Week 3
September 19, 2017
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Chris Thompson

Washington Redskins

Thompson Flashes


Thompson only had three carries, but two of them went for scores, including a 61-yard scamper. He finished with six touches for 106 yards and two scores. Rob Kelley could miss time with the injury and Thompson is lightening in a bottle.

Fantasy Goo: Thompson is the back to own in PPR leagues, his floor is solid with the passing downs work and he will probably average five carries a game if Kelley (ribs) is out.


09/19/17, 07:08 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


Chris Carson

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Backfield Jumble


Carson was the man at running back for the Seahawks, running the ball 20 times for 93 yards, and he caught one pass for 7 yards to give him 100 total yards on the day. Lacy is a non-factor, and Rawls does not look like he will be able to keep Carson from getting the Lion share of carries going forward.

Fantasy Goo: Carson will probably be the number one waiver add in your league, and if you have the number one pick you NEED to add Carson now.


09/19/17, 07:06 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


D'Onta Foreman

Houston Texans

The Foreman Is On The Job


The Texans want to get Foreman more involved in the offense, and this week he had 12 carries for 40 yards. He is going to be in a 60/40 split with Lamar Miller, but there is upside if Miller goes down. His workload should only increase as the season moves along.

Fantasy Goo: If he’s still available, if you have space on your roster, and if you can wait a few weeks for him to take even more of the role, then this is your guy to grab. Foreman could emerge as the Texans primary back by the end of the year.


09/19/17, 07:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


Rashard Higgins

Cleveland Browns

They Call Him "Hollywood"


Browns placed WR Corey Coleman on injured reserve with a broken hand. Coleman underwent surgery on his broken right hand Monday. Higgins played 54-of-71 snaps against the Ravens, 12 more than Kenny Britt. He also turned 11 targets into seven catches for 95 yards. He was just promoted off the practice squad on Saturday, so he could be a one hit wonder.

Fantasy Goo: Normally I would say to just put him on your watch list, but he could emerge into what we thought Kenny Britt would be. Britt is playing like he doesn’t give a crap right now, which is giving Higgins opportunity and with Coleman out for at least eight weeks there might not be anyone else to throw to.


09/19/17, 07:00 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Will Fuller

Houston Texans

Strong Out, Fuller In


Will Fuller (collarbone) returned to practice on Monday. It's a potential sign Fuller could return for Week 3. The Houston Chronicle reported in early August that Fuller would likely miss "2-3 months," but Fuller is an elite athlete in optimal condition, and he is capable of beating a lengthy timetable like that. The Texans also placed WR Jaelen Strong on waivers and the Jaguars have claimed him.

Fantasy Goo: It’s too bad the Texans still don’t have a QB. Fuller could add a valuable weapon for Watson, but I don’t see Watson being a productive QB that can maintain two WR’s with weekly fantasy value. Keep Fuller on the watch list just in case Watson proves he can produce or they shift to a free agent QB.


09/19/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


A.J. Green

Cincinnati Bengals

Green looking forward to Green Bay


A.J. Green has struggled to get going this season, with 10 receptions for 141 yards and no touchdowns. This week he faces a Packers defense that could be without Mike Daniels and Ahmad Brooks. Julio Jones had 108 yards against the Packers last week, and without the pass rush of Daniels Green should be able to make more plays downfield this week. The Bengals are looking for their first touchdown of the season, and Dalton wants it to be a passing touchdown to A.J.


09/19/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Le'Veon Bell

Pittsburgh Steelers

Bell looking for a breakthrough against the Bears


Le'Veon has only totaled 138 yards with no scores through the first two weeks. Owners should be feeling good about his matchup this week against the Bears. Chicago is already without LB Jerrell Freeman, and last week lost his replacement Nick Kwiatkowski. The Bears are a mess and Bell should be able to exploit those weaknesses for big gains this week.


