Week 3
September 19, 2017
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Chris Thompson

Washington Redskins

Thompson Flashes


Thompson only had three carries, but two of them went for scores, including a 61-yard scamper. He finished with six touches for 106 yards and two scores. Rob Kelley could miss time with the injury and Thompson is lightening in a bottle.

Fantasy Goo: Thompson is the back to own in PPR leagues, his floor is solid with the passing downs work and he will probably average five carries a game if Kelley (ribs) is out.


09/19/17, 07:08 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


Chris Carson

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Backfield Jumble


Carson was the man at running back for the Seahawks, running the ball 20 times for 93 yards, and he caught one pass for 7 yards to give him 100 total yards on the day. Lacy is a non-factor, and Rawls does not look like he will be able to keep Carson from getting the Lion share of carries going forward.

Fantasy Goo: Carson will probably be the number one waiver add in your league, and if you have the number one pick you NEED to add Carson now.


09/19/17, 07:06 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


D'Onta Foreman

Houston Texans

The Foreman Is On The Job


The Texans want to get Foreman more involved in the offense, and this week he had 12 carries for 40 yards. He is going to be in a 60/40 split with Lamar Miller, but there is upside if Miller goes down. His workload should only increase as the season moves along.

Fantasy Goo: If he’s still available, if you have space on your roster, and if you can wait a few weeks for him to take even more of the role, then this is your guy to grab. Foreman could emerge as the Texans primary back by the end of the year.


09/19/17, 07:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


Rashard Higgins

Cleveland Browns

They Call Him "Hollywood"


Browns placed WR Corey Coleman on injured reserve with a broken hand. Coleman underwent surgery on his broken right hand Monday. Higgins played 54-of-71 snaps against the Ravens, 12 more than Kenny Britt. He also turned 11 targets into seven catches for 95 yards. He was just promoted off the practice squad on Saturday, so he could be a one hit wonder.

Fantasy Goo: Normally I would say to just put him on your watch list, but he could emerge into what we thought Kenny Britt would be. Britt is playing like he doesn’t give a crap right now, which is giving Higgins opportunity and with Coleman out for at least eight weeks there might not be anyone else to throw to.


09/19/17, 07:00 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Will Fuller

Houston Texans

Strong Out, Fuller In


Will Fuller (collarbone) returned to practice on Monday. It's a potential sign Fuller could return for Week 3. The Houston Chronicle reported in early August that Fuller would likely miss "2-3 months," but Fuller is an elite athlete in optimal condition, and he is capable of beating a lengthy timetable like that. The Texans also placed WR Jaelen Strong on waivers and the Jaguars have claimed him.

Fantasy Goo: It’s too bad the Texans still don’t have a QB. Fuller could add a valuable weapon for Watson, but I don’t see Watson being a productive QB that can maintain two WR’s with weekly fantasy value. Keep Fuller on the watch list just in case Watson proves he can produce or they shift to a free agent QB.


09/19/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


A.J. Green

Cincinnati Bengals

Green looking forward to Green Bay


A.J. Green has struggled to get going this season, with 10 receptions for 141 yards and no touchdowns. This week he faces a Packers defense that could be without Mike Daniels and Ahmad Brooks. Julio Jones had 108 yards against the Packers last week, and without the pass rush of Daniels Green should be able to make more plays downfield this week. The Bengals are looking for their first touchdown of the season, and Dalton wants it to be a passing touchdown to A.J.


09/19/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Le'Veon Bell

Pittsburgh Steelers

Bell looking for a breakthrough against the Bears


Le'Veon has only totaled 138 yards with no scores through the first two weeks. Owners should be feeling good about his matchup this week against the Bears. Chicago is already without LB Jerrell Freeman, and last week lost his replacement Nick Kwiatkowski. The Bears are a mess and Bell should be able to exploit those weaknesses for big gains this week.


09/19/17, 06:52 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com

Carolina Panthers

Carolina In My Mind


Implied Team Totals: Panthers 25, Bills 18
Cam looked rusty last week, he was literally shaking his arm after passes like there was rust in his shoulder joint. Christian McCaffrey out-snapped Jonathan Stewart 70% to 43% in Week 1, but Stewart out-touched McCaffrey 20 to 18, and Stewart scored the backfield’s lone TD on a red-zone reception where McCaffrey served as a decoy. As Carolina is favored by a touchdown at home, this sets up as another positive-script game where Stewart can log a similar if not superior workload to his dynamic rookie counterpart, giving both Panthers backs RB2/flex appeal. I don’t like any of the receivers, Benjamin is only ranked within the startable range because of the implied opportunity and what should be a prime match-up.


