Week 15
December 17, 2017
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Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

QB Downgrade Equals RB Upgrade


Ajayi can do more than he has since the Eagles acquired him from the Dolphins on Halloween. And with quarterback Carson Wentz done for the season and Nick Foles tossed into the cauldron, the Eagles will likely need additional carries from the 24-year-old tailback if they are to stoke their chances of securing home field throughout the playoffs.

Fantasy Goo: Ajayi could shred the Giants if he gets the touches, but he hasn’t scored a TD since his 46-yarder against the Bronco’s in his first game with the Eagles. It’s not like the other Eagles backs have been producing TD’s either, Wentz had been that dominant. I have no doubt they will lean on the running game this week, I’m high on Ajayi.


12/16/17, 03:18 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.philly.com


Jermaine Gresham

Arizona Cardinals

Ricky Business


The AZ Cardinals have downgraded TE Jermaine Gresham (illness) to OUT for Sunday’s game against Washington.

Fantasy Goo: Seals-Jones is a desperate move if you’re in the semi-finals of your playoffs, he’s only a streaming option if you’ve been streaming all year. He’s had a couple of big games, but there’s no floor. He could end up with 10 targets or he could end up with none.


12/16/17, 03:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Flying Solo


Joe Mixon did not pass concussion protocol and will not play Sunday against the Vikings.

Fantasy Goo: Bernard will see a solid workload, but it’s going to take a big play for him to have any real fantasy value. Minnesota did give up that big play to Jonathan Stewart last week, but I don’t see that happening again.


12/16/17, 03:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Bell-Cow Workload


Falcons running back Tevin Coleman, who’s in the NFL concussion protocol, was declared out of the Tampa Bay game on Saturday by coach Dan Quinn.

Fantasy Goo: Tampa has been solid against the run at home, but a complete sieve on the road. They are at home this week, but they haven’t faced a RB like Freeman at home this year. Freeman has traditionally been a better performer at home, but I have no doubt he’ll put up RB1 numbers with action in the passing game.


12/16/17, 03:10 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.myajc.com


Dion Sims

Chicago Bears

Honorable Mention


Bears TE Adam Shaheen (chest), who is listed as questionable against the Lions, is not expected to play, source said. Chicago goes in a little short-handed.

Fantasy Goo: I like Sims as a streamer if you’re desperate, he always seems to put up numbers when he’s the only option. I rarely start a streamer in the early set of games, there will be safer options tomorrow.


12/16/17, 03:06 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stefon Diggs

Minnesota Vikings

Diggin' It and Thielen It


The Vikings have played five out of their last six games on the road. They return home this week to face a banged-up Bengals defense and Kyle Rudolph is out. Stefon Diggs has played in four home games this year. He has hit 27.7 and 40.3 on DK in two of them.

Fantasy Goo: Diggs has never played a game without Rudolph in the line-up, so we don’t really know how this will affect his targets. Cincinnati has been without both starting CB’s, but may get Dre Kirkpatrick back this week. I have Diggs as a WR2/Flex this week with Thielen being a solid WR1, must start.


12/15/17, 05:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Woods

Los Angeles Rams

Back in Action


Seahawks Weeks 1-9 (With Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 2nd
Explosive pass rate allowed:19th
Weeks 11-14 (Without Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 22nd
Explosive pass rate allowed: 24th

Fantasy Goo: Robert Woods comes back this week, so I’m moving Watkins way down. Watkins production went up about 70% across the board with Woods out. Kupp’s production went up with Woods out as well, but even with Woods in the line-up he was second on the team in targets. Woods might need to knock some rust off after being out for three weeks so I have Woods and Kupp in the WR3/Flex range, and feel safe with starting either one.


12/15/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jag's Starting JAG's


Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette missed his third straight day of practice today due to his quad injury. No practice all week.

Fantasy Goo: I expect Yeldon and Ivory to split the touches if Fournette doesn’t play, neither seems to be worth starting, but Houston has given up five rushing TD’s in the past three games (one to a QB).


12/15/17, 05:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Howard

Chicago Bears

Here Comes the BOOM!


