Week 20
January 22, 2018
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Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

Rex Back


Despite being listed as questionable for Sunday’s AFC Championship game vs. Jaguars, it appears as though Patriots’ RB Rex Burkhead will play.
This will cut into the 13 targets Amendola saw last week.


01/20/18, 10:49 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Adam Thielen

Minnesota Vikings

Making The Wright Move?


Adam Thielen (back) is questionable for Sunday's NFC Championship game against the Eagles.
He's fully expected to play after limited practices the last two days. He probably won’t be 100 percent so if you’re putting in a line-up you might want to pivot to Diggs or save some money and drop down to Jarius Wright who grabbed three-of-six targets for 56 yards Sunday and has established himself as the number three WR in this offense.


01/20/18, 10:31 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ankle In Question Again


Fournette aggravated his ankle in the Divisional Round and was limited early in the week. He was left off the injury report for Sunday's AFC Championship game. Fournette saw a heavy workload last week getting 27 touches in Jacksonville's upset of the Steelers. T.J. Yeldon rushed five times for 20 yards and a touchdown and caught 3-of-3 targets for 57 yards. If you’re looking for a cheaper option I expect we see Yeldon to be used to keep Fournette from aggravating the injury early.


01/20/18, 10:23 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Give Him A Hand


Reports are that Tom Brady threw the ball "incredibly well" during Friday's practice. He is listed as questionable for Sunday's AFC Championship game against Jacksonville, but I don’t think there was any real doubt that he’d play. Keep in mind what D-Rex spoke about on the Pyro Podcast 303 andScott Barrett tweeted about Brady last week:
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating
The hand injury on top of his achilles injury, as well as going against the Jags #1 rated pass defense could keep the Patriots attack grounded this week. Lewis is the obvious play, but if Burkhead (Q) comes back it could be he or White that steals the show.


01/20/18, 10:22 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?


Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.


01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting


Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.


01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

It's A Trap


Jay Ajayi (knee) is practicing in full for the Divisional Round.

Fantasy Goo: Atlanta is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s this year and they are more susceptible to pass-catching backs. Todd Gurley rushed 14 times for 101 yards in the Rams' Wild Card loss to the Falcons, adding four receptions for 10 additional yards. Ajayi might have been drafted before Gurley this year, but that was clearly a mistake. Ajayi has talent, but he’s far from a good option this week.


01/09/18, 07:16 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Back in Action


Chris Hogan (shoulder) is expected to return for Saturday's Divisional Round game against the Titans.

Fantasy Goo: He’s going to take a couple of weeks to get in tune with the offense, I’m looking to save him until the Super Bowl if you’re in one of those one and done fantasy playoff tournaments.


01/09/18, 07:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints

Strength vs Strength


Saints RBs led NFL during regular season in receptions (9.0) and receiving yards (77.8) per game.
Vikings held opposing RBs to fewest yards per target (4.2) and 3rd-fewest yards per game (30.6).

Fantasy Goo: The Vikings have been absolutely sick in all aspects on defense this year. If the Saints are going to pull this one out it sounds like it’s going to have to be a Brees week, I’m not so sure he’s going to be the guy you want to start on the road this week.


01/09/18, 07:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

Not The Real McCoy


LeSean McCoy said if he plays Sunday, "I want to be able to cut well enough to where I don't have a lot of pain cutting. I just want to be close, or the best as far as 100 percent as I can get. The type of game like this, you got to lay it all on the line.”

Fantasy Goo: McCoy is a poor play against the Jags this week. The Jags strength on defense is against the pass (#1 in FP allowed), but they are still strong against the rush (11th). I’m not taking any Bills on fantasy playoff squads or in DFS this week.


01/04/18, 09:29 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Arrow Pointing Down


DeMarco Murray (knee) didn't practice again Thursday. Derrick Henry show ready to go.

Fantasy Goo: The way to attack KC is through the air, they rank 9th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. They will most likely be in negative game script. KC hasn’t allowed any team to score over 20 points in Arrowhead all year.


01/04/18, 09:27 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Julio Jones

Atlanta Falcons

No Fly Zone


Julio Jones finished 11th in NFL in red-zone targets but caught only 5 of 19. He finished 4th in targets inside 10 but only caught 4 of 11.

Fantasy Goo: The Rams have a strong pass defense, especially against outside receivers, but are second worst in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. Freeman and Coleman are the only Falcons I am considering this week.


