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February 19, 2019
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RT @CNET: NASA citizen scientist discovers first ancient dead star with peculiar rings. https://t.co/6lnwKhvM1a https://t.co/QbxEmhG4NY


02:33 AM, Feb 20, 2019

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@JhawkChalk89 Full, sorry


02:13 AM, Feb 20, 2019

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@theDude_Z @friscojosh Sorry man, just trying to help you catch it early!


01:46 AM, Feb 20, 2019

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RT @clip_cast: The @GOATdistrict team discusses the Flacco trade. I didn’t realize that he has never made a Pro Bowl. Check out… https://t.co/m2RE6c7qrt


01:11 AM, Feb 20, 2019

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@FF_Monsters @TodfromPa now you're in MM! Tod going to join us?


01:04 AM, Feb 20, 2019

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@fantasymojo @TangoandCashFF yes, guess that's a major detail to leave out, my bad. Still felt like TE's were flyin… https://t.co/zxDVJ8R9Ug


12:57 AM, Feb 20, 2019

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@FF_Monsters @TodfromPa you can see by clicking the 5/12, or whatever number are signed up, after you sign up. Supp… https://t.co/TbPwixY19N


12:51 AM, Feb 20, 2019

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Anthony staggs

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RT @FranchiseKF: This Mike Leach quote on the NFL, KK, and the air raid has me dying https://t.co/pD6FrGMF9E


12:48 AM, Feb 20, 2019

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@theDude_Z @friscojosh Targets per gamge is my favorite so far.


12:42 AM, Feb 20, 2019

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RT @JuMosq: Most receiving yards by a rookie wide receiver taken pick #174+ in this CBA: 1) Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 581 2)… https://t.co/R9eKHeudKN


11:38 PM, Feb 19, 2019

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@FF_Fugazi @FF_Wheeler Yeah, not a gigantic difference for me.


11:28 PM, Feb 19, 2019

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RT @PatrickMahomes: I see I’m going to have to step my game up...! https://t.co/ul2payvihS


10:09 PM, Feb 19, 2019

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RT @BuckyBrooks: Who are the 5 best players in the #NFL right now? Who makes your list? Here’s mine: 1. Aaron Donald 2. Patrick Ma… https://t.co/tLGl2hUtcr


10:04 PM, Feb 19, 2019

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RT @TeamJuJu: Gave everyone who was in the Adidas store free shoes...just wanted to brighten some people’s day! Full video:… https://t.co/LhWJFMgdSs


08:42 PM, Feb 19, 2019

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Awe man, a missed career opportunity for sure... #LifesRegrets https://t.co/GJfzJvPBry


08:13 PM, Feb 19, 2019

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Big fan of @FantasyPros changing their default expert accuracy rankings contest to half-point PPR. https://t.co/goBNklRZl1


07:35 PM, Feb 19, 2019

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I have a super neat idea for a 60-team competition this season. I just hope 59 of you will be on board to make it h… https://t.co/yepxZawzVn


03:24 AM, Feb 19, 2019

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@DTC_IzzyE @ScottFish24 First timers...smh.


12:10 AM, Feb 19, 2019

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Three years ago, #AAF star Charles Johnson of the @aafAPOLLOS did a @reddit_AMA that spoke volumes to his passion &… https://t.co/qUbNG57Qu5


04:54 PM, Feb 18, 2019

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@ScottFish24 Awesome! No rush. :)


04:29 PM, Feb 18, 2019

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As a Nick Chubb owner. This sux! https://t.co/2x8eV6Tn0g


07:02 PM, Feb 11, 2019

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Ah yes. The Browns continuing a fine tradition of creating a positive culture and team dynamic. https://t.co/UfqdIHe3nr


07:00 PM, Feb 11, 2019

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11:30 AM, Jan 23, 2019

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RT @PyroStag: Incredible that this can be asked at such a young age, but if you set the line for career MVPs for Patrick Mahomes… https://t.co/aNfpbCbDgf


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RT @ReggieBush: Just when you think you’ve seen it all, @ClemsonFB you guys deserve better you are world champs and this is the hon… https://t.co/oZSQfVAgBm


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RT @jetswhispers: ESPN's Adam Schefter announced the Jets are finalizing deal with Gregg Williams to become their defensive coordinator.


