May 22, 2018


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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck

Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.

04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek

Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.

04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush

49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.

04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving

Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.

04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons

Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)

04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch

Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.

04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy

Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.

04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged

Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.

04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls

Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.

04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson

Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.

03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack

Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.

03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That

Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.

03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case

Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.

03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount

The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.

03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler


Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Stagg Party like's LeSean McCoy a lot this week in DFS

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 15 DFS Advice (2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 12/16/16

by   The Archer


More Articals


Stagg Party's Week 15 DFS Picks


Pillar: LeSean McCoy - DraftKings - $8,900 / FanDuel - $9,000   [CLE@BUF]

LeSean McCoy is coming off another nice rushing performance as he was able to get loose against the Pittsburgh Steelers. This week he gets the Cleveland Browns who are allowing over 160 yards from scrimmage to running backs per game. In a game that is expected to snow, McCoy could be in line for another big workload in which he should have plenty of chances to exploit the Cleveland defense. Mike Gillislee could be in line for a vulture touchdown or two, McCoy will still have a chance to take it to the house from anywhere on the field. McCoy also provides a small cost savings over the cream of the crop RBs Le’Veon Bell and David Johnson. The Bills score more often when at home, and home favorite running backs are proven to score more fantasy points. It might be going back to the well, but hey, if it makes you money, why stop?


Mid Priced Core Piece: Carlos Hyde - DraftKings - $5,900 / FanDuel - $7,000 [SF@ATL]

Carlos Hyde is coming off of the most productive rushing game of his career. Hyde will also be in a great spot again this week taking on the Atlanta Falcons who are allowing the second most fantasy points to opposing running backs. Also in a week of blistering cold, Hyde will get the comfy confines of the Georgia Dome. While the Falcons Defense was great as a fantasy play last season, they did allow Todd Gurley to have a top-12 fantasy week. The Falcons have also allowed the most receptions to opposing running backs, and Hyde has proven fairly adequate at catching the ball this season. Over the last five weeks, the Falcons have continued that trend and given up at least 15 fantasy points to each of the last four main runners they have faced. While it may look like Atlanta could get out to a big lead and take Hyde of the gameplan, the 49ers always seem to mix in some run plays no matter the score.


Low Cost Dart Throw: Ty Montgomery - DraftKings - $4,800 / FanDuel - $5,000 [GB@CHI]

Ty Montgomery is coming off another nice week where he scored his first rushing touchdown of the season. Montgomery looks primed for another big workload this week as the Bears are stout against the run, and Aaron Rodgers threw it over 50 times the last time these two teams matched up. While I am not expecting another solid rushing performance I think Montgomery will be very involved as a receiver out of the backfield. While I prefer playing him at WR and in full PPR, there is also some value on FanDuel. Montgomery could also see some carries late in the game as the Packers should try and get up early in this cold weather game.


Fade: Antonio Brown - DraftKings - $8,400 / FanDuel - $8,500   [PIT@CIN]

Antonio Brown is coming off a solid game in the snow in Buffalo, but nothing to write home about. This week he looks to be in a similar spot as the Bengals are tough against wide receivers but do give it up to running backs, which could mean this is another Le’Veon Bell week after the explosion last week. Brown suffers mightily from Big Ben’s home/road splits, and in a freezing cold game, the passing game usually suffers in favor of the run game. Brown is awesome, but I am passing him up in DFS this week.