01/04/18, 09:25 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Under the Radar


In the first game with TJ Jones (shoulder) on IR last week, Kenny Golladay played 95% of snaps and led DET WRs with 8 targets.

Fantasy Goo: Marvin Jones has a history of shredding the Packers defense and is a solid play at $6500 on DK, but Golladay is half the price ($3300) and will probably see a similar number of targets. If Detroit had something to play for I’d be stacking the heck out of this game, but I still think it’s smart to have one of these guys in the line-up this week.


12/31/17, 09:46 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Rookie Debut


Patrick Mahomes was 2nd in PFF’s QB Rating when kept clean in preseason. He rushed for 744 yards, 22 TDs in his last two years at Texas Tech. Denver has allowed multiple passing TDs to six-straight QBs not named Petty or Brissett.

Fantasy Goo: The rookie was supposed to take over for Alex Smith much earlier this season, but Smith and the Chief’s came out firing on all cylinders and kept the rookie on the bench. Mahomes will get his chance this week as Smith gets a week off before the playoffs. Denver may be packing it in, but they still have one of the best defenses and I expect they will play more inspired this week against a division rival.


12/31/17, 09:32 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Wayne Gallman

New York Giants

Last Man Standing


Giants will be without Shepard (neck), Engram (ribs), and King (concussion) vs. WAS. Wayne Gallman has 9, 7, 8 target counts in last three weeks.

Fantasy Goo: Washington ranks 24th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s and Gallman is $4200 on DK. Feels like a great way to save and pay up at other positions.


12/31/17, 09:21 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Burfict Situation


Bengals LB Vontaze Burfict ruled out for game Sunday at Baltimore because of shoulder injury.

Fantasy Goo: Collins becomes a solid RB1 this week. Cincinnati’s run defense is a sieve with Burfict out.


12/31/17, 09:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Akeem No Dream


Charcandrick West is out Sunday vs Denver with an illness. Akeem Hunt and Kareem Hunt only RBs on active roster for KC. It would be a surprise to see Kareem play much. That means a ton of Akeem Hunt and likely some De'Anthony Thomas on passing downs.

Fantasy Goo: Akeem is min price ($3000) on DK so the definition of a free-square, but there’s a reason he’s bounced around the NFL and never earned a starting role. Denver is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, I’m not rostering Akeem when there are so many other options this week.


12/31/17, 09:17 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeAndre Hopkins

Houston Texans

Milestone Not Worth The Risk


Bill O'Brien on DeAndre Hopkins' status: 'Probably won't know up until game time'. Typically, we might classify this as coach-speak, but Hopkins has never missed a game, and is four catches away from 100 for the season. He's probably pushing hard to play.

Fantasy Goo: This is an awesome match-up for the Houston WR’s going against a very weak Indy pass defense, but there is really no reason for Hopkins to play, especially with the calf injury. At $8400 on DK he’s just way too pricey given this news. A sneaky start might be Will Fuller at $4300, he has 5 targets in each of the past three games and is coming off some difficult match-ups. Earlier in the season he was a superstar with Watson throwing the ball, but he has always had the big play in his arsenal no matter who the QB is.


12/29/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Vultures Are Always Flying


James White (ankle) remained limited at Thursday's practice. White was absent for last week's win over Buffalo but should be out there against the Jets in Week 17. He ranks eighth among running backs with 56 catches this year.

Fantasy Goo: Lewis dominated last week with White and Burkhead out, even though Gillislee vultured a TD. I would imagine that White playing will take away the five receptions Lewis had last week and the Jets actually have a better rush defense than the Pats week 16 opponent (Buf). The Pats will be looking to lock-up home field advantage and won’t be resting their starters, but they will probably be looking to get everyone some work as they prep for the playoffs. Gillislee appears to be nursing a hammy and is not expected to play, but let’s not forget how White performed last year in the Super Bowl.


12/29/17, 09:47 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Pittsburgh Steelers

Stars Sitting


The Steelers Marcus Gilbert tells reporter Tim Benz that the Steelers won't play Ben Roethlisberger or Le'Veon Bell in finale vs. Cleveland. Landry Jones will be under center for Pittsburgh and Fitzgerald Toussaint and Stevan Ridley will form a thoroughly underwhelming RB committee against the Browns.

