Week 15
December 15, 2017
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Nick Foles

Kansas City Chiefs

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Oakland defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Sore Knee Opens Door for Peterman


Nathan Peterman has taken all the first-team reps and it would be utterly shocking if he’s not the starter in a game the Bills must win if they hope to entertain any further thoughts about staying alive in the AFC wild-card playoff chase.

Fantasy Goo: This is a dream match-up, but I wouldn’t consider starting Peterman after his last performance (5 Int’s). If Taylor is able to start we should probably pump the breaks on him as well. The match-up is great, but his knee is the issue holding him back, if he loses his rushing numbers he loses his fantasy upside.


12/09/17, 12:45 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.democratandchronicle.com


Kenyan Drake

Miami Dolphins

Love the Drake


Per PFF, Percentage of Touches With At Least One Missed Tackle Forced:
Kenyan Drake: 25.7% (4th-best), Jay Ajayi: 15.7% (25th-of-50)

Fantasy Goo: Damien Williams is out so Drake should see 20+ touches, even in negative game-script he’ll get catches out of the backfield. When we are looking for a starting RB the first thing to look at is opportunity, and it’s definitely there this week.


12/07/17, 08:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

The Belichick Shuffle


Rex Burkhead has scored a touchdown once every 13.2 touches. Alvin Kamara has scored a touchdown once every 13.3 touches.

Fantasy Goo: Burkhead has seen as many touches as Lewis over the past two weeks and is getting goal-line carries, against Miami this week I’ll consider them both RB2’s.


12/07/17, 07:55 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devin Funchess

Carolina Panthers

Momentum vs Match-Up


Since Kelvin Benjamin was traded, Devin Funchess has averaged 18.4 PPR PPG. That would be good enough for the WR5 on the full season.

Fantasy Goo: Funchess will be facing Xavier Rhodes this week, Rhodes has been slowed by injuries over the past few weeks, but seems to be coming back to health. I’m certainly not considering him as a WR1 this week and if you’re in the playoffs you probably have other options, but if you don’t go with what got you there.


12/07/17, 07:52 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Mark Ingram

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Smoke and Mirrors


Over the last two games, Derrick Henry has faced 8+ in the box 76.92% and 72.73% of the time. He has averaged 7.83 YPC.

Fantasy Goo: His last two games were against Indy and Houston, while Indy is a bottom 5 defense in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, Houston is top 5. Henry had a 75yd run, with a minute left in the game while they were just trying to run-out the clock, against Houston which completely pads his stats. This week’s opponent, Arizona, is another tough opponent against the rush, I’m not betting on a big play from Henry again.


12/07/17, 06:13 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andre Ellington

Arizona Cardinals

Keep It In The Family


According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, the Houston Texans have placed wide receiver Bruce Ellington on injured reserve, ending his 2017 season. Ellington's been filling in for Will Fuller (ribs), and his absence will be felt, especially until Fuller's return.

Fantasy Goo: Fuller didn’t practice at all last week. Andre Ellington (Bruce’s cousin) attempted to play WR this year in Arizona, but couldn’t make the roster at that position. Don’t be surprised if the late season pick-up gives it another shot, Ellington had 5 receptions on 6 targets in week 13, for 59 yards.


12/05/17, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stephen Anderson

Houston Texans

Injuries Bread Opportunity


Houston Texans tight end C.J. Fiedorowicz (concussion) has been placed on injured reserve, ending his season. This is his third concussion in a year. The 26-year-old's season is over and possibly his career as well. Stephen Anderson will take over starting tight end duties for the Texans in his place.

Fantasy Goo: The 49ers are next for Houston and SF has been giving up points to every position besides TE’s. Anderson is more of a hybrid WR/TE, the main reason he lacks playing time is because he’s not a good inline blocker. Anderson had 12 targets in week 13, I’d imagine we will see double digit targets again this week.


12/05/17, 07:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Frank Gore

Indianapolis Colts

Not on Empty Yet


To say Gore isn't a flashy player is an understatement, but continues to see solid volume, reaching at least 18 touches in four of the last five games. The Bills are near the bottom of the barrel against the run, and Gore should see his usual workload as long as the Colts can keep the game close.