Detroit is allowing 3.4 offensive touchdowns per game over the past five weeks, the most in the league, they have also allowed a rushing touchdown in eight straight games. Jordan Howard is tied for the most runs of 10 or more yards (30) on the season. Howard has had 12 100-yard rushing games in his first two seasons and he wasn’t even the starter the first four games last year.

Fantasy Goo: Howard is really boom-bust, he has yet to pair together fantasy RB1 weeks this year. He had a huge game last week and his match-up this week is just too sweet to think that he won’t be able to break this trend.


12/15/17, 05:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

In the Clear


Zach Ertz has cleared the concussion protocol and will play this week.

He’s pretty much ranked as the number three TE across the industry, but I think he lacks the boom upside we might think he has against the Giants. His production with Foles, back in 2013, was only slightly lower than his production this year. In the first nine games the Giants gave up a TD to a TE in every game. In the last four games the Giants have only given up one, to Jason Witten, who has historically torched the Giants, it was his only catch of the game. They even managed to keep Kelce out of the end-zone, I believe a couple of OPI’s were involved there and Kelce did get 109 yards receiving though. I believe Ertz is a prime candidate for 5/50/1, but I don’t expect him to win you your week or be worth paying up for in DFS.


12/15/17, 05:11 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Giants defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 5

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 5 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 10/06/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 5 DFS



Pillar: WR, Dez Bryant  – FanDuel - $7,800 / DraftKings - $6,500

Dez Bryant has gotten through his tough slate of cornerbacks and now comes out on the rosy side. Taking on the Packers, where the team he caught it against, is as close to a revenge game as he gets at home. Dak has been playing great, but has missed Dez a number of times but going against the Packers has been a cure all for Dez. In three career regular season games Dez has averaged 11 targets 7 catches for 82.5 yards and has two touchdowns. The last time these two teams met in the playoffs, Dez compiled 9 catches on 12 targets for 132 yards and two touchdowns. Dez has yet to have a 100-yard game and has 18 in his career 101 regular season games, it is almost like he is due. The Packers have allowed each of A.J, Green and Julio Jones over 100 yards this season, and I will put some deniro on the line that Dez is next.

 

Sleepers: WR, Martavis Bryant – FanDuel - $5,700 / DraftKings - $5,000

Martavis Bryant has just been a hair off so far to start the season. He has missed two giant touchdown catches by just a foot, those are things that will end up correcting. He has also been involved in the redzone, as Bryant has been targeted in the end zone five times this season and has yet to convert a single one after being a dominant redzone performer previously in his career. His recent performance and the strength of the Jaguars corners have really pushed his price and his big play ability gives him a chance for a big score. While many are going to be scared off by the Jags, I am simply not one as the quarterbacks they have played this season have been a bag of caca.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: TE, Austin Seferian-Jenkins – FanDuel - $5,500 / DraftKings - $3,500

ASJ has gotten back involved in the offense after returning from his suspension and saw ten targets over the last two weeks. He has also been efficient with his targets catching nine of ten for 77 yards. Now in his third game back, ASJ gets a dreamy matchup against the Cleveland Browns who are allowing the second most fantasy points to opposing tight ends and have struggled defending the position for the last few seasons. In DraftKings scoring, three tight ends have scored 17.1 fantasy points or more against the Browns and for his current leisurely price, I am all in. The Browns have allowed guys named Jesse James and Tyler Kroft to put up two touchdown games, is Seferian-Jenkins next?

  

I’d Avoid: WR, A.J. Green – FanDuel - $8,300 / DraftKings - $8,200

Green has gotten back on track over the last two weeks hauling in fifteen passes on twenty targets for 174 yards and two touchdowns. This week, he faces the Buffalo Bills who have gotten off to a great start defensively. The Bills ability to get pressure this season has been great, and that has been the thorn in Dalton’s side to begin the season. Although Green should still have a nice game, he just seems to lack the upside of the other top receiving options because of the pace of play each of these teams have been working at. The Bengals defense has been improved as well, leaving me to believe that this will be a slugfest, which typically doesn’t help win tournaments. The Bills have allowed just 1 passing touchdown so far and have not let a receiver surpass the 100-yard mark, allowing me to fade Green this week.

