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Jordan Reed

Washington Redskins

Reed Starts Season on PUP


The Redskins have not released a specific injury, so we must assume that its connected to the shoulder or recurring concussions.

Fantasy Goo: I would hold off drafting any shares of Reed until the injury is confirmed. The Redskins opened training camp today, although unlikely it could be a new concussion or concussion-like symptoms, any new concussion issues will likely land Reed out of football.


07/26/17, 04:41 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Trevor Siemian

Denver Broncos

Siemian To Open Camp As Starter


Trevor Siemian will start training camp with first team. He and Paxton Lynch will rotate daily.

Fantasy Goo: While both have similar season total values, Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders both clearly benefit from opposite receivers. Lynch adds value to Sanders gets a boost due to the deep ball and Siemian boosts Demaryius due to short ball accuracy.


07/26/17, 02:30 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Cody Kessler

Cleveland Browns

Kessler Opens Camp as QB1


Mary Cay Cabot has reported that Cody Kessler will get the first crack as starting QB in Brown's camp per Hugh Jackson.

Fantasy Goo: Kessler has the highest upside of of the Brown's current QB's in 2017. DeShone Kizer may be the long term plan, but I like Kessler for fantasy production in 2017.


07/26/17, 11:19 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Le'Veon Bell

Pittsburgh Steelers

Bell To Holdout


Le'Veon Bell reportedly turned down a 5 year extension averaging $12 million per year, and still hasn't signed his tender. Now star WR, Antonio Brown is calling out for the RB to show up and play via Instagram.

Fantasy Goo: The $12 million would make Le'Veon the highest paid RB in the and 50% higher than the current bread winner, LeSean McCoy. To me this says that Lev is going to hold out and is willing to miss regular season games (and paychecks) to receive a massive deal.


07/26/17, 11:09 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Matthews

Philadelphia Eagles

Matthews Knee Tendinitis Could Be Serious


Jordan Matthews has had a knee issue for the past month, so there is a chance it is more serious than tendinitis. This is a big story to keep track of through the Eagles training camp which kicks off today.

Fantasy Goo: Matthews is in elite company as one of only 5 WRs to open their career with 3 consecutive season with 65+ catches and 800+ yards. Joining Randy Moss, Odell Beckham Jr., A.J. Green and Mike Evans. If this issue persists or worsens, that success probably wont be sustained through a fourth season.


07/26/17, 10:27 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Ty Montgomery

Green Bay Packers

Ty Works With The Footwork King


Ty has reportedly been working out with Rischad Whitfield out of Houston to improve his footwork. Whitfield has been credited for working with both Melvin Gordon and Le'Veon Bell prior to their respective breakout sophomore seasons.

Fantasy Goo: This is not a guaranteed success as he also has worked with the likes of Jaelen Strong and Josh Huff so take this news with a grain of salt. However, Ty could see a vast improvement with improved footwork he could hit more holes, and have the confidence to be patient and let blocking develop.


07/26/17, 10:19 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Theo Riddick

Detroit Lions

Riddick Reportedly In Line for RZ Work


Tim Twentyman of the Detroit Lions homepage expects Cooter to utilize Riddick in the Red Zone more in 2017.

Fantasy Goo: Riddick converted all 3 of his RZ targets into scores. But this report contradict's Warren Sharps analysis that shows rushing in the RZ has a 58% success rate vs 43% for passing. I'm calling this news fluff and still expect big things from Abdullah.


07/26/17, 10:07 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Miami Dolphins

Throw More Coal Into The Jay-Train


Mike Pouncey, the Dolphins All-Pro caliber center, should be back and healthy for camp.

Fantasy Goo: Ajayi averaged 18.8 fantasy points with Pouncey on the field compared to 9.0 without his star center. Expect Ajayi to have a sharp increase in price due to this news.


07/26/17, 09:51 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Kenneth Dixon

Baltimore Ravens

UPDATE: Dixon Out For Season


Dixon's surgery today was a repair of the meniscus rather than a trimming. This is the better surgery for long term use, but Dixon will not play in 2017.

