Week 11
November 19, 2017
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Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Rookie Wall?


Fournette came off of essentially 20 days of resting and rehabbing the injured ankle suffered in the fourth quarter of Jacksonville’s October 15th loss to the Rams, when he suited up last week against the L.A. Chargers. Last week, he carried 17 times for 33 yards. According to Florida Football Insiders, Leonard Fournette's ankle is "still not right," and he could be limited if he plays this week against the Browns.

I’ve heard a few people recognize that Cleveland’s run defense has been underrated this year. They started out pretty strong, but they have been fading lately, especially when it comes to the pass-catching backs over the past five games. Yeldon or Ivory could be that sneaky flex you’re looking for.


11/18/17, 11:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.floridafootballinsiders.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ground and Pound


According to Forecast.io, it's expected to be 39° F and with a 18% chance of snow and 20 MPH wind in Cleveland at 1:00 PM ET.

This is something to watch Sunday morning, especially if you were high on the Jacksonville passing game facing Cleveland this weekend. The snow doesn’t matter, but the wind could eliminate any deep balls. If you’re looking for a Dede or K. Cole explosion, like I have been, I think we’re going to have to wait at least one more week. Marquis Lee should be fine, he’ll still get his targets. The running game should benefit, but Fournette is questionable with an ankle.


11/18/17, 11:02 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotowire.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

Ajayi Slated for More Work in Week 11


Coaches have come out and said there is a concentrated effort to increase Ajayi's workload.

Fantasy Goo: Certainly Corey Clement impressed in their last game, Week 9 against Denver. However, he won't sustain the pace of 3TDs on just 13 touches. I do like both players in GPP, I would certainly save Clement for the larger tournaments where you take on more risk in order to differentiate yourself from the field. Still, Ajayi has had a bye week and a game to get familiar with his new digs. Each game from now on, should highlight his comfort and growth in the system.


11/18/17, 03:02 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.philly.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Tevin Coleman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com

Buffalo Bills

Bills Getting Gashed


In the last 3 weeks, the Buffalo Bills have given up 8 TDS. There is not a team in the league that has given up more than 8 rushing TDS ALL SEASON!

Fantasy Goo: There is trepidation about Gordon this week. Ekeler made a bit of a name for himself last week as Gordon owners experienced fits or rage and madness last week. I still like Gordon even in cash this week. Still whichever back you prefer, they should have a field day.


11/18/17, 12:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Jamaal Williams

Green Bay Packers

Next Man Up


As expected, Ty Montgomery officially ruled OUT for Sunday against the Ravens. Jamaal Williams should start at running back.

Williams is not Montgomery or Jones, I would not recommend starting him if you can prevent it. It will probably take a positive game script for him to be heavily use, don’t be surprised if we see Cobb being used in the backfield, especially in third-and-long situations.


11/17/17, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alshon Jeffery

Philadelphia Eagles

Open Door for Agholor


Eagles coach Doug Pederson says that Alshon Jeffery's ankle injury has been lingering for a while, but he is "optimistic" he'll play against the Cowboys Sunday night. He will be listed as questionable.

I’m looking at Nelson Agholor having a nice opportunity to put up some points with Dallas being the 24th ranked defense against opposing WR’s. Ertz coming off of the injury report is an obvious play, he’s a must start whenever he’s on the field.

It seems as though Jeffery plays through injuries every year, but he’s not very effective when he does. His injuries tend to linger and former performance enhancer users tend to get hurt more often.


11/17/17, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kareem Hunt

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Charcandrick West

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Sterling Shepard

New York Giants

Sterling Shepard's Time to Shine


The Giants are going to need to put the ball in the air against KC. Keep an eye on the winds in this one. If it is north of 15mph, I will lessen my DFS shares.

Fantasy Goo: If the winds are not bad, Shep could get some looks as he should dominate KC's Steven Nelson. There are 84 starting cornerbacks in the NFL for Week #11. Nelson comes in at #80 according to PFF


11/17/17, 06:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.nflweather.com


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Rob Gronkowski

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Mike Evans

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:43 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:42 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Melvin Gordon

Los Angeles Chargers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/15/17, 11:23 PM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Latavius Murray

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


LATAVIUS MURRAY – RB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 34% OF CBS LEAGUES

He is still getting a lot of touches, and this week had 17 carries for 68 yards with a touchdown. Getting the redzone carries makes him a worthy add in deeper leagues.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Garrett Celek

