April 23, 2019

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 2016 Fantasy Football Stat Projections

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 2016 Fantasy Football Stat Projections

Posted by Stagg Party on 09/01/16

by   The Archer


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Projecting to the upcoming season is a worthwhile exercise in fantasy circles. Like rankings, some projections are better than others. There are some factors that can help you project for your own purposes. First, never let your ranks affect the projections, second, use the information at hand to determine workload and splits, and finally, do not project in a vacuum. The third point is the most important, always project in the scheme of the offense. For example, you can’t project John Brown, Larry Fitzgerald, and Michael Floyd to each go for over 1,200 yards receiving and have 12 touchdowns if you expect the quarterback (Carson Palmer) to throw for just 3,000 yards and 30 touchdowns. Since projections are a tough business, and it is tough to account for every catch on the season, there is a category known as scraps. Some teams have more of a clear-cut pecking order and therefore have a smaller scraps section; teams with lots of unknowns have a larger one. After you lay out your projections, think about the range of outcomes for each player, and use those to shape your rankings. 



Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2016 projections stat chart

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pros & Cons:


(+) Tampa Bay returns Doug Martin to pair with youngster Charles Sims to pair for one of the best, and most complete backfields in the NFL

(+) The Bucs led the league in yards per carry from their running backs last season, averaging .21 more yards per carry than any other team in the league

(+) TB averaged 21.4 points per game last season, up four points from their 2014 season

(+) Tampa got a good rookie season out of Jameis Winston as he became the third rookie passer to surpass 4,000 yards and even pitched in some surprise rushing scores

(+) Mike Evans had a big second season in terms of yardage, but the touchdowns disappeared, but Evans is a top-ten talent at the position who should see a rebound in his third season

(+/-) Austin-Seferian Jenkins and Cameron Brate seem to combine and make a formidable duo at tight end, despite being fairly unproven

(-) The Bucs have run plays at a slower pace than the league average in each of the last three seasons

(-) The Buccaneers have a middle of the road offensive line with a lot of youth, outside of last year they have really struggled so they will need to prove it again

(-) Outside of Mike Evans, the wide receiver corps consists of Vincent Jackson who has been injured over the last few seasons and a ton of unknown behind him

(-) The Bucs turned the ball over at the seventh highest rate in the NFL last season, and each of their players seem to have a penchant for giving the ball away






These projections were built on a variety of factors including but not limited to:


Number of Plays Run

Run/Pass Ratio

WR1 Market Share

WR2 Market Share

RB1 Market Share

TE1 Market Share

QB Career Patterns

RB Career Patterns

WR Career Patterns

TE Career Patterns

Sack Percentages

Percentage of Drives ending in scores





View the next team: Tennessee Titans




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