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September 25, 2018
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@amaze652


RT @_PeteLaw: A little #FantasyFootball who would you rather have? TE edition: • Player A: Snaps 119 (66.3% snap share) Routes… https://t.co/4OBEHIdDU8


12:13 AM, Sep 26, 2018

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RT @FFD260: RB Touch Recaps - Week 4 @DynastySkyler #FantasyFootball #FFD260 @MyFantasyLeague #NFL @RTFantasyFball https://t.co/qQccJDmT9E


12:13 AM, Sep 26, 2018

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@pyroman1ac Thanks for ruining my sleep tonight...


11:41 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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@amaze652


RT @PyroStag: We all know that Drew Brees set the record for most career completions, but the fun fact is if he attempts passes a… https://t.co/I2z5wRbbA2


11:38 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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RT @Top2Sports: 10 Waiver Wire Targets that need to be on all Redraft Radars #FantasyFootball #FantasyFootballAdvice #WaiverWire https://t.co/0Xz0jxPxKU


11:34 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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RT @JustinLonero: Week 3 WR target 🎯 leaders. Thielen-19 Landry-15 JuJu-11 Evans-11 Cobb-11 Woods-11 Fuller-11 Crab-10 OBJ-10 Callaw… https://t.co/CuyBe7iY5i


10:26 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@FantasyFreyday Plays run over league average.


10:21 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @amicsta: Why You Should Expect a High-Scoring Vikings-Rams Matchup https://t.co/MoD4H9gM12 https://t.co/GOsbacqtJR


10:14 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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"Ya don't win friends with salad!" https://t.co/5XzogjN0Ap (10-minute loop, listen all the way through... I dare… https://t.co/gbbCv9UmTX


10:09 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @csdfantasy: My Waiver Wire Targets and this week's Statistics Analysis, focus on Quarterbacks and Wide Receivers ->… https://t.co/oVSp2mW5HN


09:33 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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RT @MrGeorgeWallace: If they still put Kosbynaugh on the Supreme Court I'm gonna shit a pudding pop.


09:28 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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The Arizona Cardinals are running plays at a rate of 25% less than the average team through three weeks and 30% low… https://t.co/TnL6qVIlWc


09:16 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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Mike McCoy's Arizona Cardinals: Have passed 80 times from shotgun this season. Completing 49 for 313 yards and 1 t… https://t.co/TqUJTDNYPq


08:42 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @majesstik1: Avg of Defensive PPR points allowed per position. RBa means all Running Backs, etc. Eventually, this will get split… https://t.co/WOCabDjMlZ


08:06 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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Wheeler

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@SouthernmostPen @HilowFF @DrewDeLaware @majesstik1 @Huntertwitts @FantasyFBStoner @JakeAndersonFF @aronro If you'r… https://t.co/pIOXlG695q


08:05 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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@Joshua_Brister @HilowFF @Huntertwitts @FFHitman @FFSportsNerds @Fitz_FF @JustinFreeman18 @majesstik1… https://t.co/WFnGweHvLd


07:38 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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@gabes1919 They offered him a huge contract, the Steelers just don’t go big on the guaranteed $ for some reason. I… https://t.co/Or7U8nO2HV


07:33 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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RT @pyroman1ac: These numbers sure paint a picture... https://t.co/sjVtvrcjeR


07:31 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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These numbers sure paint a picture... https://t.co/sjVtvrcjeR


07:26 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@fuckmedaddy666 I'll have to try this.


06:54 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


@CoachCraigHall @nfl_mock Gronk Just an aside, my phone auto corrects gronk to drink 😆😆🍻


03:18 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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@Huntertwitts @FFHitman @FFSportsNerds @Fitz_FF @HilowFF @JustinFreeman18 @majesstik1 @FantasyFBStoner… https://t.co/M4bFKRjG0V


01:59 PM, Sep 25, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Fitz magic!!!


03:16 AM, Sep 25, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @PyroStag: Through Sunday of Week 3, here is how the 2018 pace looks league wide for plays and total yardage. So far the lea… https://t.co/SptADTuD50


03:11 AM, Sep 25, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Even though there was a flag and DeSean Jacksons punt return for a TD didnt count. I wanna c the nex gen stats. He was flying!


