March 21, 2018


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Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Jonathan Stewart

Carolina Panthers

The Search Is On

Former Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart is visiting the Seahawks today, source says. Seattle is looking at all options to get that ground game going.

This would be an interesting landing spot for Stewart, but no RB available in free agency is going to do spit behind this Swiss-cheese O-line.

03/09/18, 09:13 PM CST by Wheeler


New York Giants

Building Blocks

NFL draft insider Tony Pauline says "belief" around the league is free agent OG Andrew Norwell signing with the Giants is "a done deal."
The top guard on the market, Norwell was one of ex-Panthers GM Dave Gettleman's most-prized discoveries as an undrafted free agent. Gettleman now runs the Giants, who have needs all over the line.

I like anything the Giants can do to repair this disheveled O-line. Building a line through free-agency is almost always a better option than through the draft, but I would still like to see them trade back in the draft and grab Quenton Nelson, OG, Notre Dame.

03/09/18, 09:11 PM CST by Wheeler


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate

On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.

02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler


James White

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate

On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.

02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler


Philadelphia Eagles

Attack With 11

The Patriots defense is particularly susceptible to runs out of 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRs), allowing a 61% success rate and 6.0 YPC to offenses when rushing from this formation. The Eagles are one of the most run heavy teams from 11 personnel, recording nearly 60% of their total rushes from 11 formation. The Patriots haven’t faced teams like this often, the teams the Pats faced in the playoffs, Tennessee and Jacksonville were last and 5th lowest respectively rushing from 11 formation. This is a massive advantage for the Eagles if they recognize it and use it.

02/04/18, 10:32 AM CST by Wheeler


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

To The Left, To The Left

New England started the season off with one of the worst rush defenses in the entire league, but things have really shifted over the second half of the year. Prior to their Week 9 bye, the Patriots had allowed a 44.70% Success Rate to opposing running backs, the third-worst in the league. That's dropped to about 38% since, and they've had the fifth-best rush defense by Success Rate since Week 12. New England's especially been good at stopping runs to the left side of the field, which just so happens to be where Jay Ajayi has really made a mark since joining the Eagles in Week 9.
I don’t look for Ajayi to make his mark in this game. I know it’s a lazy narrative, but a Blount revenge game seems to really be in the cards here.

02/04/18, 10:30 AM CST by Wheeler


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Pats Could Hit'em Where It Ertz

Zach Ertz leads the Eagles in targets (39) with Foles under center, drawing at least eight in three of their four full games together. Keyed by FS Devin McCourty and SS Patrick Chung, the Pats allowed the NFL’s tenth-fewest receiving yards to tight ends (720) this season, only four opposing tight ends have reached 50 yards through 18 Patriots games.
If Foles continues to pepper Ertz with targets we could see a big game for Chung or McCourty.

02/04/18, 10:25 AM CST by Wheeler


Nelson Agholor

Philadelphia Eagles

Plenty Of Fluids

The Eagles’ biggest pass-catcher personnel mismatch is Nelson Agholor against Patriots slot corner Eric Rowe. Rowe can struggle with quick change of direction, Agholor’s foremost strength. Agholor runs 87% of his routes in the slot, and New England allowed solid games to Eric Decker (6/85/0) in the Divisional Round, and Allen Hurns (6/80/0) in the AFC title game. Agholor still ranks second behind Ertz in Foles targets (29), but has had a surprisingly quiet playoffs with just 7 targets.
This will have to change if the Eagles plan on moving the ball, but Agholor has been sick with the flu for the past few days. He received intravenous fluids Saturday and will play, but it doesn’t sound like he’ll be 100%.

02/04/18, 10:22 AM CST by Wheeler


Danny Amendola

New England Patriots

Danny Playoffs

The Eagles finished second worst this season in percentage of passing yards allowed coming after the catch. Philadelphia struggled on short and intermediate throws this season, specifically to the middle of the field, where they allowed the third-most yards per passing play in the league. Brady was a top-five player in passer rating on these types of tosses. Amendola's been a monster in this year's playoffs for New England, grabbing hold of 22 targets in just two contests, accounting for over 24% of New England's targets. He should continue to play a role on Super Bowl Sunday.

02/04/18, 10:20 AM CST by Wheeler


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

Rex Back

Despite being listed as questionable for Sunday’s AFC Championship game vs. Jaguars, it appears as though Patriots’ RB Rex Burkhead will play.
This will cut into the 13 targets Amendola saw last week.

