Week 3
September 19, 2017
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Chris Thompson

Washington Redskins

Thompson Flashes


Thompson only had three carries, but two of them went for scores, including a 61-yard scamper. He finished with six touches for 106 yards and two scores. Rob Kelley could miss time with the injury and Thompson is lightening in a bottle.

Fantasy Goo: Thompson is the back to own in PPR leagues, his floor is solid with the passing downs work and he will probably average five carries a game if Kelley (ribs) is out.


09/19/17, 07:08 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


Chris Carson

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Backfield Jumble


Carson was the man at running back for the Seahawks, running the ball 20 times for 93 yards, and he caught one pass for 7 yards to give him 100 total yards on the day. Lacy is a non-factor, and Rawls does not look like he will be able to keep Carson from getting the Lion share of carries going forward.

Fantasy Goo: Carson will probably be the number one waiver add in your league, and if you have the number one pick you NEED to add Carson now.


09/19/17, 07:06 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


D'Onta Foreman

Houston Texans

The Foreman Is On The Job


The Texans want to get Foreman more involved in the offense, and this week he had 12 carries for 40 yards. He is going to be in a 60/40 split with Lamar Miller, but there is upside if Miller goes down. His workload should only increase as the season moves along.

Fantasy Goo: If he’s still available, if you have space on your roster, and if you can wait a few weeks for him to take even more of the role, then this is your guy to grab. Foreman could emerge as the Texans primary back by the end of the year.


09/19/17, 07:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


Rashard Higgins

Cleveland Browns

They Call Him "Hollywood"


Browns placed WR Corey Coleman on injured reserve with a broken hand. Coleman underwent surgery on his broken right hand Monday. Higgins played 54-of-71 snaps against the Ravens, 12 more than Kenny Britt. He also turned 11 targets into seven catches for 95 yards. He was just promoted off the practice squad on Saturday, so he could be a one hit wonder.

Fantasy Goo: Normally I would say to just put him on your watch list, but he could emerge into what we thought Kenny Britt would be. Britt is playing like he doesn’t give a crap right now, which is giving Higgins opportunity and with Coleman out for at least eight weeks there might not be anyone else to throw to.


09/19/17, 07:00 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Will Fuller

Houston Texans

Strong Out, Fuller In


Will Fuller (collarbone) returned to practice on Monday. It's a potential sign Fuller could return for Week 3. The Houston Chronicle reported in early August that Fuller would likely miss "2-3 months," but Fuller is an elite athlete in optimal condition, and he is capable of beating a lengthy timetable like that. The Texans also placed WR Jaelen Strong on waivers and the Jaguars have claimed him.

Fantasy Goo: It’s too bad the Texans still don’t have a QB. Fuller could add a valuable weapon for Watson, but I don’t see Watson being a productive QB that can maintain two WR’s with weekly fantasy value. Keep Fuller on the watch list just in case Watson proves he can produce or they shift to a free agent QB.


09/19/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


A.J. Green

Cincinnati Bengals

Green looking forward to Green Bay


A.J. Green has struggled to get going this season, with 10 receptions for 141 yards and no touchdowns. This week he faces a Packers defense that could be without Mike Daniels and Ahmad Brooks. Julio Jones had 108 yards against the Packers last week, and without the pass rush of Daniels Green should be able to make more plays downfield this week. The Bengals are looking for their first touchdown of the season, and Dalton wants it to be a passing touchdown to A.J.


09/19/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Le'Veon Bell

Pittsburgh Steelers

Bell looking for a breakthrough against the Bears


Le'Veon has only totaled 138 yards with no scores through the first two weeks. Owners should be feeling good about his matchup this week against the Bears. Chicago is already without LB Jerrell Freeman, and last week lost his replacement Nick Kwiatkowski. The Bears are a mess and Bell should be able to exploit those weaknesses for big gains this week.


