Week 20
January 20, 2018


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Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?

Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.

01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting

Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.

01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

It's A Trap

Jay Ajayi (knee) is practicing in full for the Divisional Round.

Fantasy Goo: Atlanta is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s this year and they are more susceptible to pass-catching backs. Todd Gurley rushed 14 times for 101 yards in the Rams' Wild Card loss to the Falcons, adding four receptions for 10 additional yards. Ajayi might have been drafted before Gurley this year, but that was clearly a mistake. Ajayi has talent, but he’s far from a good option this week.

01/09/18, 07:16 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Back in Action

Chris Hogan (shoulder) is expected to return for Saturday's Divisional Round game against the Titans.

Fantasy Goo: He’s going to take a couple of weeks to get in tune with the offense, I’m looking to save him until the Super Bowl if you’re in one of those one and done fantasy playoff tournaments.

01/09/18, 07:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints

Strength vs Strength

Saints RBs led NFL during regular season in receptions (9.0) and receiving yards (77.8) per game.
Vikings held opposing RBs to fewest yards per target (4.2) and 3rd-fewest yards per game (30.6).

Fantasy Goo: The Vikings have been absolutely sick in all aspects on defense this year. If the Saints are going to pull this one out it sounds like it’s going to have to be a Brees week, I’m not so sure he’s going to be the guy you want to start on the road this week.

01/09/18, 07:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

Not The Real McCoy

LeSean McCoy said if he plays Sunday, "I want to be able to cut well enough to where I don't have a lot of pain cutting. I just want to be close, or the best as far as 100 percent as I can get. The type of game like this, you got to lay it all on the line.”

Fantasy Goo: McCoy is a poor play against the Jags this week. The Jags strength on defense is against the pass (#1 in FP allowed), but they are still strong against the rush (11th). I’m not taking any Bills on fantasy playoff squads or in DFS this week.

01/04/18, 09:29 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Arrow Pointing Down

DeMarco Murray (knee) didn't practice again Thursday. Derrick Henry show ready to go.

Fantasy Goo: The way to attack KC is through the air, they rank 9th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. They will most likely be in negative game script. KC hasn’t allowed any team to score over 20 points in Arrowhead all year.

01/04/18, 09:27 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Julio Jones

Atlanta Falcons

No Fly Zone

Julio Jones finished 11th in NFL in red-zone targets but caught only 5 of 19. He finished 4th in targets inside 10 but only caught 4 of 11.

Fantasy Goo: The Rams have a strong pass defense, especially against outside receivers, but are second worst in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. Freeman and Coleman are the only Falcons I am considering this week.

01/04/18, 09:25 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Under the Radar

In the first game with TJ Jones (shoulder) on IR last week, Kenny Golladay played 95% of snaps and led DET WRs with 8 targets.

Fantasy Goo: Marvin Jones has a history of shredding the Packers defense and is a solid play at $6500 on DK, but Golladay is half the price ($3300) and will probably see a similar number of targets. If Detroit had something to play for I’d be stacking the heck out of this game, but I still think it’s smart to have one of these guys in the line-up this week.

12/31/17, 09:46 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Rookie Debut

Patrick Mahomes was 2nd in PFF’s QB Rating when kept clean in preseason. He rushed for 744 yards, 22 TDs in his last two years at Texas Tech. Denver has allowed multiple passing TDs to six-straight QBs not named Petty or Brissett.

Fantasy Goo: The rookie was supposed to take over for Alex Smith much earlier this season, but Smith and the Chief’s came out firing on all cylinders and kept the rookie on the bench. Mahomes will get his chance this week as Smith gets a week off before the playoffs. Denver may be packing it in, but they still have one of the best defenses and I expect they will play more inspired this week against a division rival.

12/31/17, 09:32 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Wayne Gallman

New York Giants

Last Man Standing

Giants will be without Shepard (neck), Engram (ribs), and King (concussion) vs. WAS. Wayne Gallman has 9, 7, 8 target counts in last three weeks.

