Week 15
December 15, 2017
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Nick Foles

Kansas City Chiefs

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Oakland defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Sore Knee Opens Door for Peterman


Nathan Peterman has taken all the first-team reps and it would be utterly shocking if he’s not the starter in a game the Bills must win if they hope to entertain any further thoughts about staying alive in the AFC wild-card playoff chase.

Fantasy Goo: This is a dream match-up, but I wouldn’t consider starting Peterman after his last performance (5 Int’s). If Taylor is able to start we should probably pump the breaks on him as well. The match-up is great, but his knee is the issue holding him back, if he loses his rushing numbers he loses his fantasy upside.


12/09/17, 12:45 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.democratandchronicle.com


Kenyan Drake

Miami Dolphins

Love the Drake


Per PFF, Percentage of Touches With At Least One Missed Tackle Forced:
Kenyan Drake: 25.7% (4th-best), Jay Ajayi: 15.7% (25th-of-50)

Fantasy Goo: Damien Williams is out so Drake should see 20+ touches, even in negative game-script he’ll get catches out of the backfield. When we are looking for a starting RB the first thing to look at is opportunity, and it’s definitely there this week.


12/07/17, 08:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

The Belichick Shuffle


Rex Burkhead has scored a touchdown once every 13.2 touches. Alvin Kamara has scored a touchdown once every 13.3 touches.

Fantasy Goo: Burkhead has seen as many touches as Lewis over the past two weeks and is getting goal-line carries, against Miami this week I’ll consider them both RB2’s.


12/07/17, 07:55 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devin Funchess

Carolina Panthers

Momentum vs Match-Up


Since Kelvin Benjamin was traded, Devin Funchess has averaged 18.4 PPR PPG. That would be good enough for the WR5 on the full season.

Fantasy Goo: Funchess will be facing Xavier Rhodes this week, Rhodes has been slowed by injuries over the past few weeks, but seems to be coming back to health. I’m certainly not considering him as a WR1 this week and if you’re in the playoffs you probably have other options, but if you don’t go with what got you there.


12/07/17, 07:52 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Mark Ingram

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Smoke and Mirrors


Over the last two games, Derrick Henry has faced 8+ in the box 76.92% and 72.73% of the time. He has averaged 7.83 YPC.

Fantasy Goo: His last two games were against Indy and Houston, while Indy is a bottom 5 defense in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, Houston is top 5. Henry had a 75yd run, with a minute left in the game while they were just trying to run-out the clock, against Houston which completely pads his stats. This week’s opponent, Arizona, is another tough opponent against the rush, I’m not betting on a big play from Henry again.


12/07/17, 06:13 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andre Ellington

Arizona Cardinals

Keep It In The Family


According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, the Houston Texans have placed wide receiver Bruce Ellington on injured reserve, ending his 2017 season. Ellington's been filling in for Will Fuller (ribs), and his absence will be felt, especially until Fuller's return.

Fantasy Goo: Fuller didn’t practice at all last week. Andre Ellington (Bruce’s cousin) attempted to play WR this year in Arizona, but couldn’t make the roster at that position. Don’t be surprised if the late season pick-up gives it another shot, Ellington had 5 receptions on 6 targets in week 13, for 59 yards.


12/05/17, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stephen Anderson

Houston Texans

Injuries Bread Opportunity


Houston Texans tight end C.J. Fiedorowicz (concussion) has been placed on injured reserve, ending his season. This is his third concussion in a year. The 26-year-old's season is over and possibly his career as well. Stephen Anderson will take over starting tight end duties for the Texans in his place.

Fantasy Goo: The 49ers are next for Houston and SF has been giving up points to every position besides TE’s. Anderson is more of a hybrid WR/TE, the main reason he lacks playing time is because he’s not a good inline blocker. Anderson had 12 targets in week 13, I’d imagine we will see double digit targets again this week.


12/05/17, 07:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Frank Gore

Indianapolis Colts

Not on Empty Yet


To say Gore isn't a flashy player is an understatement, but continues to see solid volume, reaching at least 18 touches in four of the last five games. The Bills are near the bottom of the barrel against the run, and Gore should see his usual workload as long as the Colts can keep the game close.