Fantasy Goo: Underwhelming is an understatement for these two backs, a highly respected fantasy website hasn’t even updated the news on these two since the pre-season and doesn’t even recognize them as being on the team. The one player of note in this is Martavis Bryant, The Alien averages over 17 ppr points per game with Landry at the helm as opposed to 8.4 ppg with other QB’s. He also has 5 TD’s in 5 home games with Landry. Granted most of this production comes from 2015 when they worked together often in the preseason, but Bryant could be a very sneaky GPP play this week.


12/29/17, 09:23 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 6

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 6 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 10/15/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 6 DFS

 

 

Pillar: RB, Devonta Freeman – FanDuel $8,500 / DraftKings $7,400

Devonta Freeman is currently the seventh overall running back in standard scoring leagues, and has missed a game on the other guys above him. He is 4th in FF points per game coming in at 16.4 which is similar to his breakout second season. he has scored at least one rushing touchdown in every game he has played this season and is taking on a Miami team that’s offense is currently in shambles giving him an opportunity for lots of clock-killing work late in the game. The Dolphins have allowed two running backs over 20 fantasy points this season in PPR, and Freeman is a touchdown machine. With Ryan struggling to convert touchdown opportunities, Devonta could get a massive redzone usage giving him on of the highest ceilings of the week. The Falcons will be at home where Freeman also tends to score at a higher rate and the Dolphins are an uncommon opponent giving Freeman an even bigger edge. I am liking my chances. 

 

Sleepers: WR, Adam Thielen – FanDuel $6,500 / DraftKings $6,000

I could just say Adam Thielen is without Stefon Diggs this week and you’d probably be ready to lock him in, but let’s give you some more info, because I get paid by the word around here. Thielen is currently averaging 8 targets and game and nearly six catches but has yet to find the endzone after doing it five times last season. When he took on the Packers with a banged-up Diggs last season he caught 12 passes on 15 targets for 202 yards and two touchdowns. Thielen has been playing 70% of his snaps in the slot where the Packers lack coverage talent. Thielen has caught at least five passes in every game this season and has a nice floor to go with his already discussed high ceiling. Thielen should see an easy ten targets and that gives him great upside for his current price.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: WR, Martavis Bryant – FanDuel $5,500 / DraftKings $4,600

I am recycling some shit from last week because I know this is going to happen eventually. Martavis Bryant has just been a hair off so far to start the season. He has missed two giant touchdown catches by just a foot, those are things that will end up correcting. He has also been involved in the redzone, as Bryant has been targeted in the end zone five times this season and has yet to convert a single one after being a dominant redzone performer previously in his career. His recent performance is suppressing his price and Big ben or as some have been calling him this week, Pig Pen, hasn’t done him any favors. Luckily for Martavis he gets a chiefs secondary giving up the second most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers and that can give up giant plays when you get away from Marcus Peters in coverage. This offense put up 43 points the last time these two teams played in the regular season and Martavis has blow up potential.

 

Fade: WR, Mike Evans – FanDuel $8,100 / DraftKings $6,900

While Mike Evans is a decent play in season long league, but I am not paying up for a guy against Patrick Peterson who has allowed less than 100 receiving yards this season through five weeks, that’s just not the way I do business. The last time these two faced off it took 18 targets for Mike Evans to reach 70 yards, and at the time the Bucs had no real secondary weapon to speak of. Now with DeSean Jackson, Chris Godwin, Adam Humphries, O.J. Howard, Cameron Brate and Doug Martin back in the fold, Evans shouldn’t be funneled 18 targets in a non-prime spot. While the fantasy points against might be green, I doubt Evans is going to help you win all the GPP green this weekend.


 


ØC's Week 6 DFS

 

 

Pillar: RB, Kareem Hunt – FanDuel $9,300 / DraftKings $8,200

Hunt is coming off his worst fantasy performance with a pedestrian 17.6 FF points. While this is obvious sarcasm, it shows that his fantasy point floor is higher than nearly every other rusher’s ceiling. The Steelers are a very tough defense against quarterbacks and receivers but the rush defense is almost dead last in the league. Hunt should be owned in 50% of lineups and he’ll appease said owners with at least 20 FF points.


