Week 7
October 20, 2018
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Wheeler

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RT @DynastyWarZone: 🚨🚨New Podcast Alert 🚨🚨 ⚠️ ⚠️ ⚠️Warning ⚠️ ⚠️ ⚠️ ⁦@DFFMemphis⁩ was both sleep deprived and under the influence in… https://t.co/Z1P0GuX3xB


12:34 PM, Oct 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @ClutchFantasy: 2009 under Todd Haley Larry Johnson totaled 453yds, 65yds per game over 7 games. Jamaal Charles took over and total… https://t.co/dmZ98welaG


12:30 PM, Oct 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @FFStatistics_: Trying to build your Week 7 #DFS lineup? @SMich_5 has some statistics you should take a look at before building yo… https://t.co/ciEBa7lcdW


12:28 PM, Oct 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @DP_NFL: 🚨My Top 5 RBs of Week 6🚨 Agree or Disagree? Let me know your list! #NFL #Top5 #DnD #LARams #GiantsPride #Chargers… https://t.co/HPO0Azit7w


11:19 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @GeoffLambert77: Did u miss @GoingFor_2's 2018 Week 7 Sit/Start (#FantasyFootball) by @MikeKelleyDLP https://t.co/OaO5OGsirI https://t.co/Mu4UUcHljS


11:19 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


My baby... #Daisy https://t.co/oi3P3AvUhH


04:38 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Danny Glover saying "Riggs" https://t.co/CZ40ULyu9g


03:58 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Is turning off your notifications the ultimate productivity hack? https://t.co/ygbM3LZKYf


03:47 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Never forget Keith Moon's genius. #TheWho https://t.co/Y43QKyOVXP


03:31 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Paul and Dave-Te... such a solid tandem. Make sure to listen to all of their podcasts! Listen to "NFL Trade Deadli… https://t.co/v0OQj2j6Fj


01:40 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


@KallmeAlex I do. The implied pt total much higher. I think TB can shoot out this week. Dont trust Mariotta what so ever


12:39 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @MichaelKistNFL: Have a couple corrections to make on some INC passes but the main thing I was trying to do was chart Cam Newton's l… https://t.co/ESaTpBmx9n


10:06 PM, Oct 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@PeoplezPen No issues with Landry still in prime and receivers aren’t sure things even in high draft spots. Organiz… https://t.co/BvG43pcfg0


10:05 PM, Oct 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @Reflog_18: How the John Dorsey and Hue Jackson conversation about Carlos Hyde went down... https://t.co/qt4OPjFL34


09:57 PM, Oct 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@pyroman1ac Sending the fiancé immediately.


09:53 PM, Oct 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@DtwMimms That could pay off if you have RB depth, depends what the roster looks like.


09:43 PM, Oct 19, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Chris Godwin is just $4.6K on #DraftKings He has eclipsed 13 DK points in 4 of 5 games this season. Last week, w/Wi… https://t.co/CraZkO6lVT


11:25 PM, Oct 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @pyroman1ac: A weekly weapon of mass destruction chart and write up by @pyromaniacmo https://t.co/2wTVgKfvqz


11:18 PM, Oct 18, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@andybehrens When did Brad do that?


02:01 AM, Oct 18, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@andybehrens I started Brock Osweiler in #SFB8 last week. I sooooo know what I'm doing.


01:57 AM, Oct 18, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@andybehrens Nothing beats a good Wednesday night roid sesh.


01:54 AM, Oct 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @bob_lung: In #FantasyFootball, TE's are usually the most inconsistent group. However, so far, this year, there are EIGHT TE's… https://t.co/B6PjMRIasa


01:35 AM, Oct 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @fantasysixpack: NBA DFS Main Slate Breakdown via @WeTlkFntsySprts Keith looks at the 11 game slate using the Wisdom of the Crowd p… https://t.co/ECYt1vjSXe


01:35 AM, Oct 18, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @krich1532: If you want some laughs, run through this thread real quick. This tweet wasn’t even about myself, this was my react… https://t.co/iyhCaFlBIe


08:51 AM, Oct 16, 2018

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@amaze652


RT @LeviAndrewFF: Rushing Attempt Leaders for Week 6 Todd Gurley-28 Ezekiel Elliott-25 Sony Michel-24 Latavius Murray-24 James Conne… https://t.co/VLtIJpIwNb


08:49 AM, Oct 16, 2018

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@amaze652


RT @LeviAndrewFF: Target Leaders for Week 6 Davante Adams-16 Adam Thielen-15 Julio Jones-14 Tyreek Hill-12 Alshon Jeffery-12 Sammy… https://t.co/pcVtFZOwu7


08:49 AM, Oct 16, 2018

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@amaze652


RT @edwardraus: Monday Night Rants: 10/15/2018 - Week 6, MNF, MLB Playoffs and There is Hope for Their w/ @zaragozaanthony https://t.co/Xw8iSQUVhP


08:49 AM, Oct 16, 2018

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@amaze652


RT @DomiNateFF: Here it is! I love me some Davante Adams this #FantasyFootball season! HUGE potential & a real chance as the #1 WR… https://t.co/XIXLpKL7wz


08:49 AM, Oct 16, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


That Tyrell Williams TD catch was #good.


