Week 7
October 19, 2017
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Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Ready to Roll


In Tampa's two road games this season, both QBs (Case Keenum & Carson Palmer) had top-4 fantasy weeks. Tyrod Taylor gets TB in BUF Sunday coming off his bye week. His schedule looks pretty sweet for the rest of the season as well. He'll have to figure out who he's going to throw to, but he'll get rushing yards to secure his floor.


10/19/17, 07:06 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

Get Right Spot?


Kansas City has the most air yards against this year, and the 6th most receiving yards against. Both KC CB’s have given up 3 TDs. The most vulnerable depth to attack KC is 15 yards. Over their careers, Cooper has been better at 15 yard depths and up than Crabtree.
Eventually NFL players break out of their slumps, because they are good, even Cooper. Tonight could be the night, there’s nothing like the spotlight to get your superstar going.


10/19/17, 06:51 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Thompson

Washington Redskins

Chris Thompson is getting it done!


Only five running backs have more top-12 weeks then Chris Thompson in standard leagues: Fournette, Zeke, Gurley, Hunt, and Melvin Gordon.


10/19/17, 03:26 PM CDT by Stagg Party

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Adrian Peterson

New Orleans Saints

Well, that was fast...


After just one game, Adrian Peterson has 36.51% of the Arizona Cardinals running back rush yards this season.

Fantasy Goo: He's an RB2 for now, but if he can stay healthy... watch out.


10/19/17, 03:24 PM CDT by Stagg Party

Source: www.pyromaniac.com

Buffalo Bills

The Bills are under center more in 2017


Last season the Buffalo Bills ran shotgun on 81% of their plays, 74% of their runs came from the shotgun. In 2017 however, Buffalo is averaging just 44% plays from shotgun. Just 25% of their runs have come from shotgun. They are averaging 5.18 yards per rush in shotgun and 2.76 from under center.

Fantasy Goo: McCoy is currently 25th in fantasy points for RBs coming off his bye week with only one 100-yard game and zero touchdowns. Might be time to change it up a little bit HC Sean McDermott and OC Rick Dennison.


10/19/17, 03:15 PM CDT by Stagg Party

Source: www.pyromaniac.com

Minnesota Vikings

FanDuel Triple Play


Davonte Adams vsNO - $6,900 – Adams was peppered with 10 targets and caught a TD from Brett Hundley in week 6. The peppering will continue to be hot against the Saints defense which is giving up the 6th most points to WRs.

Jimmy Graham @NYG - $5,800 - The Giants are giving up the most points to TE’s this season. Sitting at the top of list in allowing 14.2 FF to the position that has the best basketball players. Graham is a slam dunk this week.

Minnesota Vikings vsBAL - $4,700 – The Vikings are at home hosting the Baltimore Ravens. Let me break this one down a bit further. The Baltimore Ravens are playing at the Minnesota Vikings this week and the Vikings DST only cost $4,700. PLAY THE VIKINGS DST!


10/17/17, 08:38 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Davante Adams

Green Bay Packers

FanDuel Triple Play


Davonte Adams vsNO - $6,900 – Adams was peppered with 10 targets and caught a TD from Brett Hundley in week 6. The peppering will continue to be hot against the Saints defense which is giving up the 6th most points to WRs.

Jimmy Graham @NYG - $5,800 - The Giants are giving up the most points to TE’s this season. Sitting at the top of list in allowing 14.2 FF to the position that has the best basketball players. Graham is a slam dunk this week.

Minnesota Vikings vsBAL - $4,700 – The Vikings are at home hosting the Baltimore Ravens. Let me break this one down a bit further. The Baltimore Ravens are playing at the Minnesota Vikings this week and the Vikings DST only cost $4,700. PLAY THE VIKINGS DST!


10/17/17, 08:37 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Jimmy Graham

Seattle Seahawks

FanDuel Triple Play


Davonte Adams vsNO - $6,900 – Adams was peppered with 10 targets and caught a TD from Brett Hundley in week 6. The peppering will continue to be hot against the Saints defense which is giving up the 6th most points to WRs.

Jimmy Graham @NYG - $5,800 - The Giants are giving up the most points to TE’s this season. Sitting at the top of list in allowing 14.2 FF to the position that has the best basketball players. Graham is a slam dunk this week.