Sleeper: RB, Alvin Kamara – FanDuel $5,800 / DraftKings $4,500

Kamara averages 5.5 yards per carry and has 20 receptions on the year for 147 yards. He is a PPR goldmine at a very low cost that will only increase after this week. Adrian Peterson was traded to the Cardinals so his five touches are up for grabs. Drew Brees loves his speedy pass catching rushers out of the backfield and Kamara collected 10 catches on 10 targets in Week 4. The Detroit defense is no slouch against the rush, but the Saints don’t pound the ball up the middle and give their backs 20+ carries. New Orleans will find multiple ways to get Kamara the ball and he’ll find multiple ways to score for your daily lineup.


Low Cost: WR, Adam Humphries – FanDuel $4,900 / DraftKings $4,000

The Buccaneers are coming off a 10 day break after their Thursday Night loss to the Patriots at home. The Cardinals have a solid secondary but said secondary will focus more on Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson. This will make Humphries “the forgotten man”, free to collect more than his season average of five receptions for about 50 yards. Adam has not found the end-zone as of yet, but he has received 25 targets in just four games. This is a prime opportunity for Humphries to break through and prove he doesn’t belong in the shadows of the Buccaneer receiving corps.


Fade: RB, LeVeon Bell – FanDuel $9,000 / DraftKings $9,600

LeVeon Bell will get his usual 20 touches and should reach at least 10 FF points, even in standard scoring. However, the rule of thumb is that whatever you spend on one player, you expect at least double the cost in fantasy points. There is absolutely no way Bell will reach 18 FF points on the road against an undefeated Chiefs team that boasts the second best defense against fantasy RBs. There are additional red flags as the Steelers offense seems to be at a crossroads with Big Ben and Antonio Brown. Roethlisberger is coming off a five interception day, so I would like to think the Chiefs bulk up the rush defense and force Ben to pass. Your money is better spent elsewhere. 


Stack

RB, Alvin Kamara – Fan Duel $5,800 - Draft Kings $4,500

QB, Drew Brees – Fan Duel $7,200 – Draft Kings $8,600

 


d-Rx's Week 6 DFS

 

Pillar: WR, Julio Jones - FanDuel $8,400 / DraftKings $8,300

We talk about high ceilings in fantasy football a lot, and Julio's ceiling is definitely the highest of any wide receiver in the NFL. I mean he had a 300-yard receiving game last year for god's sake. He currently has the 43rd most points in standard scoring format for WRs, which is crazy low. That's about to change. He's a full go on Sunday after hurting his hip against Buffalo in Week 4, to say the bye week came at the perfect time would be an understatement. That vaulted ceiling of gooey upside is about to get met by #11 against the Dolphins, who are 10th against WRs in allowing #FF points on FanDuel (pretty solid). Mr. Jones has zero TDs on the season and they haven't been trying to get him red zone targets as most predicted would happen this season. Sanu is out and Julio is about to have a monster outing! I want him on my team with the good guys.


Sleeper: RB, Mark Ingram - FanDuel $5,900 / DraftKings $4,400

See ya later Adrian Peterson. I think this is a statement game for Saints management, Payton and Mark. Kamara is going to get his each week, the kid is a stud and he's the perfect compliment to Mark in this offense. But I see Mark's targets going up, and obviously his carries should increase as well. The Lions are giving up 19.7 fantasy points per game to running backs for 18th in the NFL. At $5,900 on FanDuel, I like #22 more than a number of guys that cost more this week.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: RB, Samaje Perine - FanDuel $4,900 / DraftKings $4,400

He's done nothing special thus far, even when Rob Kelley was out. Well, Fatty Rob is out again with an ankle injury this week. The 49ers allow the 3rd most points to opposing RBs on FanDuel and DraftKings. The Redskins are favored in this game by 9 points and have an implied point total of 27.75, which is one of the highest expected scoring output numbers for Week 6 NFL games. Maybe call it more of a low cost gut call, but I like Samaje this week.

 

Fade: QB, Derek Carr - FanDuel $7,500 / DraftKings $5,900

Impressive that Derek is returning so swiftly, definitely a tough dude. Just a little worries after seeing what Sam Bradford looked like when he returned prematurely from his injury. I need to see Derek move around and play literally with a broken back. Man, can't imagine this is a good long-term move for DC4's health. Until he's back, I'm going to other options.

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 6 -

 

ØC (3-2 | 599.54 pts) vs. d-Rx® (2-3 | 521.88 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 6 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 5 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 5 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 5 -

 

ØC (2-2 | 422.9 pts) vs. d-Rx® (2-2 | 420.72 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 5 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 4 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 4 weeks 

 

 

 

  

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

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