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May 22, 2018
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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck


Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.


04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek


Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.


04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush


49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.


04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.sacbee.com


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving


Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.


04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons


Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)


04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch


Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.


04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.denverpost.com


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy


Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.


04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged


Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.


04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls


Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.


04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.newyorkjets.com


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson


Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.


03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack


Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.


03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That


Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.


03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case


Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.


03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount


The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.


03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel


Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.


03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat


Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.


03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun


The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.


03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again


The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.


03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track


DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”


03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All


Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.


03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Drew Brees is Breesus

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 16 DFS Advice (2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 12/23/16

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 16 DFS Picks

 

 

Pillar: T.Y. Hilton - DraftKings - $7,800 / FanDuel - $7,600   [IND@OAK]

 

Hilton has been playing out of his mind all season long and has come a long way to becoming a more complete receiver. Hilton will be facing a secondary that is middle of the pack against receivers but has shown signs of giving up the big play, which TY is a master at. After a disappointing performance in Minnesota, people might not also be dying to slot him into their lineups but if they do it has a chance to pay off big. The Raiders have allowed six different receivers over 20 fantasy points in PPR this season. TY also has shown to rebound from subpar fantasy performances in big ways this seasons averaging nearly 24 fantasy points in PPR coming off of a single digit fantasy performance. TY who plays a variety of different spots all over the field for the Colts should be highly involved as this game features one of the highest totals of the weekend.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Latavius Murray - DraftKings - $7,300 / FanDuel - $7,000 [IND@OAK]

 

Latavius Murray is in a great spot this week taking on the Indianapolis Colts in a home game as a favorite with a nice total. Latavius looks like the perfect storm for the running back position where many of the guys are in tough spots. The Colts are allowing 25 fantasy points per game in PPR leagues and have allowed a double-digit scorer in all but one game this season. Laxatives has three games this season with multiple rushing touchdowns but the Colts haven’t allowed a single player to rush for two touchdowns in a single game. Murray should have multiple cracks at the endzone this week and get a heavy amount of work in between the twenties. Murray at his price looks like a prime play this weekend.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Willie Snead - DraftKings - $5,500 / FanDuel - $6,000 [TB@NO]

 

Big Willie Style is coming off another solid game for the Saints in which he was used all over the field and most importantly in the redzone. Over the last two weeks Snead has been targeted 19 times and also caught 14 passes over that span. In his last matchup with the Buccaneers, Snead caught 6 passes for 85 yards. Snead is continually involved and has some touchdown upside especially in a game with a high over under in the Superdome. Snead was the leading wide receiver in the last matchup, but that game did happen without Michael Thomas in the lineup. Snead provides a cheap access point to the Saints offense in a game with a nice total.


Fade: Jimmy Graham - DraftKings - $4,500 / FanDuel - $6,200   [ARI@SEA]

 

Jimmy Graham takes on the Arizona Cardinals and the toughest tight end matchup in the league. In the last matchup, Graham caught just 5 of his 10 targets for 53 yards in an underwhelming performance. The Cards have allowed just one touchdown to a tight end on the season and it caps off Grahams total. While Graham is still a solid play, spending up to his point in DFS seems unwise with a few better options in his price range.


Stack of the Week: Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton [IND@OAK]


 


Houdini's Week 16 DFS Picks

 

 

Pillar: Drew Brees – Draft Kings $7,400 / Fan Duel $8,500 [NO vs. TB]

Drew Brees was not intimidated by the tough Cardinals defense last week, throwing for 389 yards with four touchdowns, and he will have a great chance for more this week against the Buccaneers at home. Drew had a horrible game throwing three interceptions with no touchdowns the last time these two teams faced each other two weeks ago. Drew will be able to make up for that performance now that he will have them in the dome, and the will look to air it out against the Bucs defense.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Jordan Howard – Draft Kings $6,300 / Fan Duel $7,200 [CHI vs. WAS]

Jordan Howard has rushed for more than 100 yards in three of his last seven games, but the best mark for him is that his low watermark in that time has been 77 yards. The more impressive stat is that he has totaled over 100 total yards in six of his last seven with a low watermark of 99 yards, and has scored five touchdowns. He faces a Redskins defense that has given up 17 rushing touchdowns and 115 rushing yards per game. Howard should be able to generate a lot of offense in a game where the Bears probably steal a victory at home.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Ted Ginn Jr. – Draft Kings $4,500 / Fan Duel $4,800 [CAR vs. ATL]