Fantasy Goo: Terrance West steps in line for a large workload, but the 2016 number one pass offense in terms of volume will see a high dosage of Woodhead and potentiall Buck Allen out of the backfield.


07/25/17, 05:30 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Vance McDonald

San Francisco 49ers

Niners Cutting McDonald?


“One of the final moves of the previous regime was to sign off on a contract extension for McDonald, who was guaranteed $9.1 million with his new deal in December. Now, McDonald is not assured a roster spot as he and the other holdovers face stiff competition from the newcomers who were hand-picked for the scheme.”
If SF cut’s McDonald they still have to pay him his 9 million guaranteed money and take a 3.5mil cap hit this year.

Fantasy Goo: McDonald was one of my early season deep sleepers, but rumors of SF wanting him out have caused me to back off. His draft price has dropped like a rock and now I’m thinking that these beat reporters are out of their mind. I’m going back to targeting McDonald in the 18th round or later. He could have a huge year in the Shanahan offense.


07/25/17, 12:56 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.csnbayarea.com


Kenneth Dixon

Baltimore Ravens

Dixon Under the Knife


“The Ravens' need for another back intensified this week when the team learned that Dixon tweaked his knee while working out before training camp. Dixon, a second-year back, is believed to have a torn meniscus in his knee, according to sources. He'll have surgery today and the team will know more about the severity of the injury. This is Dixon's third knee injury since the Ravens took him in the fourth round of last year's draft.”

Fantasy Goo: This could set-up very well for Terrance West, but as someone who watched him in college, he’s not going to earn much more than what is blocked for him. If Woodhead is able to get back to full capacity we could also see a big year from him, especially in PPR. Either way this backfield is still looking like a committee that shouldn’t be considered until after the sixth/seventh round of your draft.


07/25/17, 09:37 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.baltimoresun.com


Marshawn Lynch

Seattle Seahawks

Lynch Not a Bell-Cow


“The depth at running back means he won’t have to shoulder a huge load. Something in the range of the 195 carries Latavius Murray had last year should suffice, perhaps less if both Washington and Richard see an increase.”

Fantasy Goo: If Lynch is at full-strength he won’t need to be a bell-cow to out preform Murray’s performance from last year. Murray finished as the RB13 (std scoring) in 2016, despite being fairly inefficient behind a top-5 O-line. I expect Lynch will be there to take Murray’s vacated red-zone carries, but expect to see DeAndre Washington take a larger role in this backfield, especially when we get to the second half of the season, and your fantasy playoffs.


07/25/17, 07:36 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.mercurynews.com


Paul Perkins

New York Giants

Perkins Not Ideal For 0-RB


Many fantasy analysts are valuing Perkins very high due to reports that he could be a 3 down back for the Giants.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have produced only 11 rushing TDs over the past two years. They have failed to have a 1,000 yard rusher since 2012 nor have they produced a PPR RB over RB20 since 2011. Perkins who lost college rushes to a Linebacker has limited upside in the Giants offense.


07/24/17, 11:47 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Sammy Watkins

Buffalo Bills

Watkins All The Way Back?


"After the season finale in New York, he said he hoped to avoid surgery, but days later elected to have the procedure done. His rehab appears to be on schedule, as he was able to participate in a few team drills before the Bills wrapped up their spring practices. With six weeks between mandatory minicamp and start of training camp, Watkins should be close to 100 percent when camp starts Thursday."

Fantasy Goo: Watkins has WR1 upside when he is healthy and he is currently being drafted in the third round. Others that have gone through this procedure and have come back to full upside include; Julian Edelman, Dez Bryant, and Julio Jones.


07/23/17, 07:00 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: buffalonews.com


Eddie Lacy

Seattle Seahawks

Lacy Loses Weight, Gains Primary Role


“Lacy is the favorite to start over Thomas Rawls, who will still have a role. At a minimum, C.J. Prosise will be the third-down back and a big factor in the passing game.”