Minnesota Vikings vsBAL - $4,700 – The Vikings are at home hosting the Baltimore Ravens. Let me break this one down a bit further. The Baltimore Ravens are playing at the Minnesota Vikings this week and the Vikings DST only cost $4,700. PLAY THE VIKINGS DST!


10/17/17, 08:34 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Titans in the Backfield


Mike Mularkey said the run game split on MNF (near 50-50 for DeMarco Murray-Derrick Henry) was a good model. He also added that Henry is the go-to RB in the 4th quarter.

Fantasy Goo: I believe this is the target, but we will see this vary from week-to-week. If Murray is healthy or fired-up, like he may be after his coaches’ comments, he will be the guy to start. As the season whines down so will Murray, buy Henry for your playoff run, he’s more than just a handcuff.


10/17/17, 08:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Titans in the Backfield


Mike Mularkey said the run game split on MNF (near 50-50 for DeMarco Murray-Derrick Henry) was a good model. He also added that Henry is the go-to RB in the 4th quarter.

Fantasy Goo: I believe this is the target, but we will see this vary from week-to-week. If Murray is healthy or fired-up, like he may be after his coaches’ comments, he will be the guy to start. As the season whines down so will Murray, buy Henry for your playoff run, he’s more than just a handcuff.


10/17/17, 08:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Marlon Mack

Indianapolis Colts

Turbin Done for Season


Colts HC Chuck Pagano expects RB Robert Turbin to miss rest of season with arm injury he suffered Monday night. Turbin has averaged 6+ touches per game over the past four weeks.

Fantasy Goo: This might seem insignificant, but I expect Marlon Mack will pick-up all of those touches. An extra 6 touches from Mack could mean a major boost in production. Grab him if you can, he’ll be explosive when Luck comes back.


10/17/17, 07:49 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ezekiel Elliott

Dallas Cowboys

Two More Weeks of Zeke


Ezekiel Elliott has been granted another temporary restraining order by the Southern District of New York, and will be allowed to play Week 7. The restraining order, is for 14 days. So it appears Elliott will also be good for Week 8.

Fantasy Goo: Hold off on all the Morris/McFadden love for a couple more weeks. If you have them you’re probably holding if you’re a contender, but I’d sell high to the Zeke owner if you can. This is gearing up for Zeke to be out during the fantasy playoffs.


10/17/17, 07:47 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Golladay. Celebrate


If we picked up Golladay
Take some time to celebrate
Just one day out of life
It would be, it would be so nice
Everybody spread the word
We’re gonna have a celebration

Every season there is that player that propels a team to the fantasy promise land. Kenny Golladay possesses that high upside potential down the stretch that can be invaluable. Golladay last played in week 3 before suffering a hamstring injury, and Matthew Stafford has missed his 213lb 6’4 receiver. After throwing for 7TDs in the first 3 weeks; Stafford has only thrown for 2TDs before exploding in week 6 against the Saints with 3 tosses. This was a result of the game being out of hand and being forced to throw 52 times. Golden Tate was injured in this game and word is he will be out a few weeks. The Lions are on a bye in week 7, which gives Tate a free week to rest, but more importantly gives Golladay a free week to get ready to explode on the scene once again at home in week 8 against the Steelers. Tate and Marvin Jones Jr are what they are at this point. Golladay gives Stafford the kind of big threat target that he has lacked since the Decepticon leader himself MEGATRON retired. You can’t teach height and talent, and that is a gunslingers favorite type of weapon to use.


10/17/17, 07:24 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Target


Kittle had a very average game this week catching four passes for 46 yards, but there could be some good news that came out of this game for him. C.J. Beathard has been named the starter for the rest of the season, and that was Kittle’s college quarterback, so you know there is immediate chemistry there that could pay nice dividends in the coming weeks


10/16/17, 05:36 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Waiver Wire Target


Collins got the majority of the carries for the Ravens this week with 15 of them for 74 yards. He looks like he will be in a time share with Javorious Allen, but this was the first time we saw him take the majority of the carries, making him more interesting going forward.


10/16/17, 05:35 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Austin Hooper

Atlanta Falcons

Waiver Wire Target


Without Sanu the Falcons leaned a lot more on Hooper, who finished with seven receptions for 48 yards. He is becoming a bigger part of the Falcons offense, and he has big play potential that makes him a worthy add.


