May 22, 2018


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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck

Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.

04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek

Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.

04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush

49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.

04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving

Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.

04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons

Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)

04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch

Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.

04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy

Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.

04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged

Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.

04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls

Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.

04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson

Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.

03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack

Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.

03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That

Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.

03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case

Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.

03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount

The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.

03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler


Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Mark Ingram is due for a nice game in DFS for Week 17

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 17 DFS Advice (2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 12/30/16

by   The Archer


More Articals


Stagg Party's Week 17 DFS Picks



Pillar: Aaron Rodgers - DraftKings - $7,700 / FanDuel - $8,800   [GB@DET]


Rodgers is coming off his best game of the season, in which he did it all. Rodgers passed for over 300 yards, threw four touchdowns, and rushed for another one for a huge fantasy score. Despite the “slow start” to his season, Aaron Rodgers needs just ten fantasy points to have the second best fantasy season of his career, and that looks primed to be blown away. We have seen the lack of a true consistent run game force the Packers to the air and that could happen again as besides last week against Dallas, the Lions have had a strong rush defense all season long. All the Green bay touchdowns are likely to go through Aaron Rodgers and that makes him one of the best plays of the week, plus he is just locked in. The Packers and Lions may know that this is a winner take all game or a that they are both in at the time of playing, but even then this game will have division winning applications and answer the question of which team will host a home game next week while the other could have to go on the road.


Mid Priced Core Piece: - Mark Ingram - DraftKings - $5,600 / FanDuel - $6,100 [NO@ATL]


Mark Ingram is coming off a nice week last week in which he rushed for 90 yards and 2 touchdowns. Most importantly, he out snapped Tim Hightower 48 to 15 last week and will look to have the first 1,000 yard rushing season of his career. Ingram needs 59 yards to hit that mark and has a good matchup against the Atlanta Falcons who allow the 11th most fantasy points to opposing running backs on the season. This game also has one of the biggest totals of the season at 56.5 points. New Orleans is a veteran team and we have seen the legendary shootouts between these two teams in the past, so I will have a ton of Ingram in my lineups.


Low Cost Dart Throw: Jacquizz Rodgers - DraftKings - $4,900 / FanDuel - $5,200 [CAR@TB]


Quiz looks primed to be the lead back again for the Buccaneers in Week 17 as Doug Martin is starting to serve a four game suspension for PED’s after last weeks surprise inactive. Charles Sims was also placed on IR ceding a big workload over to Quiz. The Buccaneers will also be playing with a sliver of hope for the playoffs in an early game so they could ride Rodgers early and often. In games without Martin and Sims, Rodgers saw big workloads both running and receiving. At his price, Quiz is hard to top in terms of expected workload. The Panthers don’t have much to play for at this time, and their defense has shown it over the last five weeks allowing an average of 80 yards rushing and a touchdown per game.


Fade: DeMarco Murray - DraftKings - $6,300 / FanDuel - $7,800   [HOU@TEN]


DeMarco Murray is coming off a great season, but now the Titans are out of it. Murray doesn’t have any real milestones to hit and his quarterback is already done for the year so the Titans could take it easy on him. I could take the easy route and tell you not to play anyone who is out, but Murray seems like a guy who could be in, will be in a pretty decent spot, and has been awesome this year, but I just think they could give more to Derrick Henry then we expect, to see if he can handle a big workload at the NFL level. This one could bite me, but I won’t be rostering any DeMarco this week.


Stack of the Week: Aaron Rodgers and Jordy Nelson [GB@DET]




PyromaniacMo's Week 17 DFS Picks


Pillar: Devonta Freeman- DraftKings - $7,000 / FanDuel - $8,000 [NO@ATL]

Atlanta still has skin in the game as they are attempting to get a first round bye. Not only that, they are also expected to score more than any other NFL team according to Vegas. This game could easily be one to target as a shootout is likely. Atlanta opened as 6.5 favorites. Freeman is almost impervious to game script as he is heavily targeted out of the backfield as well. According to Pyro’s own Positional Points Against chart, only three teams are giving up more FF Points to opposing RB1s. Not only that, the Saints have surrendered the 4th most rushing TDs this season. In their last meeting earlier this year, Freeman had his second best day of the season putting up just over 29 Draft Kings points. With the amount of scoring expected, that type of day seems well within his grasp yet again.



