March 21, 2018


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Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Jonathan Stewart

Carolina Panthers

The Search Is On

Former Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart is visiting the Seahawks today, source says. Seattle is looking at all options to get that ground game going.

This would be an interesting landing spot for Stewart, but no RB available in free agency is going to do spit behind this Swiss-cheese O-line.

03/09/18, 09:13 PM CST by Wheeler


New York Giants

Building Blocks

NFL draft insider Tony Pauline says "belief" around the league is free agent OG Andrew Norwell signing with the Giants is "a done deal."
The top guard on the market, Norwell was one of ex-Panthers GM Dave Gettleman's most-prized discoveries as an undrafted free agent. Gettleman now runs the Giants, who have needs all over the line.

I like anything the Giants can do to repair this disheveled O-line. Building a line through free-agency is almost always a better option than through the draft, but I would still like to see them trade back in the draft and grab Quenton Nelson, OG, Notre Dame.

03/09/18, 09:11 PM CST by Wheeler


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate

On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.

02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler


James White

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate

On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.

02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler


Philadelphia Eagles

Attack With 11

The Patriots defense is particularly susceptible to runs out of 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRs), allowing a 61% success rate and 6.0 YPC to offenses when rushing from this formation. The Eagles are one of the most run heavy teams from 11 personnel, recording nearly 60% of their total rushes from 11 formation. The Patriots haven’t faced teams like this often, the teams the Pats faced in the playoffs, Tennessee and Jacksonville were last and 5th lowest respectively rushing from 11 formation. This is a massive advantage for the Eagles if they recognize it and use it.

02/04/18, 10:32 AM CST by Wheeler


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

To The Left, To The Left

New England started the season off with one of the worst rush defenses in the entire league, but things have really shifted over the second half of the year. Prior to their Week 9 bye, the Patriots had allowed a 44.70% Success Rate to opposing running backs, the third-worst in the league. That's dropped to about 38% since, and they've had the fifth-best rush defense by Success Rate since Week 12. New England's especially been good at stopping runs to the left side of the field, which just so happens to be where Jay Ajayi has really made a mark since joining the Eagles in Week 9.
I don’t look for Ajayi to make his mark in this game. I know it’s a lazy narrative, but a Blount revenge game seems to really be in the cards here.

02/04/18, 10:30 AM CST by Wheeler


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Pats Could Hit'em Where It Ertz

Zach Ertz leads the Eagles in targets (39) with Foles under center, drawing at least eight in three of their four full games together. Keyed by FS Devin McCourty and SS Patrick Chung, the Pats allowed the NFL’s tenth-fewest receiving yards to tight ends (720) this season, only four opposing tight ends have reached 50 yards through 18 Patriots games.
If Foles continues to pepper Ertz with targets we could see a big game for Chung or McCourty.

02/04/18, 10:25 AM CST by Wheeler


Nelson Agholor

Philadelphia Eagles

Plenty Of Fluids

The Eagles’ biggest pass-catcher personnel mismatch is Nelson Agholor against Patriots slot corner Eric Rowe. Rowe can struggle with quick change of direction, Agholor’s foremost strength. Agholor runs 87% of his routes in the slot, and New England allowed solid games to Eric Decker (6/85/0) in the Divisional Round, and Allen Hurns (6/80/0) in the AFC title game. Agholor still ranks second behind Ertz in Foles targets (29), but has had a surprisingly quiet playoffs with just 7 targets.
This will have to change if the Eagles plan on moving the ball, but Agholor has been sick with the flu for the past few days. He received intravenous fluids Saturday and will play, but it doesn’t sound like he’ll be 100%.

02/04/18, 10:22 AM CST by Wheeler


Danny Amendola

New England Patriots

Danny Playoffs

The Eagles finished second worst this season in percentage of passing yards allowed coming after the catch. Philadelphia struggled on short and intermediate throws this season, specifically to the middle of the field, where they allowed the third-most yards per passing play in the league. Brady was a top-five player in passer rating on these types of tosses. Amendola's been a monster in this year's playoffs for New England, grabbing hold of 22 targets in just two contests, accounting for over 24% of New England's targets. He should continue to play a role on Super Bowl Sunday.

02/04/18, 10:20 AM CST by Wheeler


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

Rex Back

Despite being listed as questionable for Sunday’s AFC Championship game vs. Jaguars, it appears as though Patriots’ RB Rex Burkhead will play.
This will cut into the 13 targets Amendola saw last week.

01/20/18, 10:49 PM CST by Wheeler


Adam Thielen

Minnesota Vikings

Making The Wright Move?

