Week 15
December 14, 2018
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Anthony staggs

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@MFHHLIVE Bills. Aaron Jones. Play Brees. Second back is Carson for me.


07:14 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @kfishbain: Bears practice report DNP: Eddie Jackson (shin) Limited: Bilal Nichols (knee) Full: Allen Robinson (hip) All three… https://t.co/VBTbG1dGQy


07:06 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@pavankambhatla Yeah tier 2 and three can pretty much be combined in my mind.


07:05 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@BleedGoldandRed Yeah, Keenan was one of the tougher ones, probably will end up with Thielen over Keenan and Allen in that next tier.


06:52 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@BleedGoldandRed Yeah, right up there. I really let me projections for receptions decide who to bump in PPR either way.


06:49 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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Waz

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👀 https://t.co/zxMPdVnR4Q


04:57 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @friscojosh: I wrote about Washington and Kaepernick. https://t.co/QoSgOInq2g


04:40 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @ScottFish24: Fantasy football league fills 32 carts for Toys for Tots https://t.co/eq40i8dTMj via @KARE11 #fantasycares


04:21 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @Pat_Thorman: Gotta love when football twitter sets aside their differences and comes together for a good cause, like piling on a loud-mouthed clown.


04:19 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @pyromaniacmo: See how Vegas can help your Fantasy Football decisions for NFL Week 15 - check out the chart and the write-up on… https://t.co/3LFihqRKbk


02:14 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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RT @GOATdistrict: 🎧NEW Episode🎧 🏆Playoff Madness: The Final Four 🍀with @amazehayes_ 🧠 from @FFStatistics_ , @DFFMemphis &… https://t.co/d4fr02AoAt


11:55 AM, Dec 14, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

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RT @wolfejosh: Physics is visually SATISFYING. Ice––on a trampoline. https://t.co/8XvVRaDyiH


06:35 AM, Dec 14, 2018

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RT @MrGeorgeWallace: Listen, before your sorry ass clicks 'reply all' ask yourself if every damn person you're replyin' to needs to know… https://t.co/RXGCHp0yiO


06:31 AM, Dec 14, 2018

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05:37 AM, Dec 14, 2018

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He Served the Longest Sentence of Any Innocent U.S. Inmate https://t.co/E2kfVw1XEI


05:13 AM, Dec 14, 2018

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Waz

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@b_d_cobb The icon is set up for the player by default. Some still show as their old team (ie. Fitzmagic) but the s… https://t.co/v7hLCFtvpb


10:53 PM, Dec 13, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


@LateRoundQB Even failed to mention Hill’s nagging injury.


10:39 PM, Dec 13, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

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RT @CivilEats: 15% of @SierraNevada's employees were displaced by the campfire. The brewery sprung into action, and others followe… https://t.co/vBynKSEt68


10:31 PM, Dec 13, 2018

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Mo

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See how Vegas can help your Fantasy Football decisions for NFL Week 15 - check out the chart and the write-up on… https://t.co/3LFihqRKbk


10:17 PM, Dec 13, 2018

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Waz

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@troywinger Jackson for sure, and probably Williams for the other.


09:08 PM, Dec 13, 2018

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Waz

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@b_d_cobb Hey man, I'm not sure where you were looking at but my Week 15 ranks weren't published until about an hou… https://t.co/99di82lKxm


09:07 PM, Dec 13, 2018

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Waz

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@RyanHodge @stephenasmith Prepare for a pivot to Virgil Green.


09:00 PM, Dec 13, 2018

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Mo

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RT @pyroman1ac: Spreading the Lines of Fantasy for Week 15 by @pyromaniacmo https://t.co/a91zBcoQVM https://t.co/bR9kf11Vww


06:05 PM, Dec 13, 2018

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Mo

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JuJu Smith to face Daryl Worley from Oakland. No other starting CB in Week 14 is averaging more fantasy points allo… https://t.co/TcxQYjO8jr


09:22 PM, Dec 08, 2018

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RT @fantasysixpack: The Fantasy Edge Podacst w/ @RRSSavill @JChan_811 @KevinMHuo Fantasy Football Week 14 🏈 DST Stream-0-Matic… https://t.co/wvn87xqarg


08:43 PM, Dec 08, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

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09:49 PM, Nov 22, 2018

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@FinsBroadcaster The Outsiders C. Thomas Howell.Ralph Macchio. Patrick Swayze.RobLowe.Emilio Estevez.Tom Cruise.Di… https://t.co/NFDHuG2xRE


01:38 PM, Nov 18, 2018

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RT @DomiNateFF: Who did you bench on your #FantasyFootball teams in #Week10 that you regret? I’ll start…I played Fitzpatrick over… https://t.co/GZoHOiB8U7