Stack of the Week: LeSean McCoy and Buffalo Bills Defense [CLE@BUF]


Houdini's Week 15 DFS Picks


Pillar: Devonta Freeman – DraftKings $6,700 / FanDuel $7,700 [ATL vs. SF]

Freeman is coming off a horrible performance against the Rams where he only managed 18 total yards. He will be facing another west coast team in the 49ers, but he should be able to fair much better in this matchup. San Francisco allows a league leading 27.9 fantasy points to running backs, and Freeman is going to be a dual threat monster this week, especially with Julio Jones out. His poor performance last week dropped his price, and makes him a perfect play this week.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Trevor Siemian – DraftKings $5,200 / FanDuel $6,600 [DEN vs. NE]

Trevor Sieman is a great mid priced sleeper this week against the Patriots. The Broncos currently have no semblance of a running game, and that has meant a lot of passing attempts for Siemian. In his last four games he has averaged 40.5 pass attempts for 311 passing yards with eight touchdowns, three interceptions, while adding 89 rushing yards. The Patriots are on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football, and will also have to deal with the altitude. Save your money on quarterback so you spend up at other positions this week.


Low Cost Dart Throw: J.J. Nelson – DraftKings $3,900 / FanDuel $5,000 [ARI vs. NO]

The Cardinals cut Michael Floyd after being arrested for a DUI, and that is going to clear the path for J.J. Nelson to make a much bigger fantasy impact the next two weeks. He gets the Saints at home this week, and while they are a better defense than they were last season, they can still be victimized by speed, which Nelson has. He should see at least five targets this week, and those will likely be downfield throws making him a boom candidate for no cost.


Fade: Aaron Rodgers – DraftKings $7,100 / FanDuel $8,500 [GB@CHI]

Rodgers has been on fire, and he torched the Bears for 326 yards and three touchdowns in their last meeting, but I am fading on him big time this week. The weather on Sunday could be the coldest game in the history of Soldier Field. The high is expected to be three degrees, with a low of negative thirteen. The chances that there will be a lot of throwing and yards is not high by my estimation, as gripping the ball and catching it will be very difficult in this game.


Stack of the Week: David Johnson and J.J. Nelson [ARI vs. NO] 


ØC's Week 15 DFS Picks


Pillar:  WR, Jordy Nelson - DraftKings $7,300 / FanDuel $7,700   [GB@CHI]

Jordy has been on a tear the last seven weeks of the season, averaging 22 FF points in PPR over that span. He’s collected seven touchdowns and nearly 600 yards receiving. Rodgers and Jordy have hit their stride just in time for the fantasy playoffs, and an away game in nearly sub-zero temperatures will do nothing to hamper this offense. The Bears have a solid secondary but allow over 21 points per game, making them 18th best in that category. There will be plenty of scoring in this divisional contest and without a rushing attack; the Packers will spearhead the offense through the air. Play Jordy will high confidence this week no matter what the price.


Sleeper:  QB, Tyrod Taylor - DraftKings $5,700 / FanDuel $7,600    [CLE@BUF]

Any player facing off against the Browns deserves no real explanation as to why you should start them. Cleveland is much better at defending the pass, but that has never been Tyrod’s strength. Taylor has two rushing touchdowns in the last two weeks and should have an easy path to a third in potentially shoddy weather. There have also been rumors of Taylor finding the bench unless he can improve in this offense. Both he and head Coach Rex Ryan are on thin ice and a failure to produce against the worst team in the league will mean curtains on their future. Look for Tyrod to throw for 200 and rush for 100 more with 2-3 total touchdowns. You could do a lot worse with more expensive QB options.


Low Cost Dart Throw:  Rishard Matthews - DraftKings $4,600 / FanDuel $5,800   [TEN@KC]

Kansas City has a “bend but don't break” attitude on defense, allowing almost 375 total yards per game to opposing offenses, yet they rank 8th in points allowed per game. Taking out last week’s match-up against the best secondary in football, Rishard has five touchdowns in five games and averages 70 yards receiving in each. Matthews is Mariota’s favorite target and shouldn’t have a problem getting open in Kansas City, as long as the O-Line allows Mariota some time to look downfield. The Titans are scrapping for their playoff lives and no offensive strategy is off the table. Emmanuel Sanders was the last WR to go off back in Week 12 for over 25 FF points, and Rishard has the talent to put up similar numbers. He is a great, cheap option this week. 


