Articles
Newsfeeds
SHARE

Newsfeeds

View all + 7704

Pyro original fantasy football player news.


Jordan Reed

Washington Redskins

Reed Starts Season on PUP


The Redskins have not released a specific injury, so we must assume that its connected to the shoulder or recurring concussions.

Fantasy Goo: I would hold off drafting any shares of Reed until the injury is confirmed. The Redskins opened training camp today, although unlikely it could be a new concussion or concussion-like symptoms, any new concussion issues will likely land Reed out of football.


07/26/17, 04:41 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Trevor Siemian

Denver Broncos

Siemian To Open Camp As Starter


Trevor Siemian will start training camp with first team. He and Paxton Lynch will rotate daily.

Fantasy Goo: While both have similar season total values, Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders both clearly benefit from opposite receivers. Lynch adds value to Sanders gets a boost due to the deep ball and Siemian boosts Demaryius due to short ball accuracy.


07/26/17, 02:30 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Cody Kessler

Cleveland Browns

Kessler Opens Camp as QB1


Mary Cay Cabot has reported that Cody Kessler will get the first crack as starting QB in Brown's camp per Hugh Jackson.

Fantasy Goo: Kessler has the highest upside of of the Brown's current QB's in 2017. DeShone Kizer may be the long term plan, but I like Kessler for fantasy production in 2017.


07/26/17, 11:19 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Le'Veon Bell

Pittsburgh Steelers

Bell To Holdout


Le'Veon Bell reportedly turned down a 5 year extension averaging $12 million per year, and still hasn't signed his tender. Now star WR, Antonio Brown is calling out for the RB to show up and play via Instagram.

Fantasy Goo: The $12 million would make Le'Veon the highest paid RB in the and 50% higher than the current bread winner, LeSean McCoy. To me this says that Lev is going to hold out and is willing to miss regular season games (and paychecks) to receive a massive deal.


07/26/17, 11:09 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Matthews

Philadelphia Eagles

Matthews Knee Tendinitis Could Be Serious


Jordan Matthews has had a knee issue for the past month, so there is a chance it is more serious than tendinitis. This is a big story to keep track of through the Eagles training camp which kicks off today.

Fantasy Goo: Matthews is in elite company as one of only 5 WRs to open their career with 3 consecutive season with 65+ catches and 800+ yards. Joining Randy Moss, Odell Beckham Jr., A.J. Green and Mike Evans. If this issue persists or worsens, that success probably wont be sustained through a fourth season.


07/26/17, 10:27 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Ty Montgomery

Green Bay Packers

Ty Works With The Footwork King


Ty has reportedly been working out with Rischad Whitfield out of Houston to improve his footwork. Whitfield has been credited for working with both Melvin Gordon and Le'Veon Bell prior to their respective breakout sophomore seasons.

Fantasy Goo: This is not a guaranteed success as he also has worked with the likes of Jaelen Strong and Josh Huff so take this news with a grain of salt. However, Ty could see a vast improvement with improved footwork he could hit more holes, and have the confidence to be patient and let blocking develop.


07/26/17, 10:19 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Theo Riddick

Detroit Lions

Riddick Reportedly In Line for RZ Work


Tim Twentyman of the Detroit Lions homepage expects Cooter to utilize Riddick in the Red Zone more in 2017.

Fantasy Goo: Riddick converted all 3 of his RZ targets into scores. But this report contradict's Warren Sharps analysis that shows rushing in the RZ has a 58% success rate vs 43% for passing. I'm calling this news fluff and still expect big things from Abdullah.


07/26/17, 10:07 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Miami Dolphins

Throw More Coal Into The Jay-Train


Mike Pouncey, the Dolphins All-Pro caliber center, should be back and healthy for camp.

Fantasy Goo: Ajayi averaged 18.8 fantasy points with Pouncey on the field compared to 9.0 without his star center. Expect Ajayi to have a sharp increase in price due to this news.