09/19/17, 06:52 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com

Carolina Panthers

Carolina In My Mind


Implied Team Totals: Panthers 25, Bills 18
Cam looked rusty last week, he was literally shaking his arm after passes like there was rust in his shoulder joint. Christian McCaffrey out-snapped Jonathan Stewart 70% to 43% in Week 1, but Stewart out-touched McCaffrey 20 to 18, and Stewart scored the backfield’s lone TD on a red-zone reception where McCaffrey served as a decoy. As Carolina is favored by a touchdown at home, this sets up as another positive-script game where Stewart can log a similar if not superior workload to his dynamic rookie counterpart, giving both Panthers backs RB2/flex appeal. I don’t like any of the receivers, Benjamin is only ranked within the startable range because of the implied opportunity and what should be a prime match-up.


09/17/17, 10:30 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo @ Carolina


Implied Team Totals: Panthers 25, Bills 18
Tyrod is a solid sit for me on the road against a strong Carolina defense that silenced the 49ers on the road last week. McCoy will get 25 or so carries so I’m starting him in season-long, but his upside is capped so he’s a fade in DFS this week. Charles Clay led Buffalo in targets and caught his eighth TD in 29 games as a Bill. Last year’s Panthers allowed the league’s second-most fantasy points to tight ends, a position to which their Cover-3 zone can be vulnerable.


09/17/17, 10:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New England Patriots

New England @ New Orleans


Implied Team Totals: Patriots 31, Saints 25
Last year the Saints allowed the second-most points (454) and the most passing yards (4380), the Superdome is now known as football’s version of Coors Field for its elevation of offensive output. My top DFS plays are Brady, of course, Cooks in a revenge game, Gronk if you are ok with paying up at TE, and the way to get Gronk in a DK line-up is to play James White at RB2 or flex. White is cheap, and played the most snaps of the RB’s last week, he could have around 5 receptions for around 35-50yds and cross your fingers for a TD.


09/17/17, 10:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Hosting New England


Implied Team Totals: Patriots 31, Saints 25
The Saints, and Brees are a different animal at home than the road. Alex Smith shredded the Pats last week and even on short rest (6 days, compared to NE’s 10 days) Brees should see similar numbers. I feel good about starting Michael Thomas or Fleener, they should see the bulk of red-zone targets. The RB situation is in flux so the only RB I’m considering is Alvin Kamara, he’s obviously not a cash game play, but at $3500 he could pay-off in a big way.


09/17/17, 10:09 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars have alot to do to bounce back to fantasy relevance in week 2


With Blake Bortles playing the role as "game manager" it certainly puts a cap on the Jags offense as a whole,sure Leonard Fournette can be counted on to get the Lions share of work but at the cost of the passing game especially after losing AR15 who is left to count on ?
Blake threw for a meager 125 and a TD in week one's victory over Houston,but went 11 for 21 pass attempts. (21 attempts yoikes)
It seems the lack of faith in Bortles has everyone wondering if you can even start any pass catcher on this team.
The improvement of the defense should help but if history tells us anything it is that the Jags will be playing from behind and will be forced to throw. So again who's catching the ball in Jacksonville week 2?

Allen Hurns caught 3 out of 4 targets for 42 yards in the Jaguars' season opener and should be the one to take on the WR1 duties. He did show some fantasy value two years ago and is most likely to be the receiver with the most upside and is currently WR 49 on pyro rankings.

Marqise Lee was off the marq week 1 and had 4 balls thrown his way and failed to haul in a single catch, but he is in line to be the WR2. Maybe the increased workload and motivation of being more involved in the game plan will be the trick for Lee who's is WR 50 on pyro rankings.

Marcedes Lewis the tight-end failed to make a single reception of his two targets vs.the Texans. He could be called on to make up some of the loss of ARob but I'm not holding my breath. He only had 169 yards and a single touchdown all of last season Lewis is currently holding down TE 47 on the current pyro rankings.

Fantasy Goo: So if your like me the approach in Jacksonville is wait and see what happens Sunday vs Tennessee and hopefully we get the answers we are looking for by end of week three.