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


GARRETT CELEK – TE – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAGUES

With George Kittle out of the game, Celek had four catches for 67 yards with a 47-yard touchdown. He is viable as long as Kittle is out.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Jamison Crowder

Washington Redskins

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


JAMISON CROWDER – WR – REDSKINS – AVAILABLE IN 61% OF CBS LEAGUES

Crowder came back to action and had four receptions for 76 yards and one run for five yards. He is finally starting to make an impact when healthy.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Matt Breida

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


MATT BREIDA – RB – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAUGES

Breida had himself a nice game this week, carrying the ball nine times for 55 yards with a touchdown and had one catch for three yards. The 49ers are looking to the future, and Breida will get more looks going forward.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


CASE KEENUM – QB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 73% OF CBS LEAGUES

Looking for a quarterback? Well, how about Keenum? He has the job and the weapons and is doing well. This week he completed 21 of 29 passes for 304 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions. This is a first place team and they need him the rest of the way.


11/14/17, 07:39 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Corey Davis

Tennessee Titans

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


COREY DAVIS – WR – TITANS – AVAILABLE IN 42% OF CBS LEAGUES

Davis had four receptions for 48 yards, so not what we are expecting, but there is light for the future. He is starting to see more targets, and is the future of what the Titans want to be. He will see more looks going forward.


11/14/17, 07:38 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Marqise Lee

Jacksonville Jaguars

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


MARQISE LEE – WR – JAGUARS – AVAILABLE IN 42% OF CBS LEAGUES

He is on this list every week, and he came through again with six catches for 55 yards and a score. He is the best option in the Jaguars passing game.


11/14/17, 07:38 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com

Lamar Miller is the DFS cover player for this week's DFS piece

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 12 DFS Advice (2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 11/26/16

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 12 DFS Picks

 

Pillar: David Johnson - DraftKings - $8,900 / FanDuel - $9,500   [ARI@ATL]

David Johnson has been a lock for much of the season. He literally posses an 18-point floor weekly in PPR purposes because of his involvement in the passing game, the redzone, and even running it between the twenties with nearly no competition. DJ has finished with over 100 scrimmage yards in every game this season. Johnson has scored multiple touchdowns in half of his games this season and has a ceiling as high as anyone on the main slate. Especially with Ezekiel Elliott and Le’Veon Bell off the board with their thanksgiving matchups. Lock in David Johnson into your lineups and expect a big game against the Atlanta Falcons who have given up 50% more fantasy points to opposing running backs then the average team over the last three weeks.

 

Mid Priced Core Piece: Lamar Miller - DraftKings - $5,800 / FanDuel - $7,100 [SD@HOU]

Lamar Miller looked fully healthy on Monday Night on his way to a big night. Miller rushed for 100 yards for the third time this seasonseason, and scored his third rushing touchdown of the season to help cap off a top-12 week. Miller played over 75% of the snaps and looks healthy and primed for a stretch run. San Diego is allowing the 5th most fantasy points to opposing running backs and have allowed 12 rushing touchdowns. The Chargers have yet to give up a 100-yard rusher this season, but give it up in the passing game to running backs as well which is something Lamar Miller has shown the ability to do. At his price, Lamar Miller is an interesting alternative to Rashad Jennings who is sure to be more highly owned.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Will Tye - DraftKings - $3,000 / FanDuel - $4,600 [NYG@CLE]

Will Tye is coming off his first touchdown of the season. Tye is also not being bothered by Larry Donnell any longer who has been a healthy scratch in the Giants last two weeks. Tye has 20 targets over the last three weeks and showed down the stretch last season that he can be a viable fantasy option. But the real reason you are starting Tye is his low price and the great matchup against the Browns. The Browns are allowing 10 more receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends then any teams in the league. The Browns are also tied for allowing the most touchdowns to opposing tight ends on the season. Tye is an interesting streaming option this week in redraft and low cost option in DFS.

 

Fade: Mike Evans - DraftKings - $7,500 / FanDuel - $7,900   [SEA@TB]

Mike Evans is the number one wide receiver over the last three weeks, and is the most heavily targeted receiver in the league. But Seattle is a tough matchup for opposing wide receivers, even though they go into the game more banged up in the secondary than at any point this season. Sherman has shadowed some receivers this season, and if there is ever a week for him to do so again though it is this week. At his price point, there are just many other players I would rather play this week.

