Week 20
January 20, 2018
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Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?


Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.


01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting


Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.


01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

It's A Trap


Jay Ajayi (knee) is practicing in full for the Divisional Round.

Fantasy Goo: Atlanta is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s this year and they are more susceptible to pass-catching backs. Todd Gurley rushed 14 times for 101 yards in the Rams' Wild Card loss to the Falcons, adding four receptions for 10 additional yards. Ajayi might have been drafted before Gurley this year, but that was clearly a mistake. Ajayi has talent, but he’s far from a good option this week.


01/09/18, 07:16 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Back in Action


Chris Hogan (shoulder) is expected to return for Saturday's Divisional Round game against the Titans.

Fantasy Goo: He’s going to take a couple of weeks to get in tune with the offense, I’m looking to save him until the Super Bowl if you’re in one of those one and done fantasy playoff tournaments.


01/09/18, 07:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints

Strength vs Strength


Saints RBs led NFL during regular season in receptions (9.0) and receiving yards (77.8) per game.
Vikings held opposing RBs to fewest yards per target (4.2) and 3rd-fewest yards per game (30.6).

Fantasy Goo: The Vikings have been absolutely sick in all aspects on defense this year. If the Saints are going to pull this one out it sounds like it’s going to have to be a Brees week, I’m not so sure he’s going to be the guy you want to start on the road this week.


01/09/18, 07:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

Not The Real McCoy


LeSean McCoy said if he plays Sunday, "I want to be able to cut well enough to where I don't have a lot of pain cutting. I just want to be close, or the best as far as 100 percent as I can get. The type of game like this, you got to lay it all on the line.”

Fantasy Goo: McCoy is a poor play against the Jags this week. The Jags strength on defense is against the pass (#1 in FP allowed), but they are still strong against the rush (11th). I’m not taking any Bills on fantasy playoff squads or in DFS this week.


01/04/18, 09:29 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Arrow Pointing Down


DeMarco Murray (knee) didn't practice again Thursday. Derrick Henry show ready to go.

Fantasy Goo: The way to attack KC is through the air, they rank 9th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. They will most likely be in negative game script. KC hasn’t allowed any team to score over 20 points in Arrowhead all year.


01/04/18, 09:27 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Julio Jones

Atlanta Falcons

No Fly Zone


Julio Jones finished 11th in NFL in red-zone targets but caught only 5 of 19. He finished 4th in targets inside 10 but only caught 4 of 11.

Fantasy Goo: The Rams have a strong pass defense, especially against outside receivers, but are second worst in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. Freeman and Coleman are the only Falcons I am considering this week.


01/04/18, 09:25 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Under the Radar


In the first game with TJ Jones (shoulder) on IR last week, Kenny Golladay played 95% of snaps and led DET WRs with 8 targets.

Fantasy Goo: Marvin Jones has a history of shredding the Packers defense and is a solid play at $6500 on DK, but Golladay is half the price ($3300) and will probably see a similar number of targets. If Detroit had something to play for I’d be stacking the heck out of this game, but I still think it’s smart to have one of these guys in the line-up this week.


12/31/17, 09:46 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Rookie Debut


Patrick Mahomes was 2nd in PFF’s QB Rating when kept clean in preseason. He rushed for 744 yards, 22 TDs in his last two years at Texas Tech. Denver has allowed multiple passing TDs to six-straight QBs not named Petty or Brissett.

Fantasy Goo: The rookie was supposed to take over for Alex Smith much earlier this season, but Smith and the Chief’s came out firing on all cylinders and kept the rookie on the bench. Mahomes will get his chance this week as Smith gets a week off before the playoffs. Denver may be packing it in, but they still have one of the best defenses and I expect they will play more inspired this week against a division rival.


12/31/17, 09:32 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Wayne Gallman

New York Giants

Last Man Standing


Giants will be without Shepard (neck), Engram (ribs), and King (concussion) vs. WAS. Wayne Gallman has 9, 7, 8 target counts in last three weeks.

Fantasy Goo: Washington ranks 24th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s and Gallman is $4200 on DK. Feels like a great way to save and pay up at other positions.


12/31/17, 09:21 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Burfict Situation


Bengals LB Vontaze Burfict ruled out for game Sunday at Baltimore because of shoulder injury.

Fantasy Goo: Collins becomes a solid RB1 this week. Cincinnati’s run defense is a sieve with Burfict out.