Fantasy Goo: I haven’t touched him all year, but I have a feeling he has just enough left in him for one more big game. It could just as easily be a big game for Mack instead, but starting either will be a risky proposition in this inept offense, especially in your fantasy playoffs.


12/05/17, 07:26 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Matt Ryan

Atlanta Falcons

One Year Wonder


Matt Ryan has not finished as a top-8 fantasy QB once in 2017. Last year, Ryan finished as a top-8 fantasy QB in 9-of-16 (56.3%) contests.

Fantasy Goo: He certainly misses the Shanahan offense. In weeks 14 and 16 Ryan faces the Saints who have been slightly better than average against QB’s this year, and a tremendous improvement over last year. Week 15 he has a nice match-up against Tampa Bay, but it is on the road.


12/05/17, 07:24 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 4

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 4 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 10/01/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 4 DFS

 

 

Pillar: WR, Julio Jones – FanDuel - $8,400 / DraftKings - $8,800

Julio Jones has gotten off to a slow start to the season based on everyone’s expectations and hasn’t had a full week of practice this week, but you know what YOLO. Those factors combined with seeing red in the matchup column should keep Julio’s ownership at a manageable rate. The Bills rank sixth against opposing wide receivers so far this season and have yet to allow a passing touchdown on 111 passing attempts. But for funsies, here is a list of the corners the Bills are currently trotting out there: Tre'Davious White, Shareece Wright, E.J. Gaines, and Leonard Johnson. Do any of those guys sound familiar? If they do you spend too much time on this game which is commendable, but for fucks sake let me know which of these guys you think can guard Julio Jones. Julio’s targets have increased every week, and all that shit talking Sark did about wanting to get him involved in the redzone has to happen sometime, this could be a week where Julio shines.

 

Sleepers: WR, Chris Hogan – FanDuel - $6,900 / DraftKings - $6,000

I don’t know if you know this or not but Chris Hogan used to play lacrosse, that has nothing to do with anything but I figured you needed to know. Hogan the football player has gotten off to a hot start this season nearly matching Brandin Cooks in targets, matching him in receptions, and has three touchdowns to Cooks’ two. Expanding the sample a little bit, including the playoffs last year, Hogan has five touchdowns over his last five games. Hogan has week winning upside catching the rock (what do they even call the ball in lacrosse?) from Brady as he has multiple touchdown games in his range of outcomes. The Panthers allowed three touchdowns to Saints wide receivers last week, and Brady has been on such a hot streak over the last two weeks, I am tossing in Hogan everywhere possible.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: TE, Evan Engram – FanDuel - $5,200 / DraftKings - $3,000

Much has been made about the success of rookie tight ends in fantasy football, so I guess it is good for all of us that Evan Engram is a wide receiver masquerading as a tight end and still has that designation. Right now, Engram is tied for sixth among tight ends in targets and receptions, seventh in yards, and has a touchdown catch which only 26 tight ends have one so far this season. In PPR scoring like DraftKings, Engram does not have a game with fewer than 8.4 points and has gotten at least 5 targets in every game. In DK pricing, Engram is basically free. His matchup may seem tough at first glance as the Bucks have allowed just 46 receiving yards to opposing tight ends this season, but check the Friday injury report and get back to me. Just because I don’t want you to leave the site I’ll just tell you, the Bucs will be missing the following LBs Kwon Alexander, Lavonte David; SS T.J. Ward. That is a lot of speed and experience in the linebacking and tight end coverage core.

 

I’d Avoid: QB, Derek Carr – FanDuel - $7,900 – Draftkings - $5,800

This is especially true on FanDuel where Derek Carr is tied for the third highest quarterback on the slate. The Denver Broncos haven’t been as dominant against the quarterbacks as they were during the 2016 season, allowing 17.1 fantasy points a game to opposing passers, compared to 13.8 fantasy points in 2016, but they have owned Derek Carr. Derek’s fantasy point totals in his last three matchups against Denver: 7.7, 13.0, and 9.9. Carr’s top weapons Amari Cooper/ Michael Crabtree or Michael Crabtree/Amari Cooper if you prefer that route have also really struggled against Denver. With limited upside in this matchup I am not where near close to paying a top five price.