09/19/17, 06:52 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com

Carolina Panthers

Carolina In My Mind


Implied Team Totals: Panthers 25, Bills 18
Cam looked rusty last week, he was literally shaking his arm after passes like there was rust in his shoulder joint. Christian McCaffrey out-snapped Jonathan Stewart 70% to 43% in Week 1, but Stewart out-touched McCaffrey 20 to 18, and Stewart scored the backfield’s lone TD on a red-zone reception where McCaffrey served as a decoy. As Carolina is favored by a touchdown at home, this sets up as another positive-script game where Stewart can log a similar if not superior workload to his dynamic rookie counterpart, giving both Panthers backs RB2/flex appeal. I don’t like any of the receivers, Benjamin is only ranked within the startable range because of the implied opportunity and what should be a prime match-up.


09/17/17, 10:30 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo @ Carolina


Implied Team Totals: Panthers 25, Bills 18
Tyrod is a solid sit for me on the road against a strong Carolina defense that silenced the 49ers on the road last week. McCoy will get 25 or so carries so I’m starting him in season-long, but his upside is capped so he’s a fade in DFS this week. Charles Clay led Buffalo in targets and caught his eighth TD in 29 games as a Bill. Last year’s Panthers allowed the league’s second-most fantasy points to tight ends, a position to which their Cover-3 zone can be vulnerable.


09/17/17, 10:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New England Patriots

New England @ New Orleans


Implied Team Totals: Patriots 31, Saints 25
Last year the Saints allowed the second-most points (454) and the most passing yards (4380), the Superdome is now known as football’s version of Coors Field for its elevation of offensive output. My top DFS plays are Brady, of course, Cooks in a revenge game, Gronk if you are ok with paying up at TE, and the way to get Gronk in a DK line-up is to play James White at RB2 or flex. White is cheap, and played the most snaps of the RB’s last week, he could have around 5 receptions for around 35-50yds and cross your fingers for a TD.


09/17/17, 10:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Hosting New England


Implied Team Totals: Patriots 31, Saints 25
The Saints, and Brees are a different animal at home than the road. Alex Smith shredded the Pats last week and even on short rest (6 days, compared to NE’s 10 days) Brees should see similar numbers. I feel good about starting Michael Thomas or Fleener, they should see the bulk of red-zone targets. The RB situation is in flux so the only RB I’m considering is Alvin Kamara, he’s obviously not a cash game play, but at $3500 he could pay-off in a big way.


09/17/17, 10:09 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars have alot to do to bounce back to fantasy relevance in week 2


With Blake Bortles playing the role as "game manager" it certainly puts a cap on the Jags offense as a whole,sure Leonard Fournette can be counted on to get the Lions share of work but at the cost of the passing game especially after losing AR15 who is left to count on ?
Blake threw for a meager 125 and a TD in week one's victory over Houston,but went 11 for 21 pass attempts. (21 attempts yoikes)
It seems the lack of faith in Bortles has everyone wondering if you can even start any pass catcher on this team.
The improvement of the defense should help but if history tells us anything it is that the Jags will be playing from behind and will be forced to throw. So again who's catching the ball in Jacksonville week 2?

Allen Hurns caught 3 out of 4 targets for 42 yards in the Jaguars' season opener and should be the one to take on the WR1 duties. He did show some fantasy value two years ago and is most likely to be the receiver with the most upside and is currently WR 49 on pyro rankings.

Marqise Lee was off the marq week 1 and had 4 balls thrown his way and failed to haul in a single catch, but he is in line to be the WR2. Maybe the increased workload and motivation of being more involved in the game plan will be the trick for Lee who's is WR 50 on pyro rankings.

Marcedes Lewis the tight-end failed to make a single reception of his two targets vs.the Texans. He could be called on to make up some of the loss of ARob but I'm not holding my breath. He only had 169 yards and a single touchdown all of last season Lewis is currently holding down TE 47 on the current pyro rankings.

Fantasy Goo: So if your like me the approach in Jacksonville is wait and see what happens Sunday vs Tennessee and hopefully we get the answers we are looking for by end of week three.