10/16/17, 05:34 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Ted Ginn Jr

New Orleans Saints

Waiver Wire Target


Ginn is the deep threat receiver for Drew Brees and they connected on a 20-yard score this week. Ginn finished with four receptions for 66 yards including that score. The Saints offense is lacking the big play and Ginn can provide the pop in the passing game.


10/16/17, 05:26 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Samaje Perine

Washington Redskins

Waiver Wire Target


Perine finally found the endzone this week, but his final stat line was not that pretty with nine carries for just 23 yards and three receptions for 24 yards and a touchdown. Samaje has lacked the big play, which has limited him in fantasy.


10/16/17, 05:25 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


D'Onta Foreman

Houston Texans

Waiver Wire Target


Foreman got his customary 12 carries and this week gained 59 yards, but was once again held without a touchdown. He is getting a consistent workload, but he is not busting the big play to make him a worthy fantasy start.


10/16/17, 05:23 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Waiver Wire Target


After a stellar week Wallace came back down to earth, catching three passes for 30 yards. Wallace is a boom or bust.


10/16/17, 05:23 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Kendall Wright

Chicago Bears

Waiver Wire Target


Wright was basically invisible this game with two catches for 36 yards, and did not make a catch until the third quarter. There is too much inconsistency in the Bears passing offense.


10/16/17, 05:22 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com

Players that are getting over drafted and have a chance to fall flat on their faces for fantasy football owners

Pop's Busts for Fantasy Football in 2017

Posted by d-Rx on 07/27/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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“If you align expectations with reality, you will never be disappointed.” ---Terrell Owens

 

Expectations can be a hard thing for any of us to live up to. The pressure that is put on us by family or Co-workers can bring even the strongest to their knees. What about expectation put on you by complete strangers, most of which you will never see or hear from. This is how as Fantasy Football enthusiast we put pressure on the young men of the NFL.


D-Rx has given me the task of developing an article about 2017 Sleepers and Bust. I am to come up with a list of players who will either exceed expectations or fall short of them. I am a positive guy and have no problem pointing out players who I feel will exceed their ADP, but what of the Bust. What makes a bust? Is it Injury, or the coaches, underperformance, or is it expectations. If it is expectations, then whose? Every year at the end of the season we as fantasy nation tattoo the scarlet letter on players butts, but were they a bust to the team or just ourselves. If these players are really such a bust then they should be cut by their teams, never to play another down in the NFL, but teams keep them around, why? The answer is EXPECTATIONS!! It was our expectations they fell short of we took them with a 1st round pick and they only rushed for 850 and 8 TDs. The team may be very content with that or they may say our line was banged up. My point is this. WE as FF Nation are the ones who really dictate who is a bust and who is not. Let that sink in for a second. Fantasy Football has grown to a point that we are starting to influence how players in the regular media are perceived.


My goal with this article will be to point out player that for whatever reason I feel will fall short of expectations. I will not try to point out players who have injury risk, you know who they are Watkins, Allen, Peterson. Instead, I will go on the assumption that each will stay healthy but underperform to their preseason ADP.  This portion of the article will be harder for me to write. I hope they all prove me wrong and live up to the expectations that FF nation has given them.

 


Your 2017 Unfulfilled Expectations


Jordan Howard RB CHI – I will always shy away from backs on bad teams and the Bears are a BAD team. The one thing I will say positive for him is he is on a team with a good line. PFF has the Bears as the #5 line in the league. He should increase his carries this season from the 252, but expect that 5.2 yards per to come down. The Bears will struggle to move the ball effectively and the number of Red Zone attempts required to be a Top Tier back will just not be there. I didn’t want to speculate on injuries but it is hard for any back who is a banger to stay healthy for an entire season and he is a physical player who doesn’t have the willingness or the ability to avoid big hits. If he plays to his ceiling he can finish as a top 12 back, but that is it. Can’t see him bringing 1st round value.


LaGarrette Blount RB PHI – How can 18 rushing TDs be a bust? Simple you go from the best team in the league to an also ran. Blount had 18 TDs yes, but only had a 3.9 yards per. Forget any points from the passing game, there are none with Blount. He had just 7 receptions in 2016. 2016 was far and away his best season. The question you must ask was he a product of game script. Pryor to 2016 his best season was 2010 when he had 1,007 and 6 TDs. That was the only time he cracked the 1000 yards mark until 2017. He is on his 6th team since joining the league. That alone should raise an eyebrow. He is a short yardage player who is not that particularly good at that. The Eagles only gave him a 1-year deal and it was only 900,00 base. They were not impressed with the 2016 numbers. Let me rephrase that I think the 2016 numbers was the ONLY reason he got a contract. He will fall back to what he has been is entire career and that is a backup who will give you about 400 yards and 4 TDs. His current ADP has him at 4.12 which should be your number 2. He is going ahead of guys like Cook, Anderson and Ingram.  Pyro has him more realistic at RB 35. This is probably the best he does.


