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Big Ben and Tom Brady in a battle to see who will represent the AFC in the Super Bowl this year

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots - Conference Championship Round - 2016 NFL Playoffs

Posted by d-Rx on 01/19/17

by   The Archer


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Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots; Over/Under 51.5

Sunday, January 22, 2017 at 6:40pm EST



Weekly Matchups Conference Championships - Steelers against TE1 & Patriots against RB1

The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a historic win over the Chiefs in which they became the first team to surrender two touchdowns to their opponents and not score one themselves to come away with a victory. Big Ben didn’t have a big fantasy day in the win, but made some throws late to lock in the victory. Ben actually finished as the lowest scoring quarterback in the Divisional round and will have another tough matchup ahead of him in the Patriots. The Pats allowed the fewest points on the season, but didn’t face the greatest cast of passers on the season, in fact Big Ben is arguably the best quarterback and you’d win that argument fairly quickly. Le’Veon Bell has been putting up video game numbers for the last eight weeks and looks like an unstoppable force with how well this offensive line is playing right now. The Patriots allowed the second fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs on the season, but torched the Pats in Week 7 rushing for 81 yards on 21 carries but caught 10 of 13 targets for 68 yards making for a more than solid PPR day. In four career games against the Patriots, Brown has complied 30 catches on 46 targets for 377 yards and three scores. Big Bill obviously spends more of his time focusing on Bell while matching up Malcolm Butler on Brown. Eli Rogers leads the rest of the wide receiving corps that has begun to look non-descript as of late. Cobi Hamilton has been operating as the teams third wide receiver but has produced little while Darrius Heyward-Bey might be the best dart throw of them all with his ability to take it to the house from anywhere on the field. Ladarius Green has already been whispered as out for the rest of the season while nothing has been made official. Jesse James continues to operate as the top tight end in this offense but has been quiet on the season but did set a season high with 83 receiving yards against the Chiefs. If green is out as expected, expect the tight end two role to flip between Xavier Grimble and David Johnson with only an outside chance at a touchdown there to save you. The Pittsburgh Steelers are being counted out and will need to put together their best road game of the season in order to beat the Patriots with a chance to play in the big one on the line.


The Patriots finally woke from their slumber after halftime against the Houston Texans to pull away in last weeks divisional round. Tom Brady completed under 50% of his passes for 288 yards with two touchdowns against two interceptions in a game where the Texans were able to get a ton of pressure on Tom by bringing pressure from all angles, but especially up the middle. As for this week, Tommy boy looks to have a capped upside as the best passing day the Steelers allowed all season long was a 21 fantasy point game to Carson Wentz back in Week 3 and that includes a previous tilt against Brady. Dion Lewis had a breakout game scoring pretty much every way possible, when I said they were saving him for the playoffs, I guess it couldn’t have been more true as they let him do nearly everything before trying his damnedest to give the ball away.  LeGarrette Blount was involved in a limited capacity but did remain the short-yardage and goal line back. Blount burned a lot of DFS players last week, but makes for an interesting pivot player to go back to this week. The last time these two teams matched up, Blount rushed 24 times for 127 yards and 2 touchdowns and could be in line to go off again as bigger power backs have been the types to give the Steelers fits this season. The Steelers allowed the seventh most fantasy points to opposing running backs and it is the weakness of their team. James White is even an interesting option who could be used in the passing game this week. Julian Edelman has been targeted 13 times in each of the last two weeks and is averaging over 12.5 targets since Week 11. Chris Hogan caught all four of his targets for 95 yards and avoided a serious injury late in the game and should remain as the second option in the passing game. Malcolm Mitchell is a question mark yet again and missed last week, but was in practice on Wednesday. Michael Floyd may see a decrease in snaps if Mitchell and Hogan are both active, but could provide a redzone option should he be needed. Danny Amendola also returned to action and is a weapon that Bill likes to play with come playoff time. At tight end, Martellus Bennett is a strong option this week in DFS, as the Steelers are worse against then they are against receivers, and the Black Unicorn is a threat to score inside the redzone. The Pats are in like their billionth Conference Championship in a row, but will need their offense to step up in order to make another trip to the Superbowl. 




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Sunday, January 22, 2017 at 3:05pm EST