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July 16, 2018
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LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

McCoy starring down 30 with uncertainty


LeSean McCoy, despite ending the year as the #7 fantasy running back in standard leagues was a slight disappointment for fantasy owners last year. McCoy played in all 16 regular season games, but only cracked 100 yards rushing 4 times, and averaged 4.0 yards per rush, which was 23rd in the NFL. That all happened with a formidable QB with a scrambling ability that defenses had to respect, presumably allowing McCoy some more room before tacklers ascended.
The Bills have the least sexy QB situation in the entire NFL in my opinion. With Tyrod Taylor at the helm for most of the season last year, the bills had the 31st passing offense. None of the QBs on the Bills roster are considered mobile and without a wide receiver on their roster worthy of drafting in any fantasy formats, defenses can stack the box against McCoy. McCoy will be overused, underperform and probably get hurt because of it. McCoy’s ADP is in the second round, but wouldn’t touch him until the fourth or beginning of the fifth round.


06/29/18, 12:42 PM CDT by C-wags

Source: pyromaniac.com


Tyreek Hill

Kansas City Chiefs

Hill lookin' busty with chiefs new look.


Tyreek Hill had a great 2017, amounting 75 receptions for 1183 yards and 7 touchdowns in 15 games. He’s currently being drafted in the middle of the third round in standard leagues, which would appear to be a great value. However, with promoted RB coach Eric Bieniemy presumably in-line to be the primary play caller, a new QB, Travis Kelce receiving the #1 target share and the addition of Sammy Watkins, I expect Hill’s numbers to decrease dramatically.
I believe Hill to be more of a boom or bust player this year. There’s no denying his break-away speed and ability to separate from defenders, and with Mahomes cannon of an arm, I expect them to connect deep on occasion. However, I believe Sammy Watkins to be the more complete receiver and likely to take more of the target share from Hill. Bundled with the change in offensive strategy toward the end of last year to run the ball more, the change to a young QB presumably resulting in a more conservative game plan, I see a major decline in the amount of touches Hill will get and see him as more of a 5-6 round flex play guy.


06/21/18, 10:54 AM CDT by C-wags

Source: pyromaniac.com


Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck


Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.


04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek


Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.


04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush


49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.


04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.sacbee.com


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving


Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.


04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons


Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)


04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch


Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.


04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.denverpost.com


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy


Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.


04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged


Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.


04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls


Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.


04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.newyorkjets.com


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson


Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.


03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack


Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.


03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That


Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.


03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case


Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.


03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount


The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.


03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel


Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.


03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat


Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.


03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun


The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.


03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again


The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.


03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 6

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 6 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 10/15/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 6 DFS

 

 

Pillar: RB, Devonta Freeman – FanDuel $8,500 / DraftKings $7,400

Devonta Freeman is currently the seventh overall running back in standard scoring leagues, and has missed a game on the other guys above him. He is 4th in FF points per game coming in at 16.4 which is similar to his breakout second season. he has scored at least one rushing touchdown in every game he has played this season and is taking on a Miami team that’s offense is currently in shambles giving him an opportunity for lots of clock-killing work late in the game. The Dolphins have allowed two running backs over 20 fantasy points this season in PPR, and Freeman is a touchdown machine. With Ryan struggling to convert touchdown opportunities, Devonta could get a massive redzone usage giving him on of the highest ceilings of the week. The Falcons will be at home where Freeman also tends to score at a higher rate and the Dolphins are an uncommon opponent giving Freeman an even bigger edge. I am liking my chances. 

 

Sleepers: WR, Adam Thielen – FanDuel $6,500 / DraftKings $6,000

I could just say Adam Thielen is without Stefon Diggs this week and you’d probably be ready to lock him in, but let’s give you some more info, because I get paid by the word around here. Thielen is currently averaging 8 targets and game and nearly six catches but has yet to find the endzone after doing it five times last season. When he took on the Packers with a banged-up Diggs last season he caught 12 passes on 15 targets for 202 yards and two touchdowns. Thielen has been playing 70% of his snaps in the slot where the Packers lack coverage talent. Thielen has caught at least five passes in every game this season and has a nice floor to go with his already discussed high ceiling. Thielen should see an easy ten targets and that gives him great upside for his current price.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: WR, Martavis Bryant – FanDuel $5,500 / DraftKings $4,600

I am recycling some shit from last week because I know this is going to happen eventually. Martavis Bryant has just been a hair off so far to start the season. He has missed two giant touchdown catches by just a foot, those are things that will end up correcting. He has also been involved in the redzone, as Bryant has been targeted in the end zone five times this season and has yet to convert a single one after being a dominant redzone performer previously in his career. His recent performance is suppressing his price and Big ben or as some have been calling him this week, Pig Pen, hasn’t done him any favors. Luckily for Martavis he gets a chiefs secondary giving up the second most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers and that can give up giant plays when you get away from Marcus Peters in coverage. This offense put up 43 points the last time these two teams played in the regular season and Martavis has blow up potential.

 

Fade: WR, Mike Evans – FanDuel $8,100 / DraftKings $6,900

While Mike Evans is a decent play in season long league, but I am not paying up for a guy against Patrick Peterson who has allowed less than 100 receiving yards this season through five weeks, that’s just not the way I do business. The last time these two faced off it took 18 targets for Mike Evans to reach 70 yards, and at the time the Bucs had no real secondary weapon to speak of. Now with DeSean Jackson, Chris Godwin, Adam Humphries, O.J. Howard, Cameron Brate and Doug Martin back in the fold, Evans shouldn’t be funneled 18 targets in a non-prime spot. While the fantasy points against might be green, I doubt Evans is going to help you win all the GPP green this weekend.