01/20/18, 10:49 PM CST by Wheeler


Adam Thielen

Minnesota Vikings

Making The Wright Move?

Adam Thielen (back) is questionable for Sunday's NFC Championship game against the Eagles.
He's fully expected to play after limited practices the last two days. He probably won’t be 100 percent so if you’re putting in a line-up you might want to pivot to Diggs or save some money and drop down to Jarius Wright who grabbed three-of-six targets for 56 yards Sunday and has established himself as the number three WR in this offense.

01/20/18, 10:31 PM CST by Wheeler


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ankle In Question Again

Fournette aggravated his ankle in the Divisional Round and was limited early in the week. He was left off the injury report for Sunday's AFC Championship game. Fournette saw a heavy workload last week getting 27 touches in Jacksonville's upset of the Steelers. T.J. Yeldon rushed five times for 20 yards and a touchdown and caught 3-of-3 targets for 57 yards. If you’re looking for a cheaper option I expect we see Yeldon to be used to keep Fournette from aggravating the injury early.

01/20/18, 10:23 PM CST by Wheeler


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Give Him A Hand

Reports are that Tom Brady threw the ball "incredibly well" during Friday's practice. He is listed as questionable for Sunday's AFC Championship game against Jacksonville, but I don’t think there was any real doubt that he’d play. Keep in mind what D-Rex spoke about on the Pyro Podcast 303 andScott Barrett tweeted about Brady last week:
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating
The hand injury on top of his achilles injury, as well as going against the Jags #1 rated pass defense could keep the Patriots attack grounded this week. Lewis is the obvious play, but if Burkhead (Q) comes back it could be he or White that steals the show.

01/20/18, 10:22 PM CST by Wheeler


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?

Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.

01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting

Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.

01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler


DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 5

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 5 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 10/06/17

by   The Archer


More Articals


Stagg Party's Week 5 DFS

Pillar: WR, Dez Bryant  – FanDuel - $7,800 / DraftKings - $6,500

Dez Bryant has gotten through his tough slate of cornerbacks and now comes out on the rosy side. Taking on the Packers, where the team he caught it against, is as close to a revenge game as he gets at home. Dak has been playing great, but has missed Dez a number of times but going against the Packers has been a cure all for Dez. In three career regular season games Dez has averaged 11 targets 7 catches for 82.5 yards and has two touchdowns. The last time these two teams met in the playoffs, Dez compiled 9 catches on 12 targets for 132 yards and two touchdowns. Dez has yet to have a 100-yard game and has 18 in his career 101 regular season games, it is almost like he is due. The Packers have allowed each of A.J, Green and Julio Jones over 100 yards this season, and I will put some deniro on the line that Dez is next.


Sleepers: WR, Martavis Bryant – FanDuel - $5,700 / DraftKings - $5,000

Martavis Bryant has just been a hair off so far to start the season. He has missed two giant touchdown catches by just a foot, those are things that will end up correcting. He has also been involved in the redzone, as Bryant has been targeted in the end zone five times this season and has yet to convert a single one after being a dominant redzone performer previously in his career. His recent performance and the strength of the Jaguars corners have really pushed his price and his big play ability gives him a chance for a big score. While many are going to be scared off by the Jags, I am simply not one as the quarterbacks they have played this season have been a bag of caca.


Low Cost Dart Throw: TE, Austin Seferian-Jenkins – FanDuel - $5,500 / DraftKings - $3,500

ASJ has gotten back involved in the offense after returning from his suspension and saw ten targets over the last two weeks. He has also been efficient with his targets catching nine of ten for 77 yards. Now in his third game back, ASJ gets a dreamy matchup against the Cleveland Browns who are allowing the second most fantasy points to opposing tight ends and have struggled defending the position for the last few seasons. In DraftKings scoring, three tight ends have scored 17.1 fantasy points or more against the Browns and for his current leisurely price, I am all in. The Browns have allowed guys named Jesse James and Tyler Kroft to put up two touchdown games, is Seferian-Jenkins next?


I’d Avoid: WR, A.J. Green – FanDuel - $8,300 / DraftKings - $8,200

Green has gotten back on track over the last two weeks hauling in fifteen passes on twenty targets for 174 yards and two touchdowns. This week, he faces the Buffalo Bills who have gotten off to a great start defensively. The Bills ability to get pressure this season has been great, and that has been the thorn in Dalton’s side to begin the season. Although Green should still have a nice game, he just seems to lack the upside of the other top receiving options because of the pace of play each of these teams have been working at. The Bengals defense has been improved as well, leaving me to believe that this will be a slugfest, which typically doesn’t help win tournaments. The Bills have allowed just 1 passing touchdown so far and have not let a receiver surpass the 100-yard mark, allowing me to fade Green this week.