07/26/17, 09:51 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Kenneth Dixon

Baltimore Ravens

UPDATE: Dixon Out For Season


Dixon's surgery today was a repair of the meniscus rather than a trimming. This is the better surgery for long term use, but Dixon will not play in 2017.

Fantasy Goo: Terrance West steps in line for a large workload, but the 2016 number one pass offense in terms of volume will see a high dosage of Woodhead and potentiall Buck Allen out of the backfield.


07/25/17, 05:30 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Vance McDonald

San Francisco 49ers

Niners Cutting McDonald?


“One of the final moves of the previous regime was to sign off on a contract extension for McDonald, who was guaranteed $9.1 million with his new deal in December. Now, McDonald is not assured a roster spot as he and the other holdovers face stiff competition from the newcomers who were hand-picked for the scheme.”
If SF cut’s McDonald they still have to pay him his 9 million guaranteed money and take a 3.5mil cap hit this year.

Fantasy Goo: McDonald was one of my early season deep sleepers, but rumors of SF wanting him out have caused me to back off. His draft price has dropped like a rock and now I’m thinking that these beat reporters are out of their mind. I’m going back to targeting McDonald in the 18th round or later. He could have a huge year in the Shanahan offense.


07/25/17, 12:56 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.csnbayarea.com


Kenneth Dixon

Baltimore Ravens

Dixon Under the Knife


“The Ravens' need for another back intensified this week when the team learned that Dixon tweaked his knee while working out before training camp. Dixon, a second-year back, is believed to have a torn meniscus in his knee, according to sources. He'll have surgery today and the team will know more about the severity of the injury. This is Dixon's third knee injury since the Ravens took him in the fourth round of last year's draft.”

Fantasy Goo: This could set-up very well for Terrance West, but as someone who watched him in college, he’s not going to earn much more than what is blocked for him. If Woodhead is able to get back to full capacity we could also see a big year from him, especially in PPR. Either way this backfield is still looking like a committee that shouldn’t be considered until after the sixth/seventh round of your draft.


07/25/17, 09:37 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.baltimoresun.com


Marshawn Lynch

Seattle Seahawks

Lynch Not a Bell-Cow


“The depth at running back means he won’t have to shoulder a huge load. Something in the range of the 195 carries Latavius Murray had last year should suffice, perhaps less if both Washington and Richard see an increase.”

Fantasy Goo: If Lynch is at full-strength he won’t need to be a bell-cow to out preform Murray’s performance from last year. Murray finished as the RB13 (std scoring) in 2016, despite being fairly inefficient behind a top-5 O-line. I expect Lynch will be there to take Murray’s vacated red-zone carries, but expect to see DeAndre Washington take a larger role in this backfield, especially when we get to the second half of the season, and your fantasy playoffs.


07/25/17, 07:36 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.mercurynews.com


Paul Perkins

New York Giants

Perkins Not Ideal For 0-RB


Many fantasy analysts are valuing Perkins very high due to reports that he could be a 3 down back for the Giants.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have produced only 11 rushing TDs over the past two years. They have failed to have a 1,000 yard rusher since 2012 nor have they produced a PPR RB over RB20 since 2011. Perkins who lost college rushes to a Linebacker has limited upside in the Giants offense.


07/24/17, 11:47 AM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Sammy Watkins

Buffalo Bills

Watkins All The Way Back?


"After the season finale in New York, he said he hoped to avoid surgery, but days later elected to have the procedure done. His rehab appears to be on schedule, as he was able to participate in a few team drills before the Bills wrapped up their spring practices. With six weeks between mandatory minicamp and start of training camp, Watkins should be close to 100 percent when camp starts Thursday."

Fantasy Goo: Watkins has WR1 upside when he is healthy and he is currently being drafted in the third round. Others that have gone through this procedure and have come back to full upside include; Julian Edelman, Dez Bryant, and Julio Jones.