 


ØC's Week 6 DFS

 

 

Pillar: RB, Kareem Hunt – FanDuel $9,300 / DraftKings $8,200

Hunt is coming off his worst fantasy performance with a pedestrian 17.6 FF points. While this is obvious sarcasm, it shows that his fantasy point floor is higher than nearly every other rusher’s ceiling. The Steelers are a very tough defense against quarterbacks and receivers but the rush defense is almost dead last in the league. Hunt should be owned in 50% of lineups and he’ll appease said owners with at least 20 FF points.


Sleeper: RB, Alvin Kamara – FanDuel $5,800 / DraftKings $4,500

Kamara averages 5.5 yards per carry and has 20 receptions on the year for 147 yards. He is a PPR goldmine at a very low cost that will only increase after this week. Adrian Peterson was traded to the Cardinals so his five touches are up for grabs. Drew Brees loves his speedy pass catching rushers out of the backfield and Kamara collected 10 catches on 10 targets in Week 4. The Detroit defense is no slouch against the rush, but the Saints don’t pound the ball up the middle and give their backs 20+ carries. New Orleans will find multiple ways to get Kamara the ball and he’ll find multiple ways to score for your daily lineup.


Low Cost: WR, Adam Humphries – FanDuel $4,900 / DraftKings $4,000

The Buccaneers are coming off a 10 day break after their Thursday Night loss to the Patriots at home. The Cardinals have a solid secondary but said secondary will focus more on Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson. This will make Humphries “the forgotten man”, free to collect more than his season average of five receptions for about 50 yards. Adam has not found the end-zone as of yet, but he has received 25 targets in just four games. This is a prime opportunity for Humphries to break through and prove he doesn’t belong in the shadows of the Buccaneer receiving corps.


Fade: RB, LeVeon Bell – FanDuel $9,000 / DraftKings $9,600

LeVeon Bell will get his usual 20 touches and should reach at least 10 FF points, even in standard scoring. However, the rule of thumb is that whatever you spend on one player, you expect at least double the cost in fantasy points. There is absolutely no way Bell will reach 18 FF points on the road against an undefeated Chiefs team that boasts the second best defense against fantasy RBs. There are additional red flags as the Steelers offense seems to be at a crossroads with Big Ben and Antonio Brown. Roethlisberger is coming off a five interception day, so I would like to think the Chiefs bulk up the rush defense and force Ben to pass. Your money is better spent elsewhere. 


Stack

RB, Alvin Kamara – Fan Duel $5,800 - Draft Kings $4,500

QB, Drew Brees – Fan Duel $7,200 – Draft Kings $8,600

 


d-Rx's Week 6 DFS

 

Pillar: WR, Julio Jones - FanDuel $8,400 / DraftKings $8,300

We talk about high ceilings in fantasy football a lot, and Julio's ceiling is definitely the highest of any wide receiver in the NFL. I mean he had a 300-yard receiving game last year for god's sake. He currently has the 43rd most points in standard scoring format for WRs, which is crazy low. That's about to change. He's a full go on Sunday after hurting his hip against Buffalo in Week 4, to say the bye week came at the perfect time would be an understatement. That vaulted ceiling of gooey upside is about to get met by #11 against the Dolphins, who are 10th against WRs in allowing #FF points on FanDuel (pretty solid). Mr. Jones has zero TDs on the season and they haven't been trying to get him red zone targets as most predicted would happen this season. Sanu is out and Julio is about to have a monster outing! I want him on my team with the good guys.


Sleeper: RB, Mark Ingram - FanDuel $5,900 / DraftKings $4,400

See ya later Adrian Peterson. I think this is a statement game for Saints management, Payton and Mark. Kamara is going to get his each week, the kid is a stud and he's the perfect compliment to Mark in this offense. But I see Mark's targets going up, and obviously his carries should increase as well. The Lions are giving up 19.7 fantasy points per game to running backs for 18th in the NFL. At $5,900 on FanDuel, I like #22 more than a number of guys that cost more this week.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: RB, Samaje Perine - FanDuel $4,900 / DraftKings $4,400

He's done nothing special thus far, even when Rob Kelley was out. Well, Fatty Rob is out again with an ankle injury this week. The 49ers allow the 3rd most points to opposing RBs on FanDuel and DraftKings. The Redskins are favored in this game by 9 points and have an implied point total of 27.75, which is one of the highest expected scoring output numbers for Week 6 NFL games. Maybe call it more of a low cost gut call, but I like Samaje this week.

 

Fade: QB, Derek Carr - FanDuel $7,500 / DraftKings $5,900

Impressive that Derek is returning so swiftly, definitely a tough dude. Just a little worries after seeing what Sam Bradford looked like when he returned prematurely from his injury. I need to see Derek move around and play literally with a broken back. Man, can't imagine this is a good long-term move for DC4's health. Until he's back, I'm going to other options.

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 6 -

 

ØC (3-2 | 599.54 pts) vs. d-Rx® (2-3 | 521.88 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 6 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 5 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 5 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 5 -

 

ØC (2-2 | 422.9 pts) vs. d-Rx® (2-2 | 420.72 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 5 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 4 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 4 weeks 

 

 

 

  

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

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