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June 20, 2018
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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck


Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.


04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek


Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.


04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush


49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.


04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.sacbee.com


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving


Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.


04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons


Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)


04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch


Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.


04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.denverpost.com


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy


Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.


04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged


Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.


04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls


Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.


04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.newyorkjets.com


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson


Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.


03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack


Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.


03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That


Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.


03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case


Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.


03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount


The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.


03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel


Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.


03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat


Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.


03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun


The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.


03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again


The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.


03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track


DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”


03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All


Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.


03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 10

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 10 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 11/11/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 10 DFS

 

Pillar: TE, Rob Gronkowski – FanDuel $8,100 / DraftKings $7,000

With Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, and Jimmy Graham off the main Sunday slates, I believe Gronk can be a major lineup differentiator as the next best options are arguably Evan Engram or Cameron Brate. Neither of those players have the upside of 100+ yards that Gronk does, and you can argue Brate’s an effective redzone weapon all you want, but he is no Gronk. Gronk also has the plus matchup against the Broncos who have struggled against tight ends this season, allowing the third most fantasy points to the position. Five different tight ends have gone over double-digit fantasy points against the Bronco’s in half PPR, but the best ones the Broncos have faced Witten, Engram, and Kelce scored a combined 60.2 fantasy points, that is an average of 20 fantasy points. With their corners having to pay attention to Brandin Cooks and Danny Amendola, Gronk should be able to work the middle of the field whenever he wants. 38% of the Broncos’ receiving yardage allowed this season have been against tight ends, the highest rate in the league, Gronk gonna Gronk. 

 

Sleepers: WR, Robby Anderson – FanDuel $6,500 / DraftKings $5,200

Robby Anderson has shown consistency and upside in his recent surge. Over the last five weeks, Robby is WR9 in half PPR scoring and showing a mix of redzone usage to go along with his big play ability. He is actually WR6 in half PPR over the last three weeks with a touchdown in each. He has also shown the ability to convert on more of his targets recently, catching 13 of his last 16 targets after sporting a low catch rate for most of his first two seasons in the league. Robby is an ascending target and now gets the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are allowing the second most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Against Speedy receivers, including guys like Deonte Thompson, the Bucs have trouble keeping these guys contained. The Bucs have allowed at least 1 receiver over double-digit fantasy points in half PPR every week this season and have allowed 14 in total through 8 games. Lock in Robby at a nice price to your lineups.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: RB, Orleans Darkwa– FanDuel $5,300 / DraftKings $4,500

Orleans Darkwa just gets put in the best of all spots this week, you may recall some of this from Adrian Peterson’s write up last week. On the season, RBs are averaging 27.5 half PPR points against the 49ers this season, including 1,650 total yards in nine games. Over the last five weeks the 49ers have allowed 1,023 total yards to opposing running backs and six total touchdowns. Over the last three weeks the 49ers have allowed 495 rushing yards and 132 receiving yards with four total touchdowns. Darkwa played his most snaps last week, and has averaged 25 snaps over his last four games, while Wayne Gallman’s snaps have been reduced. Over the last five weeks, Darkwa is RB23 in half PPR points per game averaging 10.6 a week. Go full Darkwang Duck and start Orleans this week.

 

Fade: RB, LeSean McCoy – FanDuel $8,300 / Draftkings $8,300 

While LeSean McCoy has been a center piece of some good weeks in the last month, that game against the Jets just put the fear of god into me. While he may not be listed with an injury, his groin injury looks to be lingering and could reappear at any time, taking him off the field. Plus the Saints defense has been tough as of late, allowing the 11th fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs over the last five weeks. While McCoy does have some big upside, and the Saints aren’t world beaters against the run, the injury downside just scares me away from making him a stalwart of my lineups this week.

 

 

 

 

ØC's Week 10 DFS


Pillar: RB, Melvin Gordon – DraftKings $7,200 / FanDuel $7,600

Coming off a bye, the often injured Melvin Gordon will return to stud form against the 27th worst defense against fantasy running backs. The Jaguars also boast the top secondary in the league, which will lead to a higher volume of rushing attempts and receptions out of the back field. Gordon has big play ability, with the potential for 30 touches, mimicking LeVeon Bell’s productivity. Plus, Melvin is pretty cheap so what do you have to lose?