Fantasy Goo: Washington ranks 24th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s and Gallman is $4200 on DK. Feels like a great way to save and pay up at other positions.

12/31/17, 09:21 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Burfict Situation

Bengals LB Vontaze Burfict ruled out for game Sunday at Baltimore because of shoulder injury.

Fantasy Goo: Collins becomes a solid RB1 this week. Cincinnati’s run defense is a sieve with Burfict out.

12/31/17, 09:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Akeem No Dream

Charcandrick West is out Sunday vs Denver with an illness. Akeem Hunt and Kareem Hunt only RBs on active roster for KC. It would be a surprise to see Kareem play much. That means a ton of Akeem Hunt and likely some De'Anthony Thomas on passing downs.

Fantasy Goo: Akeem is min price ($3000) on DK so the definition of a free-square, but there’s a reason he’s bounced around the NFL and never earned a starting role. Denver is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, I’m not rostering Akeem when there are so many other options this week.

12/31/17, 09:17 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DeAndre Hopkins

Houston Texans

Milestone Not Worth The Risk

Bill O'Brien on DeAndre Hopkins' status: 'Probably won't know up until game time'. Typically, we might classify this as coach-speak, but Hopkins has never missed a game, and is four catches away from 100 for the season. He's probably pushing hard to play.

Fantasy Goo: This is an awesome match-up for the Houston WR’s going against a very weak Indy pass defense, but there is really no reason for Hopkins to play, especially with the calf injury. At $8400 on DK he’s just way too pricey given this news. A sneaky start might be Will Fuller at $4300, he has 5 targets in each of the past three games and is coming off some difficult match-ups. Earlier in the season he was a superstar with Watson throwing the ball, but he has always had the big play in his arsenal no matter who the QB is.

12/29/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Vultures Are Always Flying

James White (ankle) remained limited at Thursday's practice. White was absent for last week's win over Buffalo but should be out there against the Jets in Week 17. He ranks eighth among running backs with 56 catches this year.

Fantasy Goo: Lewis dominated last week with White and Burkhead out, even though Gillislee vultured a TD. I would imagine that White playing will take away the five receptions Lewis had last week and the Jets actually have a better rush defense than the Pats week 16 opponent (Buf). The Pats will be looking to lock-up home field advantage and won’t be resting their starters, but they will probably be looking to get everyone some work as they prep for the playoffs. Gillislee appears to be nursing a hammy and is not expected to play, but let’s not forget how White performed last year in the Super Bowl.

12/29/17, 09:47 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Pittsburgh Steelers

Stars Sitting

The Steelers Marcus Gilbert tells reporter Tim Benz that the Steelers won't play Ben Roethlisberger or Le'Veon Bell in finale vs. Cleveland. Landry Jones will be under center for Pittsburgh and Fitzgerald Toussaint and Stevan Ridley will form a thoroughly underwhelming RB committee against the Browns.

Fantasy Goo: Underwhelming is an understatement for these two backs, a highly respected fantasy website hasn’t even updated the news on these two since the pre-season and doesn’t even recognize them as being on the team. The one player of note in this is Martavis Bryant, The Alien averages over 17 ppr points per game with Landry at the helm as opposed to 8.4 ppg with other QB’s. He also has 5 TD’s in 5 home games with Landry. Granted most of this production comes from 2015 when they worked together often in the preseason, but Bryant could be a very sneaky GPP play this week.

12/29/17, 09:23 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Play To Win The Game

Despite already being locked into the AFC's No. 3 seed, Jaguars coach Doug Marrone has no plans to rest starters in Sunday's game against the Titans. "Make no mistake about it, just so there is not a lot of talk during the week: When the players come in (Wednesday), we are talking about how we are going to play to win and do everything we possibly can to win this game, period," Marrone said. "I am not even thinking about what happens beyond that, and that is the way we are going to go about our business this week."