07/23/17, 07:00 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: buffalonews.com


Eddie Lacy

Seattle Seahawks

Lacy Loses Weight, Gains Primary Role


“Lacy is the favorite to start over Thomas Rawls, who will still have a role. At a minimum, C.J. Prosise will be the third-down back and a big factor in the passing game.”

Fantasy Goo: In the five games he started last year, Lacy averaged over five yards a carry, all of Rawls value stems from four random, good games he had against weak defenses in 2015. Lacy’s biggest competition is going to come from Prosise. Prosise is a converted from receiver in college and at 6’, 220lbs, has the size-speed combo to take over as the primary back.


07/23/17, 06:56 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Kelley

Washington Redskins

Fat Rob Gets the Nod


Rob Kelley is slated to be the starting RB in Washington, however Perine will still have the opportunity to play a big role in the offense.

Fantasy Goo: Though Perine may be the higher scoring back in 2017, getting a couple early games from Kelley could be very valuable given his low draft cost.


07/23/17, 01:37 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: rotoworld.com


Duke Johnson

Cleveland Browns

Duke Johnson In The Slot


As reported by Mary Cay Cabot, Duke Johnson is likely to take over slot WR work from Andrew Hawkins who is now a Patriot. This depends on Josh Gordon's status if he is granted reinstatement in September.

Fantasy Goo: Until we get news on Gordon, Duke Johnson should be in line to see about 50 additional targets in 3 WR sets. This number will likely be allocating among Johnson, Njoku and DeValve.


07/23/17, 01:26 PM CDT by The Hartbeat

Source: twitter.com


Carson Palmer

Arizona Cardinals

Last Hurrah for Palmer?


"Last year, he kind of came in September, had already worn his arm out by overthrowing all summer," Arians said. "We found a nice regimen, November and December he was playing as good as he’s ever played." After finding the right work-out regimen Palmer was the number 8 QB over the last eight weeks of the season. David Johnson said "his arm is definitely feeling good."

Fantasy Goo: Palmer could be the reason why late-round QB works this year, with an ADP around QB20 Carson has real bounce back potential and is practically free. The stat to watch to indicate 2017 success will be decreasing his league high 137 hits from 2016.


07/22/17, 01:43 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.nfl.com


Zach Miller

Chicago Bears

Bears Overload at TE


Miller's contract has one year remaining with a base salary of $1.5 million and the issue the Bears have to tackle is if they can take a chance knowing Miller's durability issues. He has played in 25 games and missed 23 since joining the team in 2014. The only free agent that received more guaranteed money than quarterback Mike Glennon was Dion Sims, who signed an $18 million, three-year contract with $10 million guaranteed, ensuring he will be a big part of Dowell Loggains' offense.

Fantasy Goo: The Bears are five deep at TE right now after drafting Adam Shaheen, acquiring Daniel Brown from Baltimore, and signing UDFA Ben Braunecker. Miller seems like the odd man out here and that’s why he is no longer a late-round flyer in deep leagues. I’ve switched gears to Dion Sims simply because of his athleticism and the Bears investment in him as an every-down TE.


07/22/17, 01:15 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.chicagotribune.com


Anquan Boldin

Detroit Lions

Boldin Trying Buffalo


Boldin will be working out for the Bills on Monday (7/24) “Boldin, 36, led the Lions with 22 red zone targets last season. He had 67 catches and a career-high eight touchdowns, though he averaged a career-worst 8.7 yards per grab (584 yards in total).” The Bills are looking pretty shallow at WR at this point, they’ll probably be looking to have a few other guys in as well.

Fantasy Goo: This could cut into any upside we were hoping for from Zay Jones, although you could argue that they are much different types of receivers that just happen to both work out of the slot. Boldin will certainly vulture some TD’s from the wide receivers, but it absolutely crushes any chance of Charles Clay having any value and probably snakes away a little of Johnathan Williams receiving potential.


