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December 10, 2018
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@Fitz_FF @Russ1Prentice https://t.co/i2tXQUNdUM


07:56 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@BitcoinBingBong @Football_Guys Dieter, here is the link. https://t.co/ccmjSuT1Hm


07:10 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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Amari Cooper since joining the Cowboy's 16-Game Pace. 141 Targets 106.7 receptions 1,709 receiving yards 16 tou… https://t.co/ueKZzFuODE


06:53 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

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So good. https://t.co/cJCqW9vcLg


06:41 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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RT @cmngtusm: @XsandOLine @YahooNoise Probably Robert Waziak. That guy gets everything right. https://t.co/vRaD5Hsgu1


06:39 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Waz

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@PeoplezPen @FantasyPros @SkeeterMills__ @Broncos #BaeSean


06:30 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Wheeler

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@JohnBoschFF @HunterGobble Agree w john, calculate using decimal scoring


04:57 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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RT @TheAthleticFF: We're proud to recognize @ScottFish24 as a Person of the Year, for his efforts raising over $40,000 for Toys for To… https://t.co/qdmRW3pRfw


04:55 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Waz

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@PyroStag Some fantasy, amirite?


04:42 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@WazNFL Oh yeah Rob?


04:41 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Waz

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@ScottFish24 @andybehrens @MBeller It makes too much sense!


04:31 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Waz

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@ScottFish24 Still cute doe.


03:01 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@TheAthleticFF @ScottFish24 @RotoWear @LizLoza_FF Wow very cool congrats Scott!


02:57 PM, Dec 10, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @DynastyDogg: If you’re starting a team which side do you take over the other?


11:41 AM, Dec 10, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @ScottBarrettDFB: Most PPR fantasy points by a tight end (Weeks 1-14) since 2000 https://t.co/psRYIMxgug


06:10 AM, Dec 10, 2018

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RT @NFL: Monstars of the Midway 💪 #DaBears https://t.co/snUqs7dXJe


05:53 AM, Dec 10, 2018

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RT @PatDoneyNBC5: If you are a #DallasCowboys fan, you have to see our story tonight about @dak. The gift he gave two young men battl… https://t.co/KeDcJm21u3


05:29 AM, Dec 10, 2018

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RT @FieldYates: Larry Fitzgerald just recorded his 1,282nd catch as a member of the Cardinals. No player has ever recorded more cat… https://t.co/MtaLPP6Wsy


05:21 AM, Dec 10, 2018

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RT @FFStatistics_: Good morning! Welcome to the Sunday morning AMA w/ the FFStaff! Ask Week 14 questions NOW ✅ @MattWi77iams… https://t.co/gVZiDCkrhO


04:00 AM, Dec 10, 2018

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@TangoandCashFF My bench is exploding, oh well


03:55 AM, Dec 10, 2018

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Mo

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JuJu Smith to face Daryl Worley from Oakland. No other starting CB in Week 14 is averaging more fantasy points allo… https://t.co/TcxQYjO8jr


09:22 PM, Dec 08, 2018

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RT @fantasysixpack: The Fantasy Edge Podacst w/ @RRSSavill @JChan_811 @KevinMHuo Fantasy Football Week 14 🏈 DST Stream-0-Matic… https://t.co/wvn87xqarg


08:43 PM, Dec 08, 2018

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RT @DFF_Dynasty: Third Quarter 2019 NFL Mock Draft https://t.co/qhCFeuLpWn https://t.co/FkjfMNOKni


08:43 PM, Dec 08, 2018

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RT @DFF_Shane: For the late night (early morning) crowd! It's that new @DynastyTradesHQ you need in your life Jordan McNamara, Der… https://t.co/PQ8iilyB34


08:42 PM, Dec 08, 2018

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RT @therealNFLguru: Here is the @FFfaceoff's Week 13 Recap of the top #FantasyFootball storylines. We will take your questions in the … https://t.co/36zm5W03Mm


08:42 PM, Dec 08, 2018

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09:49 PM, Nov 22, 2018

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@FinsBroadcaster The Outsiders C. Thomas Howell.Ralph Macchio. Patrick Swayze.RobLowe.Emilio Estevez.Tom Cruise.Di… https://t.co/NFDHuG2xRE


01:38 PM, Nov 18, 2018

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RT @DomiNateFF: Who did you bench on your #FantasyFootball teams in #Week10 that you regret? I’ll start…I played Fitzpatrick over… https://t.co/GZoHOiB8U7


10:54 AM, Nov 12, 2018

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RT @AdvSportsLogic: Before setting those line ups, check out out updated ranks. #FantasyFootball: Week 10 Updated Rankings QB:… https://t.co/oArauvIKdX


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RT @FFD260: Ryan Fitzpatrick attempting to throw the lead block down. #Bucs #Redskins #NFL https://t.co/0Te1hbJEWJ


10:16 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


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RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


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02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

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RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

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Power in numbers teams for fantasy football

Power In Numbers: 2016 Review

Posted by d-Rx on 08/19/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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On June 20th the Fantasy Sports industry was valued as a $7.22 billion Industry with nearly 60 million in the United States and Canada. This means that on average a fantasy player is pumping just over $121 dollars each season. Here at Pyro, we are making sure that you are ending the season with a shit load of cash in your hands and 7 months of bragging rights over your buddies who frankly aren’t smart enough to find Pyromaniac.com.