12/31/17, 09:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Akeem No Dream


Charcandrick West is out Sunday vs Denver with an illness. Akeem Hunt and Kareem Hunt only RBs on active roster for KC. It would be a surprise to see Kareem play much. That means a ton of Akeem Hunt and likely some De'Anthony Thomas on passing downs.

Fantasy Goo: Akeem is min price ($3000) on DK so the definition of a free-square, but there’s a reason he’s bounced around the NFL and never earned a starting role. Denver is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, I’m not rostering Akeem when there are so many other options this week.


12/31/17, 09:17 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeAndre Hopkins

Houston Texans

Milestone Not Worth The Risk


Bill O'Brien on DeAndre Hopkins' status: 'Probably won't know up until game time'. Typically, we might classify this as coach-speak, but Hopkins has never missed a game, and is four catches away from 100 for the season. He's probably pushing hard to play.

Fantasy Goo: This is an awesome match-up for the Houston WR’s going against a very weak Indy pass defense, but there is really no reason for Hopkins to play, especially with the calf injury. At $8400 on DK he’s just way too pricey given this news. A sneaky start might be Will Fuller at $4300, he has 5 targets in each of the past three games and is coming off some difficult match-ups. Earlier in the season he was a superstar with Watson throwing the ball, but he has always had the big play in his arsenal no matter who the QB is.


12/29/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Vultures Are Always Flying


James White (ankle) remained limited at Thursday's practice. White was absent for last week's win over Buffalo but should be out there against the Jets in Week 17. He ranks eighth among running backs with 56 catches this year.

Fantasy Goo: Lewis dominated last week with White and Burkhead out, even though Gillislee vultured a TD. I would imagine that White playing will take away the five receptions Lewis had last week and the Jets actually have a better rush defense than the Pats week 16 opponent (Buf). The Pats will be looking to lock-up home field advantage and won’t be resting their starters, but they will probably be looking to get everyone some work as they prep for the playoffs. Gillislee appears to be nursing a hammy and is not expected to play, but let’s not forget how White performed last year in the Super Bowl.


12/29/17, 09:47 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Pittsburgh Steelers

Stars Sitting


The Steelers Marcus Gilbert tells reporter Tim Benz that the Steelers won't play Ben Roethlisberger or Le'Veon Bell in finale vs. Cleveland. Landry Jones will be under center for Pittsburgh and Fitzgerald Toussaint and Stevan Ridley will form a thoroughly underwhelming RB committee against the Browns.

Fantasy Goo: Underwhelming is an understatement for these two backs, a highly respected fantasy website hasn’t even updated the news on these two since the pre-season and doesn’t even recognize them as being on the team. The one player of note in this is Martavis Bryant, The Alien averages over 17 ppr points per game with Landry at the helm as opposed to 8.4 ppg with other QB’s. He also has 5 TD’s in 5 home games with Landry. Granted most of this production comes from 2015 when they worked together often in the preseason, but Bryant could be a very sneaky GPP play this week.


12/29/17, 09:23 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Play To Win The Game


Despite already being locked into the AFC's No. 3 seed, Jaguars coach Doug Marrone has no plans to rest starters in Sunday's game against the Titans. "Make no mistake about it, just so there is not a lot of talk during the week: When the players come in (Wednesday), we are talking about how we are going to play to win and do everything we possibly can to win this game, period," Marrone said. "I am not even thinking about what happens beyond that, and that is the way we are going to go about our business this week."

Fantasy Goo: I think it’s crazy of him to do, but I’m sure he has Tom Coughlin in his ear feeding him that old-school philosophy. Looks like Bortles, Fournette, Westbrook and Cole will be safe plays against a Titan’s team hoping to hold on to the sixth seed in the AFC.


12/26/17, 10:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Los Angeles Rams

Resting Starters


McVay hints that there will be Rams starters “who won’t play at all” on Sunday. The Rams are already locked into either the No. 3 or 4 seed in the NFC and will host a Wild Card round playoff game.

Fantasy Goo: Gurley, Goff, Woods, all sitting this week? That’s going to destroy so many hopes and dreams for teams that rode Gurley all year.


12/26/17, 09:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Grind It Out


Mike Mularkey said he's not ruling DeMarco Murray out just yet. He's day-to-day. The Titans are holding out hope to have him in limited role.