09/17/17, 05:13 AM CDT by PK Ripper

Source: pyromaniac.com

Green Bay Packers

Packers @ Falcons


Ty Montgomery played 75 of82 snaps, he’s playing a team that struggles to cover RBs and there’s a high over under. After allowing a league-high 14.5 receiving points per game to opposing backfields in 2016, Atlanta allowed a Week 1 high 23.1 points to the Chicago backfield receiving. Aaron Rodgers has thrown 10 touchdowns with at least three in each game and averaged 29.3 points per game. Randall Cobb accounted for 32 percent of the Green Bay targets Week 1.

Fantasy Goo: Start everyone mentioned above and Jordy. I guess Adams and Bennett are solid plays too, but I usually stay away from them in general, very TD dependent. This should be a shoot-out in Atlanta’s new stadium, and I expect Ty Montgomery to have the best value at $5800 on DK.


09/16/17, 06:28 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Double Hunt in KC


“Chiefs are releasing CJ Spiller again, per sources. This makes room on the 53 for RB Akeem Hunt, who can contribute on lots of special teams.”

Fantasy: Ok, this means absolutely nothing, but if you have that guy in your league that keeps sending annoying trades, you should pick up Akeem and send the guy an offer when you know he’s been drinking. All he’ll see is Hunt KC, if you make the right offer. Ask for someone good, but don’t get greedy.


09/16/17, 06:24 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Michael Crabtree

Oakland Raiders

Crabtree is the WR1 on Oakland yet again


Crabtree is the WR1a for the Raiders against a strong Jets defense in Oakland, but it’s the first home game of the year and they’ve already shown the ability to put up points. This game should end in a blowout which means more red-zone targets for Crabby, something that he didn’t see in Week 1. Look for another seven reception performance for around 100 yards and a touchdown.


09/16/17, 04:56 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Derek Carr

Oakland Raiders

Great matchup this week


Carr was very efficient against the Titans on the road but will break out in a major way at home against the withering Jets defense. Tyrod Taylor posted 18.7 FF points in Week 1 against NYJ and Carr has better weapons at his disposal. Carr could easily be the top QB this week and will continue to be the steal of the draft.


09/16/17, 04:54 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

Cooper scooper


Cooper had the big fantasy day with his 62 yards and a touchdown, but he had only five receptions on 13 targets! Something to be concerned about, but Amari also worked through a small knee injury. Use the eye-test in Week 2 to see if his efficiency improves, otherwise, Crabtree might re-take the WR1 spot on this powerful offense.


09/16/17, 04:54 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Emmanuel Sanders

Denver Broncos

2 inches short of explosion


Sanders was so close to a massive fantasy day but was overthrown by inches on two red-zone targets on Monday night. Sanders and Demaryius will mimic each other’s stat lines through the season, but ‘Manny usually sees the softer coverage. Over the course of the season, Demaryius will see a larger total FF point sum, but itll be Sanders that wins you the week.


09/16/17, 04:53 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Demaryius Thomas

Denver Broncos

Solid WR2 in all formats


Thomas will continue to be a solid WR2 especially in PPR leagues. Dallas is a similar test to the Chargers in defending receivers, so temper expectations for a breakout week, but you can definitely expect 6-8 receptions for just under 100 yards.


09/16/17, 04:52 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


C.J. Anderson

Denver Broncos

Anderson has Charles breathing down his neck...


Anderson rushed 20 times for 81 yards but was often replaced near the goal line and in long yardage situations. It was odd to see and may be a legitimate concern with Jamaal Charles in the back-up role. All CJ owners should think about stashing Charles on the bench. Dallas only allowed 9.6 and 3.5 FF points to Giant RBs so we should expect a similar output in Week 2, making CJ a flex candidate.