09:49 PM, Jan 15, 2019

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RT @pixelnfl: Adam Gase’s introductory presser 👀 #nflart #nyjets #jets #AdamGase #footballart #jetsnation #nflart #pixelart… https://t.co/foFARjww4g


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RT @MaclandJ: So I’ve got rankings updated @DynastyHHPod I’m probably wrong according to some & giving away market inefficiencies… https://t.co/cFriuwuyYh


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RT @PaulCrane7: NEW Scout's Honor podcast with Joe Flacco's most likely landing spot and the OC who may join him. Problems in PIT i… https://t.co/vsfgxPVl7V


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RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


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RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

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PyromaniacMo's Spreading the Lines Of Fantasy for Week 3 - Vegas Implied Point Totals

Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 3 (2018)

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 09/19/18

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Obviously, the more touchdowns a team puts up, the more fantasy points those players will have. For this, we will look at implied team totals. Generally, any team with an opening implied team total over 24 is one to pay attention to: The higher the number, the greater their chance for scoring.

 

So, now that we have identified the hottest teams of the week, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. Does Vegas tell us a high scoring team will likely be playing with a lead? In other words, are they heavy favorites? If this is the case, then such a positive game-script indicates more rushing attempts. Thus, we want RBs on those teams. If Vegas expects a high scoring team to be on the losing end of a shoot-out, in other words a team is predicted to play from behind, this tells us to expect more of a passing attack. So, we should see a ground attack for big favorites and a passing game for the big under-dogs.

 

That’s it. In essence, we are looking for high implied team totals and an indication as to which positions will likely get the most opportunity to score those points. 



Vegas Implied Point Total Week 3 chart

 


Clearly, the Buffalo vs, Miami game stands out. I can not remember the last time a team had an implied total of 11. That said, Dalvin Cook got banged up in Week 2. While I am typing these keys, he has a designation of Questionable. The ground game is going to be a factor. In Week 2, both Gordon and Ekeler were top 8 PPR plays against the Bills. In Week 1, all three of Baltimore’s RBs scored a rushing TD. So, Cook, Latavius Murray, perhaps the Vikings waterboy walks away atop fantasy RBs in Week 3.

 

The highest opening implied team total of Week #3 goes to the Atlanta Falcons who scored 3 TDs in Week #2 but failed to cross the goal line in their opener. This Dickensian team leaves you with one question: Since it is a team with two tales, which tale will be written in Week #3? Will the scoring continue or will their red zone woes return. According to Vegas, they should score just north of 29 points. Considering it is the Saints D, I’d bet on Tevin Coleman and the ground attack from the Falcons. Kamara is game script proof. This game is also marked to score the most points by Vegas, 54.5 at opening. So both teams could strike fantasy gold. This looks to be a game you can stack with plenty of fantasy goo to go around.

 

The Eagles are a great bet, especially if you can get it in soon. It looks like Wentz will make his return. They will likely work him in slowly and considering they are 6 point home favorites, their RBs should play a major role. Keep an eye on the practice reports as Ajayi did exit the game last week, but returned to cross the end zone. He only got 7 carries and you need to monitor his status. That said, the team did bump up Josh Adams from the practice squad. He busted it at Notre Dame. He was unsigned after the draft but has clearly impressed the brass. Considering the health of Ajayi and Sproles, he is one to watch and dynasty. The team also has Clement, who should be owned in 12 team leagues. Plus, they have Smallwood. Whoever lines up in the backfield will easily have a positive game script, especially with Wentz under center. 

 

The 49ers / Chiefs game is expected to be the second highest scoring game on the slate in Week #3 as of the Vegas opening. It is important to remember, the chart is created on opening numbers as most line movement thereafter comes from betting trends. We have witnessed what Mahomie can do, and until defenses start to acquire more game film, it is a good bet we see a similar outcome against the 49er’s.,, who, after two weeks, is giving the 8thmost FF Points to opposing QBs. This is another one with game stack potential. Lord knows we have witnessed the lethal potential of the KC offense. If the 49ers are to stay in the game, they will have to put up the points.

 

New England is 7 point road favorites. Detroit could have to pass to stay in this one. They have a trio of receivers that can do damage. Kenny G will be laying out those smooth, jazzy sounds for Detroit. Through 2 weeks, out of all positions, Golladay has the 4thmost air yards behind Julio, Hopkins, and Antonio Brown; he clearly has the highest ceiling of the triple threat. As for the Patriots, Sony Michel is working into game time form. It is always a conundrum picking a Pats running back, but their ground game should deliver. Detroit, through the first two weeks, is tied with the Bills for allowing the most PPR points to opposing RBs.

 

Last but not least, the Tampa Bay Bucs welcome Big Ben. This is the third highest scoring game according to Vegas at opening. Considering Tampa is a home underdog, Fitz should be able to continue to work his magic and put up the points. Remember, Big Ben is not the same man on the road. 

 

 

 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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