09/17/17, 05:13 AM CDT by PK Ripper

Source: pyromaniac.com

Green Bay Packers

Packers @ Falcons


Ty Montgomery played 75 of82 snaps, he’s playing a team that struggles to cover RBs and there’s a high over under. After allowing a league-high 14.5 receiving points per game to opposing backfields in 2016, Atlanta allowed a Week 1 high 23.1 points to the Chicago backfield receiving. Aaron Rodgers has thrown 10 touchdowns with at least three in each game and averaged 29.3 points per game. Randall Cobb accounted for 32 percent of the Green Bay targets Week 1.

Fantasy Goo: Start everyone mentioned above and Jordy. I guess Adams and Bennett are solid plays too, but I usually stay away from them in general, very TD dependent. This should be a shoot-out in Atlanta’s new stadium, and I expect Ty Montgomery to have the best value at $5800 on DK.


09/16/17, 06:28 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Double Hunt in KC


“Chiefs are releasing CJ Spiller again, per sources. This makes room on the 53 for RB Akeem Hunt, who can contribute on lots of special teams.”

Fantasy: Ok, this means absolutely nothing, but if you have that guy in your league that keeps sending annoying trades, you should pick up Akeem and send the guy an offer when you know he’s been drinking. All he’ll see is Hunt KC, if you make the right offer. Ask for someone good, but don’t get greedy.


09/16/17, 06:24 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Michael Crabtree

Oakland Raiders

Crabtree is the WR1 on Oakland yet again


Crabtree is the WR1a for the Raiders against a strong Jets defense in Oakland, but it’s the first home game of the year and they’ve already shown the ability to put up points. This game should end in a blowout which means more red-zone targets for Crabby, something that he didn’t see in Week 1. Look for another seven reception performance for around 100 yards and a touchdown.


09/16/17, 04:56 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Derek Carr

Oakland Raiders

Great matchup this week


Carr was very efficient against the Titans on the road but will break out in a major way at home against the withering Jets defense. Tyrod Taylor posted 18.7 FF points in Week 1 against NYJ and Carr has better weapons at his disposal. Carr could easily be the top QB this week and will continue to be the steal of the draft.


09/16/17, 04:54 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

Cooper scooper


Cooper had the big fantasy day with his 62 yards and a touchdown, but he had only five receptions on 13 targets! Something to be concerned about, but Amari also worked through a small knee injury. Use the eye-test in Week 2 to see if his efficiency improves, otherwise, Crabtree might re-take the WR1 spot on this powerful offense.


09/16/17, 04:54 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Emmanuel Sanders

Denver Broncos

2 inches short of explosion


Sanders was so close to a massive fantasy day but was overthrown by inches on two red-zone targets on Monday night. Sanders and Demaryius will mimic each other’s stat lines through the season, but ‘Manny usually sees the softer coverage. Over the course of the season, Demaryius will see a larger total FF point sum, but itll be Sanders that wins you the week.


09/16/17, 04:53 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Demaryius Thomas

Denver Broncos

Solid WR2 in all formats


Thomas will continue to be a solid WR2 especially in PPR leagues. Dallas is a similar test to the Chargers in defending receivers, so temper expectations for a breakout week, but you can definitely expect 6-8 receptions for just under 100 yards.


09/16/17, 04:52 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


C.J. Anderson

Denver Broncos

Anderson has Charles breathing down his neck...


Anderson rushed 20 times for 81 yards but was often replaced near the goal line and in long yardage situations. It was odd to see and may be a legitimate concern with Jamaal Charles in the back-up role. All CJ owners should think about stashing Charles on the bench. Dallas only allowed 9.6 and 3.5 FF points to Giant RBs so we should expect a similar output in Week 2, making CJ a flex candidate.


09/16/17, 04:50 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com

Andrew Luck and every relevant QB are covered in this quick hitter piece for fantasy football

Pyro Gold Diggers - FF Outlook Nuggets for Quarterbacks Vol. 1

Posted by d-Rx on 07/06/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Aaron Rodgers

What can we say about Aaron Rodgers? He is the all time leader in TD:INT ratio and finished first among QBs in scoring in 2016 ahead of even the MVP season by Matt Ryan. This being said, he did so on only 27% deep ball accuracy. His previous career low was 38% and has 4 seasons above 50%. Expect A-Rod to IMPROVE on his already excellent 2016 season.

