Week 15
December 17, 2017
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Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

QB Downgrade Equals RB Upgrade


Ajayi can do more than he has since the Eagles acquired him from the Dolphins on Halloween. And with quarterback Carson Wentz done for the season and Nick Foles tossed into the cauldron, the Eagles will likely need additional carries from the 24-year-old tailback if they are to stoke their chances of securing home field throughout the playoffs.

Fantasy Goo: Ajayi could shred the Giants if he gets the touches, but he hasn’t scored a TD since his 46-yarder against the Bronco’s in his first game with the Eagles. It’s not like the other Eagles backs have been producing TD’s either, Wentz had been that dominant. I have no doubt they will lean on the running game this week, I’m high on Ajayi.


12/16/17, 03:18 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.philly.com


Jermaine Gresham

Arizona Cardinals

Ricky Business


The AZ Cardinals have downgraded TE Jermaine Gresham (illness) to OUT for Sunday’s game against Washington.

Fantasy Goo: Seals-Jones is a desperate move if you’re in the semi-finals of your playoffs, he’s only a streaming option if you’ve been streaming all year. He’s had a couple of big games, but there’s no floor. He could end up with 10 targets or he could end up with none.


12/16/17, 03:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Flying Solo


Joe Mixon did not pass concussion protocol and will not play Sunday against the Vikings.

Fantasy Goo: Bernard will see a solid workload, but it’s going to take a big play for him to have any real fantasy value. Minnesota did give up that big play to Jonathan Stewart last week, but I don’t see that happening again.


12/16/17, 03:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Bell-Cow Workload


Falcons running back Tevin Coleman, who’s in the NFL concussion protocol, was declared out of the Tampa Bay game on Saturday by coach Dan Quinn.

Fantasy Goo: Tampa has been solid against the run at home, but a complete sieve on the road. They are at home this week, but they haven’t faced a RB like Freeman at home this year. Freeman has traditionally been a better performer at home, but I have no doubt he’ll put up RB1 numbers with action in the passing game.


12/16/17, 03:10 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.myajc.com


Dion Sims

Chicago Bears

Honorable Mention


Bears TE Adam Shaheen (chest), who is listed as questionable against the Lions, is not expected to play, source said. Chicago goes in a little short-handed.

Fantasy Goo: I like Sims as a streamer if you’re desperate, he always seems to put up numbers when he’s the only option. I rarely start a streamer in the early set of games, there will be safer options tomorrow.


12/16/17, 03:06 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stefon Diggs

Minnesota Vikings

Diggin' It and Thielen It


The Vikings have played five out of their last six games on the road. They return home this week to face a banged-up Bengals defense and Kyle Rudolph is out. Stefon Diggs has played in four home games this year. He has hit 27.7 and 40.3 on DK in two of them.

Fantasy Goo: Diggs has never played a game without Rudolph in the line-up, so we don’t really know how this will affect his targets. Cincinnati has been without both starting CB’s, but may get Dre Kirkpatrick back this week. I have Diggs as a WR2/Flex this week with Thielen being a solid WR1, must start.


12/15/17, 05:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Woods

Los Angeles Rams

Back in Action


Seahawks Weeks 1-9 (With Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 2nd
Explosive pass rate allowed:19th
Weeks 11-14 (Without Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 22nd
Explosive pass rate allowed: 24th

Fantasy Goo: Robert Woods comes back this week, so I’m moving Watkins way down. Watkins production went up about 70% across the board with Woods out. Kupp’s production went up with Woods out as well, but even with Woods in the line-up he was second on the team in targets. Woods might need to knock some rust off after being out for three weeks so I have Woods and Kupp in the WR3/Flex range, and feel safe with starting either one.


12/15/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jag's Starting JAG's


Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette missed his third straight day of practice today due to his quad injury. No practice all week.

Fantasy Goo: I expect Yeldon and Ivory to split the touches if Fournette doesn’t play, neither seems to be worth starting, but Houston has given up five rushing TD’s in the past three games (one to a QB).