07/22/17, 12:17 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Quick hitting fantasy football intel to help you win your league - this is volume 1 of the running backs

Pyro Gold Diggers - FF Outlook Nuggets for Running Backs Vol. 1

Posted by d-Rx on 07/15/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

SHARE ON

Since 2012 the Running Back position has been the most volatile position in fantasy football. If we look at the top 12 rushers each season since 2012, only 8 running backs have followed up their season with more yards than the prior year, that’s only 16.7% of the time (not to mention one of those was Adrian Peterson after having to sit out the majority of the 2014 season on the commissioners exempt list). With this volatility and high market price for Running Backs on draft day, we did a deep dive on the position to help you realize market inefficiencies and dominate another fantasy season! Let’s get started:

 

Le'Veon Bell – Based on Avg. Yds. From Scrimmage, had Bell played 16 games he would have had 2,512 well ahead of 2nd. He is as good as advertised.

 

Ezekiel Elliott – Elliott led the league with rushes of 20 yards or more with 14. Always a homerun threat. The cloud of uncertainty still hangs over him. The league has yet to rule out disciplinary action for the 2017, something to keep an eye on.

 

David Johnson - Johnson led all RBs in receptions with 80. This put him in the top 20 including WRs. With reports coming from Cardinals, they plan to use him even more. He could approach 100. Johnson was PFF’s 2016 Receiver of the Year, yeah…WR!

 

LeSean McCoy – McCoy finished the year 4th in total TD’s with 14. This while having 10 vultured by his backups. Mike Gillislee and his 9 has moved on to the Patriots leaving 2017 open for positive regression.

 

Melvin Gordon – Gordon is a member of a shrinking minority in the league, a true bell cow back. He finished the 2016 season with 1,416 combined yards and 12 TD’s. The Chargers let Woodhead go to Baltimore and did not bring in a replacement. Expect these numbers to increase in 2017. The Chargers head coach is Anthony Lynn, please see the Bills 24 RB rushing TDs above.

 

Devonta Freeman – Freeman ended 2016 6th in scrimmage yards with 1,541. 2017 is a contract year and it looks as though the Falcons plan to see how the year unfolds before offering an extension.

 

Jordan Howard – Howard busted onto the scene in 2016 and ended as the second leading rusher with 1,313 yards, he also lost 15 pounds in the offseason. As a bigger back, this has lead other players to continued success, cough cough Le’Veon.

 

Jay Ajayi – Jay-Train last call! Ajayi led the NFL in forced missed tackles with 58 and put up 3.46 yards after contact. Thus Ajayi was had the best elusive rating from PFF. Adam Gase sees it too and said Ajayi could see 350 carries this year. But tread lightly, Ajayi has bone-on-bone in his knee, lets enjoy him while we can.

 

DeMarco Murray – Wait, it’s not an Exotic Smash mouth? Murray was a workhorse in 2016 ranking third in rush attempts and sixth in receptions. They say they’ll get Henry more work, but can they get DeMarco off the field?

 

Lamar Miller – Our Lamar Miller experiment didn’t play out how many saw, he did in fact set career highs with 714 snaps and 268 rushes. So that’s why the Dolphins never gave Miller the big workload, but expect Miller to see a huge increase of work in the passing game as he was literally the only RB to not drop a target in the NFL last year.

 

Leonard Fournette – Fournette’s 2015 season at LSU was rated as the best RB season in the last decade. Why is he so great? At his 235 pound playing weight, Fournette recorded a 22.9 MPH during a game. For comparison purposes, Tyreek Hill’s top speed was recorded at 23.2 MPH, he’s really big and he’s really freaking fast.

 

Todd Gurley – New HC, Sean McVay has never coached a team that ranked lower than 11th in rushing. It’s safe to say that Gurley is going to be a much more fun tool to play with than ‘Fat Rob’, Matt Jones and the ghost of Alf Morris.

