April 23, 2019

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DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 7

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 7 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 10/22/17

by   The Archer


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Stagg Party's Week 7 DFS


Pillar: RB, LeSean McCoy – FanDuel  7,900 / DraftKings $7,400

LeSean McCoy is coming off a bye week and looking to establish himself and also trying to find the endzone for the first time this season, he says this is his longest scoreless streak ever, so he has to be hungry to eat that invisible cereal that Zeke seems to dominate. One way the Bills can get Shady back on track is by running him from the shotgun more. Last season Buffalo run shotgun on 81% of plays, 74% of their runs came from shotgun. In 2017, Buffalo averaging just 44% plays from shotgun and just 25% of their runs have come from shotgun. They are averaging 5.18 yards per rush in shotgun and 2.76 from under center this season. This could be something that was worked on during the bye week and would show a lot of new wrinkles for this team this season. McCoy is one of the best shotgun runners in league history, and needs to be deployed as such. The Bucs are a middle of the road run defense, but they were just torched by Adrian Peterson last week, let’s see if another running back can get back on track against them on Sunday.


Sleepers – Adam Thielen – FanDuel - $6,900 / DraftKings - $6,700 

Going back to the well here with Adam Thielen. He is still just underpriced for the production he is giving you despite a ceiling that has yet to be reached. Even if Diggs is in the lineup, Thielen still has a massive upgrade in terms of the coverage he is facing as Baltimore is giving up points to slot receivers while presenting stout coverage to guys on the boundary. Thielen provides a five catch floor and can be a cash game play, but is also usable in GPPs for an upside we have yet to see this season by scoring a touchdown. Two of the three touchdowns allowed by the Ravens to wide receivers this season have come by players who primarily play in the slot in Allen Hurns and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Thielen is in consideration for me no matter the format this week.


Low Cost Dart Throw – Marlon Mack – FanDuel - $5,300 / DraftKings - $4,100

So I got tired of writing up Martavis Bryant so that means he will probably go off. Mack is the pick this week, and there is some more clarity to his role after the Colts lost Robert Turbin to a season-ending injury. As the infamous Chuck Pagano said, it is now the Frank and Mack show, he actually said a bunch of weird shit on the topic that makes for a hilarious read but that is neither here nor there. Mack Gained 22 yards on his first carry, but then only say 1 more resulting in a four-yard loss.  So why the gamble on Mack? Well we have seen his explosiveness in small spurts, and without Turbin, a guy who was playing 38% of the running back snaps, he should now start to assert himself in an offense that has to be based on the ground game with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback. The Jaguars are allowing over 17 fantasy points to opposing running backs just on rushing alone, and that is Mack’s game as he has yet to establish himself as an established receiver. Mack has been tremendous breaking off chunk plays, and the Jags have been allowing them repeatedly.


Fade: RB, Melvin Gordon – FanDuel - $7,700 / Draftkings - $7,000

Melvin Gordon is coming off two weeks in which he has dominated fantasy scoring by scoring five total touchdowns. Gordon also scored a receiving touchdown against the Broncos in Week 1 and his receiving ability gives him a nice floor in season-long  leagues. The crux of the issue is his 5 receiving touchdowns seem unsustainable and he has never scored a rushing touchdown against the Broncos in his career. Gordon does average nearly 100 scrimmage yards in his career against the Broncos but GPP winning upside is lacking for me this week. Outside of an Orleans Darkwa surprise last week, the previous high rushing by a running back against the Broncos was just 54 yards, by Melvin himself in Week 1 and it took him 18 carries.




ØC's Week 7 DFS



Pillar: RB, Ezekiel Elliot – DraftKings $9,000 / FanDuel $8,700

Elliot has been given a third life after a temporary restraining order was issued this week so he could play against the 49ers. Well, try to restrain yourself from adding Zeke to every fantasy lineup you have. San Francisco is dead last in defending fantasy running backs and in PPR formats, Elliot has proven even more viable with 21 targets since Week 1. He averages 18.7 FF points per game and Dallas is coming off their bye Week after another tough defeat to the Packers. Elliot will be in prime form to dominate your tournament.


Sleeper: WR, Cooper Kupp – DaftKings $4,600 / FanDuel $4,400

The entire Rams passing offense has been on a slide as of late, but the Cardinals just allowed Ryan Fitzpatrick of all people to nearly put up 22.6 FF points and nearly 300 yards passing. I see a bounce back game for Goff and the receiving corps, but both Robert Woods and Sammy Watkins will be covered by the likes of Patrick Peterson and the Honey Badger. This leaves Kupp in the slot to dink and dunk his way down the field and into the end zone. I expect at least seven receptions for 100 yards and possibly a score this week.


Dart Throw: QB, Tyrod Taylor – DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $7,000

Tyrod and the well-rested Bills offense get a home game against the worst defense in the NFL vs fantasy quarterbacks. Taylor also has 32 rushing attempts on the season for added bonus points to your lineup for a fraction of the price. You should always look for the cheapest option with the best match-up first and see if you like the rest of your lineup around it. In this case, Tyrod is a beautiful head to my monster lineup.


Fade: WR, Mike Evans - DraftKings $7,600 / FanDuel $8,100

The Bills rank 9th against fantasy WRs and they are playing in Buffalo coming off a bye week. We are not yet sure if Jameis Winston can play, which means Ryan Fitzpatrick will return to the starting lineup. The Bills secondary is far superior to that of the Cardinals, whom FitzMagic roasted for over 20 FF points in a relief effort last weekend. The tough matchup in a hostile environment with a hobbled or backup quarterback is a recipe for a wasted budget. 



QB, Tyrod Taylor – DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $7,000

WR, Zay Jones – DraftKings $3,600 / FanDuel $4,500







Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 7 -


ØC (3-3 | 694.14 pts) vs. d-Rx® (3-3 | 643.08 pts)


ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 7 




FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017


FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 6 weeks 





DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017

DraftKings Points Allowed thru 6 weeks 





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