 

Tom Brady

How far away is the cliff for Mr. Brady? Well let’s remember that TB actually fell off a cliff in late March of 2015, no this wasn’t the horrid Chiefs game, but Brady fell off a cliff in the Costa Rican jungle. What did he do after that? He put up the second most points in 2015 to Cam’s superman-esque season, then followed it up with a near perfect 99.3 PFF grade for 2016. Do not fear the cliff in 2017 as Brandin Cooks came to town and Rob Gronkowski returns to action to safely catch Brad and tuck him away as a top 3 QB.

 

Andrew Luck

We all know Luck is coming off a serious shoulder surgery that has sidelined him sporadically the last two season. Despite this, Luck put together a 2016 season with a career best 71.2 QBR and a 92.4 PFF grade. If Luck is doing this with a injured throwing shoulder, imagine what he’ll do once healthy and with an upgraded offensive line.

 

Drew Brees

Mr. 5,000 will be without LT Terron Armstead for an extended period of time with a torn labrum. Fortunately for the QB widely known for his Home/Road splits averaged 18 points per game both with and without Armstead. Unfortunately for Brees, he will be without C Max Unger for an extended period and lost Brandin Cooks via trade.

 

Russell Wilson

Throwing only 34 pass attempts per game, there were 14 QBs who throw more than Russ. However, Wilson’s targets combined for only 10 drops for eligible WRs, and finished as a top 5 QB in five of his final 8 games after recovering from an ankle injury that had him close to immobile for first half of the season.

 

Matt Ryan

Take your pick between the Super Bowl loss hangover season, losing offensive guru Kyle Shanahan or having the highest QB Rating on clean pockets passes for why Ryan should experience regression in 2017.

 

Derek Carr

After signing the richest contract in NFL history what will the storyline for Carr’s 2017 be? We could be talking about how Carr reaped the benefits of Amari Cooper making the 3rd year WR jump. But will he be able to get the ball there with 4 of the top 10 rated CBs from last year on division rivals. Maybe we shouldn’t be taking last years 13th quarterback in points per game as the 6th QB off the board.

 

Kirk Cousins

Cousins is playing yet another season on the Franchise tag, this time he has to do it without Garcon and Jackson. Although many believe Terrelle Pryor to be an upgrade, Garcon actually finished with the 8th highest grade among all WRs. Pryor finished at number 31, with Jackson close behind at 36. In all reality Cousins may be in line for decreased production with his new look WR core.

 

Marcus Mariota

Although the idiom “break a leg” typically means good luck, Mariota’s fibula might be a little salty. We shouldn’t expect Mariota to break his shocking 0 career red zone interceptions with his upgraded toys in rookie Corey Davis and the former Jet and Bronco Eric Decker. Not to mention Mariota was the QB1 in fantasy spanning from Week 5 to 12 without the aforementioned pass catchers.

 

Dak Prescott

How much more leash will they give him as a run first team? Prescott had a historically low interception rate, this will regress this season, how does that affect psyche ad overall FF points?

 

Jameis Winston

Winston has 66 to 1 odds to win the 2017 MVP, but he averaged 9 less passes in Bucs wins. With only 8 QBs throwing deep balls at a worse percentage than Winston in 2016 DJax may be vastly underutilized. Take the field on this one.

 

Ben Roethlisberger

The splits game, Big Ben averages 4 more fantasy points per game with Martavis Bryant on the field. But his 70% completion rating and 20-5 TD to INT ratio drops to 59% and 9-8 on the road. Oh yeah, Ben starts the season with 3/4 games on the road.

 

Cam Newton

Well the dab is officially out which is good, but Cam had the lowest adjusted completion percentage in the NFL last year. Luckily for Cam, he goes up against 5 teams that give up the most fantasy points to QB’s and only 2 of the 10 most difficult matchups. Cam needs to learn how to protect himself better as he has been hit on 23% of his drop backs since entering the league in 2011 (That’s over 700 hits from NFL defensive players).