 

Jonathan Stewart – The Panthers added Christian McCaffrey and Curtis Samuel in the draft so many think J-Stew is on the way out. Think again, since 2015 no player has more broken tackles on runs between the tackles than Stewart. In fact, he is sitting at 96 and the next closest player is down at 78. J-Stew ain't going nowhere.

 

Mark Ingram – The AP signing had us all questioning Ingram’s status in New Orleans. Pump the break, Ingram in 2016 outplayed Peterson in 2015 by trumping his elusive rating by 21 points (6th overall to AP’s 25th) and he averaged 0.8 yards after contact more than Peterson those respective years.

 

Duke Johnson – Isaiah Crowell is getting all of the Brown’s RB hype this off-season, but don’t forget about Duke. He was incredible in 2016 with 21 broken tackles after the catch. This was second to only the other D. Johnson, 2016’s fantasy sweetheart.

 

Mike Gillislee – Gillislee ranks favorable to Blount, if he only carries the ball 75% of what Blount did he should finish the year with 1,281 yards and 17 TDs extrapolated from his incredibly impressive yards per carry in Buffalo.

 

LeGarrette Blount – LGB shocked the fantasy world in 2016 with 18 TDs, in the three years prior Blount totaled 18 TDs. Not to mention the Blount has shown an affinity for getting caught smoking weed in Pennsylvania.

 

Ty Montgomery –With the exception of the game at Chicago, he failed to surpass 100 yards and did not get double digit carries in any of the regular season games. In the playoffs he had 25 attempts and 91 rushing yards over their 3 games.

 

Jalen Richard – Jalen Richard just might be the next big thing for the NFL. We saw David Johnson burst onto the scene in 2015 as he took his first two NFL touches to the house. Jalen Richard’s first touch was a 75-yard Touchdown run. Also, Jalen had the second highest yards after contact (3.6) and rushes per missed tackle (4.1) averages. We’re not saying Richard is going to be the next David Johnson, but he just might be.

 

Isaiah Crowell – Cleveland added some big bodies to their offensive line which earned them PFF’s 2nd rated O-Line heading into 2017. Crowell is not a sure thing to reap the benefits of the line, he had the second lowest Success Rate among RB’s with over 100 carries last season as he finished with just 39% successful plays.

 

Doug Martin – Doug Martin has finished as RB3 twice in his career, in his other three seasons he finished no higher than 45th. What can be extrapolated from this? When he does not play all 16 games, Martin has never surpassed 500 yards rushing. With Martin’s suspension, we know he will not play all 16. Exo-facto draft Martin with caution this year.

 

Christian McCaffrey – McCaffrey broke Barry Sanders collegiate record with 2,659 yards from scrimmage. How did this stat translate to the pros? Barry ran for 1,470 yard and 14 touchdowns and added 282 in the air. If we project this out to 175 rushes vs Sanders 280, CMC is looking at 900 yards and 8 TDs, plus we can all agree that he’s looking at about 40 catches to Barry’s 24.

 

Joe Mixon – The number we are looking at is 4.5. Nope, this wasn’t Mixon’s 40 time, it was Jay Ajayi’s rushes per missed tackle, in which he led the league. Mixon’s college production is favorable to this number, Mixon forced a missed tackle on every 3.9 touches. Don’t be surprised if we see Mixon going for 200 yards in games this year like we saw from Ajayi in 2016.

 

Adrian Peterson – The last time we saw a healthy Peterson he was All-World, after a meniscus tear and with age concerns AP is coming at a discount for the first time since his rookie year. In 2015 Peterson had a production premium of -1.3 which shows that he was less efficient with his work than the norm. Despite this, his normalize fantasy points per game were 3rd in the league when adjusted for his supporting cast. New Orleans is certainly a more efficient offense than Minnesota, we should see this reflected despite projecting a lesser workload.