Isaiah Crowell RB CLV – I am hesitant to put the Crow on this list, but going back to what I said in the opener. His expectations and ADP is climbing to a point that I think he could disappoint. I have been singing the praises of the Browns this off season. I have written articles on the job they have done and discipline they have shown. I believe I am not alone in my belief and therefore his ADP has climbed. He does have talent and the line is fantastic this year, PFF #2. There are a couple of things he will have to contend with. The first and most glaring is the Browns will not be in that many positive game scripts. I expect the Browns to win more this year but since they only won 1 last year any will be a large jump. My summation on the Crow I like him as a player, but not a 3rd rounder. Johnson, in my belief is a more talented back whose receiving ability will show when the Browns are down. Let Crow drop to like 5th if you can. If he goes higher take Duke later.


Jeremy Hill RB CIN – After flashing into the league in 2014 Hill has failed to live up to the rookie numbers of 1,124 and 9. His TD numbers have stayed consistent with 9, 11 and 9 but has failed to break 1000 since that rookie year. He has always had to split snaps with Gio taking almost all the passing work. This is a tough call for me to make on Hill. His ADP is 10.09 which puts him in a range that bust potential is diminished. My issue is this I believe the Bengals have hired his replacement. They took the troubled Joe Mixon, a back that has had well documented issues but on field talent is off the charts. Mixon is a complete back and with Gio still ailing Mixon should have a chance to shine earlier than expected and once he does could easily prove more valuable than either of these backs. I compare his situation to that of Jonathan Stewart, a veteran back who may have to deal with his replacement except Stewart is a better back than Hill and will not give up the starting spot as easy. Look for Hills roll to be reduced as the year drags on, not to mention all the Bengals backs will have to run behind a line that PFF has as 31st. Reminder if you forgot there are only 32 teams in the league.

 

Latavius Murray RB MIN – Murray finished the season with 788 and 12 behind the #2 line in the league by PFF. He now goes on to Minnesota who finished as the 29th ranked line. PFF preseason does have them improving this year but only up to 15th. This coupled with a much more talented backfield he should see a diminished work load. His current ADP is 8.03 which is ahead of more talented players player like Stewart, Dixon, and Rawls. Is there any indication that his numbers will be greater than what McKinnon and Asiata could produce, which was 941 and 8 combined. No way does he produce anything like that. All of the eyes will be on the rookie Cook this season. He will be the back to own in the Twin cities, but don’t get to worked up about him. The Vikes had just 9 rushing TDs. A number I don’t expect to significantly increase.


Ty Montgomery RB GB – Montgomery took over the roll as lead back in Green Bay out of necessity. Montgomery surprised in his new role rushing for 457 on just 6 games started. Therefore, his ADP has climbed to 4.09. Green Bay drafted a couple of backs this year notably Jamaal Williams. I can’t see Montgomery holding up as a 3 down back. I would expect the rook to get a larger load as the year moves on.


Brandin Cooks WR NE – Cooks left the Saints for a chance to get a ring with the Pats. Well that is what he might get but I doubt a 1000-yard season is in the books. With an ADP of 3.05 he is ahead of Watkins and D. Thomas. Clear number one guys for their respective teams. Cooks will have to compete with competition from Edleman, Gronk, White, Amendola, I could go on, but I think you get my point. He will be much more valuable for the Pats than he will be for Fantasy. No way does he return 3rd round value.


Allen Robinson WR JAC – Robinson had an ADP of 1.12 in 2016, and as we all know he failed to live up to that spot. He only managed to produce 883 and 6 TDs. My question is this, has anything changed this season to make us think he will be closer to 2015 numbers? The answer is no. He still should deal with Bortles and that throwing motion that looks like he is trying to kill a snake in a phone booth. In 2015, he had a ton of garbage time yards and TDs. This because the Jags were always behind and were chucking it to try and catch up. Their defense this year will be significantly better which means less garbage time. I expect numbers around what he had last year maybe a little better but not to the level of his current ADP of 4.02.