ØC's Week 5 DFS


Pillar: QB, Aaron Rodgers – DraftKings $8,100 / FanDuel $9,500

Aaron Rodgers will play on the road against the Dallas Cowboys this Sunday. In DraftKings scoring, Rodgers has yet to post less than 20.5 FF points in any game. It’s this kind of consistency that can win you a contest, especially with Aaron as his ceiling could easily be 30-35 FF points. Dallas is also the 27th worst defense against fantasy quarterbacks and both Devante Adams and Ty Montgomery are on track to at least be available for the Packer offense this weekend. Flashback to the divisional playoff game between these two teams when Rodgers put up 355 passing yards and two touchdowns; I can easily see this happening again.


Sleeper: RB, Duke Johnson Jr. – DraftKings $4,900 / FanDuel $6,000

Duke has been on a roll these last two games, averaging 21.7 FF points in Draft Kings scoring. Johnson does 90% of his damage through the air, totaling 20 receptions and 207 yards with two total touchdowns, proving he should remain the #1 weapon in the Cleveland offense. Isaiah Crowell has been disappointing and rookie QB DeShone Kizer isn’t making any eye-popping throws, often dumping it down to Johnson out of the backfield. Duke always has an opportunity to break 20 FF points and at such a discount, he is a no-brainer against a faulty Jets defense.


Dart Throw: TE, Hunter Henry – DraftKings $3,800 / FanDuel $5,200

You wouldn’t normally consider Henry a “dart throw” per say, but the pure inconsistency of his fantasy performances is puzzling. Every other game thus far has resulted in a fantasy goose egg and with his first touchdown catch of the season last weekend, we should be in line for another big fat zero. “NOT SO FAST” as Lee Corso would say, the New York Giants are the worst defense against tight ends, allowing a floor of 12.7 FF points. I am not worried about the road game or Antonio Gates stealing targets. The season is already over for the Chargers, so why not try to develop the young guns?


I'd Avoid: RB, LeSean McCoy – DraftKings $7,800 / FanDuel $8,200

I have loved McCoy since he came into the league, but I despise how he’s being used this season. Rushing attempts of 22, 12, 14, and 20 are wildly inconsistent and nowhere near what he deserves as the best offensive talent for Buffalo. LeSean also has zero total touchdowns over the opening stretch of the season and Vulture Extraordinaire, Mike Tolbert, still lurks near the goal line. Now the Bills travel into a harsh Cincinnati environment against the 5th toughest rush defense in the league. McCoy is too rich for my blood this week.



QB, Aaron Rodgers

WR, Jordy Nelson




d-Rx's Week 5 DFS

Pillar: RB, Le'Veon Bell - FanDuel $9,500 / DraftKings $9,500

Point home team favorite which spells positive running game script, Vegas expects the Steelers to score 27 points. Jacksonville is so good at the pass, that teams funnel the run against their defense.

Sleeper: WR, Jaron Brown - FanDuel $4,500 / DraftKings $4,500

There are only 8 WRs that have more air yards than Jaron Brown, which he leads the team in air yards (up there with Diggs, Martavis, and has more than AJ Green). Only 3 teams are allowing more fantasy points per game than the Eagles, so I like what this guy is doing and what he can do in this specific matchup.


Dart Throw: WR, Aldrick Robinson - FanDuel $3,100 / DraftKings  $4,600

Marquise Goodwin has had 4 concussions in the last 14 months and is probably going to sit this one out. If he is indeed out, Aldrick will matchup against the Colts' Vontae Davis who according to PFF is the 3rd worst cornerback in the NFL. 

I'd Avoid: QB, Ben Roethlisberger - FanDuel $7,900 / DraftKings $6,400

The Jaguars are stout against the pass (the best so far actually), I know Big Ben is solid at home, but I think they run the hell out of Le'Veon Bell in this game.



Le'Veon Bell & Pittsburgh Defense





Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 5 -


ØC (2-2 | 422.9 pts) vs. d-Rx® (2-2 | 420.72 pts)


ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 5 



FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017


FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 4 weeks 





DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017

DraftKings Points Allowed thru 4 weeks 





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