Fantasy Goo: In the five games he started last year, Lacy averaged over five yards a carry, all of Rawls value stems from four random, good games he had against weak defenses in 2015. Lacy’s biggest competition is going to come from Prosise. Prosise is a converted from receiver in college and at 6’, 220lbs, has the size-speed combo to take over as the primary back.


07/23/17, 06:56 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Kelley

Washington Redskins

Fat Rob Gets the Nod


Rob Kelley is slated to be the starting RB in Washington, however Perine will still have the opportunity to play a big role in the offense.

Fantasy Goo: Though Perine may be the higher scoring back in 2017, getting a couple early games from Kelley could be very valuable given his low draft cost.


07/23/17, 01:37 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: rotoworld.com


Duke Johnson

Cleveland Browns

Duke Johnson In The Slot


As reported by Mary Cay Cabot, Duke Johnson is likely to take over slot WR work from Andrew Hawkins who is now a Patriot. This depends on Josh Gordon's status if he is granted reinstatement in September.

Fantasy Goo: Until we get news on Gordon, Duke Johnson should be in line to see about 50 additional targets in 3 WR sets. This number will likely be allocating among Johnson, Njoku and DeValve.


07/23/17, 01:26 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Carson Palmer

Arizona Cardinals

Last Hurrah for Palmer?


"Last year, he kind of came in September, had already worn his arm out by overthrowing all summer," Arians said. "We found a nice regimen, November and December he was playing as good as he’s ever played." After finding the right work-out regimen Palmer was the number 8 QB over the last eight weeks of the season. David Johnson said "his arm is definitely feeling good."

Fantasy Goo: Palmer could be the reason why late-round QB works this year, with an ADP around QB20 Carson has real bounce back potential and is practically free. The stat to watch to indicate 2017 success will be decreasing his league high 137 hits from 2016.


07/22/17, 01:43 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.nfl.com


Zach Miller

Chicago Bears

Bears Overload at TE


Miller's contract has one year remaining with a base salary of $1.5 million and the issue the Bears have to tackle is if they can take a chance knowing Miller's durability issues. He has played in 25 games and missed 23 since joining the team in 2014. The only free agent that received more guaranteed money than quarterback Mike Glennon was Dion Sims, who signed an $18 million, three-year contract with $10 million guaranteed, ensuring he will be a big part of Dowell Loggains' offense.

Fantasy Goo: The Bears are five deep at TE right now after drafting Adam Shaheen, acquiring Daniel Brown from Baltimore, and signing UDFA Ben Braunecker. Miller seems like the odd man out here and that’s why he is no longer a late-round flyer in deep leagues. I’ve switched gears to Dion Sims simply because of his athleticism and the Bears investment in him as an every-down TE.


07/22/17, 01:15 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.chicagotribune.com


Anquan Boldin

Detroit Lions

Boldin Trying Buffalo


Boldin will be working out for the Bills on Monday (7/24) “Boldin, 36, led the Lions with 22 red zone targets last season. He had 67 catches and a career-high eight touchdowns, though he averaged a career-worst 8.7 yards per grab (584 yards in total).” The Bills are looking pretty shallow at WR at this point, they’ll probably be looking to have a few other guys in as well.

Fantasy Goo: This could cut into any upside we were hoping for from Zay Jones, although you could argue that they are much different types of receivers that just happen to both work out of the slot. Boldin will certainly vulture some TD’s from the wide receivers, but it absolutely crushes any chance of Charles Clay having any value and probably snakes away a little of Johnathan Williams receiving potential.


07/22/17, 12:17 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Andrew Luck and every relevant QB are covered in this quick hitter piece for fantasy football

Pyro Gold Diggers - FF Outlook Nuggets for Quarterbacks Vol. 1

Posted by d-Rx on 07/06/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Aaron Rodgers

What can we say about Aaron Rodgers? He is the all time leader in TD:INT ratio and finished first among QBs in scoring in 2016 ahead of even the MVP season by Matt Ryan. This being said, he did so on only 27% deep ball accuracy. His previous career low was 38% and has 4 seasons above 50%. Expect A-Rod to IMPROVE on his already excellent 2016 season.