Fantasy Goo: They are really grinding him into the dirt if they play him this week. I didn’t see the injury, but it sounded pretty ugly from sources in the know. Keep away from him in whatever format you are playing this week, I’m giving Derick Henry a solid upgrade as the Titans are trying to hold on to the final playoff spot in the AFC.


12/26/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Philadelphia Eagles

All Locked Up


Pederson on playing Foles vs. Cowboys: “I’ve got to get him as many reps as he can and then be smart about it. Obviously, we have a lot of football left. Our season is really just beginning, quite honestly. We’ll be smart.”

Fantasy Goo: This is why you don’t play a championship game in week 17. I’m staying away from the Eagles regular starters, pretty much across the board, as they have a first round bye all locked up. Guys like Blount, Clement, and Nelson Agholor might have some DFS appeal, but we have to get closer to Sunday to see what they plan on doing.


12/26/17, 05:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 10

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 10 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 11/11/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 10 DFS

 

Pillar: TE, Rob Gronkowski – FanDuel $8,100 / DraftKings $7,000

With Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, and Jimmy Graham off the main Sunday slates, I believe Gronk can be a major lineup differentiator as the next best options are arguably Evan Engram or Cameron Brate. Neither of those players have the upside of 100+ yards that Gronk does, and you can argue Brate’s an effective redzone weapon all you want, but he is no Gronk. Gronk also has the plus matchup against the Broncos who have struggled against tight ends this season, allowing the third most fantasy points to the position. Five different tight ends have gone over double-digit fantasy points against the Bronco’s in half PPR, but the best ones the Broncos have faced Witten, Engram, and Kelce scored a combined 60.2 fantasy points, that is an average of 20 fantasy points. With their corners having to pay attention to Brandin Cooks and Danny Amendola, Gronk should be able to work the middle of the field whenever he wants. 38% of the Broncos’ receiving yardage allowed this season have been against tight ends, the highest rate in the league, Gronk gonna Gronk. 

 

Sleepers: WR, Robby Anderson – FanDuel $6,500 / DraftKings $5,200

Robby Anderson has shown consistency and upside in his recent surge. Over the last five weeks, Robby is WR9 in half PPR scoring and showing a mix of redzone usage to go along with his big play ability. He is actually WR6 in half PPR over the last three weeks with a touchdown in each. He has also shown the ability to convert on more of his targets recently, catching 13 of his last 16 targets after sporting a low catch rate for most of his first two seasons in the league. Robby is an ascending target and now gets the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are allowing the second most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Against Speedy receivers, including guys like Deonte Thompson, the Bucs have trouble keeping these guys contained. The Bucs have allowed at least 1 receiver over double-digit fantasy points in half PPR every week this season and have allowed 14 in total through 8 games. Lock in Robby at a nice price to your lineups.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: RB, Orleans Darkwa– FanDuel $5,300 / DraftKings $4,500

Orleans Darkwa just gets put in the best of all spots this week, you may recall some of this from Adrian Peterson’s write up last week. On the season, RBs are averaging 27.5 half PPR points against the 49ers this season, including 1,650 total yards in nine games. Over the last five weeks the 49ers have allowed 1,023 total yards to opposing running backs and six total touchdowns. Over the last three weeks the 49ers have allowed 495 rushing yards and 132 receiving yards with four total touchdowns. Darkwa played his most snaps last week, and has averaged 25 snaps over his last four games, while Wayne Gallman’s snaps have been reduced. Over the last five weeks, Darkwa is RB23 in half PPR points per game averaging 10.6 a week. Go full Darkwang Duck and start Orleans this week.

 

Fade: RB, LeSean McCoy – FanDuel $8,300 / Draftkings $8,300 

While LeSean McCoy has been a center piece of some good weeks in the last month, that game against the Jets just put the fear of god into me. While he may not be listed with an injury, his groin injury looks to be lingering and could reappear at any time, taking him off the field. Plus the Saints defense has been tough as of late, allowing the 11th fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs over the last five weeks. While McCoy does have some big upside, and the Saints aren’t world beaters against the run, the injury downside just scares me away from making him a stalwart of my lineups this week.

 

 

 

 

ØC's Week 10 DFS


Pillar: RB, Melvin Gordon – DraftKings $7,200 / FanDuel $7,600

Coming off a bye, the often injured Melvin Gordon will return to stud form against the 27th worst defense against fantasy running backs. The Jaguars also boast the top secondary in the league, which will lead to a higher volume of rushing attempts and receptions out of the back field. Gordon has big play ability, with the potential for 30 touches, mimicking LeVeon Bell’s productivity. Plus, Melvin is pretty cheap so what do you have to lose?

