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May 22, 2018
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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck


Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.


04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek


Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.


04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush


49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.


04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.sacbee.com


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving


Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.


04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons


Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)


04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch


Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.


04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.denverpost.com


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy


Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.


04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged


Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.


04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls


Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.


04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.newyorkjets.com


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson


Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.


03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack


Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.


03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That


Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.


03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case


Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.


03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount


The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.


03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel


Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.


03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat


Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.


03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun


The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.


03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again


The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.


03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track


DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”


03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All


Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.


03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Jeremy Hill could be a nice play in DFS for Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 14 DFS Advice (2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 12/09/16

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 14 DFS Picks

 

 

Pillar: LeSean McCoy - DraftKings - $8,200 / FanDuel - $8,300   [PIT@BUF]

LeSean McCoy is coming off a big rushing day in his dismantling of the Oakland Raiders last week before his team blew it up for him. McCoy was vultured by Mike Gillislee a few times keeping him from putting up a huge score. Rex Ryan has said that Gillislee will remain involved near the goalline but I believe McCoy will still have his shots at the endzone. McCoy has a nice matchup at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers who have given up some huge performances to opposing running backs this season. In PPR Leagues, the Steelers have given up 17 or more fantasy points six different times, including huge games to Jay Ajayi, LeGarrette Blount, and Ezekiel Elliott. McCoy is a lock for a big workload, including some targets in addition to his carries. People could also move away from him if they think he is losing goalline carries, potentially making him lower owned then the talent and the spot suggest.

 

Mid Priced Core Piece: Jeremy Hill - DraftKings - $5,800 / FanDuel - $6,900 [CIN@CLE]

Jeremy Hill is coming off of three high workload games in which he has seen at least 18 touches in each. Without Gio in the last two weeks, Hill is averaging 13 DraftKings points and now gets the Cleveland Browns who he demolished for 27 points on just 11 touches. The Browns allow the third most fantasy points to opposing running backs and are allowing the second most rushing yards. Hill, for his price provides a big fantasy option. The Browns have allowed 13 different running backs over 11 fantasy points this season, so even though Hill has been inefficient he possesses a nice floor this week in addition to a monster ceiling.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Cameron Brate - DraftKings - $4,100 / FanDuel - $5,600 [NO@TB]

Cameron Brate is like Hansel, he’s so hot right now. Brate is the number six tight end on the season, and is averaging 13.5 fantasy points in PPR over the last six games. With Adam Humphries potentially out, Brate could be in line for even more targets. New Orleans presents a fairly average matchup for opposing tight ends, but we have seen them really struggle against the position in the past. Brate has seemingly taken over as the second option in this passing game and has a ton of value in the redzone.

 

Fade: Jordan Reed - DraftKings - $5,900 / FanDuel - $7,500   [WAS@PHI]

Jordan Reed is expected to be back from his shoulder injury as he has apparently regained full range of motion. Reed is one of the top-3 highest priced options at the tight end position and could disappoint for his high price tag. On the flip side, the Eagles are allowing the second fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends and have allowed just four different tight ends over double-digit fantasy points this season with a high of 13.6 PPR points. Reed won't be in any of my lineups this week, despite his immense talent and obvious report with Kirk Cousins.

 

Stack of the Week: Jeremy Hill and Cincinnati Bengals Defense [CIN@CLE]



 

ØC's Week 14 DFS Picks

           


Pillar:  WR, Odell Beckham, JR - DraftKings $8,000 / FanDuel $8,500   [DAL@NYG]

Odell has two straight 20+ FF point performances which include 16 receptions, 196 yards, and two touchdowns. A relatively easy match-up without any other strong options on the Giants receiving corps looks to make for a great day against a division rival. Dallas allows the 29th most passing yards while boasting a stout rush defense, meaning it should be guns-a-blazin’ for the air attack. I see Odell of having a similar or better game that Evans and Brown plus he’s $500+ cheaper. Don’t over-think your pillar player in a format that awards receptions and 100+ yard games.