 

Stack of the Week: Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin [SEA@TB]




 

PyromaniacMo’s Week 12 DFS Picks

 

Pillar: Jay Ajayi - DraftKings - $7,600 / FanDuel - $8,400 [SF@MIA]

Vegas opened this up with an implied point total for Miami at 27, which is on the higher end this week. Not only that, being that they are favored by more than a TD, you expect them to chew the clock and lean on the ground game against the 49’ers who are allowing a league high 5.2 yards per carry. Home games are always a big plus. Considering they are facing the league’s softest run D, and Miami themselves are gaining 4.8 ypc as a team, a number that currently stands as second highest in the NFL. The 49’ers are allowing the most FF Points per game to opposing RBs. In fact, this defense has allowed a 100 yard rusher in all but two games thus far. Finally, thanks to recency bias, Ajayi might be a bit lower owned this week. It is a fantastic matchup, but after 3 weeks of dominance, he has put up just over 20 FF Points in the last two weeks combined.

 

 

Mid Priced Core Piece: Michael Thomas - DraftKings - $6,600 / FanDuel - $6,400 [LA@NO]

Drew Brees is averaging 366 yards at home and exactly 3 TDs per game. He is not the only Saint that enjoys the Big Easy, as MT himself has an 82% catch rate when playing in Louisiana, it drops a whopping 12 percentage point on the road. New Orleans is expected to roll again as they opened with a 26.25 implied team total. LA, while tough against the rush, invites teams to pass. Thomas will enjoy the softest CB matchup in this game as EJ Gaines will face off against him on most plays. Pro Football Focus currently has grades on 119 cornerbacks, Mr. Gaines comes in at number 115. It should come as no surprise that Gaines is the most picked on of the LA corners. If you add the fact that Gaines also gives up the most FF Points per route run, this should be a great game for Thomas.

 

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Kendall Wright- DraftKings - $4,000 / FanDuel - $4,500 [TEN@CHI]

In the last five weeks, no other defense has given up more PPR points per game to the opposition than the Chicago Bears. In that span, 6 WRs have scored, the vast majority of them from the slot. The fault lies with their slot corner, Cre’von LeBlanc. Considering the Bears are starting Barkley, who in his only start so far this year completed just 40% of his passes for 2 INTS and a total of 81 yards, chances are fairly good that the Titans will have more offensive drives per game than normal. This will allow Mariota to work his magic and pick on the Bears liability at corner, one Mr. Le’Blanc. At a week when you will want to spend up at the cornerback position, low end guys like Kendall Wright will come in handy.

 

Since I believe you want to collect a few low-cost WRs, here’s a bonus guy: Braxton Miller. He is the price minimum for a WR on both Fan Duel and Draft Kings. So, yes, he does have Brock tossing him the ball, but last week, Miller collected 7 targets and scored a TD. Will Fuller has not seen 7 targets since Week 7. Plus, Brock should have more time in the pocket considering 4 of San Diego’s 9 defensive linemen are on IR.  The lack of depth is one contributing factor to the sluggish play of the Chargers D-line. Football Outsiders only scores 2 team defenses with a lower adjusted sack rate that San Diego. Finally, Braxton will square off against Trevor Williams. He is getting straight picked on by opposing passers and for good reason. In fact, he is targeted on 32% of all passes, no other starting CB in the entire NFL gets thrown at as much.

 

 

Fade:  Jeremy Hill - DraftKings - $3,900 / FanDuel - $5,900 [CIN@BAL]

This is a tough one. Now, when I say fade, I may still have him in a lineup, but I play mulitiple. The fact is, this is a starting RB, that is expected to get the bulk of the carriers what with Gio out. For his going price, on Draft Kings especially, that is hard to ignore. But I am certainly going to be under weight on him. He goes against the league’s best rush defense. They held Ezekiel Elliott, arguably the league’s most impressive running back, to less than four yards a carry. But, while I am going to be under weight, on most of my plays, I want to leverage his high ownership. I believe a lot of people will be on him for the reasons I just stated. If Baltimore plays as they have been, and let’s face it, Hill is no Zeke, many owners will struggle to meet 2X. Baltimore is the only team in the league to allow fewer than 80 rushing yards per game to opponents. On Draft Kings, they are giving up the 2nd fewest points to the position. Baltimore is a funnel, D, that is precisely how I think they will spend most of their possessions.

 

 

Stack of the Week:   Titans Defense &  DeMarco Murray

 

 

 

 

FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 11 Weeks


FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 11 Weeks




DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 11 Weeks


DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 11 Weeks


 


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