03:09 AM, Sep 25, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Outta the way son! https://t.co/dv6JJBOHlO


02:15 AM, Sep 25, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


@saltersl could take down Sylvester Stallone in Over the Top. #guns


02:14 AM, Sep 25, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@Fitz_FF @AndyWilliams32 Agreed. Also no reason to trade for a QB in a 1 QB league.


12:18 PM, Sep 24, 2018

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Waz

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@AndyWilliams32 @thekaceykasem @Fitz_FF Yeah, I'd be worried. With all of those QB options available, if you're com… https://t.co/XlzPgay80K


08:39 PM, Sep 23, 2018

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Waz

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RT @MattFtheOracle: If before the season you had asked me who would be the top fantasy QB this year, I definitely would've said "Matt Ryan FitzPatrick Mahomes."


08:34 PM, Sep 23, 2018

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Waz

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@evansilva Dalton's step-back in the pocket to make that work was money.


07:14 PM, Sep 23, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @evansilva: #Vikings RB Latavius Murray's Week 3 notes: - 3-score home favorite - #Bills have allowed NFL-high 6 TDs to RBs -… https://t.co/jSzQNEuqJt


06:30 PM, Sep 21, 2018

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@pyroman1ac https://t.co/lhzFLXr3vs


05:06 PM, Sep 21, 2018

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@pyroman1ac https://t.co/eKaTTduIB1


05:04 PM, Sep 21, 2018

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Brad holmes

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RT @pyroman1ac: Top Positional Weeks - Thru Week 2 by @bradholmes17 https://t.co/LResvQmVCw https://t.co/AaWWM2VYbc


01:41 PM, Sep 21, 2018

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 Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 2 (2018)

Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 2 (2018)

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 09/12/18

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Obviously, the more touchdowns a team puts up, the more fantasy points those players will have. For this, we will look at implied team totals. Generally, any team with an opening implied team total over 24 is one to pay attention to: The higher the number, the greater their chance for scoring.

So, now that we have identified the hottest teams of the week, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. Does Vegas tell us a high scoring team will likely be playing with a lead? In other words, are they heavy favorites? If this is the case, then such a positive game-script indicates more rushing attempts. Thus, we want RBs on those teams. If Vegas expects a high scoring team to be on the losing end of a shoot-out, in other words a team is predicted to play from behind, this tells us to expect more of a passing attack. So, we should see a ground attack for big favorites and a passing game for the big under-dogs.

That’s it. In essence, we are looking for high implied team totals and an indication as to which positions will likely get the most opportunity to score those points. 

 

 

spreading the lines chart - week 2

 


The Chargers should be playing with a lead and have a high implied total. Thus, we should expect the ground game to take control. Combining the positive game script, the high implied team total, and the fact that Rivers could not bribe a receiver to catch a ball, the Charger’s RBs are a safe bet.

 

Can the Redskin’s RBs keep it going in Week #2? Well, according to Vegas, this should be a solid bet as they are favored at home by more than a field goal PLUS they have a high implied total.

 

The Saints are home to the Browns in Week #2. Both teams were surprising in Week #1. This game opened the week as the 2ndhighest implied total, plus it is tied for the second highest in total game points. After Week #1, PFF has 2 Cleveland CBs graded in the bottom 10% which could be money for Drew Brees, as long as they don’t take the air out of the ball. If Cleveland can keep it close, and look at what Fitz-Magic was able to do against the Saint’s secondary, this game could be potentially potent.

 

The KC/PIT game keeps climbing with expectations. While typing this, the over/under has risen to 52.5. We could easily see this slip to a shootout. Big Ben is a different animal at home and we saw the talent KC is bringing to the table in 2018. Mahomes was just 1 of 2 QBs that tossed 4 TDs in Week #1. Get your popcorn ready!

 

The Rams opened the week with the highest implied team total and that number just keeps rising. Arizona gave up the most PPR points to the RB position last week. Gurley could get loose!

 

 

 

 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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