09/16/17, 04:50 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com

Drew Brees is Breesus

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 16 DFS Advice (2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 12/23/16

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 16 DFS Picks

 

 

Pillar: T.Y. Hilton - DraftKings - $7,800 / FanDuel - $7,600   [IND@OAK]

 

Hilton has been playing out of his mind all season long and has come a long way to becoming a more complete receiver. Hilton will be facing a secondary that is middle of the pack against receivers but has shown signs of giving up the big play, which TY is a master at. After a disappointing performance in Minnesota, people might not also be dying to slot him into their lineups but if they do it has a chance to pay off big. The Raiders have allowed six different receivers over 20 fantasy points in PPR this season. TY also has shown to rebound from subpar fantasy performances in big ways this seasons averaging nearly 24 fantasy points in PPR coming off of a single digit fantasy performance. TY who plays a variety of different spots all over the field for the Colts should be highly involved as this game features one of the highest totals of the weekend.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Latavius Murray - DraftKings - $7,300 / FanDuel - $7,000 [IND@OAK]

 

Latavius Murray is in a great spot this week taking on the Indianapolis Colts in a home game as a favorite with a nice total. Latavius looks like the perfect storm for the running back position where many of the guys are in tough spots. The Colts are allowing 25 fantasy points per game in PPR leagues and have allowed a double-digit scorer in all but one game this season. Laxatives has three games this season with multiple rushing touchdowns but the Colts haven’t allowed a single player to rush for two touchdowns in a single game. Murray should have multiple cracks at the endzone this week and get a heavy amount of work in between the twenties. Murray at his price looks like a prime play this weekend.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Willie Snead - DraftKings - $5,500 / FanDuel - $6,000 [TB@NO]

 

Big Willie Style is coming off another solid game for the Saints in which he was used all over the field and most importantly in the redzone. Over the last two weeks Snead has been targeted 19 times and also caught 14 passes over that span. In his last matchup with the Buccaneers, Snead caught 6 passes for 85 yards. Snead is continually involved and has some touchdown upside especially in a game with a high over under in the Superdome. Snead was the leading wide receiver in the last matchup, but that game did happen without Michael Thomas in the lineup. Snead provides a cheap access point to the Saints offense in a game with a nice total.


Fade: Jimmy Graham - DraftKings - $4,500 / FanDuel - $6,200   [ARI@SEA]

 

Jimmy Graham takes on the Arizona Cardinals and the toughest tight end matchup in the league. In the last matchup, Graham caught just 5 of his 10 targets for 53 yards in an underwhelming performance. The Cards have allowed just one touchdown to a tight end on the season and it caps off Grahams total. While Graham is still a solid play, spending up to his point in DFS seems unwise with a few better options in his price range.


Stack of the Week: Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton [IND@OAK]


 


Houdini's Week 16 DFS Picks

 

 

Pillar: Drew Brees – Draft Kings $7,400 / Fan Duel $8,500 [NO vs. TB]

Drew Brees was not intimidated by the tough Cardinals defense last week, throwing for 389 yards with four touchdowns, and he will have a great chance for more this week against the Buccaneers at home. Drew had a horrible game throwing three interceptions with no touchdowns the last time these two teams faced each other two weeks ago. Drew will be able to make up for that performance now that he will have them in the dome, and the will look to air it out against the Bucs defense.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Jordan Howard – Draft Kings $6,300 / Fan Duel $7,200 [CHI vs. WAS]

Jordan Howard has rushed for more than 100 yards in three of his last seven games, but the best mark for him is that his low watermark in that time has been 77 yards. The more impressive stat is that he has totaled over 100 total yards in six of his last seven with a low watermark of 99 yards, and has scored five touchdowns. He faces a Redskins defense that has given up 17 rushing touchdowns and 115 rushing yards per game. Howard should be able to generate a lot of offense in a game where the Bears probably steal a victory at home.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Ted Ginn Jr. – Draft Kings $4,500 / Fan Duel $4,800 [CAR vs. ATL]

Ted Ginn has scored a touchdown in four of his last five games, and has seen 32 targets in that span. That amount of looks makes him viable, especially with his big play ability, as he is still averaging 13.9 yards per reception. The Panthers running game has improved, and Kelvin Benjamin and Devin Funchess have not been extremely impressive this season. Ginn has the speed that they don’t, and is the last real boom threat in the offense. The Falcons give up the fourth most passing yards per game, and have allowed 28 passing touchdowns, which is second most. Ginn will get his chances to add to that this week.