Fantasy Goo: I think it’s crazy of him to do, but I’m sure he has Tom Coughlin in his ear feeding him that old-school philosophy. Looks like Bortles, Fournette, Westbrook and Cole will be safe plays against a Titan’s team hoping to hold on to the sixth seed in the AFC.

12/26/17, 10:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Los Angeles Rams

Resting Starters

McVay hints that there will be Rams starters “who won’t play at all” on Sunday. The Rams are already locked into either the No. 3 or 4 seed in the NFC and will host a Wild Card round playoff game.

Fantasy Goo: Gurley, Goff, Woods, all sitting this week? That’s going to destroy so many hopes and dreams for teams that rode Gurley all year.

12/26/17, 09:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Grind It Out

Mike Mularkey said he's not ruling DeMarco Murray out just yet. He's day-to-day. The Titans are holding out hope to have him in limited role.

Fantasy Goo: They are really grinding him into the dirt if they play him this week. I didn’t see the injury, but it sounded pretty ugly from sources in the know. Keep away from him in whatever format you are playing this week, I’m giving Derick Henry a solid upgrade as the Titans are trying to hold on to the final playoff spot in the AFC.

12/26/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Philadelphia Eagles

All Locked Up

Pederson on playing Foles vs. Cowboys: “I’ve got to get him as many reps as he can and then be smart about it. Obviously, we have a lot of football left. Our season is really just beginning, quite honestly. We’ll be smart.”

Fantasy Goo: This is why you don’t play a championship game in week 17. I’m staying away from the Eagles regular starters, pretty much across the board, as they have a first round bye all locked up. Guys like Blount, Clement, and Nelson Agholor might have some DFS appeal, but we have to get closer to Sunday to see what they plan on doing.

12/26/17, 05:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 7

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 7 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 10/22/17

by   The Archer


More Articals


Stagg Party's Week 7 DFS


Pillar: RB, LeSean McCoy – FanDuel  7,900 / DraftKings $7,400

LeSean McCoy is coming off a bye week and looking to establish himself and also trying to find the endzone for the first time this season, he says this is his longest scoreless streak ever, so he has to be hungry to eat that invisible cereal that Zeke seems to dominate. One way the Bills can get Shady back on track is by running him from the shotgun more. Last season Buffalo run shotgun on 81% of plays, 74% of their runs came from shotgun. In 2017, Buffalo averaging just 44% plays from shotgun and just 25% of their runs have come from shotgun. They are averaging 5.18 yards per rush in shotgun and 2.76 from under center this season. This could be something that was worked on during the bye week and would show a lot of new wrinkles for this team this season. McCoy is one of the best shotgun runners in league history, and needs to be deployed as such. The Bucs are a middle of the road run defense, but they were just torched by Adrian Peterson last week, let’s see if another running back can get back on track against them on Sunday.


Sleepers – Adam Thielen – FanDuel - $6,900 / DraftKings - $6,700 

Going back to the well here with Adam Thielen. He is still just underpriced for the production he is giving you despite a ceiling that has yet to be reached. Even if Diggs is in the lineup, Thielen still has a massive upgrade in terms of the coverage he is facing as Baltimore is giving up points to slot receivers while presenting stout coverage to guys on the boundary. Thielen provides a five catch floor and can be a cash game play, but is also usable in GPPs for an upside we have yet to see this season by scoring a touchdown. Two of the three touchdowns allowed by the Ravens to wide receivers this season have come by players who primarily play in the slot in Allen Hurns and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Thielen is in consideration for me no matter the format this week.