Fantasy Goo: I haven’t touched him all year, but I have a feeling he has just enough left in him for one more big game. It could just as easily be a big game for Mack instead, but starting either will be a risky proposition in this inept offense, especially in your fantasy playoffs.


12/05/17, 07:26 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Matt Ryan

Atlanta Falcons

One Year Wonder


Matt Ryan has not finished as a top-8 fantasy QB once in 2017. Last year, Ryan finished as a top-8 fantasy QB in 9-of-16 (56.3%) contests.

Fantasy Goo: He certainly misses the Shanahan offense. In weeks 14 and 16 Ryan faces the Saints who have been slightly better than average against QB’s this year, and a tremendous improvement over last year. Week 15 he has a nice match-up against Tampa Bay, but it is on the road.


12/05/17, 07:24 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 2

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 2 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 09/16/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 2 DFS


Pillar: WR, Julio Jones – FanDuel - $8,800 / DraftKings - $9,200

This week, Julio Jones is the guy I am pushing to get in all my lineups. He was held in check against the Bears, for really no fault of his own, as the Bears played a ton of cover-6 and bracket coverage trying to slow him down. The end result was lackluster four catches on five targets for 66 yards. Coaches have been quoted as saying we really should have just gotten Julio involved more last week, and I think they intend to do so. Last year, in games after he recorded 67 or fewer receiving yards Julio averaged 7.85 catches on 10 targets for 149.85 yards and a touchdown. In those matchups, Julio recorded a touchdown in all but one game, and 100 yards in all but one. Using FanDuel scoring, his average in those games would look like a cool 24.9 fantasy points. If you need another point after that, well Julio demolished the packers in the Conference Championship, putting up a stat line of 9 catches on 12 targets for 180 yards and two touchdowns. Yeah, I think I am rostering Julio this week, especially on FanDuel where his price is a bit cheaper.

 

Sleepers: RB, Mike Gillislee – FanDuel - $6,700 / DraftKings - $5,700

Mike Gillislee still sits as a strong value after his three-touchdown game against the Chiefs in Week 1. Gillislee has a locked in role as the Patriots goal-line running back, and as the game went on we saw him more and more involved with team getting first and second down work. While the Patriots are still likely to use all their backs, but Gillislee is in a role to succeed, with another 10 days of game planning for the Saints who are coming off a short week after playing on Monday night, Gillislee should be locked into lineups. The Pats are going to start using MG in different ways now that he is healthy and practicing with the team, and his ability to run from the shotgun formation will be a highlight sooner rather than later. We saw Dalvin Cook wear down the New Orleans defense on Monday Night, and I am expecting more of the same from Mike. Not being listed on the injury report is also a sign that he is healthy, as Bill would probably list his wife on there if he could. Gillislee also faced 8+ men in the box on over 50% of his carries, while the Saints went with a heavy box just 40% of the time against Dalvin Cook.

 

Low-Cost Dart Throw: TE, Kyle Rudolph – FanDuel - $5,500 / Draftkings - $4,200

Rudolph is a nice low cost option this week against the Steelers, instead of paying up for the receivers, Rudolph is a low cost option to get a piece of this hot Vikings offense, and a preferred play in the redzone. Rudolph runs a variety of routes and is a reliable quick threat, which could come in handy against the blitz crazy Pittsburgh, or Blitzberg if you will. Rudolph’s biggest upside however comes in the redzone where Bradford’s two best receivers, have a combined 15 career touchdowns, compared to 30 career trips to the endzone for the Notre Dame product. Rudolph also has a decent matchup, the Cleveland Brown threw 7 targets to their tight ends and they hauled in six passes for 62 yards. Last season, the Steelers finished just outside the bottom-ten in fantasy points allowed to tight ends.  Priced outside of the top-ten on FanDuel, Rudolph allows you to spend that cash in other spots.