12/15/17, 05:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Howard

Chicago Bears

Here Comes the BOOM!


Detroit is allowing 3.4 offensive touchdowns per game over the past five weeks, the most in the league, they have also allowed a rushing touchdown in eight straight games. Jordan Howard is tied for the most runs of 10 or more yards (30) on the season. Howard has had 12 100-yard rushing games in his first two seasons and he wasn’t even the starter the first four games last year.

Fantasy Goo: Howard is really boom-bust, he has yet to pair together fantasy RB1 weeks this year. He had a huge game last week and his match-up this week is just too sweet to think that he won’t be able to break this trend.


12/15/17, 05:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

In the Clear


Zach Ertz has cleared the concussion protocol and will play this week.

He’s pretty much ranked as the number three TE across the industry, but I think he lacks the boom upside we might think he has against the Giants. His production with Foles, back in 2013, was only slightly lower than his production this year. In the first nine games the Giants gave up a TD to a TE in every game. In the last four games the Giants have only given up one, to Jason Witten, who has historically torched the Giants, it was his only catch of the game. They even managed to keep Kelce out of the end-zone, I believe a couple of OPI’s were involved there and Kelce did get 109 yards receiving though. I believe Ertz is a prime candidate for 5/50/1, but I don’t expect him to win you your week or be worth paying up for in DFS.


12/15/17, 05:11 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Giants defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 12

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 12 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 11/26/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 12 DFS

 

 

Pillar: RB, Kareem Hunt – FanDuel $7,700 / DraftKings $8,000

Kareem Hunt is in a great spot going up against the Buffalo Bills, who have been the worst since trading away Marcell Dareus to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Over the last three weeks, the Bills have allowed 45 fantasy points a game to opposing running backs in PPR scoring. The Bills have allowed nine rush touchdowns over that span and are giving up 5.6 yards per carry to opposing backs. On FanDuel, Hunt’s price is tough to beat and leaves room for you to play him in both cash and tournaments. In PPR leagues, Hunt has just one game with under double-digit  fantasy points and that game was 9.8 points. Hunt has been seeing 20+ opportunities on a weekly basis and should turn those into points this week.

 

Sleepers: RB, Carlos Hyde– FanDuel $6,600 / DraftKings $5,500

Carlos Hyde against Seattle seems like a place not many will want to go, but in tournaments he brings week winning upside against a defense that is beat up, especially in the back end. While Hyde might not benefit directly from the injuries, those injuries could lead to more sustained drives for the 49ers and in turn more scoring opportunities for Carlos Hyde. In their last matchup, Hyde went for 124 yards on just 15 carries and added 3 catches on 6 targets for 19 yards. Hyde’s involvement in the passing game gives him a nice floor, but also big upside in PPR leagues. Hyde hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 6, so we can say he is due to score a touchdown if we want to take a ride down narrative street.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: WR, Sammy Watkins – FanDuel $5,900 / DraftKings $4,900

I know what you are going to say, Staggs you have tried to pull this trick on me before, and it is just not going to work. But there are strong reasons for it this week. The New Orleans Saints will be without their top two corner backs  on defense and they Rams will be without Robert Woods who has become Jared Goff’s favorite target as of late. The only time that Sammy saw more than SIX targets this season he went for over 100 yards and two touchdowns, and with what should be an influx of targets due to Woods’ injury Watkins could be in for a big day. Sammy has started to establish himself as a redzone presence for the Rams, scoring twice in his last three games, giving him a lot of appeal in GPP’s.

 

Fade: RB, Jordan Howard – FanDuel $7,500 / Draftkings $6,000

Jordan Howard will have a tough matchup against the Eagles, both in terms of game script and the opposing defense. The Eagles are allowing just 48.5 rushing yards a game to opposing running backs making Howard a tough sell for me. The Eagles are allowing nearly as many yards to running backs through the air as they do on the ground, and Tarik Cohen could see more work because we expect it. The Eagles should pile on the points, making it tough for the Bears to stick to the run game all day, and making Howard a touchdown or bust candidate.