 


Sleeper: WR, DeSean Jackson – Draft Kings $4,900 / Fan Duel $6,300

The Buccaneers are on their last leg and desperate. Jameis Winston will not play at quarterback, Mike Evans is suspended, and Doug Martin is being cuckolded by both Jaquizz Rodgers and Peyton Barber. The only real constant…DeSean Jackson. This is the first time he will be the WR1 at home against a forgiving New York Jets secondary. Look for his typical six targets to balloon to 10-12 in a high scoring affair.

 

 

Dart Throw: WR, Danny Amendola – DraftKings $5,200 / FanDuel $5,300

The Patriots are traveling to Denver to face the often touted “no fly zone”, but recently the Broncos defensive backs haven’t even shown up. The Patriots love to kill you with 1000 cuts, meaning screens, short slants, out routes, etc especially to their quick running backs and short white receivers. Chris Hogan will not play this weekend with an injury, leaving Amendola to take all of the short yardage receiving opportunities.

 

 

Fade: RB, Todd Gurley – DraftKings $8,700 / FanDuel $9,600

Todd “the Bod Gurley” absolutely feasts on weak matchups. Averaging more than 24 FF points per game against rush defenses ranked 14th or worse. However, in his two games against tougher defensive units (Seattle and Jacksonville), Gurley averages only 8.25 FF points. His Week 10 opponent is Houston, which is ranked 9th against fantasy rushers. Fan Duel has Todd as the most expensive player of the week and it just isn’t worth the money given his history against stout defenses. 

 

 

Stack: 

QB, Tom Brady – Draft Kings $6,700 – Fan Duel $8,500

WR, Danny Amendola – Draft Kings $5,200 – Fan Duel $5,300

 

 

 

d-Rx® Week 10 DFS


Pillar: WR, A.J. Green - FanDuel $7,900 / DraftKings $7,700

A.J. Green is pissed and about to show the world that he’s not soft. He escaped a bullet by not being suspended for his altercation with Jalen Ramsey, no question there. But I think ROS, the ejection will be a good thing for AJ’s game play  as I expect him to be locked-in and targeted like crazy. Dalton has to be going #18’s way early and often for the remainder of the season. 

 

Sleeper: QB, Eli Manning - FanDuel $6,700 / DraftKings $5,100

I have more faith in Chicago’s favorite dessert Eli’s Cheesecake 9 games into the 2017 NFL season than Eli Manning at this point. The Niners make superheroes out of average men (4th worst in the league vs QBs so far this season). Eli’s days may be numbered as a starter, in all honesty. Anyway, it’s been a good run buddy - but this matchup is the one for the guy. If he can’t get it done in this game, he pretty much can’t get it done against anyone in my eyes.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: WR, Martavis Bryant - FanDuel $5,100 / DraftKings $3,900

I feel like this game is going to be such a blowout for the Steelers, that they may go out of their way to make it be a make-up party for Martavis Bryant. This sets up defenses for future games throughout the remainder of the season, so teams understand the Steelers have a quiet beast they can unleash, while also making mends on a rough few weeks between the Steelers and their oft-troubled yet hyper-explosive wideout. The Alien is a force of nature, and I agree with him - JuJu’s got nothing on him. I like JuJu, but Martavis is a different breed when he gets going. There is a reason the Steelers didn’t trade him. They are going to need #10 to help if they are to win a championship this year. He’ll be heavily involved in the gameplay I figure.

 

Fade: WR, Keenan Allen - FanDuel $7,300 / DraftKings $4,500

Jacksonville’s defense is a juggernaut that you don’t want to mess with. The beautiful part about DFS is you can choose the guys you want and in this case don’t want based on the player’s matchup. This is not a good matchup for any of the Chargers receivers. Jags secondary is the best against WRs in not allowing fantasy points, they give up 15.8 per game, for a comparison the secondary that gives up the most points to wideouts is the Chiefs and they allow 34.2, almost 19 fantasy points more per game.

 

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 10 -

 

ØC (5-4 | 1055.9 pts) vs. d-Rx® (4-5 | 959.76 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 10 

 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 9 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 9 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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