May 22, 2018


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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck

Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.

04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek

Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.

04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush

49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.

04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving

Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.

04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons

Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)

04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch

Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.

04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy

Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.

04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged

Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.

04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls

Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.

04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson

Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.

03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack

Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.

03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That

Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.

03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case

Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.

03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount

The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.

03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler


Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Dez Bryant of the Dallas Cowboys in front of a Dallas Skyline at night - DFS

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 19 DFS Advice (Divisional Round Playoffs 2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 01/14/17

by   The Archer


More Articals


Stagg Party's DFS Picks Divisional Round Playoffs



Pillar: Ezekiel Elliott - DraftKings - $8,500 / FanDuel - $8,500   [GB@DAL]


Ezekiel Elliott looks like one of the best plays of the week, and could even challenge Le’Veon Bell as the number one back on the week, unlike last week when Bell looked like the clear best play. Elliott will be coming off a couple week hiatus as he was held out in Week 17 then the Cowboys had a first round bye. Elliott averaged over 20 fantasy points in any PPR scoring format after leading the league in rushing yards and scored 15 touchdowns en route to finishing as the number two back in fantasy. Elliott was the first rusher to surpass 40 yards rushing against the Green Bay Packers this season in their Week 6 tilt in which he rushed for 157 yards on 28 carries. The Packers allowed the tenth fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this season, but Zeke and this Dallas offensive line have proven to be matchup proof over the course of this season.


Mid Priced Core Piece: - Dak Prescott - DraftKings - $6,000 / FanDuel - $7,700 [GB@DAL]


Dak is coming off a great regular season in which he finished as the sixth best quarterback in four point passing leagues, demolishing expectations of any of the fantasy pundits. Dak is my favorite quarterback on the slate, and priced as the sixth highest option on DraftKings allows you to create some heavy-handed lineups. Dak is uber efficient when he throws the ball, will throw or run for touchdowns in the redzone, and doesn’t have many negative plays in which you can lose points. The Packers allowed the seventh most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks on the season. Dak should get to role at home, as the Packers defense hasn’t shown the ability to stop anyone on the season.


Low Cost Dart Throw: Jared Cook - DraftKings - $3,900 / FanDuel - $5,400 [GB@DAL]


Jared Cook led all tight ends in targets in the Wildcard round of the playoffs. Over the last four weeks of the season including last week, Cook has seen 30 targets go his way and at least 5 in every game. Cook has at least 37 yards in every game since Week 15 and could be in line for even more targets if Jordy Nelson is out of the lineup, which is a definite possibility at this point in the week. The Cowboys allowed the most receptions and yardage to opposing tight ends on the season, in addition to 8 touchdowns on the season. Jared Cook looks like a top option on the week at an affordable rate.


Fade: Ben Roethlisberger - DraftKings - $6,500 / FanDuel - $8,100   [PIT@KC]


Roethlisberger is coming off a nice game last week, but wasn’t the top scoring option on the slate that many thought he could be in a matchup with the Miami Dolphins, instead they got ahead early and rode Le’Veon Bell to a victory, a recipe that could be utilized against a Kansas City defense this week. With Le’Veon Bell looking like he can score from anywhere on the field, Andy Reid coming off a bye week, and gigantic home road splits, Roethlisberger wont be in any of my lineups. Roethlisberger’s road splits are so bad that Alex Smith averages two more fantasy points at home then Ben does on the road over the last three seasons. With Kansas City’s penchant for causing havoc and separating quarterbacks from the ball, Ben looks like one of the lower quarterbacks on the weekend.