 

Frank Gore – This may be the biggest question in fantasy football, when will Frank Gore be done? Gore leads the NFL in career touches with 609 more than the next closest player. Fun fact is that he has more than 2x touches than Jamaal Charles. Frank Gore is currently 8th all-time at 13,065 yards, trailing the great Eric Dickerson by 194. The number he is shooting for is 1,037 yards this year as it will put Gore above Curtis Martin and into 4th overall. Can he stay healthy and effective enough to hit that mark? Maybe not, we may have seen the cliff last year without noticing it. Gore dropped from 10th most elusive runner to last among 25 qualified RBs. If Gore can't make people miss the Colts will likely move on from the future HOFer.

 

James Conner – The PIT Panther has one of the most inspiring stories in all of sports as he beat cancer, and still was able to show up for practices during his treatment. He is stepping into De’Angelo William’s role as Le’Veon Bell’s backup. If Bell goes down the Steelers have shown that they will use the backup as a workhorse. James Conner prior to cancer in 2014 had the second most broken tackles over the past 3 years at 88. He automatically becomes a top-12 RB if Bell goes down.

 

Kenneth Dixon – Dixon will miss the first 4 games for violating the PED policy. When he comes back you still might not want to own him, Dixon only faced a stacked front 3.4% of his carries, but on those plays he failed to average positive yards. As for being used in the pass game, remember that the Ravens went out and got receiving specialist Danny Woodhead.

 

Carlos Hyde – Carlos Hyde will be the feature back in a Kyle Shanahan offense, this is a position we hold near and dear to our heart in fantasy football. Shanahan has produced a top 5 rushing offense three times in the past five seasons. This is not an outlier, his father, Mike worked for 26 years in the NFL, 22 of those seasons he had a top 12 rushing offense. Running is in the Shanahan blood, and this year Carlos Hyde will be the main beneficiary.

 

Ameer Abdullah – Ameer is the ultimate risk in fantasy football, Jim Bob Cooter has made Detroit a passing haven that involves RBs in the pass attack more than on the ground. Ameer is in the 98th percentile on his SPARQ-x score which is a measure for explosiveness. With all that explosiveness sometimes we get duds. In fact, Ameer is the most volatile fantasy player on a weekly basis. Due to this, it’s in your best interest to not rely on Abdullah on a week-in-week-out basis.

 

C.J. Anderson – The Broncos have brought new RBs on board in consecutive seasons with Booker and Charles joining Anderson in the back field. Anderson saw 74% of the RB snaps when active in 2016, that good for 7th among RBs. As long as he is healthy the Broncos will feed him the rock. Oh and his fantasy playoff matchup is composed of the Jets, Colts and Redskins, yummy.

 

Jamaal Charles – Jamaal Charles is well known for his NFL record 5.45 yards per carry. Being in Denver now, that number doesn’t matter as he needs to work his way up the depth chart. How is he going to do that? His last healthy season, Jamaal was the 6th most elusive RB with a 55.8 score, the start C.J. Anderson dropped to a career low of 34.2 last year. If Jamaal can make plays like a shell of himself, he will find himself getting work in the Mile High City.

 

Devontae Booker – When Anderson went down last season, the fantasy community was thirsty for some Booker. He fell flat on his face with a Red Zone success rate of 41% that put him at 84th in the NFL. The Broncos clearly showed their frustration with the addition of Jamaal Charles.

 

Samaje Perine – Samaje Perine worked in Joe Mixon’s shadow for much of this year’s draft season, although Mixon got more hype, Perine was actually the starter in Washington. Perine’s only completion in Washington this year is ‘Fat Rob’ Kelley. Somehow people have forgotten that Perine, not Mixon is the single game record holder for rush yards in a single game when we went for 427 against Kansas in 2014. Perine may have the best situation of any rookie RB this season.

 

Darren McFadden – The Dallas offense runs through Zeke Elliott, but Jerry Jones will always have an affinity for DMC as he is a Razorback. That being said, the Cowboys run the most plays on the ground, hitting an extraordinary 499 in 2016. With a top tier offensive line and DMC clocking in the 98th percentile on his Speed Score, he has the ability to step in and produce RB1 numbers if Zeke is suspended or injured. Remember there was concern with Zeke and his hamstring injury prior to 2016, soft tissue injuries seem to never go away.