 

Tom Brady

How far away is the cliff for Mr. Brady? Well let’s remember that TB actually fell off a cliff in late March of 2015, no this wasn’t the horrid Chiefs game, but Brady fell off a cliff in the Costa Rican jungle. What did he do after that? He put up the second most points in 2015 to Cam’s superman-esque season, then followed it up with a near perfect 99.3 PFF grade for 2016. Do not fear the cliff in 2017 as Brandin Cooks came to town and Rob Gronkowski returns to action to safely catch Brad and tuck him away as a top 3 QB.

 

Andrew Luck

We all know Luck is coming off a serious shoulder surgery that has sidelined him sporadically the last two season. Despite this, Luck put together a 2016 season with a career best 71.2 QBR and a 92.4 PFF grade. If Luck is doing this with a injured throwing shoulder, imagine what he’ll do once healthy and with an upgraded offensive line.

 

Drew Brees

Mr. 5,000 will be without LT Terron Armstead for an extended period of time with a torn labrum. Fortunately for the QB widely known for his Home/Road splits averaged 18 points per game both with and without Armstead. Unfortunately for Brees, he will be without C Max Unger for an extended period and lost Brandin Cooks via trade.

 

Russell Wilson

Throwing only 34 pass attempts per game, there were 14 QBs who throw more than Russ. However, Wilson’s targets combined for only 10 drops for eligible WRs, and finished as a top 5 QB in five of his final 8 games after recovering from an ankle injury that had him close to immobile for first half of the season.

 

Matt Ryan

Take your pick between the Super Bowl loss hangover season, losing offensive guru Kyle Shanahan or having the highest QB Rating on clean pockets passes for why Ryan should experience regression in 2017.

 

Derek Carr

After signing the richest contract in NFL history what will the storyline for Carr’s 2017 be? We could be talking about how Carr reaped the benefits of Amari Cooper making the 3rd year WR jump. But will he be able to get the ball there with 4 of the top 10 rated CBs from last year on division rivals. Maybe we shouldn’t be taking last years 13th quarterback in points per game as the 6th QB off the board.

 

Kirk Cousins

Cousins is playing yet another season on the Franchise tag, this time he has to do it without Garcon and Jackson. Although many believe Terrelle Pryor to be an upgrade, Garcon actually finished with the 8th highest grade among all WRs. Pryor finished at number 31, with Jackson close behind at 36. In all reality Cousins may be in line for decreased production with his new look WR core.

 

Marcus Mariota

Although the idiom “break a leg” typically means good luck, Mariota’s fibula might be a little salty. We shouldn’t expect Mariota to break his shocking 0 career red zone interceptions with his upgraded toys in rookie Corey Davis and the former Jet and Bronco Eric Decker. Not to mention Mariota was the QB1 in fantasy spanning from Week 5 to 12 without the aforementioned pass catchers.

 

Dak Prescott

How much more leash will they give him as a run first team? Prescott had a historically low interception rate, this will regress this season, how does that affect psyche ad overall FF points?

 

Jameis Winston

Winston has 66 to 1 odds to win the 2017 MVP, but he averaged 9 less passes in Bucs wins. With only 8 QBs throwing deep balls at a worse percentage than Winston in 2016 DJax may be vastly underutilized. Take the field on this one.

 

Ben Roethlisberger

The splits game, Big Ben averages 4 more fantasy points per game with Martavis Bryant on the field. But his 70% completion rating and 20-5 TD to INT ratio drops to 59% and 9-8 on the road. Oh yeah, Ben starts the season with 3/4 games on the road.

 

Cam Newton

Well the dab is officially out which is good, but Cam had the lowest adjusted completion percentage in the NFL last year. Luckily for Cam, he goes up against 5 teams that give up the most fantasy points to QB’s and only 2 of the 10 most difficult matchups. Cam needs to learn how to protect himself better as he has been hit on 23% of his drop backs since entering the league in 2011 (That’s over 700 hits from NFL defensive players).

 

Phillip Rivers

After getting uprooted from his San Diego beach home, Rivers moves two hours north and will face the 5th most difficult QB schedule. After not missing a game in 11 season, Rivers might prefer to stay stuck in LA traffic rather than play behind the second worst line in football.