09/17/17, 10:30 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo @ Carolina


Implied Team Totals: Panthers 25, Bills 18
Tyrod is a solid sit for me on the road against a strong Carolina defense that silenced the 49ers on the road last week. McCoy will get 25 or so carries so I’m starting him in season-long, but his upside is capped so he’s a fade in DFS this week. Charles Clay led Buffalo in targets and caught his eighth TD in 29 games as a Bill. Last year’s Panthers allowed the league’s second-most fantasy points to tight ends, a position to which their Cover-3 zone can be vulnerable.


09/17/17, 10:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New England Patriots

New England @ New Orleans


Implied Team Totals: Patriots 31, Saints 25
Last year the Saints allowed the second-most points (454) and the most passing yards (4380), the Superdome is now known as football’s version of Coors Field for its elevation of offensive output. My top DFS plays are Brady, of course, Cooks in a revenge game, Gronk if you are ok with paying up at TE, and the way to get Gronk in a DK line-up is to play James White at RB2 or flex. White is cheap, and played the most snaps of the RB’s last week, he could have around 5 receptions for around 35-50yds and cross your fingers for a TD.


09/17/17, 10:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Hosting New England


Implied Team Totals: Patriots 31, Saints 25
The Saints, and Brees are a different animal at home than the road. Alex Smith shredded the Pats last week and even on short rest (6 days, compared to NE’s 10 days) Brees should see similar numbers. I feel good about starting Michael Thomas or Fleener, they should see the bulk of red-zone targets. The RB situation is in flux so the only RB I’m considering is Alvin Kamara, he’s obviously not a cash game play, but at $3500 he could pay-off in a big way.


09/17/17, 10:09 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars have alot to do to bounce back to fantasy relevance in week 2


With Blake Bortles playing the role as "game manager" it certainly puts a cap on the Jags offense as a whole,sure Leonard Fournette can be counted on to get the Lions share of work but at the cost of the passing game especially after losing AR15 who is left to count on ?
Blake threw for a meager 125 and a TD in week one's victory over Houston,but went 11 for 21 pass attempts. (21 attempts yoikes)
It seems the lack of faith in Bortles has everyone wondering if you can even start any pass catcher on this team.
The improvement of the defense should help but if history tells us anything it is that the Jags will be playing from behind and will be forced to throw. So again who's catching the ball in Jacksonville week 2?

Allen Hurns caught 3 out of 4 targets for 42 yards in the Jaguars' season opener and should be the one to take on the WR1 duties. He did show some fantasy value two years ago and is most likely to be the receiver with the most upside and is currently WR 49 on pyro rankings.

Marqise Lee was off the marq week 1 and had 4 balls thrown his way and failed to haul in a single catch, but he is in line to be the WR2. Maybe the increased workload and motivation of being more involved in the game plan will be the trick for Lee who's is WR 50 on pyro rankings.

Marcedes Lewis the tight-end failed to make a single reception of his two targets vs.the Texans. He could be called on to make up some of the loss of ARob but I'm not holding my breath. He only had 169 yards and a single touchdown all of last season Lewis is currently holding down TE 47 on the current pyro rankings.

Fantasy Goo: So if your like me the approach in Jacksonville is wait and see what happens Sunday vs Tennessee and hopefully we get the answers we are looking for by end of week three.


09/17/17, 05:13 AM CDT by PK Ripper

Source: pyromaniac.com

Green Bay Packers

Packers @ Falcons


Ty Montgomery played 75 of82 snaps, he’s playing a team that struggles to cover RBs and there’s a high over under. After allowing a league-high 14.5 receiving points per game to opposing backfields in 2016, Atlanta allowed a Week 1 high 23.1 points to the Chicago backfield receiving. Aaron Rodgers has thrown 10 touchdowns with at least three in each game and averaged 29.3 points per game. Randall Cobb accounted for 32 percent of the Green Bay targets Week 1.

Fantasy Goo: Start everyone mentioned above and Jordy. I guess Adams and Bennett are solid plays too, but I usually stay away from them in general, very TD dependent. This should be a shoot-out in Atlanta’s new stadium, and I expect Ty Montgomery to have the best value at $5800 on DK.


09/16/17, 06:28 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Double Hunt in KC


“Chiefs are releasing CJ Spiller again, per sources. This makes room on the 53 for RB Akeem Hunt, who can contribute on lots of special teams.”

Fantasy: Ok, this means absolutely nothing, but if you have that guy in your league that keeps sending annoying trades, you should pick up Akeem and send the guy an offer when you know he’s been drinking. All he’ll see is Hunt KC, if you make the right offer. Ask for someone good, but don’t get greedy.