 

 

Sleeper:  QB, Trevor Siemian - DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $7,000    [DEN@TEN]

Despite Siemian’s foot injury, he should (and needs to be) back in the lineup for a Denver offense that struggled mightily with Paxton Lynch against Jacksonville. The Titans rank 26th and 20th in passing and total yards allowed respectively. Also, Kapri Bibbs is out for the season and there is still little faith in Devontae Booker to create a decent rushing attack. Siemian posted 32 FF points in Week 12 against a staunch KC defense with 368 yards and three touchdowns, proving he can be a QB1. Denver has a strong chance to re-capture the #1 spot in the AFC West but they can’t always rely on their defense to carry them. Look for Siemian to record around 20 FF points so you can spend more on the WRs.

 

 

Low Cost Dart Throw:  RB, Mike Gillislee - DraftKings $4,600 / FanDuel $5,300 [PIT@BUF]

For a dart throw, I like to go with cheap options with the most upside. Gillislee had only eight touches last week but put up 16.9 FF points. Offensive Coordinator Anthony Lynn mentioned Mike will continue to receive red-zone carries and he could easily have a repeat performance at home against a defense allowing the 6th most FF points to rushers. Just two weeks ago, Ezekiel Elliot posted nearly 40 FF points with over 200 total yards and three scores. I can see both Gillislee and McCoy racking up similar numbers, and that’s something you want to be a part of especially with this price.

 


Fade:   RB, Jay Ajayi - Draft Kings $5,900/ Fan Duel $7,200   [ARI@MIA]

Jay Ajayi hasn’t broken 20 FF points in four weeks and now faces an Arizona defense ranked first against running backs. I don’t care that they are at home because it’s clear Jay and the Dolphins have cooled off considerably. Jay will need to break a long TD run for him to be fantasy relevant and I just don’t see the Cardinals letting this happen. Spend your money elsewhere.  

 

Stack of the Week: LeSean McCoy and Mike Gillislee 

 


 

Houdini's Week 14 DFS Picks

 

 

Pillar: Russell Wilson – Draft Kings $6,600 / Fan Duel $7,900 [SEA@GB]

Russell Wilson is my pillar player this week, and with his pricing it is a no brainer. He will be facing a Packers defense that has given up 10 touchdowns over the past four weeks, and that was to this amazing list of quarterbacks: Marcus Mariota, Kirk Cousins, Carson Wentz and Brock Osweiler. Russell has been a disappointment over the last two weeks, but that is what is making him such a steal of a deal this week. Wilson has still been throwing for yardage, with at least 272 yards in four of his last five games, and I am all about Wilson in this matchup.

 


Mid Priced Core Piece: Emmanuel Sanders – Draft Kings $5,700 / Fan Duel $5,900 [DEN@TEN]

Sanders came back down to earth last week with just three receptions for 28 yards, one week after going off for 162 yards. This will be a bounce back week for Emmanuel as he will get Trevor Siemian back under center, which is an immediate boost, but even better is facing a Titans defense that allows 25.4 fantasy points per game to opposing receivers. Sanders is going to see a lot of targets, as he has had at least eight in every game but one this season, and he had six in that game. Love him at this price this week.

 


Low Cost Dart Throw: Kenneth Dixon – Draft Kings $3,800 / Fan Duel $5,000 [BAL@NE]

Dixon has looked good over his last few games, but he has been seeing Terrance West score all the touchdowns. That might changes this week as the Ravens face the Patriots. New England is good against running backs, holding them to 15.2 fantasy points per game, 6th best in the league, but their weakness is with receiving backs, which Dixon is. The Patriots allow the fourth most catches to running backs, and this is going to give Dixon an extra workload this week. The Ravens should also be playing from behind, so I also think he is on the field more than West in the second half.