Adam Thielen (back) is questionable for Sunday's NFC Championship game against the Eagles.
He's fully expected to play after limited practices the last two days. He probably won’t be 100 percent so if you’re putting in a line-up you might want to pivot to Diggs or save some money and drop down to Jarius Wright who grabbed three-of-six targets for 56 yards Sunday and has established himself as the number three WR in this offense.

01/20/18, 10:31 PM CST by Wheeler


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ankle In Question Again

Fournette aggravated his ankle in the Divisional Round and was limited early in the week. He was left off the injury report for Sunday's AFC Championship game. Fournette saw a heavy workload last week getting 27 touches in Jacksonville's upset of the Steelers. T.J. Yeldon rushed five times for 20 yards and a touchdown and caught 3-of-3 targets for 57 yards. If you’re looking for a cheaper option I expect we see Yeldon to be used to keep Fournette from aggravating the injury early.

01/20/18, 10:23 PM CST by Wheeler


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Give Him A Hand

Reports are that Tom Brady threw the ball "incredibly well" during Friday's practice. He is listed as questionable for Sunday's AFC Championship game against Jacksonville, but I don’t think there was any real doubt that he’d play. Keep in mind what D-Rex spoke about on the Pyro Podcast 303 andScott Barrett tweeted about Brady last week:
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating
The hand injury on top of his achilles injury, as well as going against the Jags #1 rated pass defense could keep the Patriots attack grounded this week. Lewis is the obvious play, but if Burkhead (Q) comes back it could be he or White that steals the show.

01/20/18, 10:22 PM CST by Wheeler


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?

Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.

01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting

Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.

01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler


DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 2

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 2 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 09/16/17

by   The Archer


More Articals


Stagg Party's Week 2 DFS

Pillar: WR, Julio Jones – FanDuel - $8,800 / DraftKings - $9,200

This week, Julio Jones is the guy I am pushing to get in all my lineups. He was held in check against the Bears, for really no fault of his own, as the Bears played a ton of cover-6 and bracket coverage trying to slow him down. The end result was lackluster four catches on five targets for 66 yards. Coaches have been quoted as saying we really should have just gotten Julio involved more last week, and I think they intend to do so. Last year, in games after he recorded 67 or fewer receiving yards Julio averaged 7.85 catches on 10 targets for 149.85 yards and a touchdown. In those matchups, Julio recorded a touchdown in all but one game, and 100 yards in all but one. Using FanDuel scoring, his average in those games would look like a cool 24.9 fantasy points. If you need another point after that, well Julio demolished the packers in the Conference Championship, putting up a stat line of 9 catches on 12 targets for 180 yards and two touchdowns. Yeah, I think I am rostering Julio this week, especially on FanDuel where his price is a bit cheaper.


Sleepers: RB, Mike Gillislee – FanDuel - $6,700 / DraftKings - $5,700

Mike Gillislee still sits as a strong value after his three-touchdown game against the Chiefs in Week 1. Gillislee has a locked in role as the Patriots goal-line running back, and as the game went on we saw him more and more involved with team getting first and second down work. While the Patriots are still likely to use all their backs, but Gillislee is in a role to succeed, with another 10 days of game planning for the Saints who are coming off a short week after playing on Monday night, Gillislee should be locked into lineups. The Pats are going to start using MG in different ways now that he is healthy and practicing with the team, and his ability to run from the shotgun formation will be a highlight sooner rather than later. We saw Dalvin Cook wear down the New Orleans defense on Monday Night, and I am expecting more of the same from Mike. Not being listed on the injury report is also a sign that he is healthy, as Bill would probably list his wife on there if he could. Gillislee also faced 8+ men in the box on over 50% of his carries, while the Saints went with a heavy box just 40% of the time against Dalvin Cook.


Low-Cost Dart Throw: TE, Kyle Rudolph – FanDuel - $5,500 / Draftkings - $4,200

Rudolph is a nice low cost option this week against the Steelers, instead of paying up for the receivers, Rudolph is a low cost option to get a piece of this hot Vikings offense, and a preferred play in the redzone. Rudolph runs a variety of routes and is a reliable quick threat, which could come in handy against the blitz crazy Pittsburgh, or Blitzberg if you will. Rudolph’s biggest upside however comes in the redzone where Bradford’s two best receivers, have a combined 15 career touchdowns, compared to 30 career trips to the endzone for the Notre Dame product. Rudolph also has a decent matchup, the Cleveland Brown threw 7 targets to their tight ends and they hauled in six passes for 62 yards. Last season, the Steelers finished just outside the bottom-ten in fantasy points allowed to tight ends.  Priced outside of the top-ten on FanDuel, Rudolph allows you to spend that cash in other spots.