09/16/17, 06:24 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Michael Crabtree

Oakland Raiders

Crabtree is the WR1 on Oakland yet again


Crabtree is the WR1a for the Raiders against a strong Jets defense in Oakland, but it’s the first home game of the year and they’ve already shown the ability to put up points. This game should end in a blowout which means more red-zone targets for Crabby, something that he didn’t see in Week 1. Look for another seven reception performance for around 100 yards and a touchdown.


09/16/17, 04:56 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Derek Carr

Oakland Raiders

Great matchup this week


Carr was very efficient against the Titans on the road but will break out in a major way at home against the withering Jets defense. Tyrod Taylor posted 18.7 FF points in Week 1 against NYJ and Carr has better weapons at his disposal. Carr could easily be the top QB this week and will continue to be the steal of the draft.


09/16/17, 04:54 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

Cooper scooper


Cooper had the big fantasy day with his 62 yards and a touchdown, but he had only five receptions on 13 targets! Something to be concerned about, but Amari also worked through a small knee injury. Use the eye-test in Week 2 to see if his efficiency improves, otherwise, Crabtree might re-take the WR1 spot on this powerful offense.


09/16/17, 04:54 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Emmanuel Sanders

Denver Broncos

2 inches short of explosion


Sanders was so close to a massive fantasy day but was overthrown by inches on two red-zone targets on Monday night. Sanders and Demaryius will mimic each other’s stat lines through the season, but ‘Manny usually sees the softer coverage. Over the course of the season, Demaryius will see a larger total FF point sum, but itll be Sanders that wins you the week.


09/16/17, 04:53 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


Demaryius Thomas

Denver Broncos

Solid WR2 in all formats


Thomas will continue to be a solid WR2 especially in PPR leagues. Dallas is a similar test to the Chargers in defending receivers, so temper expectations for a breakout week, but you can definitely expect 6-8 receptions for just under 100 yards.


09/16/17, 04:52 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com


C.J. Anderson

Denver Broncos

Anderson has Charles breathing down his neck...


Anderson rushed 20 times for 81 yards but was often replaced near the goal line and in long yardage situations. It was odd to see and may be a legitimate concern with Jamaal Charles in the back-up role. All CJ owners should think about stashing Charles on the bench. Dallas only allowed 9.6 and 3.5 FF points to Giant RBs so we should expect a similar output in Week 2, making CJ a flex candidate.


09/16/17, 04:50 PM CDT by d-Rx

Source: www.pyomaniac.com

Lamar Miller of the Houston Texans is the best RB to play in Week 1 of the NFL playoffs for DFS says Stagg Party

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 18 DFS Advice (Wild Card Playoffs 2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 01/06/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's DFS Picks Wild Card Playoffs

 

 

Pillar: Le’Veon Bell - DraftKings - $10,300 / FanDuel - $10,300   [MIA@PIT]

Le’Veon Bell looks like the best player on this slate of games, with his teammate Antonio Brown arguably his greatest competition. Bell had arguably his worst game of the season against the Dolphins earlier this season, notching 108 total yards as the Steelers got smashed 30-15 in Miami. Luckily for you, everyone knows that the Steelers play better at home, giving him huge upside this week as Pittsburgh is currently a ten-point favorite. In DraftKings scoring, Bell is also more likely to be heavily involved in the passing game early giving him a high floor with his huge ceiling, hence the 10K price. It is hard to fade the running back who has the highest raw point total of all of them on the slate.

 

Mid Priced Core Piece: - Lamar Miller - DraftKings - $6,100 / FanDuel - $7,100 [OAK@HOU]

Lamar Miller is coming off of being out in Week 16 and was held out again in Week 17 with an ankle injury for this exact time of the year. The Texans will again be starting Brock Osweiler, which means their gameplan will be to hide them as much as they can, and that means riding Lamar Miller. In seven games at home this season, Miller averaged 22 rushes for 85 yards and scored three touchdowns and adding 2.5 catches a game to take him over 100 scrimmage yards a game at home. The last time these two teams played, Miller rushed 24 times for 104 yards and a score. The Raiders give up the 8th most fantasy points to opposing running backs, and Miller is now completely healthy for the first time since Week 1.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Paul Perkins - DraftKings - $4,100 / FanDuel - $5,900 [NYG@GB]

Paul Perkins looks to have taken the reigns of the Giants lead back from Rashad Jennings in the final game of the season after rushing for their first 100-yard game of the season. Perkins rushed for 102 yards on 21 carries and over his last three games has averaged 16 carries a game at a 4.5-yard per carry clip. Perkins has yet to score a touchdown this season either through the air or on the ground, but the Playoffs are a good a time as any. In PPR leagues, the Packers have allowed a running back over 10 fantasy points in each of the last three weeks. Perkins has big play ability and at his price, a long touchdown can pay off big time.