 


Fade: Marcus Mariota – Draft Kings $6,200 / Fan Duel $7,900 [Ten vs. DEN]

This one is easy, as Mariota has a very tough draw in the Broncos this week. The Broncos are the best in the league against quarterbacks, limiting them to 12.3 fantasy points per week. The Broncos have only allowed two quarterbacks to throw for two touchdowns, and you can expect the gameplan to be a lot of running from the Titans. This has disaster written all over it, and his price is way to high for this matchup.

 


Stack of the Week: Jameis Winston, Mike Evans and Cameron Brate [TB vs. NO]

 

 

 

 

Mo’s Week 14 DFS Picks

 


Pillar: Odell Beckham- DraftKings - $8,000 / FanDuel - $8,500 [DAL@NYG]

I am playing high end WRs in my GPP games. I want to leverage all the owners paying top dollar to the RBs, which is generally a higher percentage. So, when looking at the WRs, OBJ is actually $900 less than Evans on Draft Kings. In the last five weeks, Eli leads all QBs with 14 TDs. In that stretch of time, you can only find one other WR that has been targeted more. Out of Eli’s 14 TD tosses in this stretch of time, Beckham claims five. OBJ is home and in the national spot light. You know it, I know it, and you can be damn sure he does. His play will elevate as a result. The game will see plenty of passing as the Giants are home under-dogs to a divisional rival no less. They dropped a game last week and will likely come out angry. On Draft Kings, there are only three other defenses giving up more fantasy goo to the WR position.

 


Mid Priced Core Piece: Jamison Crowder- DraftKings - $5,600 / FanDuel - $6,400 [WAS@PHI]

Crowder is a great cash play. The Washington WR has put up double-digit Draft Kings Points in all but one game this season, and that was back in early October. He is averaging over 19 Draft Kings points in his last six games. So at his price, his six weeks average is about three full points over 3X value for Week 14. He will face slot corner Malcolm Jenkins, who is giving up the second most fantasy points per route run.


So if Crowder is my cash, you guessed it, DeSeasn Jackson is my GPP play.  For starters, it is a revenge game as he faces his old team. While the Washington slot corner Malcolm Jenkins gives up the second most FF Points per route run to opposing WRs, believe it or not, Leodis McKelvin, who will be on Jackson, actually gives up the most. Jackson is $5,800 on FanDuel and just $5,200 on Draft Kings. I like stacking these Washington WRs with a cheap Cousins.

 


Low Cost Dart Throw: Ted Ginn - DraftKings - $4,000 / FanDuel - $4,700 [SD@CAR]

Believe it or not, I honestly think you could use Ginn in both GPP and cash. I know, just mentioning Ginn and cash might give you heart palpitations, but there is a much higher floor than you think. First of all, on the season, he only has nine fewer catches than teammate Kelvin Benjamin. Since Week 6, Ginn has received less than 6 targets on just one occasion. At $,4000 on Draft Kings, 12 points would represent 3X value. Well, Ginn has reached 15 DK points in each of the last three games. That is nearly 4X value. Not only is he home, a factor not to be overlooked, but the Panthers face the Chargers. Vegas has this matchup pegged as the 2nd highest scoring game of the week. While Casey Hayward should be on Benjamin, that leaves Trevor Williams for Ginn. Mr. Williams ranks as the 93rd best cover corner according to PFF. Finally, Ginn has been known to get a few extra yards running the ball; Ole’ Teddy has ten rush attempts on the season.

 


Fade:  Antonio Brown - DraftKings - $8,700 / FanDuel - $8,800 [PIT@BUF]

Antonio Brown – It is not that I think he will necessarily have a bad game, but for only $200 more, you can get Mike Evans who has a far better matchup. Or, you can drop down for $800 on draft Kings and nab OBJ. I would rather grab the Giant’s pass catcher, save the coin and likely get the same production, if not more. Buffalo has three tough corners. The forecast calls for snow in this one, it is Buffalo after all. Using Pyro’s Positional Points Against chart, there are only two defenses that allow fewer FF Points to opposing WR1s.

