Week 11
November 19, 2017
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Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Rookie Wall?


Fournette came off of essentially 20 days of resting and rehabbing the injured ankle suffered in the fourth quarter of Jacksonville’s October 15th loss to the Rams, when he suited up last week against the L.A. Chargers. Last week, he carried 17 times for 33 yards. According to Florida Football Insiders, Leonard Fournette's ankle is "still not right," and he could be limited if he plays this week against the Browns.

I’ve heard a few people recognize that Cleveland’s run defense has been underrated this year. They started out pretty strong, but they have been fading lately, especially when it comes to the pass-catching backs over the past five games. Yeldon or Ivory could be that sneaky flex you’re looking for.


11/18/17, 11:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.floridafootballinsiders.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ground and Pound


According to Forecast.io, it's expected to be 39° F and with a 18% chance of snow and 20 MPH wind in Cleveland at 1:00 PM ET.

This is something to watch Sunday morning, especially if you were high on the Jacksonville passing game facing Cleveland this weekend. The snow doesn’t matter, but the wind could eliminate any deep balls. If you’re looking for a Dede or K. Cole explosion, like I have been, I think we’re going to have to wait at least one more week. Marquis Lee should be fine, he’ll still get his targets. The running game should benefit, but Fournette is questionable with an ankle.


11/18/17, 11:02 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotowire.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

Ajayi Slated for More Work in Week 11


Coaches have come out and said there is a concentrated effort to increase Ajayi's workload.

Fantasy Goo: Certainly Corey Clement impressed in their last game, Week 9 against Denver. However, he won't sustain the pace of 3TDs on just 13 touches. I do like both players in GPP, I would certainly save Clement for the larger tournaments where you take on more risk in order to differentiate yourself from the field. Still, Ajayi has had a bye week and a game to get familiar with his new digs. Each game from now on, should highlight his comfort and growth in the system.


11/18/17, 03:02 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.philly.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Tevin Coleman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com

Buffalo Bills

Bills Getting Gashed


In the last 3 weeks, the Buffalo Bills have given up 8 TDS. There is not a team in the league that has given up more than 8 rushing TDS ALL SEASON!

Fantasy Goo: There is trepidation about Gordon this week. Ekeler made a bit of a name for himself last week as Gordon owners experienced fits or rage and madness last week. I still like Gordon even in cash this week. Still whichever back you prefer, they should have a field day.


11/18/17, 12:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Jamaal Williams

Green Bay Packers

Next Man Up


As expected, Ty Montgomery officially ruled OUT for Sunday against the Ravens. Jamaal Williams should start at running back.

Williams is not Montgomery or Jones, I would not recommend starting him if you can prevent it. It will probably take a positive game script for him to be heavily use, don’t be surprised if we see Cobb being used in the backfield, especially in third-and-long situations.


11/17/17, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alshon Jeffery

Philadelphia Eagles

Open Door for Agholor


Eagles coach Doug Pederson says that Alshon Jeffery's ankle injury has been lingering for a while, but he is "optimistic" he'll play against the Cowboys Sunday night. He will be listed as questionable.

I’m looking at Nelson Agholor having a nice opportunity to put up some points with Dallas being the 24th ranked defense against opposing WR’s. Ertz coming off of the injury report is an obvious play, he’s a must start whenever he’s on the field.

It seems as though Jeffery plays through injuries every year, but he’s not very effective when he does. His injuries tend to linger and former performance enhancer users tend to get hurt more often.


11/17/17, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kareem Hunt

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Charcandrick West

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Sterling Shepard

New York Giants

Sterling Shepard's Time to Shine


The Giants are going to need to put the ball in the air against KC. Keep an eye on the winds in this one. If it is north of 15mph, I will lessen my DFS shares.

Fantasy Goo: If the winds are not bad, Shep could get some looks as he should dominate KC's Steven Nelson. There are 84 starting cornerbacks in the NFL for Week #11. Nelson comes in at #80 according to PFF


11/17/17, 06:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.nflweather.com


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Rob Gronkowski

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Mike Evans

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:43 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:42 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Melvin Gordon

Los Angeles Chargers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/15/17, 11:23 PM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Latavius Murray

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


LATAVIUS MURRAY – RB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 34% OF CBS LEAGUES

He is still getting a lot of touches, and this week had 17 carries for 68 yards with a touchdown. Getting the redzone carries makes him a worthy add in deeper leagues.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Garrett Celek

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


GARRETT CELEK – TE – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAGUES

With George Kittle out of the game, Celek had four catches for 67 yards with a 47-yard touchdown. He is viable as long as Kittle is out.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Jamison Crowder

Washington Redskins

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


JAMISON CROWDER – WR – REDSKINS – AVAILABLE IN 61% OF CBS LEAGUES

Crowder came back to action and had four receptions for 76 yards and one run for five yards. He is finally starting to make an impact when healthy.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Matt Breida

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


MATT BREIDA – RB – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAUGES

Breida had himself a nice game this week, carrying the ball nine times for 55 yards with a touchdown and had one catch for three yards. The 49ers are looking to the future, and Breida will get more looks going forward.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


CASE KEENUM – QB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 73% OF CBS LEAGUES

Looking for a quarterback? Well, how about Keenum? He has the job and the weapons and is doing well. This week he completed 21 of 29 passes for 304 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions. This is a first place team and they need him the rest of the way.