Low Cost Dart Throw – Marlon Mack – FanDuel - $5,300 / DraftKings - $4,100

So I got tired of writing up Martavis Bryant so that means he will probably go off. Mack is the pick this week, and there is some more clarity to his role after the Colts lost Robert Turbin to a season-ending injury. As the infamous Chuck Pagano said, it is now the Frank and Mack show, he actually said a bunch of weird shit on the topic that makes for a hilarious read but that is neither here nor there. Mack Gained 22 yards on his first carry, but then only say 1 more resulting in a four-yard loss.  So why the gamble on Mack? Well we have seen his explosiveness in small spurts, and without Turbin, a guy who was playing 38% of the running back snaps, he should now start to assert himself in an offense that has to be based on the ground game with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback. The Jaguars are allowing over 17 fantasy points to opposing running backs just on rushing alone, and that is Mack’s game as he has yet to establish himself as an established receiver. Mack has been tremendous breaking off chunk plays, and the Jags have been allowing them repeatedly.


Fade: RB, Melvin Gordon – FanDuel - $7,700 / Draftkings - $7,000

Melvin Gordon is coming off two weeks in which he has dominated fantasy scoring by scoring five total touchdowns. Gordon also scored a receiving touchdown against the Broncos in Week 1 and his receiving ability gives him a nice floor in season-long  leagues. The crux of the issue is his 5 receiving touchdowns seem unsustainable and he has never scored a rushing touchdown against the Broncos in his career. Gordon does average nearly 100 scrimmage yards in his career against the Broncos but GPP winning upside is lacking for me this week. Outside of an Orleans Darkwa surprise last week, the previous high rushing by a running back against the Broncos was just 54 yards, by Melvin himself in Week 1 and it took him 18 carries.




ØC's Week 7 DFS



Pillar: RB, Ezekiel Elliot – DraftKings $9,000 / FanDuel $8,700

Elliot has been given a third life after a temporary restraining order was issued this week so he could play against the 49ers. Well, try to restrain yourself from adding Zeke to every fantasy lineup you have. San Francisco is dead last in defending fantasy running backs and in PPR formats, Elliot has proven even more viable with 21 targets since Week 1. He averages 18.7 FF points per game and Dallas is coming off their bye Week after another tough defeat to the Packers. Elliot will be in prime form to dominate your tournament.


Sleeper: WR, Cooper Kupp – DaftKings $4,600 / FanDuel $4,400

The entire Rams passing offense has been on a slide as of late, but the Cardinals just allowed Ryan Fitzpatrick of all people to nearly put up 22.6 FF points and nearly 300 yards passing. I see a bounce back game for Goff and the receiving corps, but both Robert Woods and Sammy Watkins will be covered by the likes of Patrick Peterson and the Honey Badger. This leaves Kupp in the slot to dink and dunk his way down the field and into the end zone. I expect at least seven receptions for 100 yards and possibly a score this week.


Dart Throw: QB, Tyrod Taylor – DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $7,000

Tyrod and the well-rested Bills offense get a home game against the worst defense in the NFL vs fantasy quarterbacks. Taylor also has 32 rushing attempts on the season for added bonus points to your lineup for a fraction of the price. You should always look for the cheapest option with the best match-up first and see if you like the rest of your lineup around it. In this case, Tyrod is a beautiful head to my monster lineup.


Fade: WR, Mike Evans - DraftKings $7,600 / FanDuel $8,100

The Bills rank 9th against fantasy WRs and they are playing in Buffalo coming off a bye week. We are not yet sure if Jameis Winston can play, which means Ryan Fitzpatrick will return to the starting lineup. The Bills secondary is far superior to that of the Cardinals, whom FitzMagic roasted for over 20 FF points in a relief effort last weekend. The tough matchup in a hostile environment with a hobbled or backup quarterback is a recipe for a wasted budget. 



QB, Tyrod Taylor – DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $7,000

WR, Zay Jones – DraftKings $3,600 / FanDuel $4,500







Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 7 -


ØC (3-3 | 694.14 pts) vs. d-Rx® (3-3 | 643.08 pts)


ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 7 




FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017


FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 6 weeks 





DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017

DraftKings Points Allowed thru 6 weeks 





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