06:25 PM, Oct 14, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


Even Krusty the Clown tilts on Sundays. https://t.co/vW3MxrfFe8


01:14 PM, Oct 13, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


02:13 PM, Oct 06, 2018

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Brad holmes

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@pyroman1ac https://t.co/ZiHjlwIXio


03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


04:19 PM, Oct 04, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/XRG0konwbt


02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

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PyromaniacMo's Spreading the Lines Of Fantasy for Week 3 - Vegas Implied Point Totals

Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 3 (2018)

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 09/19/18

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Obviously, the more touchdowns a team puts up, the more fantasy points those players will have. For this, we will look at implied team totals. Generally, any team with an opening implied team total over 24 is one to pay attention to: The higher the number, the greater their chance for scoring.

 

So, now that we have identified the hottest teams of the week, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. Does Vegas tell us a high scoring team will likely be playing with a lead? In other words, are they heavy favorites? If this is the case, then such a positive game-script indicates more rushing attempts. Thus, we want RBs on those teams. If Vegas expects a high scoring team to be on the losing end of a shoot-out, in other words a team is predicted to play from behind, this tells us to expect more of a passing attack. So, we should see a ground attack for big favorites and a passing game for the big under-dogs.

 

That’s it. In essence, we are looking for high implied team totals and an indication as to which positions will likely get the most opportunity to score those points. 



Vegas Implied Point Total Week 3 chart

 


Clearly, the Buffalo vs, Miami game stands out. I can not remember the last time a team had an implied total of 11. That said, Dalvin Cook got banged up in Week 2. While I am typing these keys, he has a designation of Questionable. The ground game is going to be a factor. In Week 2, both Gordon and Ekeler were top 8 PPR plays against the Bills. In Week 1, all three of Baltimore’s RBs scored a rushing TD. So, Cook, Latavius Murray, perhaps the Vikings waterboy walks away atop fantasy RBs in Week 3.

 

The highest opening implied team total of Week #3 goes to the Atlanta Falcons who scored 3 TDs in Week #2 but failed to cross the goal line in their opener. This Dickensian team leaves you with one question: Since it is a team with two tales, which tale will be written in Week #3? Will the scoring continue or will their red zone woes return. According to Vegas, they should score just north of 29 points. Considering it is the Saints D, I’d bet on Tevin Coleman and the ground attack from the Falcons. Kamara is game script proof. This game is also marked to score the most points by Vegas, 54.5 at opening. So both teams could strike fantasy gold. This looks to be a game you can stack with plenty of fantasy goo to go around.

 

The Eagles are a great bet, especially if you can get it in soon. It looks like Wentz will make his return. They will likely work him in slowly and considering they are 6 point home favorites, their RBs should play a major role. Keep an eye on the practice reports as Ajayi did exit the game last week, but returned to cross the end zone. He only got 7 carries and you need to monitor his status. That said, the team did bump up Josh Adams from the practice squad. He busted it at Notre Dame. He was unsigned after the draft but has clearly impressed the brass. Considering the health of Ajayi and Sproles, he is one to watch and dynasty. The team also has Clement, who should be owned in 12 team leagues. Plus, they have Smallwood. Whoever lines up in the backfield will easily have a positive game script, especially with Wentz under center. 

 

The 49ers / Chiefs game is expected to be the second highest scoring game on the slate in Week #3 as of the Vegas opening. It is important to remember, the chart is created on opening numbers as most line movement thereafter comes from betting trends. We have witnessed what Mahomie can do, and until defenses start to acquire more game film, it is a good bet we see a similar outcome against the 49er’s.,, who, after two weeks, is giving the 8thmost FF Points to opposing QBs. This is another one with game stack potential. Lord knows we have witnessed the lethal potential of the KC offense. If the 49ers are to stay in the game, they will have to put up the points.

 

New England is 7 point road favorites. Detroit could have to pass to stay in this one. They have a trio of receivers that can do damage. Kenny G will be laying out those smooth, jazzy sounds for Detroit. Through 2 weeks, out of all positions, Golladay has the 4thmost air yards behind Julio, Hopkins, and Antonio Brown; he clearly has the highest ceiling of the triple threat. As for the Patriots, Sony Michel is working into game time form. It is always a conundrum picking a Pats running back, but their ground game should deliver. Detroit, through the first two weeks, is tied with the Bills for allowing the most PPR points to opposing RBs.

 

Last but not least, the Tampa Bay Bucs welcome Big Ben. This is the third highest scoring game according to Vegas at opening. Considering Tampa is a home underdog, Fitz should be able to continue to work his magic and put up the points. Remember, Big Ben is not the same man on the road. 

 

 

 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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