 

In the past we showed you how many teams had players that landed in the top 60, and if you read that article you likely targeted those offenses and reaped many benefits each Sunday. This year, I made a couple of adjustments on how we view each player, because well, I can’t in good faith place the same value on the number one finisher David Johnson and the number 60 finisher Terrelle Pryor(or Jimmy Graham based on Total Points). So the spin on the article this year is that each player is looked at in their points per game output to adjust for injuries as well as they received weighted values based on their value over replacement. We also removed any player who didn’t play at least 8 games to refine our data. Value over replacement is a figure that has spread across the fantasy community, if you haven’t heard of it yet though, it is simply how many more points did your player score than another guy sitting on your bench.

 

For this piece we took a team in which you can start 2 RBs, 3 WRs, 1 TE and a flex, in a 12 team league that results in 84 starting players. So David Johnson’s ridiculous 325 standard points and 20.3 per game had a variance of 208% and 262% over the first available replacements respectively. Rather than counting David Johnson as just a single top 60 player he now carries a weight of 3.08 (3.62).

 

 

Power In Numbers - Total Points - Points Per Game & Difference

 

 

And let’s dive into the data.

 

Looking at last year’s data, we can see that the Atlanta Falcon’s led by Matt Ryan’s MVP campaign, not only had the most top 60 players in fantasy, but also had the highest Power Level at 5.4. Amazingly the Falcons had 3 players inside the top 30, led by Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman. The PPG model also favors the Falcons as Taylor Gabriel was included based on his 8.2 points per game on 12 games and inflates Tevin Coleman’s value based on his 13 games. We will get into the difference between the total season points perspective and the point per game perspective later on. The New Orleans Saints came closely behind at 4.99 but are losing their WR speedster in Brandin Cooks. The Raiders, Cardinals, Dolphins and Steelers round out the top 6.

 

When you chose to look at this data in a PPG point of view, you can see that causes drastic changes, the Bengals experienced a rise in their overall rank of a whopping 26 spaces moving from #29 in Total Points to #3 in PPG. Conversely, the Ravens, Dolphins and Vikings all experienced a drop in rank all by 10 places in PPG. The view in which you should look is directly correlated to how risk averse you are as a fantasy player. If you play with a very risk averse fashion, then the Total Points model is the way to go, whereas if you are like I am and look to maximize your weekly points while incurring a large injury risk then look to the PPG model.

 

So all of this information is saying that we want to target players on the six top teams, but let’s take a look at how these numbers look over time. Over the past 3 years we have seen a significant amount of movement within teams. The top 5 rising teams over that span have been the Seahawks, Rams, Raiders, Cardinals and Falcons. What do all of these teams have in common? They all added elite level talents on to their team. Seattle added Jimmy Graham in a trade with the Saints in 2015, along with Doug Baldwin emerging as a top end WR. The Rams added Todd Gurley, who busted onto the scene his rookie year. You can follow this trend for the three remaining teams through the likes of Derek Carr and Amari Cooper, David Johnson and Devonta Freeman/Tevin Coleman.

 

Here’s the interesting thing, let’s take a look at the 5 biggest fallers over the past 3 years. This list consists of the Broncos, Patriots, Ravens, Lions and Saints. We can agree that all of these teams are some of the most potent offenses, like the five risers, so why did these teams fall? It’s simple, when a team adds a franchise changing talent they use them heavily. After a season of dominating these NFL Defensive Coordinators make extensive changes to contain these players. Once these adjustments are made, the teams still have elite talents, but they adjust their game plan to take advantage of defensives overplaying their studs. While these teams are still amongst the top NFL offenses, their usage of individual players decreases and they are spreading the ball across their targets.

 

Looking at the top running backs from last year, we have David Johnson, Le’Veon Bell, Ezekiel Elliot, LeSean McCoy, Melvin Gordon and DeMarco Murray. Pittsburgh has shown over the past three years that their offense can support 3+ fantasy stars, but expect a slight regression to Lev and AB if Martavis can stay on the field for a full season. The remaining top running backs teams each had 2 top 60 players and are all going in the first round of 2017 drafts. I’m drafting these players cautiously and expecting to see some regression as the offense spreads the ball around in a more even distribution, and let’s target their teammates expecting some of that trickle down fantasy goo.

 


 

By Hartbeat


 

 

 

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