March 24, 2018


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Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Jonathan Stewart

Carolina Panthers

The Search Is On

Former Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart is visiting the Seahawks today, source says. Seattle is looking at all options to get that ground game going.

This would be an interesting landing spot for Stewart, but no RB available in free agency is going to do spit behind this Swiss-cheese O-line.

03/09/18, 09:13 PM CST by Wheeler


New York Giants

Building Blocks

NFL draft insider Tony Pauline says "belief" around the league is free agent OG Andrew Norwell signing with the Giants is "a done deal."
The top guard on the market, Norwell was one of ex-Panthers GM Dave Gettleman's most-prized discoveries as an undrafted free agent. Gettleman now runs the Giants, who have needs all over the line.

I like anything the Giants can do to repair this disheveled O-line. Building a line through free-agency is almost always a better option than through the draft, but I would still like to see them trade back in the draft and grab Quenton Nelson, OG, Notre Dame.

03/09/18, 09:11 PM CST by Wheeler


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate

On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.

02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler


James White

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate

On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.

02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler


Philadelphia Eagles

Attack With 11

The Patriots defense is particularly susceptible to runs out of 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRs), allowing a 61% success rate and 6.0 YPC to offenses when rushing from this formation. The Eagles are one of the most run heavy teams from 11 personnel, recording nearly 60% of their total rushes from 11 formation. The Patriots haven’t faced teams like this often, the teams the Pats faced in the playoffs, Tennessee and Jacksonville were last and 5th lowest respectively rushing from 11 formation. This is a massive advantage for the Eagles if they recognize it and use it.

02/04/18, 10:32 AM CST by Wheeler


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

To The Left, To The Left

New England started the season off with one of the worst rush defenses in the entire league, but things have really shifted over the second half of the year. Prior to their Week 9 bye, the Patriots had allowed a 44.70% Success Rate to opposing running backs, the third-worst in the league. That's dropped to about 38% since, and they've had the fifth-best rush defense by Success Rate since Week 12. New England's especially been good at stopping runs to the left side of the field, which just so happens to be where Jay Ajayi has really made a mark since joining the Eagles in Week 9.
I don’t look for Ajayi to make his mark in this game. I know it’s a lazy narrative, but a Blount revenge game seems to really be in the cards here.

02/04/18, 10:30 AM CST by Wheeler


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Pats Could Hit'em Where It Ertz

Zach Ertz leads the Eagles in targets (39) with Foles under center, drawing at least eight in three of their four full games together. Keyed by FS Devin McCourty and SS Patrick Chung, the Pats allowed the NFL’s tenth-fewest receiving yards to tight ends (720) this season, only four opposing tight ends have reached 50 yards through 18 Patriots games.
If Foles continues to pepper Ertz with targets we could see a big game for Chung or McCourty.

02/04/18, 10:25 AM CST by Wheeler


Nelson Agholor

Philadelphia Eagles

Plenty Of Fluids

The Eagles’ biggest pass-catcher personnel mismatch is Nelson Agholor against Patriots slot corner Eric Rowe. Rowe can struggle with quick change of direction, Agholor’s foremost strength. Agholor runs 87% of his routes in the slot, and New England allowed solid games to Eric Decker (6/85/0) in the Divisional Round, and Allen Hurns (6/80/0) in the AFC title game. Agholor still ranks second behind Ertz in Foles targets (29), but has had a surprisingly quiet playoffs with just 7 targets.
This will have to change if the Eagles plan on moving the ball, but Agholor has been sick with the flu for the past few days. He received intravenous fluids Saturday and will play, but it doesn’t sound like he’ll be 100%.

02/04/18, 10:22 AM CST by Wheeler


Danny Amendola

New England Patriots

Danny Playoffs

The Eagles finished second worst this season in percentage of passing yards allowed coming after the catch. Philadelphia struggled on short and intermediate throws this season, specifically to the middle of the field, where they allowed the third-most yards per passing play in the league. Brady was a top-five player in passer rating on these types of tosses. Amendola's been a monster in this year's playoffs for New England, grabbing hold of 22 targets in just two contests, accounting for over 24% of New England's targets. He should continue to play a role on Super Bowl Sunday.

02/04/18, 10:20 AM CST by Wheeler


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

Rex Back

Despite being listed as questionable for Sunday’s AFC Championship game vs. Jaguars, it appears as though Patriots’ RB Rex Burkhead will play.
This will cut into the 13 targets Amendola saw last week.

01/20/18, 10:49 PM CST by Wheeler


Adam Thielen

Minnesota Vikings

Making The Wright Move?

Adam Thielen (back) is questionable for Sunday's NFC Championship game against the Eagles.
He's fully expected to play after limited practices the last two days. He probably won’t be 100 percent so if you’re putting in a line-up you might want to pivot to Diggs or save some money and drop down to Jarius Wright who grabbed three-of-six targets for 56 yards Sunday and has established himself as the number three WR in this offense.

01/20/18, 10:31 PM CST by Wheeler


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ankle In Question Again

Fournette aggravated his ankle in the Divisional Round and was limited early in the week. He was left off the injury report for Sunday's AFC Championship game. Fournette saw a heavy workload last week getting 27 touches in Jacksonville's upset of the Steelers. T.J. Yeldon rushed five times for 20 yards and a touchdown and caught 3-of-3 targets for 57 yards. If you’re looking for a cheaper option I expect we see Yeldon to be used to keep Fournette from aggravating the injury early.