 


Sleeper: WR, DeSean Jackson – Draft Kings $4,900 / Fan Duel $6,300

The Buccaneers are on their last leg and desperate. Jameis Winston will not play at quarterback, Mike Evans is suspended, and Doug Martin is being cuckolded by both Jaquizz Rodgers and Peyton Barber. The only real constant…DeSean Jackson. This is the first time he will be the WR1 at home against a forgiving New York Jets secondary. Look for his typical six targets to balloon to 10-12 in a high scoring affair.

 

 

Dart Throw: WR, Danny Amendola – DraftKings $5,200 / FanDuel $5,300

The Patriots are traveling to Denver to face the often touted “no fly zone”, but recently the Broncos defensive backs haven’t even shown up. The Patriots love to kill you with 1000 cuts, meaning screens, short slants, out routes, etc especially to their quick running backs and short white receivers. Chris Hogan will not play this weekend with an injury, leaving Amendola to take all of the short yardage receiving opportunities.

 

 

Fade: RB, Todd Gurley – DraftKings $8,700 / FanDuel $9,600

Todd “the Bod Gurley” absolutely feasts on weak matchups. Averaging more than 24 FF points per game against rush defenses ranked 14th or worse. However, in his two games against tougher defensive units (Seattle and Jacksonville), Gurley averages only 8.25 FF points. His Week 10 opponent is Houston, which is ranked 9th against fantasy rushers. Fan Duel has Todd as the most expensive player of the week and it just isn’t worth the money given his history against stout defenses. 

 

 

Stack: 

QB, Tom Brady – Draft Kings $6,700 – Fan Duel $8,500

WR, Danny Amendola – Draft Kings $5,200 – Fan Duel $5,300

 

 

 

d-Rx® Week 10 DFS


Pillar: WR, A.J. Green - FanDuel $7,900 / DraftKings $7,700

A.J. Green is pissed and about to show the world that he’s not soft. He escaped a bullet by not being suspended for his altercation with Jalen Ramsey, no question there. But I think ROS, the ejection will be a good thing for AJ’s game play  as I expect him to be locked-in and targeted like crazy. Dalton has to be going #18’s way early and often for the remainder of the season. 

 

Sleeper: QB, Eli Manning - FanDuel $6,700 / DraftKings $5,100

I have more faith in Chicago’s favorite dessert Eli’s Cheesecake 9 games into the 2017 NFL season than Eli Manning at this point. The Niners make superheroes out of average men (4th worst in the league vs QBs so far this season). Eli’s days may be numbered as a starter, in all honesty. Anyway, it’s been a good run buddy - but this matchup is the one for the guy. If he can’t get it done in this game, he pretty much can’t get it done against anyone in my eyes.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: WR, Martavis Bryant - FanDuel $5,100 / DraftKings $3,900

I feel like this game is going to be such a blowout for the Steelers, that they may go out of their way to make it be a make-up party for Martavis Bryant. This sets up defenses for future games throughout the remainder of the season, so teams understand the Steelers have a quiet beast they can unleash, while also making mends on a rough few weeks between the Steelers and their oft-troubled yet hyper-explosive wideout. The Alien is a force of nature, and I agree with him - JuJu’s got nothing on him. I like JuJu, but Martavis is a different breed when he gets going. There is a reason the Steelers didn’t trade him. They are going to need #10 to help if they are to win a championship this year. He’ll be heavily involved in the gameplay I figure.

 

Fade: WR, Keenan Allen - FanDuel $7,300 / DraftKings $4,500

Jacksonville’s defense is a juggernaut that you don’t want to mess with. The beautiful part about DFS is you can choose the guys you want and in this case don’t want based on the player’s matchup. This is not a good matchup for any of the Chargers receivers. Jags secondary is the best against WRs in not allowing fantasy points, they give up 15.8 per game, for a comparison the secondary that gives up the most points to wideouts is the Chiefs and they allow 34.2, almost 19 fantasy points more per game.

 

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 10 -

 

ØC (5-4 | 1055.9 pts) vs. d-Rx® (4-5 | 959.76 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 10 

 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 9 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 9 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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