Tyreek Hill WR KC – Hill is fast and as quick as a hiccup, he is also small. 5’ 10” 185 lbs. Which means one big pop from a safety and good night sweet prince. Hill was a fantastic gimmick player last season. Taking Jet sweeps and pitches out of the backfield. Now with the departure of Maclin he will be forced into a new role. A role he has not proven he can handle. I am not saying he can’t excel at his role but what I am not willing to do is gamble on unproven commodity at his current ADP of 4.08 ahead of guys like Bryant, Crabtree and Landry. If he turns into the next coming of Antonio Brown then I guess Pop was wrong. Going on how I was burnt on Patterson a season or so ago I am just getting an over hyped vibe. I will own Hill in exactly one league this season. A keeper league for a 14th. At that price, I am ok with just about any upside guy. Hill was incredibly effective on limited touched he had 9 total TDs on just 85. With the increased load that rate is unsustainable.

 

Greg Olsen TE CAR – Here is my most controversial pick on the list, and the one that I hope I am wrong about. The Sabbath song “Changes” is going through my head and through the Queen City. Carolina will be make some changes to the way the conduct business this season. They drafted Stanford’s Christion McCaffrey and slot receiver Curtis Samual. They will be asking Newton to do something he has not done up this point. That is to run less and throw more short passes. Olsen was the leading receiver for Carolina last year with 1,073, but only managed 3 TDs. With the new additions, this year the numbers must take a dip, but a dip in the TE numbers are relative. There is not that large of a gap between the 4th TE and the 10th. Just 154 yards separated the 4th TE and the 10th last season. Just 9.6 yards a game. Olsen is a fantastic Tight End he is going at a ADP of 5.05 the 4th TE of the board. With all the uncertainty in Carolina this year I would be hard pressed to take Olsen that high.


Delanie Walker TE TEN – Walker has been Mariota go to guy for the past 2 seasons. Mariota’s rookie season he only had eyes for Walker with 133 targets for 94 receptions. That number dipped in 2016 to 102 and 65. What was the difference between the 2 years? Competent receivers and Mariota confidence. Walker is no spring chicken either at 32. Again, it is hard to call someone a bust at TE when all the starters barring injury will be close at season end. Walker is going at TE 8 currently but I could easily see him slipping to like 12. The Titans will take a step forward this season and should see some of those receptions going to rookie Corey Davis, but this is a zero-sum game. When you only have X amount of receptions to go around they must come from somewhere.


Cam Newton QB CAR -  I am not sure he will really be considered a bust, this is mainly for those who still think he might rush for 5 or 6 hundred yards rushing. I will say up front I am not a big Newton Fan, too much preening for my taste, but I am old so maybe the kids like it. I just say less dance moves and more reading defenses. Newton finished with 3,509 passing and added 359 on the ground. What was the big dip from the 2015 MVP season? The TDs he only had 24 combined last season compared to 45 his MVP season. He was considered a bust last season when he was being take in the 1st or 2nd rounds. This season his ADP is 7.08 and I would suspect in my neck of the woods even higher. Seems a little steep considering he came in at 21. When you look at his number over the past few seasons he was not that far off what he has done. 2015 was a magical year when everything went right. Newton when he runs can give you top 8 QB numbers but he is being asked to dial that back, and his passing number by themselves will not bring him in as a QB 1. Check back in a week and I will let you know what I see at Panthers Camp.


Matt Ryan QB ATL – Ryan like Newton the year before had a magical year. Everything went right and the Falcons played lights out and should have won a Superbowl. This year their OC Kyle Shanahan has moved to the far coast to take over the 49ers. All the offensive weapons are still in place except for the play caller. With the bad taste that loss put in their mouths I can see regression all over the place. Ryan is coming off at the 5th QB way too rich for a player whose best finish was 300 yards less than last season. He had his best TD number last season as well. If you are betting on Ryan to put up those same kinds of numbers you are setting yourself up for disappointment.


Again, it is my hope I am wrong about these players. I hope all of them flourish in 2017. It is hard to live up to expectations, but when you can exceed what is expected of you than you can deal with the times when they come, and they all come for all of us at some point.

 

 

 

 

By Pop's



 

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