May 22, 2018


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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck

Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.

04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek

Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.

04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush

49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.

04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving

Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.

04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons

Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)

04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch

Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.

04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy

Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.

04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged

Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.

04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls

Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.

04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson

Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.

03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack

Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.

03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That

Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.

03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case

Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.

03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount

The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.

03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler


Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Julio Jones is due for a nice week in DFS after a few weeks of sub par games for the stud WR

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 13 DFS Advice (2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 12/03/16

by   The Archer


More Articals


Stagg Party's Week 13 DFS Picks


Pillar: Drew Brees - DraftKings - $7,600 / FanDuel - $9,300   [DET@NO]

Drew Brees is a monster and is coming off a huge week in which he lit up the Los Angeles Rams. This week he goes back to the Superdome which he owns for a matchup against another offensive power with a suspect defense in the Detroit Lions. Brees has been on fire and has a trio of receivers that can get the job done as well as multiple playmakers at the running back and tight end positions. The Lions are giving up the sixth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and have been very good taking away rushing touchdowns this season making Brees more likely to have to score through the air and we already know he is going to get at least three hundred yards at home. This game has a total of 54 points so I want to play a ton of players in this game as it could be one of the shootouts of the year.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Brandin Cooks - DraftKings - $6,400 / FanDuel - $6,800 [DET@NO]

Brandin Cooks is coming off a solid goose egg for fantasy owners last week, which has pissed a lot of fantasy owners off, so maybe you can get him at a lower ownership then typical for a guy with his ceiling. Cooks may no longer be the number one receiver on his own team, but is consistently thrown to, one week withstanding, and has the ability to take it to the house from anywhere on the field. The Lions have a lot of holes in the secondary and in their linebacking corps making all the Saints pass catchers attractive options this week. Stacking two pass catchers with Brees is far from out of the question, but I like Cooks to rebound after being forgotten about last week. It also helps that Michael Thomas has surpassed him in terms of cost, making him a cheaper option to pair with Brees.


Low Cost Dart Throw: Marvin Jones - DraftKings - $4,400 / FanDuel - $5,600 [DET@NO]

Marvin Jones has been a major fantasy disappointment since his early season breakout but has a string of tough matchups in strong passing defenses or shut down corners. Jones now gets a New Orleans Saints team that should allow him to remedy his miscues. The Saints are middle of the road against opposing wide receivers, but at his price tag, no one comes close to Jones’ consistent targets and overall ceiling. One interesting tactic in DFS is to target players who have had a major pricing change and play them at a low point, and Marvin Jones definitely has that with a season high salary of 7,600. Jones is also positively correlated to the Saints passing game so you can even stuff him in the Saints stacks.


Fade: Jay Ajayi - DraftKings - $7,500 / FanDuel - $7,900   [MIA@BAL]

Jay Ajayi had a nice middle of the season but has cooled off in recent weeks, mostly due to an unhealthy offensive line and backups who aren’t nearly as good as the starters being slotted in. While two of the three could be back this week who knows how their performances will be affected by their injuries. With a potentially hampered offensive line and one of the best run defenses in the league, I think it is better avoiding Ajayi with other running backs in his price range in much better spots.


Stack of the Week: Drew Brees and Brandin Cooks [DET@NO]



Houdini's Week 13 DFS Picks



Pillar: Julio Jones – Draft Kings $8,700 / Fan Duel $8,300 [ATL vs. KC]

Julio is coming off a tough performance last where he only posted four receptions for 35 yards, but that was against Patrick Peterson. This week he faces a Chiefs defense that has been victimized by opposing receivers, allowing 26.8 fantasy points per game, second most in the league. Julio is going to make up for last week in a big way with a ton of targets and a couple touchdowns. You have to play Julio this week!!!


Mid Priced Core Piece: Theo Riddick – Draft Kings $5,800 / Fan Duel $6,500 [DET@NO]

Riddick has been okay the last three weeks, but he has been held out of the endzone. Part of the reason for this is that he played the Vikings twice, and the other against the Jaguars. This week he gets the Saints, and this is when he will be marching back into the endzone. The Saints allow 21.4 fantasy points to running backs, 6th most, and Riddick is going to do a lot of damage as a receiver this week. This game has shootout written all over it, and Theo will be a big part of that.