 

I’d Avoid: WR, Mike Evans – FanDuel - $8,700 / Draftkings - $7,700

Mike Evans is coming off his bye week, and his priced has decreased a bit from last week. While the Bears have no one of note in the secondary the Bears are a tough squad against elite wide receivers. Julio posted just 4 catches for 66 yards last week, and Mike Evans posted the exact same stat line against the Bears. Last year against the elites, this is the average state lines for these players:  DeAndre Hopkins, Dez Bryant, T.Y. Hilton, Allen Robinson, Jordy Nelson (x2), Mike Evans, and Odell Beckham Jr. These guys averaged 4.75 catches on 7.1 targets for 70 yards and .375 touchdowns. The Bears just play a conservative style to take these guys away, making Evans a guy to avoid for me this week.

 

 

 

ØC's Week 2 DFS

 

Pillar: WR, Antonio Brown – FanDuel - $9,400 / DraftKings - $9,400

Even with the Steelers struggling, Brown amassed 32.2 fantasy points in PPR off 11 receptions. With David Johnson on the IR, Brown is the only player who can pencil in 10 FF points before the game begins. I won’t pay more than $10k for him and even $9,500 is cutting is close, but the return is worth it at Heinze Field.

 

Sleeper: RB, Thomas Rawls – FanDuel - $5,800 / DraftKings - $4,600

Rawls was a full participant in practice after not dressing for the first game of the season in Green Bay. For Week 2, Rawls will be the de-facto starting RB at home against San Francisco, who allowed a combined 24.2 FF points to Carolina backs in half PPR. Eddie Lacy is no threat and Prosise has a very specific role in the offense, so the only worry is rookie Chris Carson. If Rawls begins to falter we will see more carries for Carson, but I honestly don’t see Rawls getting less than 60% of the work.

 

Low-Cost Dart Throw: RB, Andre Ellington – FanDuel - $4,900 / DraftKings - $4,000

With the injury to David Johnson, Kerwyn Williams and Andre Ellington will see an increased workload. The Colts as a whole are a horrible team that allowed a combined 25.7 FF points to Todd Gurley and Malcolm Brown in Week 1, with most damage coming through the air; Ellington’s specialty. At such a cheap price, the potential is astounding.

 

I'd Avoid: WR, TY Hilton – FanDuel - $7,200 / DraftKings - $5,300

Hilton is more appropriately priced in DraftKings, but his potential is very low with either Brissett or Tolzein at the quarterback position. He just isn’t the same player without Andrew Luck, and a tougher Cardinals secondary is coming to town. Hilton should collect another five for fifty type stat line which is not going to win you any tournaments. Spend your budget elsewhere.

 

Stack: Thomas Rawls and Doug Baldwin

 



d-Rx's Week 2 DFS


Pillar: Brandin Cooks - FanDuel - $7,900 / DraftKings - $8,200

Revenge game for Brandin Cooks against his old team the Saints with a head coach that like revenge type shite in Belichick.Chris  Hogan might be the guy that has the huge game, but 1 of them is and my money is on the speedster out of Oregon State that the Patriots just acquired.


Sleeper: TE, Martellus Bennett - FanDuel - $5,800 / DraftKings - $3,900

The Falcons are crap against the tight end position and pretty stout vs. wide receivers. Aaron Rodgers will use the much-traveled Black Unicorn in this matchup to exploit the key weakness of the Falcons.

 

Low-Cost Dart Throw: RB, Chris Carson - FanDuel - $5,200 / DraftKings - $4,100

This is going to be the coming out party for Chris Carson. I know Rawls is back, but I think this team wants to have a lead back and it isn't Lacy, and Rawls is a good change of pace, move the chains type of runner. They know Rawls is an injury waiting to happen and Carson looks the part. We'll see who is right between me and ØC, who has Rawls as his sleeper pick.

 

I'd Avoid: WR, Michael Thomas - FanDuel - $8,000 / DraftKings - $7,500

Sorry to have this be so Bill Belichick focused, but they are coming off of a brutal loss, and while Drew Brees plays great against the Patrios, the Patriots always shut someone down. Tomorrow, that person is going to be Michael Thomas.


Stack: Derek Carr & Marshawn Lynch vs. the Jets

 

 


Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 2 -

 

ØC (0-1 | 88.32 pts) vs. d-Rx® (1-0 | 96.96 pts)


 

 

 

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017


 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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