 

  

ØC's Week 12 DFS 

 

Pillar: WR, Brandin Cooks – DraftKings $7,100 / FanDuel $7,600

Cooks’ speed and the Patriots offense prowess were in full effect last Sunday in Mexico City. While Brady and the offense as a whole is always top notch, Cooks seems to be either really hot or really cold. After the international game and Brandin’s near 30 point fantasy performance, he stressed his wish to stay a Patriot for the remainder of his career. While I don’t see Cooks becoming a Randy Moss type for Brady and the gang, he can sure put up a similar performance as last weekend against the pedestrian Miami Dolphins in Foxboro.

 

Sleeper: RB, Tevin Coleman – DraftKings $6,500 / FanDuel $6,200

Coleman will once again be the lead dog for the Falcons against their division rivals in Atlanta. Although he was held to only 43 yards in Seattle, Coleman should have an easier go against a weak Tampa Bay defensive squad. Tevin should have had two touchdowns against the Seahawks, but one of his scores was short by less than a foot. He is receiving the goal line carriers and is always a threat out of the backfield, although Atlanta likes to use both Coleman and Ward in passing situations. On a lighter note, Coleman also just announced his wife gave birth to twins! Perhaps the new-found father power will put him over the top and vault your lineup to the top!

 

Dart Throw: RB, Devontae Booker – DraftKings $3,700 / FanDuel $5,500

Booker received 19 touches last week, by far the most of his season. Paxton Lynch was given the starting job at quarterback for Denver and we all know who the favorite target for “rookie” passers can be. Booker is the best pass catcher between Charles, CJA, and himself plus he was given the most carries out of all of them in Week 11. Oakland is not a great defense in general, let alone against the rushing attack so Booker should find some success.

 

Fade: QB, Drew Brees – DraftKings $6,900 / FanDuel $7,800

Drew Brees and the Saints are riding an eight-game winning streak, riding on the backs of stud running backs Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. Brees hasn’t needed to be the same ol’ gun slinger we’re used to and its shown in the last four games, averaging one touchdown and less than 300 yards passing. New Orleans will travel to Los Angeles to face another tough secondary, and once again the running game has the easier match-up. Look for the Saint to only pass when needed. Otherwise, there really won’t be a reason to pay up for Drew against the Rams.

 

Stack

RB, Tevin Coleman – DraftKings $6,500 / FanDuel $6,200

QB, Matt Ryan – DraftKings $6,400 / FanDuel $7,600

 


d-Rx's Week 12 DFS


Pillar: QB, Tom Brady - DraftKings $7,700 / FanDuel $9,100

Today is Tom Brady's Ginormous game for the season. The day he single-handedly wins you the week. He has 1 or 2 every season, and something tells me today against the Dolphins is his MVP stamp performance.


Sleeper: WR, Corey Davis - DraftKings $4,900 / FanDuel $5,400

Every expert in the land is on this as I was on our Pyro Podcast earlier in the week. It just seems set up for Corey to arrive today. And that was before finding out Rishard Matthews would be inactive for Week 12, even more opportunity now.


Low Cost Dart Throw: WR, Martavis Bryant - DraftKings $4,000 / FanDuel $5,200

JuJu is out, and Martavis will be heavily involved. It's the week for Bryant to show that he is still a stud.


Fade: QB, Carson Wentz - DarftKings $7,200 / FanDuel $8,900

Everything has been flying high for Wentz, but the Bears are the third-best defense against QBs in DFS and are much tougher than you would think. I see this being a ground and pound game for the Eagles. Wentz will have his first average game in a while today.

 


 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 12 -

 

ØC (5-6 | 1258.14 pts) vs. d-Rx® (6-5 | 1192.44 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 12 

 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 11 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 11 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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