11/14/17, 07:39 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Corey Davis

Tennessee Titans

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


COREY DAVIS – WR – TITANS – AVAILABLE IN 42% OF CBS LEAGUES

Davis had four receptions for 48 yards, so not what we are expecting, but there is light for the future. He is starting to see more targets, and is the future of what the Titans want to be. He will see more looks going forward.


11/14/17, 07:38 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Marqise Lee

Jacksonville Jaguars

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


MARQISE LEE – WR – JAGUARS – AVAILABLE IN 42% OF CBS LEAGUES

He is on this list every week, and he came through again with six catches for 55 yards and a score. He is the best option in the Jaguars passing game.


11/14/17, 07:38 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com

Drew Brees is Breesus

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 16 DFS Advice (2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 12/23/16

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 16 DFS Picks

 

 

Pillar: T.Y. Hilton - DraftKings - $7,800 / FanDuel - $7,600   [IND@OAK]

 

Hilton has been playing out of his mind all season long and has come a long way to becoming a more complete receiver. Hilton will be facing a secondary that is middle of the pack against receivers but has shown signs of giving up the big play, which TY is a master at. After a disappointing performance in Minnesota, people might not also be dying to slot him into their lineups but if they do it has a chance to pay off big. The Raiders have allowed six different receivers over 20 fantasy points in PPR this season. TY also has shown to rebound from subpar fantasy performances in big ways this seasons averaging nearly 24 fantasy points in PPR coming off of a single digit fantasy performance. TY who plays a variety of different spots all over the field for the Colts should be highly involved as this game features one of the highest totals of the weekend.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Latavius Murray - DraftKings - $7,300 / FanDuel - $7,000 [IND@OAK]

 

Latavius Murray is in a great spot this week taking on the Indianapolis Colts in a home game as a favorite with a nice total. Latavius looks like the perfect storm for the running back position where many of the guys are in tough spots. The Colts are allowing 25 fantasy points per game in PPR leagues and have allowed a double-digit scorer in all but one game this season. Laxatives has three games this season with multiple rushing touchdowns but the Colts haven’t allowed a single player to rush for two touchdowns in a single game. Murray should have multiple cracks at the endzone this week and get a heavy amount of work in between the twenties. Murray at his price looks like a prime play this weekend.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Willie Snead - DraftKings - $5,500 / FanDuel - $6,000 [TB@NO]

 

Big Willie Style is coming off another solid game for the Saints in which he was used all over the field and most importantly in the redzone. Over the last two weeks Snead has been targeted 19 times and also caught 14 passes over that span. In his last matchup with the Buccaneers, Snead caught 6 passes for 85 yards. Snead is continually involved and has some touchdown upside especially in a game with a high over under in the Superdome. Snead was the leading wide receiver in the last matchup, but that game did happen without Michael Thomas in the lineup. Snead provides a cheap access point to the Saints offense in a game with a nice total.


Fade: Jimmy Graham - DraftKings - $4,500 / FanDuel - $6,200   [ARI@SEA]

 

Jimmy Graham takes on the Arizona Cardinals and the toughest tight end matchup in the league. In the last matchup, Graham caught just 5 of his 10 targets for 53 yards in an underwhelming performance. The Cards have allowed just one touchdown to a tight end on the season and it caps off Grahams total. While Graham is still a solid play, spending up to his point in DFS seems unwise with a few better options in his price range.