Stack of the Week: Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott [GB@DAL]




PyromaniacMo's DFS Picks Divisional Round Playoffs


Pillar: Ezekiel Elliott - DraftKings - $8,500 / FanDuel - $8,500 [GB@DAL]

At $2,000 less on Draft Kings than Bell, Zeke is perhaps giving you the best dollars to looks ratio. Dallas was 2nd in the league as far as time of possession goes. That is exactly the type of game they want to run. If the Cowboys are going to advance, they will need to keep the ball out of the hands of Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense. Zeke could be in line for 20 touches easy. That is what you want to chase, especially in a short slate. Green Bay, when you adjust for schedule, ranks just 24th against opposing RBs. Zeke is a crucial part of this offense, and will get plenty of opportunity to rack up the points. Again, compared to the five figures you will have to fork out for Bell, Zeke is a steal and will allow you to afford a better roster all around. Even if Green Bay does take control of this game, Elliott is too heavily involved and runs behind the best line in football. Elliott is a great play regardless of the outcome of this game and is one of the safest bets for sheer volume.


Mid Priced Core Piece: LaGarrette Blount- DraftKings - $5,800 / FanDuel - $7,300 [HOU@NE]

Although the Houston D can hold their own against opposing backs, this game is likely to be the most lopsided of the weekend. This game opened with a 16 point spread. You know angry Brady is going to give them plenty of chances in the red zone, so why not look to the most heavily used back in the red zone this season. Amazingly, Blount had a total of 68 carries inside the opponent’s 20. The next most used back was David Johnson with 53. You will need to keep an eye on his availability as he missed back-to-back practices this week and is officially questionable,. If indeed he is out, then I will pivot to Dion Lewis. However, there has not been any indication from beat writers that Blount is in danger of missing the game. Blount led all RBs with regular season TDs, logging 18.


Low Cost Dart Throw: Geronimo Allison - DraftKings - $3,900 / FanDuel - $5,400  [GB@DAL]

Vegas expects this to be the highest scoring game of the week. Aaron Rodgers is certainly heating up at the right time. There just has not been a better fantasy QB in the second half of the season. Now, the Packers will likely play without Jordy Nelson. Allison is the one who gets vaulted up to the starting role. This is the only game that Vegas has pegged to score north of 50 points, and you can get a starting Packers WR for less than $4,000 on Draft Kings. Allison had 13 targets in the final two weeks of the regular season, he put up a total of 157 yards and nabbed a TD. This is about a low dollar cost for a high volume of opportunity, in a game expected to see a lot of scoring. Plus, this will allow you to roster some higher dollar players at other spots on your line-up.


Fade: Ben Roethlisberger - DraftKings - $6,500 / FanDuel - $8,100 [PIT@KC]

While we know Big Ben is a monster at home, he suffers on the road. He carries nearly a 117 QB rating at home. However, that plummets to a mere 78.4 on the road where he has 9 TDs to 8 INTs compared to a 20 to 5 ratio at home, despite playing two less games in Pitt. Plus, he was in a walking boot after last week’s game. KC will likely have Justin Houston back, and they have formidable secondary, especially Peters and Berry. Arrowhead is a tough place to play on the road as it is. If KC is going to win, they will need to take the air out of the ball, and chew the clock. Essentially, they need to keep Pittsburgh off the score board.


Stack of the Week:   Tyreek Hill and KC defense


Houdini's DFS Picks Divisional Round Playoffs



Pillar: Le’Veon Bell – DraftKings $10,500 / FanDuel $9,900 [PIT@KC]

Bell rushed 29 times last week for 167 yards with two touchdowns, and paid off for the owners that spent up to get him last week. Le’Veon will once again be the focal point of the Steelers offense as they face off against the Chiefs. Kansas City is allowing 121 rushing yards per game, but only surrendered 10 rushing touchdowns on the season. When these two teams met in Week 4, Bell had 144 rushing yards and 178 total yards but was held out of the endzone. He is going to get plenty of looks as a runner and receiver this week, and is the best play of all the Steelers this week.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Dez Bryant – DraftKings $6,600 / FanDuel $7,600 [DAL vs. GB]

Dez has not had a 100-yard receiving game since Week 10, but he has gone for 70 or more yards in his last two games, and scored twice in his last game. This week he faces a Packers defense that allows a league high 288 passing yards per game, and gave up 32 passing touchdowns on the season. Dez should see a lot of targets this week, and it is likely the Packers load up to stop Ezekiel Elliott, which is going to open up big opportunities in the passing game for Dez.