Mid Priced Core Piece: Golden Tate - DraftKings - $6,600 / FanDuel - $5,700 [GB@DET]

This is a great cash play as Tate has been a solid producer as of late. In the last five weeks, he is Stafford’s security blanket. He has amassed 47 targets and 460 yards in that span. Green Bay has allowed the 5th most WR FF Points in that time. Tate will matchup against Damarious Randall, who according to PFF, grades out at 116 out of a total of 119 corners. The Packers have been slipping on defense, heck in the last two games they have allowed three different receivers to amass triple-digit yardage days against them. This game will decide the NFC North Divisional champ, and if Detroit is to get it done, a large percentage of their offense should flow through Golden Tate.



Low Cost Dart Throw: Dion Lewis - DraftKings - $4,000 / FanDuel - $5,200 [NE@MIA]

On the season, the Patriots are perfect on the road. Since Lewis has come back from injury, the team is really involving him in the offense. In the past two weeks, Lewis has more first half carries than Blount, 20 to 12. The Dolphins are already going to the playoffs, so you could easily see them trying to get a bit of rest where they can. The Patriots on the other hand are still trying to lock up home field and a first round bye. That is something that seems achievable. In the last five weeks, the Dolphins have surrendered the 4th most rushing yards, the second most PPR points to the position, and no one has given up as many receptions or yards to backs out of the backfield.


Fade:  Ezekiel Elliott - DraftKings - $7,400 / FanDuel - $8,800 [DAL@PHI]

The Cowboys cannot improve their situation any, win or lose. So, they are going to the playoffs, and this week’s game means virtually nothing. Would you play your studs in that situation? The coaching staff has already come out and said McFadden will be getting more work than normal, and they have hinted at more work than Zeke himself. It is certainly the smart move. This is precisely the reason you should target only team’s that have a vested interest in playing Week 17. I generally plan out my bankroll on a 16 game outlook. As far as I am concerned, this week is just for kicks.


Stack of the Week:   Matt Ryan / Devanta Freeman/ Mohamed Sanu




Houdini's Week 17 DFS Picks


Pillar: Aaron Rodgers – Draft Kings $7,700 / Fan Duel $8,800 [GB@DET]

Rodgers is playing in one of the meaningful games this week, and depending on what happens earlier in the day could make it a very crucial game. If Washington beats the Giants then the loser of this game is out of the playoffs. Rodgers got back on track last week throwing for 347 yards and four touchdowns against the Vikings. He also threw four touchdowns in his last meeting against the Lions. The Packers are rolling and the Lions are reeling, and with the weather not being a factor there should be a lot of offense in this game with Rodgers leading the way.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Golden Tate – Draft Kings $6,600 / Fan Duel $5,700 [DET vs. GB]

The Lions are in a fight for the division and possibly a fight for their playoff life against the Packers this week. Green Bay is going to bring a lot of offense to this game, and the Lions are going to have to keep the pace. Golden Tate is the most trusted target for Matthew Stafford and should see the majority of targets this week against the Packers poor secondary. Tate has been targeted 40 times over his last four games, and should see at least 10 targets this week.  


Low Cost Dart Throw: Fitzgerald Toussaint – Draft Kings $4,300 / Fan Duel $4,500 [PIT vs. CLE]

Everyone is thinking that DeAngelo Williams will be the main man this week for the Steelers, but I would rather take my chances with Toussaint. Williams is coming back from a knee injury, and I believe they are going to take it slow with him, especially since they will want him to be healthy for the playoffs. The Browns are atrocious against the run and Fitzgerald is going to do a lot of damage at a low cost this week.


Fade: Ezekiel Elliott – Draft Kings $7,400 / Fan Duel $8,800 [DAL@PHI]

The Cowboys have nothing to play for this week, and no matter what they say about playing their starters there is no reason to risk injury to Elliott in a meaningless game with the playoffs right around the corner. I don’t expect him to play more than the first quarter at most, and will be spending my money on other players.


Stack of the Week:  Aaron Rodgers and Jordy Nelson [GB@DET] 





FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 16 Weeks of Games Played

FanDuel Points Allowed Thru 16 Weeks of games played

DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 16 Weeks of Games Played

DraftKings Points Allowed Thru 16 Weeks


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