 

Fade: Thomas Rawls - DraftKings - $5,700 / FanDuel - $7,100   [DET@SEA]

Thomas Rawls basically has had one good game of the season, back in Week 13 against the Carolina Panthers. Since then, Rawls carried it 49 times over four games and averaged a miniscule 2.5 yards per carry with one score. That includes a tilt against one of the worst rushing defenses of the last 50 years, in the San Francisco 49ers. Rawls can’t seem to shake free from his offensive line and defenses are smashing him in the backfield. On the season, Detroit was tough against opposing running backs and with how bad this run game has been. Lets just saw I am running away from Thomas Rawls.

 

Stack of the Week: Lamar Miller and Texans Defense [OAK@HOU]



 

Mo’s DFS Picks Wild Card Playoffs

 

 

Pillar: Zach Zenner - DraftKings - $4,500 / FanDuel - $6,200 [DET@SEA]

Look, Lev Bell is probably my pillar, but that is almost a given. Besides Bell, and almost because of him, you need some cheaper plays. Zenner gives you an affordable back that will get volume. In the last five weeks, he leads all Lions backs in every statistical category including receiving numbers out of the backfield. He is their red zone guy. Zenner has three TDs in the last two games. In Week 16 he played in 76% of snaps, last week he played in 97%. It is hard to find a better volume to dollar ratio. In fact, I even like Zenner in cash games this week.

 

Mid Priced Core Piece: Doug Baldwin - DraftKings - $7,000 / FanDuel - $6,900 [DET@SEA]

Seattle does not have the best offensive line. Wilson could very well be under duress and need to get the ball out quick. If so, Baldwin has the lowest average depth of target on the team, meaning he runs shorter routes. Plus, he plays in the slot. Detroit is down their two top corners. Even when they were there, it was the weakest spot on their secondary. Now they will be forced to start 3rd or even a 4th string secondary guy, that likely, does not normally play slot corner. Baldwin tends to ramp up his play later in the season and he will be playing against a slot corner that does not even have a ranking in PFF. This matchup could be a disaster for the Lions.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Alex Collins- DraftKings - $4,500 / FanDuel - $5,800 [DET@SEA]

While Collins is the same price as Zenner, I consider him more of a GPP play. Zenner does not have any competition. But, comparing Collins with Rawls, I think many folks will be surprised. One, you want a Seahawks RB as this game should see lots of running; Seattle is favored by just over a TD. In the last couple of weeks, Collins is far more efficient. Collins is averaging 5.6 yards per touch to Rawls 1.4. Not only that, Collins is getting more volume. In the same time span, he has 3 more touches. In fact, Rawls is not even involved in the passing game, but Collins is. The bottom line is, for a very cheap price, you get a RB on a team expected to run a great deal. Not only is Collins more efficient with his touches, he is getting more of them. He is your Seahawks RB to own.

 

Fade: Aaron Rodgers  - DraftKings - $7,900 / FanDuel - $8,600 [NYG@GB]

Aaron Rodgers has been the man in fantasy as of late. That is precisely why I think he will be the highest owned QB. I want to leverage those ownership numbers. He has a very tough matchup against the Giants. According to PFF, DRC and Janoris Jenkins are both ranked in the top 10. No other defense this weekend can boast two corners ranked so high. Football Outsiders gives the Giants a ranking of 4th against the pass, and when you look at their weighted DVOA (which accounts more for recent games than earlier ones) the Giants are 2nd in the NFL against the pass. They are a sneaky good D that could account for INTs, if indeed Rodgers has a subpar game, just think of how many owners you can vault over.

 

Stack of the Week: Big Ben, Le'Veon Bell



 

ØC's DFS Picks Wild Card Playoffs

 


Pillar: WR, Odell Beckham Jr. / NYG @ GB / Draft Kings $9,100 /  FanDuel $8,900

Odell has arguably the easiest match-up and situation for all receivers this Wild Card weekend. Ignoring Week 17, Beckham put up double digit fantasy points in seven of the last eight games. This includes seven touchdowns and two games over 100 yards receiving. His yardage total could be better, but Eli Manning is having an off year and not getting the ball to Odell downfield accurately. Despite this, the Giants will need the passing game to keep pace with Rodgers and the Packer offense. Luckily, Green Bay is dead last in defending fantasy receivers. They have allowed double digit points to every receiver with six or more targets in the last three weeks.

