Week 7
October 20, 2018
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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @DynastyWarZone: 🚨🚨New Podcast Alert 🚨🚨 ⚠️ ⚠️ ⚠️Warning ⚠️ ⚠️ ⚠️ ⁦@DFFMemphis⁩ was both sleep deprived and under the influence in… https://t.co/Z1P0GuX3xB


12:34 PM, Oct 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @ClutchFantasy: 2009 under Todd Haley Larry Johnson totaled 453yds, 65yds per game over 7 games. Jamaal Charles took over and total… https://t.co/dmZ98welaG


12:30 PM, Oct 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @FFStatistics_: Trying to build your Week 7 #DFS lineup? @SMich_5 has some statistics you should take a look at before building yo… https://t.co/ciEBa7lcdW


12:28 PM, Oct 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @DP_NFL: 🚨My Top 5 RBs of Week 6🚨 Agree or Disagree? Let me know your list! #NFL #Top5 #DnD #LARams #GiantsPride #Chargers… https://t.co/HPO0Azit7w


11:19 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @GeoffLambert77: Did u miss @GoingFor_2's 2018 Week 7 Sit/Start (#FantasyFootball) by @MikeKelleyDLP https://t.co/OaO5OGsirI https://t.co/Mu4UUcHljS


11:19 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


My baby... #Daisy https://t.co/oi3P3AvUhH


04:38 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Danny Glover saying "Riggs" https://t.co/CZ40ULyu9g


03:58 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Is turning off your notifications the ultimate productivity hack? https://t.co/ygbM3LZKYf


03:47 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Never forget Keith Moon's genius. #TheWho https://t.co/Y43QKyOVXP


03:31 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Paul and Dave-Te... such a solid tandem. Make sure to listen to all of their podcasts! Listen to "NFL Trade Deadli… https://t.co/v0OQj2j6Fj


01:40 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


@KallmeAlex I do. The implied pt total much higher. I think TB can shoot out this week. Dont trust Mariotta what so ever


12:39 AM, Oct 20, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @MichaelKistNFL: Have a couple corrections to make on some INC passes but the main thing I was trying to do was chart Cam Newton's l… https://t.co/ESaTpBmx9n


10:06 PM, Oct 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@PeoplezPen No issues with Landry still in prime and receivers aren’t sure things even in high draft spots. Organiz… https://t.co/BvG43pcfg0


10:05 PM, Oct 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @Reflog_18: How the John Dorsey and Hue Jackson conversation about Carlos Hyde went down... https://t.co/qt4OPjFL34


09:57 PM, Oct 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@pyroman1ac Sending the fiancé immediately.


09:53 PM, Oct 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@DtwMimms That could pay off if you have RB depth, depends what the roster looks like.


09:43 PM, Oct 19, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Chris Godwin is just $4.6K on #DraftKings He has eclipsed 13 DK points in 4 of 5 games this season. Last week, w/Wi… https://t.co/CraZkO6lVT


11:25 PM, Oct 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @pyroman1ac: A weekly weapon of mass destruction chart and write up by @pyromaniacmo https://t.co/2wTVgKfvqz


11:18 PM, Oct 18, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@andybehrens When did Brad do that?


02:01 AM, Oct 18, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@andybehrens I started Brock Osweiler in #SFB8 last week. I sooooo know what I'm doing.


01:57 AM, Oct 18, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@andybehrens Nothing beats a good Wednesday night roid sesh.


01:54 AM, Oct 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @bob_lung: In #FantasyFootball, TE's are usually the most inconsistent group. However, so far, this year, there are EIGHT TE's… https://t.co/B6PjMRIasa


01:35 AM, Oct 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @fantasysixpack: NBA DFS Main Slate Breakdown via @WeTlkFntsySprts Keith looks at the 11 game slate using the Wisdom of the Crowd p… https://t.co/ECYt1vjSXe


01:35 AM, Oct 18, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @krich1532: If you want some laughs, run through this thread real quick. This tweet wasn’t even about myself, this was my react… https://t.co/iyhCaFlBIe


08:51 AM, Oct 16, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @LeviAndrewFF: Rushing Attempt Leaders for Week 6 Todd Gurley-28 Ezekiel Elliott-25 Sony Michel-24 Latavius Murray-24 James Conne… https://t.co/VLtIJpIwNb


08:49 AM, Oct 16, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @LeviAndrewFF: Target Leaders for Week 6 Davante Adams-16 Adam Thielen-15 Julio Jones-14 Tyreek Hill-12 Alshon Jeffery-12 Sammy… https://t.co/pcVtFZOwu7


08:49 AM, Oct 16, 2018

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@amaze652


RT @edwardraus: Monday Night Rants: 10/15/2018 - Week 6, MNF, MLB Playoffs and There is Hope for Their w/ @zaragozaanthony https://t.co/Xw8iSQUVhP


08:49 AM, Oct 16, 2018

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RT @DomiNateFF: Here it is! I love me some Davante Adams this #FantasyFootball season! HUGE potential & a real chance as the #1 WR… https://t.co/XIXLpKL7wz


08:49 AM, Oct 16, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


That Tyrell Williams TD catch was #good.


06:25 PM, Oct 14, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


Even Krusty the Clown tilts on Sundays. https://t.co/vW3MxrfFe8


01:14 PM, Oct 13, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


02:13 PM, Oct 06, 2018

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Brad holmes

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@pyroman1ac https://t.co/ZiHjlwIXio


03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


04:19 PM, Oct 04, 2018

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Brad holmes

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@pyroman1ac https://t.co/XRG0konwbt


02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

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PyromaniacMo's Spreading the Lines Of Fantasy for Week 6 - Vegas Implied Point Totals

Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 6 (2018)

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 10/11/18

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Obviously, the more touchdowns a team puts up, the more fantasy points those players will have. For this, we will look at implied team totals. Generally, any team with an opening implied team total over 24 is one to pay attention to: The higher the number, the greater their chance for scoring.