 


 

ØC Week 4 DFS


Pillar: WR, AJ Green – FanDuel $8,000 – DraftKings $8,600

It’s not often that Draft Kings prices a wideout higher than FanDuel, but they may be onto something this week. Green averages seven receptions for 149 yards and a touchdown in his last two meetings with the Browns. AJ boasts six receiving touchdowns and averages at least eight targets per game in his career against Cleveland. New offensive coordinator Bill Lazor already made a point to get Green the touches he needs in Week 3 and I don’t expect anything short of a 20 FF point performance in Week 4.

 

Sleeper: QB, Trevor Siemian – FanDuel $7,500 – DraftKings $5,200

Trevor Siemian posted 22.6 FF points in both of Denver’s home games this season, then put up a dismal 7.6 FF points on the road. Trevor excels at Mile High and Oakland has been very generous to opposing quarterbacks, allowing five touchdowns with no interceptions. He is currently priced at QB #27 (DK), so you won’t get a better deal than that for a passer that can post 20+ FF points! The Bronco rush attack is diverse and healthy to boot, so you might as well save some money with a lot of upside!

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: WR, Marvin Jones Jr. – FanDuel $5,700 / DraftKings $4,000

Jones Jr. has collected a receiving touchdown in each of his last two games but faces a tough Minnesota team on the road. Expect a lot of passing in this matchup as the Vikings are the number one defense against fantasy running backs. However, stud defensive back Xavier Rhodes should be covering Golden Tate which means more opportunity for Marvin to reach the production levels he experienced from early last season. 

 

I'd Avoid: RB, Devonta Freeman – FanDuel $8,500 / DraftKings $7,300

Freeman will face a tough Bills defense in Atlanta this weekend. While averaging 18 FF points per game in half PPR formats, no running back has accrued more than 12 FF points against Buffalo in the first three weeks of the season. Jamaal Charles was the only RB to score thus far and no back has crossed the goal line for a receiving touchdown. Tevin Coleman is the bigger back and may be used more often against the brutish DLine of the Bills. Use your budget money elsewhere this week for sure victory!

 

Stack:

RB, Jay Ajayi – FanDuel $7,800 – DraftKings $7,400

WR, DeVante Parker – FanDuel $6,500 – DraftKings $6,700

 

 

 

 

d-Rx's Week 4 DFS

 

Pillar: WR, Odell Beckham Jr. - FanDuel $9,100 / DraftKings $8,900

The Tampa Bay Bucs are letting up a ton of points to WRs (44.6 on FanDuel & 52.8 on DraftKings), more than any other team by a large margin. Odell seems to be back, when I see the best against the worst - I like to take that matchup.

 

Sleeper: RB, Joe Mixon - FanDuel $5,600 / DraftKings $5,700

New offensive coordinator showed us that he likes Mixon the most last week in his first game calling the plays for the Bengals. Against the Browns, a team the Bengals know they have to beat and make a statement against, I see Mixon breaking out and having his best game in his short NFL career today. Mixon is in all my DFS lineups this week.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: TE, Tyler Kroft - FanDuel $4,900  / DraftKings $2,600

Eifert is out again, and the Cleveland Browns are bottom 5 against the tight end position. If you have a stacked team in other spots and need to grab a throw in for a low salary, I like this one as a close my eyes and throw that shit against the wall and hope it hits the bullseye.


I'd Avoid: WR, Amari Cooper - FanDuel $7,500 / DraftKings $6,000

Amari has been terrible this season. Crabtree has been ruled out so the Broncos defense now can focus purely on Amari Cooper. This spells trouble for one of the most over-rated WRs in the NFL thus far in 2017.

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 4 -

 

ØC (1-2 | 299.58 pts) vs. d-Rx® (2-1 | 301.24 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 4 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 3 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 3 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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