Low Cost Dart Throw: Dontrell Inman – Draft Kings $5,200 / Fan Duel $5,200 [SD vs. TB]

Tyrell Williams is nursing a shoulder injury and may not be able to play, or could be limited. If he can’t go then Inman becomes a super steal for you, as he will see a ton of targets. The Buccaneers defense has been better as of late, but they still give up 24.2 fantasy points per game to receivers. Philip Rivers loves to chuck it, and if Williams is out you need to have Inman IN your lineup.


Fade: Odell Beckham Jr. – Draft Kings $8,500 / Fan Duel $9,000 [DAL@PIT]

Odell has been getting back to his old self, and last week he scored two touchdowns. He now has five touchdowns in his last four games. Unfortunately he has been held under 100 yards in his last five games. He will face a Steelers defense that is 4th best at limiting receivers, giving up only 18.9 fantasy points per game. OBJ will be trying to match Antonio Brown, but I think Brown wins the battle and with them at the same price is why I am fading on Beckham.


Stack of the Week: Get in on the action with almost any combination in the Saints/Lions game 


Mo’s Week 13 DFS Picks


Pillar: Jordan Howard - DraftKings - $6,900 / FanDuel - $7,400 [SF@CHI]

This is a great cash game play. Jo-Ho is sure to get the work as the Bears have run out of offensive options. The best part of this deal, he faces the 49’ers, no other defense in the league is giving up as many yards per carry to opposing backs. Not only that, they surrender the most total rushing yards, the most rushing TDs, and the most PPR fantasy points on a per game basis. As a fantasy player, you want to chase opportunity. There are few RBs that are going to have the volume that Howard will receive against perhaps the league’s most vulnerable defense to opposing RBs.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Matt Forte - DraftKings - $5,900 / FanDuel - $6,900 [IND@NYJ]

Forte has put up top 12 PPR performances in 55% of his games this season. That trend should continue as the team expects All-Pro Center, Nick Mangold, to return this week. That will be a big boost. In Week 13, they welcome Indy to town. The Colts rank 31st in adjusted line yards surrendered to opposing RBs. In the fantasy realm, their defense has surrendered the 8th most FF Points. Of course, Forte can get it done on the ground and through the air. The Colts have given up the most receiving TDs to opposing RBs this season, 5 all told. This is going to be a tight game, and Vegas opened this one up with a 49.5 line. There should be plenty of scoring to be had, and because Forte is heavily involved in all facets of this offense, he should be considered prime DFS real-estate.


Low Cost Dart Throw: Marquise Goodwin - DraftKings - $3,400 / FanDuel - $5,200 [BUF@OAK]

There could be few players at this basement price, especially on Draft Kings, that can expect the amount of volume that will come Goodwin’s way. Both Robert woods, and Percy Harvin have been ruled out. Sammy Watkins will likely be on a bit of a snap count as his surgically repaired foot swelled up this week in practice. It should be noted that Goodwin technically has a Questionable designation himself, but there is nothing to suggest he is in danger of missing this game. The fact of the matter is, he could very well lead the Bills in targets. We have seen him strike from anywhere on the field, and he will have opportunity to do it this weekend. Vegas pegged this one with an over/under of 50 points when this one opened. The Raiders are only favored by 3, that means there should be scoring a plenty. This game may not reach 50, but still, the opportunity is there in spades for Goodwin.


Fade:  Terrance West - DraftKings - $3,800 / FanDuel - $5,900 [MIA@BAL]

To be honest, I am fading both Baltimore RBs. Look, I love me some Dixon. However, for some reason, the coaching staff has just not given him the go-ahead. Dixon and West continue to cannibalize one another in this offense. I have been pushing Dixon since he was drafted. But until something shakes loose in this offense, I am staying away. Dixon’s usage has been trending upwards, but it appears stuck in this time-share. I am willing to sit this one out. Once he does plant his flag, great. But until I see it, I just see these two backs continue to drag one-another down. Besides, the Ravens offense is stuck in neutral. They are not putting up the points, and win through their defense.


Game Stack of the Week:   Detroit Lions @ the New Orleans Saints






FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 12 Weeks of Games Played

FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 12 Weeks

DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 12 Weeks of Games Played

DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 12 Weeks


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