 


Stack of the Week:   Rivers / Gates – Gates is sitting on a three TD game, which will give him the all-time TD record outright. You just know, when that first one comes, and he is one away, they will make a concerted effort to deliver the title. Then, when you tied the record, might as well go for it outright.

 

 

 

 

FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 13 Weeks of Games Played


FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 13 Weeks of games played




DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 13 Weeks of Games Played


DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 13 Weeks


 


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Mo’s Week  DFS Picks Week 14

 

Pillar: Odell Beckham- DraftKings - $8,000 / FanDuel - $8,500 [DAL@NYG]

I am playing high end WRs in my GPP games. I want to leverage all the owners paying top dollar to the RBs, which is generally a higher percentage. So, when looking at the WRs, OBJ is actually $900 less than Evans on Draft Kings. In the last five weeks, Eli leads all QBs with 14 TDs. In that stretch of time, you can only find one other WR that has been targeted more. Out of Eli’s 14 TD tosses in this stretch of time, Beckham claims five. OBJ is home and in the national spot light. You know it, I know it, and you can be damn sure he does. His play will elevate as a result. The game will see plenty of passing as the Giants are home under-dogs to a divisional rival no less. They dropped a game last week and will likely come out angry. On Draft Kings, there are only three other defenses giving up more fantasy goo to the WR position.

 

Mid Priced Core Piece: Jamison Crowder- DraftKings - $5,600 / FanDuel - $6,400 [WAS@PHI]

Crowder is a great cash play. The Washington WR has put up double-digit Draft Kings Points in all but one game this season, and that was back in early October. He is averaging over 19 Draft Kings points in his last six games. So at his price, his six weeks average is about three full points over 3X value for Week 14. He will face slot corner Malcolm Jenkins, who is giving up the second most fantasy points per route run.

So if Crowder is my cash, you guessed it, DeSeasn Jackson is my GPP play.  For starters, it is a revenge game as he faces his old team. While the Washington slot corner Malcolm Jenkins gives up the second most FF Points per route run to opposing WRs, believe it or not, Leodis McKelvin, who will be on Jackson, actually gives up the most. Jackson is $5,800 on FanDuel and just $5,200 on Draft Kings. I like stacking these Washington WRs with a cheap Cousins.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Ted Ginn - DraftKings - $4,000 / FanDuel - $4,700 [SD@CAR]

Believe it or not, I honestly think you could use Ginn in both GPP and cash. I know, just mentioning Ginn and cash might give you heart palpitations, but there is a much higher floor than you think. First of all, on the season, he only has nine fewer catches than teammate Kelvin Benjamin. Since Week 6, Ginn has received less than 6 targets on just one occasion. At $,4000 on Draft Kings, 12 points would represent 3X value. Well, Ginn has reached 15 DK points in each of the last three games. That is nearly 4X value. Not only is he home, a factor not to be overlooked, but the Panthers face the Chargers. Vegas has this matchup pegged as the 2nd highest scoring game of the week. While Casey Hayward should be on Benjamin, that leaves Trevor Williams for Ginn. Mr. Williams ranks as the 93rd best cover corner according to PFF. Finally, Ginn has been known to get a few extra yards running the ball; Ole’ Teddy has ten rush attempts on the season.

 

Fade:  Antonio Brown - DraftKings - $8,700 / FanDuel - $8,800 [PIT@BUF]

Antonio Brown – It is not that I think he will necessarily have a bad game, but for only $200 more, you can get Mike Evans who has a far better matchup. Or, you can drop down for $800 on draft Kings and nab OBJ. I would rather grab the Giant’s pass catcher, save the coin and likely get the same production, if not more. Buffalo has three tough corners. The forecast calls for snow in this one, it is Buffalo after all. Using Pyro’s Positional Points Against chart, there are only two defenses that allow fewer FF Points to opposing WR1s.

 

Stack of the Week:   Rivers / Gates – Gates is sitting on a three TD game, which will give him the all-time TD record outright. You just know, when that first one comes, and he is one away, they will make a concerted effort to deliver the title. Then, when you tied the record, might as well go for it outright.