Fade:   WR, TY Hilton - DraftKings $7,200 / FanDuel $7,300   [ARI@MIA]

Hilton has been a beast of late; however, he is dealing with a back injury and will face a Minnesota secondary ranked third in passing yards allowed and second in total yards allowed. To expect another 25 FF point performance is asinine, especially on the road. While I would never sit TY in season long leagues, he’s just too expensive in such a violent match-up. Golden Tate has the highest FF point performance against the Vikings this season, and it was due to a long TD catch in overtime. No reason to waste your money on TY this week.  


Stack of the Week: Aaron Rodgers and Jordy Nelson 



PyromaniacMo’s Week 15 DFS Picks


Pillar: LeSean McCoy - DraftKings - $8,900 / FanDuel - $9,000 [CLE@BUF]

Buffalo is home to Cleveland. This game carries the second highest spread of the week, in favor of the Bills. That means a positive game script, in other words, lots of running for the Bills, who already run the ball nearly 50% of the time, third most of all the league’s teams. The Browns D is giving up the second most rushing yards per game and will possibly be without starting DT, Jamie Meder, who has failed to practice Wed and Thur. Finally, McCoy has racked up ten games this season with at least 100 all-pyrpose yards and/or a TD.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Devonta Freeman- DraftKings - $6,700 / FanDuel - $7,700 [SF@ATL]

With Julio out, the pie should grow for everyone, and this week, the pie is extraordinarily large. In fact, Atlanta has the highest implied team total of the week, 32.5. That should come easy against the 49’ers who are allowing a league high 4.9 yards per carry, and a league high total rushing yards per game. According to Pyro’s own Positional Points Against chart, versus #1 RBs, the 49’ers allow 114 yards per game, by far the most in the NFL.  In fact, they have allowed a RB TD in the last 11 games straight. This game also carries the highest spread of the week, standing in the double-digits. Now, if you toss out last week’s decimation of the Rams where they beat them 42-14 and the game script was so out-of whack, there has been four other instances where the Falcons have won by more than a TD. In those four games, Freeman is averaging 18.7 Draft Kings points. With that track record, and the stench coming off the opposing D, this should be a recipe for fantasy success in Week 15.


Low Cost Dart Throw: Vikings - DraftKings - $3,500 / FanDuel - $4,500 [IND@MIN]

I am guessing most readers all ready know that Kenneth Farrow is only $4,400 on Draft Kings. That right there is a deal. But rarely do we talk defenses. Let’s face it, if you do not hit on your defense, then you certainly are not going to bring home the coin, at least not in tournament plays. Of course, everyone is aware of the Vikings D. They started the season on a historic pace. They hit a rough patch a few weeks ago, but still are amongst the leaders defensively in most categories. This week, they are home to the Colts. Indy has allowed the 2nd most QB hits. That is a gateway to fumbles, sacks, INTs, or just bad decisions. That is exactly what defenses try to capitalize on. The biggest reason to play the Vikings, surprisingly, is not the price; The Vikings are the 5th most expensive on Draft Kings and the 11th most on Fan Duel. The best reason to play Minnesota against Indianapolis is the latter’s offensive line injuries. Indy will be down three starting offensive linemen in Week 15. Look for the Vikings to exploit that all day long.


Fade:  Julian Edelman - DraftKings - $6,400 / FanDuel - $6,100 [NE@DEN]

Mile High is always a tough place to play. Add to that the fact you have two of the league’s best corners on your tail. According to Pro Football Focus, when grading corner backs in coverage, the Broncos indeed have the top two. Aqib Talib comes in at number one and his partner, chris Harris, is number two. That is a lethal duo, and certainly one to avoid in fantasy. When adjusting for schedule, Denver comes in at number one against opposing QBs and opposing WRs in both standard and PPR scoring.


Stack of the Week:   McCoy and the Bills D




FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of Games Played

FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of games played

DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of Games Played

DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks


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