 

Andy Dalton

Dalton produced 4 top 60 players in his offense despite having AJ Green and Tyler Eifert for only 2 games. This season Dalton will have the added weapons of the speedster John Ross and preseason beast Joe Mixon. Dalton should be in line to get back to a top 5 QB and you can really wait on him in drafts.

 

Tyrod Taylor

The shackles are off TyGod as he is released from Rex Ryan and Greg Roman’s most run heavy offense in the NFL. Getting Sammy Watkins back healthy and the addition of Zay Jones shouldn’t hurt either.

 

Matthew Stafford

Stafford set the NFL record for most 4th Quarter Comebacks with 8. Although this statistic doesn’t have sticky correlations for the next season, Stafford has 6 straight 4,000 yard season and is the fastest QB in NFL history to reach the 30,000 yard mark. You can basically view him as a Drew Brees-lite that’s going multiple rounds later.

 

Eli Manning

Manning showed signs that he may be closer to the end than many think, failing to match his statistical outputs across the board since McAdoo took over the offense. The addition of Marshall and Engram should inflate his numbers, but don’t be surprised if we see a decline similar to Peyton’s 2015 season especially since Eli has not missed a game in his last 192, compounding this impact.

 

Blake Bortles

While everyone is talking about how Bortles continues to be a fantasy asset despite his real football struggles. Each year of Bortles career he has trailed less than the prior season. His rookie campaign he threw 77% of his attempts when trailing, 73% as a sophomore and 67% this last season. Jaguars improved their defense so we should expect them to be trailing less in 2017. While NOT trailing Bortles has failed to complete over 58% of his passes for only 2,800 yards with 11 TDs and 12 INTs. He did this on 510 attempts, that’s almost a full seasons worth. Bortles is a disease that you don’t want to catch in 2017!

 

Carson Wentz

Wentz was one of only 6 QBs to attempt over 600 attempts, however he finished with the least fantasy points among said QB’s. Lane Johnson coming back should help tremendously as he averaged 19 fantasy points with Johnson vs 15 without him. The addition of Alshon Jeffrey and Torrey Smith should only increase his effectiveness.

 

Carson Palmer

Is the cliff finally here for Palmer, who will be 38 by seasons end this year? It looked like it after Palmer followed up his 2015 season which was rated as the second best QB season of the past decade by PFF’s Scott Barrett with a gaudy 2016. With an ADP after QB20 Carson has real bounce back potential and is practically free. The stat to watch to indicate 2017 success will be decreasing his league high 137 hits from 2016.

 

Joe Flacco

Despite the highest number of drop backs and pass attempts in 2016, Flacco failed to break 15 fantasy points per game. Although the additions of Jeremy Maclin and Danny Woodhead should help Flacco, it may not even break even compared to 348 targets vacated by Steve Smith, Kamar Aiken and Dennis Pitta.

 

Alex Smith

Smith was one of the most game script sensitive QBs last year. His team led 47% of the time, but scored only 34% of his FP when leading. Known as strictly a game manager, Smith is a streaming QB option at best with Mahomes looming.

 

Ryan Tannehill

Tannehill was one of the most impacted QBs when facing pressure. With a clean pocket he averaged 9 yards per attempt while completing 74% of passes for a 112.4 QB rating. When facing pressure his yards per attempt dropped to 6.3 and competed less than 50% of his passes for a terrible 38.8 QB rating. Keep in mind that LT Branden Albert has moved on to Jacksonville and Pro Bowl Center Mike Pouncey is likely to start to season on the PUP list.

 

Sam Bradford

Bradford set career bests in completion percentage, yards, touchdowns per game and interceptions per game. He did this completing 71.6% of his passes, despite having never topped 65% and having the 3rd highest percentage of yards after that catch in the NFL. Expect some regression, especially with Teddy Bridgewater getting closer to being cleared from his brutal knee injury.

 

 

 

 

By The Hartbeat (@pyro_hartbeat)

 

 

 

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