10:54 AM, Nov 12, 2018

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RT @AdvSportsLogic: Before setting those line ups, check out out updated ranks. #FantasyFootball: Week 10 Updated Rankings QB:… https://t.co/oArauvIKdX


10:24 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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RT @FFD260: Ryan Fitzpatrick attempting to throw the lead block down. #Bucs #Redskins #NFL https://t.co/0Te1hbJEWJ


10:16 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Brad holmes

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RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


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03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

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RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


04:19 PM, Oct 04, 2018

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02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

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RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

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PyromaniacMo's Spreading the Lines Of Fantasy for Week 3 - Vegas Implied Point Totals

Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 3 (2018)

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 09/19/18

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Obviously, the more touchdowns a team puts up, the more fantasy points those players will have. For this, we will look at implied team totals. Generally, any team with an opening implied team total over 24 is one to pay attention to: The higher the number, the greater their chance for scoring.

 

So, now that we have identified the hottest teams of the week, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. Does Vegas tell us a high scoring team will likely be playing with a lead? In other words, are they heavy favorites? If this is the case, then such a positive game-script indicates more rushing attempts. Thus, we want RBs on those teams. If Vegas expects a high scoring team to be on the losing end of a shoot-out, in other words a team is predicted to play from behind, this tells us to expect more of a passing attack. So, we should see a ground attack for big favorites and a passing game for the big under-dogs.

 

That’s it. In essence, we are looking for high implied team totals and an indication as to which positions will likely get the most opportunity to score those points. 



Vegas Implied Point Total Week 3 chart

 


Clearly, the Buffalo vs, Miami game stands out. I can not remember the last time a team had an implied total of 11. That said, Dalvin Cook got banged up in Week 2. While I am typing these keys, he has a designation of Questionable. The ground game is going to be a factor. In Week 2, both Gordon and Ekeler were top 8 PPR plays against the Bills. In Week 1, all three of Baltimore’s RBs scored a rushing TD. So, Cook, Latavius Murray, perhaps the Vikings waterboy walks away atop fantasy RBs in Week 3.

 

The highest opening implied team total of Week #3 goes to the Atlanta Falcons who scored 3 TDs in Week #2 but failed to cross the goal line in their opener. This Dickensian team leaves you with one question: Since it is a team with two tales, which tale will be written in Week #3? Will the scoring continue or will their red zone woes return. According to Vegas, they should score just north of 29 points. Considering it is the Saints D, I’d bet on Tevin Coleman and the ground attack from the Falcons. Kamara is game script proof. This game is also marked to score the most points by Vegas, 54.5 at opening. So both teams could strike fantasy gold. This looks to be a game you can stack with plenty of fantasy goo to go around.

 

The Eagles are a great bet, especially if you can get it in soon. It looks like Wentz will make his return. They will likely work him in slowly and considering they are 6 point home favorites, their RBs should play a major role. Keep an eye on the practice reports as Ajayi did exit the game last week, but returned to cross the end zone. He only got 7 carries and you need to monitor his status. That said, the team did bump up Josh Adams from the practice squad. He busted it at Notre Dame. He was unsigned after the draft but has clearly impressed the brass. Considering the health of Ajayi and Sproles, he is one to watch and dynasty. The team also has Clement, who should be owned in 12 team leagues. Plus, they have Smallwood. Whoever lines up in the backfield will easily have a positive game script, especially with Wentz under center. 

 

The 49ers / Chiefs game is expected to be the second highest scoring game on the slate in Week #3 as of the Vegas opening. It is important to remember, the chart is created on opening numbers as most line movement thereafter comes from betting trends. We have witnessed what Mahomie can do, and until defenses start to acquire more game film, it is a good bet we see a similar outcome against the 49er’s.,, who, after two weeks, is giving the 8thmost FF Points to opposing QBs. This is another one with game stack potential. Lord knows we have witnessed the lethal potential of the KC offense. If the 49ers are to stay in the game, they will have to put up the points.

 

New England is 7 point road favorites. Detroit could have to pass to stay in this one. They have a trio of receivers that can do damage. Kenny G will be laying out those smooth, jazzy sounds for Detroit. Through 2 weeks, out of all positions, Golladay has the 4thmost air yards behind Julio, Hopkins, and Antonio Brown; he clearly has the highest ceiling of the triple threat. As for the Patriots, Sony Michel is working into game time form. It is always a conundrum picking a Pats running back, but their ground game should deliver. Detroit, through the first two weeks, is tied with the Bills for allowing the most PPR points to opposing RBs.

 

Last but not least, the Tampa Bay Bucs welcome Big Ben. This is the third highest scoring game according to Vegas at opening. Considering Tampa is a home underdog, Fitz should be able to continue to work his magic and put up the points. Remember, Big Ben is not the same man on the road. 

 

 

 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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