I’d Avoid: WR, Mike Evans – FanDuel - $8,700 / Draftkings - $7,700

Mike Evans is coming off his bye week, and his priced has decreased a bit from last week. While the Bears have no one of note in the secondary the Bears are a tough squad against elite wide receivers. Julio posted just 4 catches for 66 yards last week, and Mike Evans posted the exact same stat line against the Bears. Last year against the elites, this is the average state lines for these players:  DeAndre Hopkins, Dez Bryant, T.Y. Hilton, Allen Robinson, Jordy Nelson (x2), Mike Evans, and Odell Beckham Jr. These guys averaged 4.75 catches on 7.1 targets for 70 yards and .375 touchdowns. The Bears just play a conservative style to take these guys away, making Evans a guy to avoid for me this week.




ØC's Week 2 DFS


Pillar: WR, Antonio Brown – FanDuel - $9,400 / DraftKings - $9,400

Even with the Steelers struggling, Brown amassed 32.2 fantasy points in PPR off 11 receptions. With David Johnson on the IR, Brown is the only player who can pencil in 10 FF points before the game begins. I won’t pay more than $10k for him and even $9,500 is cutting is close, but the return is worth it at Heinze Field.


Sleeper: RB, Thomas Rawls – FanDuel - $5,800 / DraftKings - $4,600

Rawls was a full participant in practice after not dressing for the first game of the season in Green Bay. For Week 2, Rawls will be the de-facto starting RB at home against San Francisco, who allowed a combined 24.2 FF points to Carolina backs in half PPR. Eddie Lacy is no threat and Prosise has a very specific role in the offense, so the only worry is rookie Chris Carson. If Rawls begins to falter we will see more carries for Carson, but I honestly don’t see Rawls getting less than 60% of the work.


Low-Cost Dart Throw: RB, Andre Ellington – FanDuel - $4,900 / DraftKings - $4,000

With the injury to David Johnson, Kerwyn Williams and Andre Ellington will see an increased workload. The Colts as a whole are a horrible team that allowed a combined 25.7 FF points to Todd Gurley and Malcolm Brown in Week 1, with most damage coming through the air; Ellington’s specialty. At such a cheap price, the potential is astounding.


I'd Avoid: WR, TY Hilton – FanDuel - $7,200 / DraftKings - $5,300

Hilton is more appropriately priced in DraftKings, but his potential is very low with either Brissett or Tolzein at the quarterback position. He just isn’t the same player without Andrew Luck, and a tougher Cardinals secondary is coming to town. Hilton should collect another five for fifty type stat line which is not going to win you any tournaments. Spend your budget elsewhere.


Stack: Thomas Rawls and Doug Baldwin


d-Rx's Week 2 DFS

Pillar: Brandin Cooks - FanDuel - $7,900 / DraftKings - $8,200

Revenge game for Brandin Cooks against his old team the Saints with a head coach that like revenge type shite in Belichick.Chris  Hogan might be the guy that has the huge game, but 1 of them is and my money is on the speedster out of Oregon State that the Patriots just acquired.

Sleeper: TE, Martellus Bennett - FanDuel - $5,800 / DraftKings - $3,900

The Falcons are crap against the tight end position and pretty stout vs. wide receivers. Aaron Rodgers will use the much-traveled Black Unicorn in this matchup to exploit the key weakness of the Falcons.


Low-Cost Dart Throw: RB, Chris Carson - FanDuel - $5,200 / DraftKings - $4,100

This is going to be the coming out party for Chris Carson. I know Rawls is back, but I think this team wants to have a lead back and it isn't Lacy, and Rawls is a good change of pace, move the chains type of runner. They know Rawls is an injury waiting to happen and Carson looks the part. We'll see who is right between me and ØC, who has Rawls as his sleeper pick.


I'd Avoid: WR, Michael Thomas - FanDuel - $8,000 / DraftKings - $7,500

Sorry to have this be so Bill Belichick focused, but they are coming off of a brutal loss, and while Drew Brees plays great against the Patrios, the Patriots always shut someone down. Tomorrow, that person is going to be Michael Thomas.

Stack: Derek Carr & Marshawn Lynch vs. the Jets



Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 2 -


ØC (0-1 | 88.32 pts) vs. d-Rx® (1-0 | 96.96 pts)




FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017




DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017








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