Fade: Doug Martin – Draft Kings $5,400 / Fan Duel $6,900 [TB@NO]

Martin is getting a lot of touches, but he is doing nothing with them. He has failed to rush for more than 3.0 YPC in five of his last six games. So even though he has a tasty matchup with the Saints, you can’t trust it. When they met two weeks ago Martin carried the ball 17 times for 45 yards with a touchdown, and added one catch for 23 yards. The Bucs are likely to abandon their running game in order to keep pace with the Saints, and Martin is no value, even with his lower price on Draft Kings.


Stack of the Week:  Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton [IND@OAK] 





PyromaniacMo’s Week Week 16 DFS Picks


Pillar: DeMarco Murray- DraftKings - $7,000 / FanDuel - $8,400 [TEN@JAC]

Earlier this season, Murray put up 123 rushing yards and scored a TD against the Jags. That defense has certainly not fared well since. In fact, over the course of the last five weeks, they have surrendered just as many rushing TDs. Big bruisers do well against the Jags. McCoy put up 103 and a TD, Lamar Miller averaged 5.5 ypc, Melvin Gordon put up over 100 and a TD. The Jags are terrible in short yardage situations and on the goal line, and that bodes well for Murray as there are only six backs that have more red zone attempts. Finally, looking at Pyro’s own TPW chart, Murray secures a top 12 finish in 79% of his games, that is tied with David Johnson for the highest clip of top finishes.



Mid Priced Core Piece: Michael Thomas - DraftKings - $6,000 / FanDuel - $6,900 [TAM@NO]

The last time Drew Brees squared off against the Bucs, he was without Thomas. Now he has his full arsenal. Of course we know Drew Brees is a monster under the dome. However, Thomas also steps up his game. On the road, the rookie boasts a 70% catch rate, in New Orleans, his steady hands lock down 84% of passes thrown his way. This is one of just three games expected to score north of 50 points. Looking at Pyro’s own Positional Points Against Chart, Tampa allows the 6th most FF Points to opposing WR#1s. Finally, Michael Thomas will matchup up against Vernon Hargreaves III, who has continually been one of the worst corners this season. I expect Thomas to eat him for lunch.



Low Cost Dart Throw: Cameron Brate- DraftKings - $3,900 / FanDuel - $5,600 [TAM@NO]

Of course I am still going to get some action on Antonio Gates. He is bound to get that record, and that means there is not another TE that has a higher ceiling. But, I will also have exposure to Cameron Brate as well. This is a great game-stack play. There should be lots of scoring on both sides. Of course, Brees always does well at home. That means, if Tampa is going to stay in this one, they will need to start passing early and often. In the last three weeks, Brate has been targeted just as much as Mike Evans. Not only that, in the red zone, Brate actually has more receptions and TDs in that time. Brate is a cheap way to get exposure to this high scoring affair.



Fade: Jimmy Graham  - DraftKings - $4,500 / FanDuel - $6,200 [ARZ@SEA]

The Arizona Cardinals are just plain down-right stingy when it comes to TE scoring. They are by far the toughest against the position. On the season, only one TE has managed to score against the Cardinals. Not only that, only three players at the position have gone for more than 50 yards. Incredibly enough, the most yards a TE has hung on Arizona is a lowly 53. I know Graham has had a great season, but I am not taking the chance, history is just speaking out against this play in week 16.


Stack of the Week:  Drew Brees / Michael Thomas 

 

 

 

 

 

FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks of Games Played


FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks of games played




DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks of Games Played


DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks


 


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FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of Games Played


FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of games played




DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of Games Played


DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks


 


Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

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