 

Phillip Rivers

After getting uprooted from his San Diego beach home, Rivers moves two hours north and will face the 5th most difficult QB schedule. After not missing a game in 11 season, Rivers might prefer to stay stuck in LA traffic rather than play behind the second worst line in football.

 

Andy Dalton

Dalton produced 4 top 60 players in his offense despite having AJ Green and Tyler Eifert for only 2 games. This season Dalton will have the added weapons of the speedster John Ross and preseason beast Joe Mixon. Dalton should be in line to get back to a top 5 QB and you can really wait on him in drafts.

 

Tyrod Taylor

The shackles are off TyGod as he is released from Rex Ryan and Greg Roman’s most run heavy offense in the NFL. Getting Sammy Watkins back healthy and the addition of Zay Jones shouldn’t hurt either.

 

Matthew Stafford

Stafford set the NFL record for most 4th Quarter Comebacks with 8. Although this statistic doesn’t have sticky correlations for the next season, Stafford has 6 straight 4,000 yard season and is the fastest QB in NFL history to reach the 30,000 yard mark. You can basically view him as a Drew Brees-lite that’s going multiple rounds later.

 

Eli Manning

Manning showed signs that he may be closer to the end than many think, failing to match his statistical outputs across the board since McAdoo took over the offense. The addition of Marshall and Engram should inflate his numbers, but don’t be surprised if we see a decline similar to Peyton’s 2015 season especially since Eli has not missed a game in his last 192, compounding this impact.

 

Blake Bortles

While everyone is talking about how Bortles continues to be a fantasy asset despite his real football struggles. Each year of Bortles career he has trailed less than the prior season. His rookie campaign he threw 77% of his attempts when trailing, 73% as a sophomore and 67% this last season. Jaguars improved their defense so we should expect them to be trailing less in 2017. While NOT trailing Bortles has failed to complete over 58% of his passes for only 2,800 yards with 11 TDs and 12 INTs. He did this on 510 attempts, that’s almost a full seasons worth. Bortles is a disease that you don’t want to catch in 2017!

 

Carson Wentz

Wentz was one of only 6 QBs to attempt over 600 attempts, however he finished with the least fantasy points among said QB’s. Lane Johnson coming back should help tremendously as he averaged 19 fantasy points with Johnson vs 15 without him. The addition of Alshon Jeffrey and Torrey Smith should only increase his effectiveness.

 

Carson Palmer

Is the cliff finally here for Palmer, who will be 38 by seasons end this year? It looked like it after Palmer followed up his 2015 season which was rated as the second best QB season of the past decade by PFF’s Scott Barrett with a gaudy 2016. With an ADP after QB20 Carson has real bounce back potential and is practically free. The stat to watch to indicate 2017 success will be decreasing his league high 137 hits from 2016.

 

Joe Flacco

Despite the highest number of drop backs and pass attempts in 2016, Flacco failed to break 15 fantasy points per game. Although the additions of Jeremy Maclin and Danny Woodhead should help Flacco, it may not even break even compared to 348 targets vacated by Steve Smith, Kamar Aiken and Dennis Pitta.

 

Alex Smith

Smith was one of the most game script sensitive QBs last year. His team led 47% of the time, but scored only 34% of his FP when leading. Known as strictly a game manager, Smith is a streaming QB option at best with Mahomes looming.

 

Ryan Tannehill

Tannehill was one of the most impacted QBs when facing pressure. With a clean pocket he averaged 9 yards per attempt while completing 74% of passes for a 112.4 QB rating. When facing pressure his yards per attempt dropped to 6.3 and competed less than 50% of his passes for a terrible 38.8 QB rating. Keep in mind that LT Branden Albert has moved on to Jacksonville and Pro Bowl Center Mike Pouncey is likely to start to season on the PUP list.

 

Sam Bradford

Bradford set career bests in completion percentage, yards, touchdowns per game and interceptions per game. He did this completing 71.6% of his passes, despite having never topped 65% and having the 3rd highest percentage of yards after that catch in the NFL. Expect some regression, especially with Teddy Bridgewater getting closer to being cleared from his brutal knee injury.

 

 

 

 

By The Hartbeat (@pyro_hartbeat)

 

 

 

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