 

 

Mid Price Core: RB, Jay Ajayi / MIA @ PIT / DraftKings $6,800 / FanDuel $8,300

Jay Ajayi will be the main weapon for Miami against the Steelers in Pittsburgh. I am not usually a proponent of a rushing attack going on the road in a hostile environment like Heinze Field, but the Dolphins cannot rely on Matt Moore to pull off the upset. Ajayi will be used in the passing game as well, making him more important in PPR formats like DraftKings and FanDuel. In Week 6, Ajayi ripped off 204 rushing yards and two touchdowns against the Steelers. Obviously, the odds of a repeat performance are zero, but if Miami wants to keep the ball out of the hands of Bell, Brown, and Big Ben, they’ll have to win time of possession. Using Ajayi will also open up play action sequences where Moore can hit Stills, Landry, or Parker down field. Either way, Jay is the pillar of this offense with a history of major fantasy production.

 

 

Dart Throw: RB, Alex Collins / SEA vs DET / Draft Kings $4,500 / FanDuel $5,800

Thomas Rawls is bad at football and often injured. He should be 100% back from his most recent shoulder injury and facing a fairly stout Detroit rush defense at home. However, since his only 100+ yard rushing performance this season back in Week 13, Rawls has averaged just 2.5 yards per carry with only one score. Alex Collins on the other hand, averages 5.1 yards per rush over his last three contests. If Seattle comes out struggling to establish a rushing attack, look for Pete Carrol to get Collins into the game more often. You’ll need Alex to get at least 10 touches to remain fantasy relevant, but I see this as a battle between who can control the line of scrimmage. You could do worse for the cost.

 

 

Fade: The Entire Oakland Offense

I think it’s safe to say we all miss Derek Carr. It would be somewhat okay to swap Matt McGloin in and hope for comparable numbers from guys like Crabtree and Cooper, but McGloin will not be playing in this game due to injury. Third string QB Connor Cook will get the first start of his career on the road against a fantasy defense that is top 4 in defending quarterbacks, receivers, and tight ends. This is a nightmare scenario for Oakland and I see no player worth their price tag.

 

 

Stack: Jay Ajayi and Jarvis Landry (45.8 points combined against the Steelers in Week 6)


 

 

Houdini's DFS Picks Wild Card Playoffs

 

  

Pillar: Le’Veon Bell – Draft Kings $10,300 / Fan Duel $10,300 [PIT vs. MIA]

This is a ridiculous price for Bell, but there are not many options this week, and there are plenty of mid-range players that spending for him makes sense. Bell has been on a tear since Week 11, averaging 182 total yards per game, with seven touchdowns in those six games. Miami allows 140 rushing yards per game, so the Bell should be rung early and often in this matchup.

 

Mid Priced Core Piece: Doug Baldwin – Draft Kings $7,000 / Fan Duel $6,900 [SEA vs. DET]

Baldwin has not been playing winning football as of late, but he is still the main outside threat for the Seahawks. The Lions allowed 72.7% of passes to be completed this year, which was the worst rate in NFL history, and should allow Baldwin a high conversion rate and a much higher upside this week.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Paul Perkins – Draft Kings $4,100 / Fan Duel $5,900 [NYG@GB]

Perkins is coming off his first 100-yard rushing game of his career and will look to carry that momentum into this meeting with the Packers. The Giants may want to lean on the running game to keep the ball out of Aaron Rodgers hands, and Perkins is the big play threat out of the backfield. He could also see more work as a receiver if the Giants fall behind. If you spend up for Bell, you can do a nice job matching him up with Perkins.

 

Fade: Latavius Murray – Draft Kings $5,000 / Fan Duel $6,700 [OAK@HOU]

Murray has been unimpressive in his final three weeks of the season. He only ran for 132 yards with no touchdowns in those three games. He faces a Texans defense that was 5th best overall in fantasy points allowed, and this game has the lowest over/under of any game this week. With Connor Cook under center you may think they will lean on the running game, but the Raiders have been featuring DeAndre Washington, so he will still be splitting carries on an offense that is going to have a lot of three and outs.

 

Stack of the Week:  Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams [GB vs. NYG]

 

 

 

 

 

FanDuel Points Allowed During the 2016 Regular Season


FanDuel Points Allowed During the 2016 Regular Season




DraftKings Points Allowed During the 2016 Regular Season


DraftKings Points Allowed During the 2016 NFL Season


 


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The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 17 DFS Advice (2016)