 

 


ØC's Week 5 DFS


 

Pillar: QB, Aaron Rodgers – DraftKings $8,100 / FanDuel $9,500

Aaron Rodgers will play on the road against the Dallas Cowboys this Sunday. In DraftKings scoring, Rodgers has yet to post less than 20.5 FF points in any game. It’s this kind of consistency that can win you a contest, especially with Aaron as his ceiling could easily be 30-35 FF points. Dallas is also the 27th worst defense against fantasy quarterbacks and both Devante Adams and Ty Montgomery are on track to at least be available for the Packer offense this weekend. Flashback to the divisional playoff game between these two teams when Rodgers put up 355 passing yards and two touchdowns; I can easily see this happening again.

 

Sleeper: RB, Duke Johnson Jr. – DraftKings $4,900 / FanDuel $6,000

Duke has been on a roll these last two games, averaging 21.7 FF points in Draft Kings scoring. Johnson does 90% of his damage through the air, totaling 20 receptions and 207 yards with two total touchdowns, proving he should remain the #1 weapon in the Cleveland offense. Isaiah Crowell has been disappointing and rookie QB DeShone Kizer isn’t making any eye-popping throws, often dumping it down to Johnson out of the backfield. Duke always has an opportunity to break 20 FF points and at such a discount, he is a no-brainer against a faulty Jets defense.

 

Dart Throw: TE, Hunter Henry – DraftKings $3,800 / FanDuel $5,200

You wouldn’t normally consider Henry a “dart throw” per say, but the pure inconsistency of his fantasy performances is puzzling. Every other game thus far has resulted in a fantasy goose egg and with his first touchdown catch of the season last weekend, we should be in line for another big fat zero. “NOT SO FAST” as Lee Corso would say, the New York Giants are the worst defense against tight ends, allowing a floor of 12.7 FF points. I am not worried about the road game or Antonio Gates stealing targets. The season is already over for the Chargers, so why not try to develop the young guns?

 

I'd Avoid: RB, LeSean McCoy – DraftKings $7,800 / FanDuel $8,200

I have loved McCoy since he came into the league, but I despise how he’s being used this season. Rushing attempts of 22, 12, 14, and 20 are wildly inconsistent and nowhere near what he deserves as the best offensive talent for Buffalo. LeSean also has zero total touchdowns over the opening stretch of the season and Vulture Extraordinaire, Mike Tolbert, still lurks near the goal line. Now the Bills travel into a harsh Cincinnati environment against the 5th toughest rush defense in the league. McCoy is too rich for my blood this week.

 

Stack

QB, Aaron Rodgers

WR, Jordy Nelson

 

 

 

d-Rx's Week 5 DFS


Pillar: RB, Le'Veon Bell - FanDuel $9,500 / DraftKings $9,500

Point home team favorite which spells positive running game script, Vegas expects the Steelers to score 27 points. Jacksonville is so good at the pass, that teams funnel the run against their defense.


Sleeper: WR, Jaron Brown - FanDuel $4,500 / DraftKings $4,500

There are only 8 WRs that have more air yards than Jaron Brown, which he leads the team in air yards (up there with Diggs, Martavis, and has more than AJ Green). Only 3 teams are allowing more fantasy points per game than the Eagles, so I like what this guy is doing and what he can do in this specific matchup.

 

Dart Throw: WR, Aldrick Robinson - FanDuel $3,100 / DraftKings  $4,600

Marquise Goodwin has had 4 concussions in the last 14 months and is probably going to sit this one out. If he is indeed out, Aldrick will matchup against the Colts' Vontae Davis who according to PFF is the 3rd worst cornerback in the NFL. 


I'd Avoid: QB, Ben Roethlisberger - FanDuel $7,900 / DraftKings $6,400

The Jaguars are stout against the pass (the best so far actually), I know Big Ben is solid at home, but I think they run the hell out of Le'Veon Bell in this game.

 

Stack:

Le'Veon Bell & Pittsburgh Defense

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 5 -

 

ØC (2-2 | 422.9 pts) vs. d-Rx® (2-2 | 420.72 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 5 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 4 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 4 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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