 

So, now that we have identified the hottest teams of the week, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. Does Vegas tell us a high scoring team will likely be playing with a lead? In other words, are they heavy favorites? If this is the case, then such a positive game-script indicates more rushing attempts. Thus, we want RBs on those teams. If Vegas expects a high scoring team to be on the losing end of a shoot-out, in other words, a team is predicted to play from behind, this tells us to expect more of a passing attack. So, we should see a ground attack for big favorites and a passing game for the big underdogs.

 

That’s it. In essence, we are looking for high implied team totals and an indication as to which positions will likely get the most opportunity to score those points. 

 

Final note, I used to use opening lines. However, these would come out before the completion of the previous week’s games. Therefore, the line movement in the first days after opening would often change due to a team’s performance, injuries, etc. While a great deal of line movement later in the week primarily comes from betting trends. So, the lines reflected in the chart, come from Tuesday. This way, the spreads have been determined AFTER all of the previous week’s games and BEFORE the betting public influences line movement. There is no perfect answer here, but this way, I feel it captures the most accurate reflection of what Vegas has to offer without the clouding caused by the betting public and bookmakers adjusting the line in order to offset public money. In essence, the lines here ideally reflect what Vegas thinks without interference from betting trends. 

 

 

Vegas Implied Point Total Fantasy Football week 6

 

The Vikings are home and carry the highest spread of week 6. They are favored by 10.5 over the visiting Cardinals. Cook has been banged up this year and could certainly miss Week 6. If so, Latavius Murray should get plenty of action, as the Vikings should clearly face a positive game script. The Cardinals have 2 starting defensive linemen listed as Questionable: Markus Golden and Robert Nkemdiche, as both failed to suit up last week. Arizona has surrendered the most PPR points to opposing RBs this season with backs totaling 9 TDs against them over the ground and through the air. 

 

Tampa is visiting Atlanta and the game is carrying the second highest expected total of Week 6. Tampa ranks in the top 5 for most PPR points allowed to all positions (QB, RB, WR, and TE). Atlanta is exactly the same, except for pts allowed to TE. So, yeah, get your goo ready and load up this one! Atlanta has the 2nd highest implied total of Week 6. Tampa already has 4 defensive back on IR and currently they have two starting SBs listed as Questionable. As for Atlanta, they have two starting defensive linemen listed as questionable. I am definitely looking at this game as one to stack. Tampa’s corners are horrific. According to PFF, there is only one starting corner in Week 6 with a lower grade than Brent Grimes; statistically, he will see the most of Calvin Ridley. Still, Sanu and Julio also have great matchups. Heck, Sanu will mainly see MJ Stewart who has allowed an 88% catch rate to opposing WRs. On the other side, Mike Evans will draw Desmond Trufant, the best of the Falcons corners, although he is not what he used to be. Winston is a sneaky play here. Also remember, the Falcons have given up the most RB receptions every year since 2015, year in, year out.

 

Pitt at Cincinnati carries the 3rd highest expected game total of Week 6. Keep in mind, Big Ben is on the road. Dalton typically does not fare well versus this divisional rivalry. In 14 games, he only has 3 wins with 17 TDs and a whopping 13 INTs. Last year, in the 2 games against the Steelers, he only averaged 187 passing yards a game. That said, Uzomah could be an interesting play as the Steelers rank dead last in schedule-adjusted fantasy pts allowed to PPR TEs. On the other side, Conner had a big week in Week 5. JuJu is 2nd in red zone attempts, and Brown, after complaining about not getting enough looks, dominated with a jaw-dropping 45% target share in Week 5. 

 

The Rams are traveling to Mile High Stadium. Vegas has LA pegged as the 3rd highest scoring team of the week.  Plus, they are favored, on the road, to win by a full TD. Enough said, you’re playing Gurley. For their WRs, keep an eye on the concussion protocol for Cooks and Kupp. A major waiver wire pick up is Josh Reynolds this week, as it is likely one, or both, of the aforementioned WRs will not be able to suit up. This could even boost Gerald Everett as well.  The Broncos will face a negative game script and need to pass. While Lindsay is lighting it up, E. Sanders has been getting it done on volume, D. Thomas is a boom/bust. Really, Denver might be looking to play Chad Kelly at QB before too long. That said, if you look at the season, Sanders leads in targets and target share, D. Thomas is 2nd, but Sutton is on the rise. The Rams will run, and Denver will be forced to throw and do so often. The question is, how much do you trust their QB situation?

 

New England is home to KC and no surprise, this is expected to be the highest scoring game of the Week. The total pts scored, according to the prognosticators in Vegas, peg this one at nearly 60 frigging pts. James White and Sony Michel are absolute studs. In fact, White leads the team in target share, both on the season and in Week 5. KC’s pass defense ranks 28th against opposing RBs. As for Sony, even though he was injured to start the season, he is currently 3rd in NFL red zone attempts. Now, that is an area of the field the Patriots should get familiar with against the Chiefs. You want pieces of this team. They are heating up, so I am looking to buy. Same goes for KC as Mahomey continues to rewrite the record books. Both teams are top 10 in softest defenses against opposing TEs. While New England is fairly stout against the run, they can give it up to opposing WRs. In fact, so far this season, there have been 7 different WRs to accumulate at least 8 targets in a game. This one will be the chalk as almost everyone expects an ole’ fashion shootout.

 

 

 

 


 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

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