Ted Ginn has scored a touchdown in four of his last five games, and has seen 32 targets in that span. That amount of looks makes him viable, especially with his big play ability, as he is still averaging 13.9 yards per reception. The Panthers running game has improved, and Kelvin Benjamin and Devin Funchess have not been extremely impressive this season. Ginn has the speed that they don’t, and is the last real boom threat in the offense. The Falcons give up the fourth most passing yards per game, and have allowed 28 passing touchdowns, which is second most. Ginn will get his chances to add to that this week.


Fade: Doug Martin – Draft Kings $5,400 / Fan Duel $6,900 [TB@NO]

Martin is getting a lot of touches, but he is doing nothing with them. He has failed to rush for more than 3.0 YPC in five of his last six games. So even though he has a tasty matchup with the Saints, you can’t trust it. When they met two weeks ago Martin carried the ball 17 times for 45 yards with a touchdown, and added one catch for 23 yards. The Bucs are likely to abandon their running game in order to keep pace with the Saints, and Martin is no value, even with his lower price on Draft Kings.


Stack of the Week:  Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton [IND@OAK] 





PyromaniacMo’s Week Week 16 DFS Picks


Pillar: DeMarco Murray- DraftKings - $7,000 / FanDuel - $8,400 [TEN@JAC]

Earlier this season, Murray put up 123 rushing yards and scored a TD against the Jags. That defense has certainly not fared well since. In fact, over the course of the last five weeks, they have surrendered just as many rushing TDs. Big bruisers do well against the Jags. McCoy put up 103 and a TD, Lamar Miller averaged 5.5 ypc, Melvin Gordon put up over 100 and a TD. The Jags are terrible in short yardage situations and on the goal line, and that bodes well for Murray as there are only six backs that have more red zone attempts. Finally, looking at Pyro’s own TPW chart, Murray secures a top 12 finish in 79% of his games, that is tied with David Johnson for the highest clip of top finishes.



Mid Priced Core Piece: Michael Thomas - DraftKings - $6,000 / FanDuel - $6,900 [TAM@NO]

The last time Drew Brees squared off against the Bucs, he was without Thomas. Now he has his full arsenal. Of course we know Drew Brees is a monster under the dome. However, Thomas also steps up his game. On the road, the rookie boasts a 70% catch rate, in New Orleans, his steady hands lock down 84% of passes thrown his way. This is one of just three games expected to score north of 50 points. Looking at Pyro’s own Positional Points Against Chart, Tampa allows the 6th most FF Points to opposing WR#1s. Finally, Michael Thomas will matchup up against Vernon Hargreaves III, who has continually been one of the worst corners this season. I expect Thomas to eat him for lunch.



Low Cost Dart Throw: Cameron Brate- DraftKings - $3,900 / FanDuel - $5,600 [TAM@NO]

Of course I am still going to get some action on Antonio Gates. He is bound to get that record, and that means there is not another TE that has a higher ceiling. But, I will also have exposure to Cameron Brate as well. This is a great game-stack play. There should be lots of scoring on both sides. Of course, Brees always does well at home. That means, if Tampa is going to stay in this one, they will need to start passing early and often. In the last three weeks, Brate has been targeted just as much as Mike Evans. Not only that, in the red zone, Brate actually has more receptions and TDs in that time. Brate is a cheap way to get exposure to this high scoring affair.



Fade: Jimmy Graham  - DraftKings - $4,500 / FanDuel - $6,200 [ARZ@SEA]

The Arizona Cardinals are just plain down-right stingy when it comes to TE scoring. They are by far the toughest against the position. On the season, only one TE has managed to score against the Cardinals. Not only that, only three players at the position have gone for more than 50 yards. Incredibly enough, the most yards a TE has hung on Arizona is a lowly 53. I know Graham has had a great season, but I am not taking the chance, history is just speaking out against this play in week 16.


Stack of the Week:  Drew Brees / Michael Thomas 

 

 

 

 

 

FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks of Games Played


FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks of games played




DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks of Games Played


DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks


 


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FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of Games Played


FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of games played




DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of Games Played


DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks


 


Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

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