Low Cost Dart Throw: Dion Lewis – DraftKings $3,900 / FanDuel $5,400 [NE vs. HOU]

Dion Lewis has seen an average of 15 carries per game over his last three weeks, but he has not done much damage as a receiver with only five catches for 18 yards in those three games. That is likely to change this week, as the Texans are tough against the run, holding opponents to 99.7 rushing yards per game. Lewis will continue to share carries with Blount, but should be utilized as a bigger weapon in the passing game in this matchup. At this price he is perfect to match with Le’Veon Bell if you start him.


Fade: Ben Roethlisberger – DraftKings $6,500 / FanDuel $8,100 [PIT@KC]

Big Ben only threw for 197 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions last week. I am not feeling starting him against a Chiefs defense that has only given up 23 passing touchdowns, while intercepting 18 passes. Ben is likely to turn the ball over a couple times in this game, and Kansas City is not going to let him get off like he did the last time they faced each other in Week 4, when Roethlisberger threw for 300 yards with five touchdowns. The Chiefs defense is much better than they were at that point, and they will be at home. I am avoiding Big Ben this week.


Stack of the Week:  Dak Prescott and Dez Bryant [DAL vs. GB] 



OC's DFS Picks Divisional Round Playoffs


Pillar: RB, Ezekiel Elliot / DAL vs GB / DraftKings $8,500 /  FanDuel $8,500

The Cowboys will attempt to hold the ball for as long as possible in their divisional matchup against Green Bay. Ten to twelve play drives are the key to their success as it will keep Rodgers and the Packer high powered offense on the sidelines. Zeke is the league leader in rush yards and he should continue to receive 25+ touches against this depleted Packers defense. He’s about $2,000 cheaper than LeVeon Bell but any difference in FF points won’t be worth the extra cash. Zeke will be in all of my daily line ups this week.



Mid Price Core: RB, Dion Lewis / NE vs HOU  / DraftKings $3,900 / FanDuel $5,400

The Patriots have treated Dion Lewis like an every-day back-up rusher in a RBBC backfield. But, we all should know, he is no ordinary player. I think The Patriots have been hiding him since his return from injury for this very moment. He’s shared the change of pace, passing down workload with James White while LeGarrette Blount took the brunt of the carries. Lewis is a semi-dart throw due to this committee and the fact that Lewis doesn’t get the goal line carries, but “playoff Patriots” seem to pull out all the stops. They find ways to get every player involved and what could be better than an all-pro type RB to have a re-emergence against a vastly inferior team at home? The Texans have a top 10 defense against rushers, but they aren’t as stout against quick pass catchers, and of course, theres always an added bonus if his QB is Tom Brady.



Dart Throw: WR, Geronimo Allison / GB @ DAL  / DraftKings $3,900 / FanDuel $5,300

Geronimo Allison will fill the spot as WR4 behind Devante Adams, Randall Cobb, and Jared Cook with Jordy Nelson out with a rib injury. Rodgers has already made a few comments about Allison and how he’s performed nicely with limited opportunity in the latter part of the season. In the final week of the season, Geronimo posted 91 yards and a touchdown against the Lions and the absence of Nelson will leave at least 10 targets on the field. This should be the highest scoring game of the week and for a near bottom of the barrel price, you could do a lot worse.



Fade: QB, Ben Roethlisberger / PIT @ KC / DraftKings $6,500 / Fan Duel $8,100

Simply, Ben’s home and road splits are shockingly different. He has a 4 to 1 (TD to Interception) ratio at home but nearly a 1 to 1 ratio on the road. Kansas City has one of the loudest stadiums in the league plus their defense is middle of the pack or better against passers. Yes, Antonio Brown and LeVeon Bell are the best at their respective positions and could take any play the distance, but the Chiefs defense has 33 turnovers and is #1 in both interceptions and fumble recoveries. Kansas City is very good at playing keep-away, limiting any possibility for Ben to put up big numbers. Roethlisberger may reach his point threshold, but there is a limited possibility for stats that put you above the other daily players.



Stack: Tom Brady and Dion Lewis





FanDuel Points Allowed During the 2016 Regular Season

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