 

Joe Williams – Kyle Shanahan banging his hands on the table to draft Joe Williams is the story that resonates in everyone’s mind. Williams had some good, tape but the numbers that really stand out are 7 and 5. Williams fumbled the ball 7 times last year, and added 5 drops on catchable balls. Rookies don’t get many opportunities in the NFL, and if Williams doesn’t avoid these mistakes in the NFL the 49ers fans will be banging the tables for Matt Breida.

 

Jamaal Williams – Jamaal Williams reminds me of a player in a similar situation, a high potent offense with a glaring hole at RB. The 2010 Patriots were a high octane offense with a 33-year-old QB (cough cough Aaron) and an uninspiring running game. The Lawfirm, BenJarvis Green Ellis toted 509 carries without recording a fumble. Jamaal Williams is of the same fabric, Williams was PFF’s top pass blocking RB in the draft class and his big frame and large hands led to only two fumbles over 786 carries. He won’t blow you away, but if he gets the job you can plug him in as a safe RB2.

 

Theo Riddick – Theo Riddick if playing in average situations was RB8 last year on a points per game basis, however from Week 8 on Riddick consistently saw his touches drop from 19 to an average of 10 in weeks 11-13. Riddick will also be fighting for playing time with Ameer Abdullah back healthy. To keep the trend of 8’s going, the Lions had 8 Fourth Quarter comeback. Riddick saw a lot of opportunities in those games whereas he is not as valuable if you flip the game script.

 

Eddie Lacy – We have gotten to a point with Lacy where we assume if he is not overweight that he is going to be able to provide fantasy value. However, Lacy had a production premium grade of -26.1 which compares Lacy to the other RBs and measures efficiency and smooths out garbage time and other non-standard situations. This makes Lacy the #76 RB in smoothed efficiency. Lacy was healthy in 2015 but he failed to break into the positives that year as well finishing as the #54 RB. C.J. Prosise on the other hand was #4 in the NFL with a score of +37.1. Prosise may just beat out Lacy as the rushing downs back and passing.

 

Dalvin Cook – Dalvin Cook fell to Minnesota in the second round of this year’s rookie draft due to off-the field concerns as many advanced metrics supported Cook being the best back in the draft class. Cook finished second in the nation with 4.6 yards after contact and first in the nation with 88 forced missed tackles. Unfortunately, he is going to the third worst rushing team in the NFL as the Vikings were only able to create 0.93 yards before contact. Even if Cook gets the lion share of work, it’ll be tough to get in space and make guys miss when he’s constantly being met in the backfield.

 

Matt Forte – This will more than likely be Forte’s final season in the NFL as he has gone on record multiple times stating that his goal has always been to play 10 years in the NFL. When we think of players who get more effective when their workload lessens, we likely think of the smaller backs like Lamar Miller who are more impacted by the grind of being an NFL running back. Interestingly Matt Forte sees a significant inverted increase in effectiveness when his carries drop. Actually looking at it, each season Forte’s snaps decrease his PFF grade increases. Without a doubt we expect the 31-year-old back to see less work, but he still will provide value in his limited work.

 

Derrick Henry – The word on the street is that DeMarco Murray will remain as the workhorse back in Tennessee and Henry will have to sit back and wait his turn. We talk about Murray’s receiving skills as a main reason why he won’t come off the field, however Derrick Henry excelled in the pass game. Henry had the third highest pass blocking efficiency allowing only one total pressure last season. Henry will see more action in his sophomore season, and his value will sky rocket if Murray suffers an injury.