Stack of the Week: Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton [IND@OAK]


 


Houdini's Week 16 DFS Picks

 

 

Pillar: Drew Brees – Draft Kings $7,400 / Fan Duel $8,500 [NO vs. TB]

Drew Brees was not intimidated by the tough Cardinals defense last week, throwing for 389 yards with four touchdowns, and he will have a great chance for more this week against the Buccaneers at home. Drew had a horrible game throwing three interceptions with no touchdowns the last time these two teams faced each other two weeks ago. Drew will be able to make up for that performance now that he will have them in the dome, and the will look to air it out against the Bucs defense.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Jordan Howard – Draft Kings $6,300 / Fan Duel $7,200 [CHI vs. WAS]

Jordan Howard has rushed for more than 100 yards in three of his last seven games, but the best mark for him is that his low watermark in that time has been 77 yards. The more impressive stat is that he has totaled over 100 total yards in six of his last seven with a low watermark of 99 yards, and has scored five touchdowns. He faces a Redskins defense that has given up 17 rushing touchdowns and 115 rushing yards per game. Howard should be able to generate a lot of offense in a game where the Bears probably steal a victory at home.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Ted Ginn Jr. – Draft Kings $4,500 / Fan Duel $4,800 [CAR vs. ATL]

Ted Ginn has scored a touchdown in four of his last five games, and has seen 32 targets in that span. That amount of looks makes him viable, especially with his big play ability, as he is still averaging 13.9 yards per reception. The Panthers running game has improved, and Kelvin Benjamin and Devin Funchess have not been extremely impressive this season. Ginn has the speed that they don’t, and is the last real boom threat in the offense. The Falcons give up the fourth most passing yards per game, and have allowed 28 passing touchdowns, which is second most. Ginn will get his chances to add to that this week.


Fade: Doug Martin – Draft Kings $5,400 / Fan Duel $6,900 [TB@NO]

Martin is getting a lot of touches, but he is doing nothing with them. He has failed to rush for more than 3.0 YPC in five of his last six games. So even though he has a tasty matchup with the Saints, you can’t trust it. When they met two weeks ago Martin carried the ball 17 times for 45 yards with a touchdown, and added one catch for 23 yards. The Bucs are likely to abandon their running game in order to keep pace with the Saints, and Martin is no value, even with his lower price on Draft Kings.


Stack of the Week:  Andrew Luck and T.Y. Hilton [IND@OAK] 





PyromaniacMo’s Week Week 16 DFS Picks


Pillar: DeMarco Murray- DraftKings - $7,000 / FanDuel - $8,400 [TEN@JAC]

Earlier this season, Murray put up 123 rushing yards and scored a TD against the Jags. That defense has certainly not fared well since. In fact, over the course of the last five weeks, they have surrendered just as many rushing TDs. Big bruisers do well against the Jags. McCoy put up 103 and a TD, Lamar Miller averaged 5.5 ypc, Melvin Gordon put up over 100 and a TD. The Jags are terrible in short yardage situations and on the goal line, and that bodes well for Murray as there are only six backs that have more red zone attempts. Finally, looking at Pyro’s own TPW chart, Murray secures a top 12 finish in 79% of his games, that is tied with David Johnson for the highest clip of top finishes.



Mid Priced Core Piece: Michael Thomas - DraftKings - $6,000 / FanDuel - $6,900 [TAM@NO]

The last time Drew Brees squared off against the Bucs, he was without Thomas. Now he has his full arsenal. Of course we know Drew Brees is a monster under the dome. However, Thomas also steps up his game. On the road, the rookie boasts a 70% catch rate, in New Orleans, his steady hands lock down 84% of passes thrown his way. This is one of just three games expected to score north of 50 points. Looking at Pyro’s own Positional Points Against Chart, Tampa allows the 6th most FF Points to opposing WR#1s. Finally, Michael Thomas will matchup up against Vernon Hargreaves III, who has continually been one of the worst corners this season. I expect Thomas to eat him for lunch.



Low Cost Dart Throw: Cameron Brate- DraftKings - $3,900 / FanDuel - $5,600 [TAM@NO]

Of course I am still going to get some action on Antonio Gates. He is bound to get that record, and that means there is not another TE that has a higher ceiling. But, I will also have exposure to Cameron Brate as well. This is a great game-stack play. There should be lots of scoring on both sides. Of course, Brees always does well at home. That means, if Tampa is going to stay in this one, they will need to start passing early and often. In the last three weeks, Brate has been targeted just as much as Mike Evans. Not only that, in the red zone, Brate actually has more receptions and TDs in that time. Brate is a cheap way to get exposure to this high scoring affair.



Fade: Jimmy Graham  - DraftKings - $4,500 / FanDuel - $6,200 [ARZ@SEA]

The Arizona Cardinals are just plain down-right stingy when it comes to TE scoring. They are by far the toughest against the position. On the season, only one TE has managed to score against the Cardinals. Not only that, only three players at the position have gone for more than 50 yards. Incredibly enough, the most yards a TE has hung on Arizona is a lowly 53. I know Graham has had a great season, but I am not taking the chance, history is just speaking out against this play in week 16.


Stack of the Week:  Drew Brees / Michael Thomas 

 

 

 

 

 

FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks of Games Played


FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks of games played




DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks of Games Played


DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 15 Weeks


 


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FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of Games Played


FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of games played




DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks of Games Played


DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 14 Weeks


 


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