01/20/18, 10:23 PM CST by Wheeler


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Give Him A Hand

Reports are that Tom Brady threw the ball "incredibly well" during Friday's practice. He is listed as questionable for Sunday's AFC Championship game against Jacksonville, but I don’t think there was any real doubt that he’d play. Keep in mind what D-Rex spoke about on the Pyro Podcast 303 andScott Barrett tweeted about Brady last week:
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating
The hand injury on top of his achilles injury, as well as going against the Jags #1 rated pass defense could keep the Patriots attack grounded this week. Lewis is the obvious play, but if Burkhead (Q) comes back it could be he or White that steals the show.

01/20/18, 10:22 PM CST by Wheeler


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?

Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.

01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting

Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.

01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler


DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 14

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 14 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 12/09/17

by   The Archer


More Articals


Stagg Party's Week 14 DFS



Pillar: RB, LeSean McCoy – FanDuel $9,000 / DraftKings $7,200

LeSean McCoy has had two quiet games since his last explosive effort, but this seems like a good spot to play him. Against the Colts in a game that is expected to be cold, with snowfall, and Nathan Peterman most likely at quarterback? Fuck it sign me up! The Colts haven’t seen McCoy as a runner very often, and his style can fool uncommon opponents. With the weather and quarterback factors in this game, McCoy is pretty much the only name worth playing.


Sleepers: WR, Tyreek Hill – FanDuel - $7,800 / DraftKings - $7,100

Most of my lineups this weekend will be built with the stars and scrubs approach, so the mid-priced guy just won’t exist for me in most cases. Instead of picking a random name out of a hat, I will just write up another pillar type in Tyreek Hill. Hill had his best game in months and now gets the Oakland Raiders at home who are prone to getting torched by Speedy receivers, see Brandin Cooks a few weeks ago. Hill has multiple touchdown upside in a pivotal game for the Chiefs, who cannot afford to look over the Raiders. Matt Nagy is now calling plays, and we saw last week he wasn’t willing to sit back, he was aggressive and that was a great thing for Hill and company. Hill pounced on the Raiders for 125 yards and a score earlier this season, and I wouldn’t write off a similar performance this week.


Low Cost Dart Throw: RB, Gio Bernard – FanDuel $5,100 / DraftKings $3,100

Joe Mixon left Monday night’s game early with a concussion and is on the report as doubtful, Gio now gets a major boost. When Mixon left, Gio handled 13 carries and gained 77 yards while also retaining his receiving chops. With only rookie Brian Hill on the active roster, a guy who barely has any playing experience we can expect to see a massive snap share for Gio giving him prime opportunities at a price of nearly nothing. Gio will be highly owned, but could be one of the plays that unlocks a variety of different studs for your lineups.


Fade: RB, Todd Gurley – FanDuel $8,500 / Draftkings $9,000

Todd Gurley has been the best back in fantasy on the season, but gets to face a relentless defense on Sunday. The Rams will try to employ him as a receiver to combat the leagues best rush defense, but the only time Gurley scored less than 10 points this season, it was against another tough defense when they hosted Seattle. The Eagles have been beaten up by some pretty good passing backs, but I think they will key in on Gurley every play and have Goff beat them, like some have done successfully this season.



ØC'S Week 14 DFS


Pillar: WR, Antonio Brown - FanDuel $9,000 / DraftKings $9,000

There is no stopping this man from absolutely destroying his opponents. Brown cannot be stopped and should be priced at $10k every single week. His last three weeks have combined for over 410 yards receiving with six touchdowns. Even an illegal head to head hit in the end-zone couldn’t stop him from scoring last Sunday Night. The Ravens have a great defense, but the loss of Jimmy Smith hurts a little and the game is played in Pittsburgh, where the stars come out to shine in very close and physical matchups.


Sleeper: WR, Josh Gordon - FanDuel $6,700 / DraftKings $5,800

Josh Gordon showed he’s not yet in game shape, but the matchup at home against the Packers should prove to be fruitful, no matter who the QB is. Casey Hayward from the Chargers secondary said Gordon was just as tough to guard as Odell Beckham Jr., which is a major compliment after not playing for over a year. Better snag Gordon for the few weeks he is decently priced, as he could shoot up to the $8,000s with one great game.


Dart Throw: QB, Eli Manning - FanDuel $6,000 / DraftKings $4,800

This is more of a “fuck the world” pick as Eli returns from his one week benching. The crowd will be on his side and so will the game plan against a mediocre rival pass defense at home. Eli has been off and on, mostly off, but he should have a fire in his belly to still prove to the front office and world that he isn’t washed up. It wouldn’t surprise me if Manning explodes for his annual lone fantasy performance with 5-6 touchdowns as he so often does. Add in the fact that a win against the Cowboys could spell the end for the Dallas season. There’s a lot of intrigue this weekend for the NYG v. Dallas matchup!


Fade: RB, Leonard Fournette - FanDuel $8,300 / DraftKings $7,000

I have not been impressed with the way Fournette has returned after his injury/team suspension, but this also includes his usage. He only has one touchdown in the last seven weeks (four games) and never breaks more than 2-3 receptions. Jacksonville plays at home, but its against the 4th best fantasy rush defense Seattle Seahawks. You can spend your money on a higher upside back like Lamar Miller, with extra to spare.



QB, Eli Manning - FanDuel $6,000 / DraftKings $4,800

TE, Evan Engram - FanDuel $6,600 / DraftKings $6,000







Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 14 -


ØC (7-6 | 1625.78 pts) vs. d-Rx® (6-7 | 1472.22 pts)


ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 14 




FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017


FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 14 weeks 





DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017

DraftKings Points Allowed thru 14 weeks 





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