 

Danny Woodhead – A lot of people are buying into Woodhead in Baltimore. I’m not. Woodhead is on the wrong side of 30 as he will turn 33 in January. Woodhead has a career high of 106 rush attempts, and outside that 2013 season he has never topped 100. There have been 66 other instances of 32-year-old RBs with under 100 rush attempts, only 2 of them produced over 10 fantasy points per game in PPR scoring and only 5 have produced over 100 PPR points over the course of the season. In a crowded backfield, it is a good practice to fade 30+ year old running backs with limited upside.

 

Terrance West – T-West has been named Baltimore’s starting RB, partially due to Kenneth Dixon’s suspension. West is being vastly overlooked due to the perception that Dixon will win that job when he returns, however West was a surprisingly strong player. Last season he was the 13th rated RB due to his 12 runs of over 15 yards which was good for eighth in the league. Dixon is perceived as a better pass catcher, however West’s 1.54 yards per route run was good for 0.25 better than the aforementioned Dixon.

 

Paul Perkins – The New York Giants are “all-in” on Perkins this year. But if we look at Ben McAdoo who comes from the Mike McCarthy phylum as he was with the Packers from 2006-2013. Since 2009 with McAdoo a Ryan Grant was the only RB to receive over 50% of the shares of carries. The next highest market share was 47%, pump the breaks on Perkins as there has been a strong influence of RBBC in McAdoo’s offenses.

 

Charles Sims – Sims produced a rushing NEP of -9.9 on his 51 carries in 2016. NEP is a measure of how many expected points a player added or lost on an individual play. This led Sims to just a 27.5% success rate on his runs. He was vastly outperformed by Jacquizz Rodgers with a success rate of 46.5%. Don’t expect to see Sims get a substantial workload especially considering the Doug Martin hype coming out of Tampa Bay this off-season.

 

Kareem Hunt – PFF rated Hunt as the number one overall running back in the draft class, after generating 986 rushing yards after contact over his career and getting the third highest FBS elusive rating of 112.1. Hunt may have trouble supplanting Spencer Ware, but this will depend on Ware’s health. If we see the post-concussion Hunt of last season, the job is Hunt’s to lose.

 

Marlon Mack – Frank Gore and Robert Turbin combined to break off 15 yard runs on only 11% of their carries. Mack on the other hand produced 15+ yard runs on 52% of his carries, fifth highest among this draft class. Mack got the workload to support a consistent fantasy output, but he is the most likely RB to mirror Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington who both averaged over 5 yards per carry backing up Latavius Murray.

 

Thomas Rawls – The Seahawks who we remember being a power running team fueled by Marshawn Lynch couldn’t be further from how they played in 2016. The percentage of power scheme rushing plays that the Seahawks ran in 2016 was dead last at 1.5%. Rawls is a power runner and was since supplanted by Eddie Lacy, Rawls has more obstacles of any starting RB from last year to regain his starting role.

 

Tevin Coleman – Coleman saw the ninth largest increase in play based on PFF’s overall grades among second year players across all positions, he improved in almost every metric as he cut down his fumbles, increased his yards after contact and tripled his rush attempt totals. Coleman really thrived in the passing game as he dropped only 2 passes of his 45 targets and averages 11.2 yards after contact. Coleman led all RBs in yards per route at 2.44 and has claimed his role as Atlanta’s pass catching back. Coleman also could be primed for elite status next year as Devonta Freeman seeks to be paid as an elite RB next year, which Atlanta may not be willing to pay up.

 

Bilal Powell – From Week 10 on last year, Bilal Powell can say one thing that no other man can say. Powell was the only running back to force more missed tackles than Le’Veon Bell with 9 on his 29 catches. In the same time period Powell average 3.24 yards after contact, and despite his limited workload he forced 4 more missed tackles than the Cowboys workhorse Zeke Elliott. He also beat out teammate Matt Forte with the eighth best overall ranking and sixth best running grade compared to Forte’s 22nd and 18th respectively. 

 

 

 

 

By The Hartbeat & Pop's

 

 

 

Become a Pyro Pro+

 

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

Become a Pyro Pro: http://bit.ly/1K5Af4R