise in fantasy circles. Like rankings, some projections are better than others. There are some factors that can help you project for your own purposes. First, never let your ranks affect the projections, second, use the information at hand to determine workload and splits, and finally, do not project in a vacuum. The third point is the most important, always project in the scheme of the offense. For example, you can’t project John Brown, Larry Fitzgerald, and Michael Floyd to each go for over 1,200 yards receiving and have 12 touchdowns if you expect the quarterback (Carson Palmer) to throw for just 3,000 yards and 30 touchdowns. Since projections are a tough business, and it is tough to account for every catch on the season, there is a category known as scraps. Some teams have more of a clear-cut pecking order and therefore have a smaller scraps section; teams with lots of unknowns have a larger one. After you lay out your projections, think about the range of outcomes for each player, and use those to shape your rankings. 

 

 

Philadelphia Eagles 2016 projections stat chart

View Larger Chart -


 

Philadelphia Eagles Pros & Cons:


(+) Ryan Mathews is criminally under rated for efficiency. Last season, in standard leagues, he led all running backs in FF Points per snap.


(+) Mathews averaged 5.1 yards per carry in 2015 whereas fellow backs, DeMarco Murray, and Darren Sproles, failed to even hit 4.0 yards per carry.


(+) Jordan Mathews is their most consistent WR. He scored 8 TDs in each of his first two years, and last year, turned in 85 catches for nearly 1,000 yards.


(+) Ertz is poised for a breakout year. In each of his first 3 seasons, he has out done the previous one in yards, targets, and receptions. That is precisely the trajectory you are looking for.


(+) PFF projects this O-line to be the 12th best.

 

(+/-) DGB? Stud or dud. Who knows...


(+/-) Chip Kelly departs and Doug Pederson goes in through the outdoor wearing a Raspberry Beret. Perderson was the Chief’s OC for the last 3 seasons and has worked closely under Andy Reid for years.


(+/-) Dorial Green-Beckham joins the team with a perhaps unhealthy dose of both talent and knuckle-headed-ness.


(-) Philadelphia, meet your top Quarterbacks on the depth chart = Sam Bradford, Chase Daniel, and Carson Wentz.


(-) The wide receiving chore could be one of the worst in the NFL.


(-) R Mathews is notorious for injury, his handcuff is Barner. Smallwood might emerge later in the season if the rookie stays healthy. For now, Barner is the man.

 

 

 

 

These projections were built on a variety of factors including but not limited to:

 

Number of Plays Run

Run/Pass Ratio

WR1 Market Share

WR2 Market Share

RB1 Market Share

TE1 Market Share

QB Career Patterns

RB Career Patterns

WR Career Patterns

TE Career Patterns

Sack Percentages

Percentage of Drives ending in scores

 

 

 

 

View the next team: Pittsburgh Steelers

 

 

 

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