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Julio Jones and Matt Ryan power the Falcons against Rawls, Jimmy Graham and the Seahawks

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons - Divisional Round - 2016 Playoffs

Posted by d-Rx on 01/12/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons (-5); Over/Under 51.5

Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 4:35 EST

 

Weekly Matchups Divisional Playoffs - Seahawks against WR1 @ Falcons against TE


The Seahawks finally looked like the team many expected them to be all season. Russ was his accurate and efficient self, picking apart the Lions after a slow start. Russ finished the game completing 23 of 30 passes for 223 yards and two scores, but the game was really won by the run game as Thomas Rawls was able to get rolling. Wilson will get a plus matchup against the Falcons who allowed the third most fantasy points on the season to opposing quarterbacks, despite Russell scoring a lowly 11 fantasy points against them at home in Week 6. Rawls will also have a chance to keep rolling as the Falcons allowed over 20 fantasy points a game to opposing running backs on the season, and allowed three rushing touchdowns to the Seahawks in their Week 6 loss. Before last week Rawls had really struggled however, and sports a big home/road split. In four road games this season, Rawls has rushed for 112 yards and 1 touchdown while adding 4 catches for 22 yards. Rawls has massive upside in DFS, but also a bottom of the barrel downside this season. Doug Baldwin had a huge week, and building off a good season should be able to keep it rolling with Russ, the last time these two teams matched up, Baldwin caught just four passes for 31 yards, but that slot corner coverage will be tough to avoid from a DFS perspective. Paul Richardson stepped up in the absence of Tyler Lockett and made one of the better catches you will ever see, he will be in consideration again this week, but Jermaine Kearse seems to come through in big spots, and was their leading wide receiver in the last tilt with 35 receiving yards. Jimmy Graham was the teams leading wide receiver in Week 6, catching six of his nine targets for 89 yards. The Falcons allowed the sixth most fantasy points to tight ends on the season, making Graham one of the top options on the market in the divisional round. The Seahawks have just been a different team on the road this season, and while their offense seems to have great matchups across the board, they also possess some risk making them better GPP plays then cash options.

 

The Atlanta Falcons are coming off a nice little week of rest, and luckily we haven’t heard any reports about their boating exploits. Matt Ryan is a certifiable MVP candidate after posting the best season of his career. Ryan will also have a full-squad of players healthy after their bye week, most importantly Julio Jones. The Seahawks are a tough defense, but not quite as tough without Earl Thomas. Ryan was able to do some damage against the Seahawks the last time these two team matched up, basically in just a half of football. Ryan threw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns with an interception before the game eventually ended after a questionable non-call between Richard Sherman and Julio Jones. Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman combined for just 67 yards from scrimmage in what was their worst outing of the season. The Seahawks are stout against the run, but did allow four different running backs to score multiple touchdowns against them this season, so maybe Freeman will be able to convert a few redzone carries into scores. Julio got the best of Sherman many of times in the last matchup and caught seven of his nine targets for 139 yards and a score. Julio will probably see Sherman again, but without Thomas to come over the top, Julio is still one of the top options on the weekend. Mohamed Sanu caught 5 passes and a touchdown against the Seahawks and has proven adequate if unspectacular out of the slot. Taylor Gabriel hadn’t established himself as a weekly threat the last time these teams played, and could be an X-factor in the screen game and for deep shots against secondary coverage that goes missing at times. Justin Hardy and Aldrick Robinson are the next two on the receiver depth chart, but expecting a big game out of them is more of a shot in the dark than an educated guess. Levine Tiololo had a big game against the Seahawks with a long touchdown strike on his way to 69 yards. Jacob tame was still the leading tight end at that time, but Austin Hooper will be an interesting low cost option punt option this week, despite the Seahawks playing much better against tight ends this season then in years past. At home with a full compliment of weapons, this game looks to be a good one, especially with early growth of the total from 49 to 51.5.  

 


 

By: Stagg Party

 

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