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June 21, 2018
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Tyreek Hill

Kansas City Chiefs

Hill lookin' busty with chiefs new look.


Tyreek Hill had a great 2017, amounting 75 receptions for 1183 yards and 7 touchdowns in 15 games. He’s currently being drafted in the middle of the third round in standard leagues, which would appear to be a great value. However, with promoted RB coach Eric Bieniemy presumably in-line to be the primary play caller, a new QB, Travis Kelce receiving the #1 target share and the addition of Sammy Watkins, I expect Hill’s numbers to decrease dramatically.
I believe Hill to be more of a boom or bust player this year. There’s no denying his break-away speed and ability to separate from defenders, and with Mahomes cannon of an arm, I expect them to connect deep on occasion. However, I believe Sammy Watkins to be the more complete receiver and likely to take more of the target share from Hill. Bundled with the change in offensive strategy toward the end of last year to run the ball more, the change to a young QB presumably resulting in a more conservative game plan, I see a major decline in the amount of touches Hill will get and see him as more of a 5-6 round flex play guy.


06/21/18, 10:54 AM CDT by C-wags

Source: pyromaniac.com


Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck


Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.


04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek


Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.


04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush


49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.


04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.sacbee.com


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving


Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.


04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons


Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)


04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch


Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.


04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.denverpost.com


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy


Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.


04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged


Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.


04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls


Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.


04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.newyorkjets.com


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson


Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.


03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack


Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.


03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That


Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.


03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case


Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.


03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount


The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.


03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel


Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.


03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat


Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.


03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun


The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.


03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again


The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.


03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track


DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”


03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 7

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 7 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 10/22/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 7 DFS

 


Pillar: RB, LeSean McCoy – FanDuel  7,900 / DraftKings $7,400

LeSean McCoy is coming off a bye week and looking to establish himself and also trying to find the endzone for the first time this season, he says this is his longest scoreless streak ever, so he has to be hungry to eat that invisible cereal that Zeke seems to dominate. One way the Bills can get Shady back on track is by running him from the shotgun more. Last season Buffalo run shotgun on 81% of plays, 74% of their runs came from shotgun. In 2017, Buffalo averaging just 44% plays from shotgun and just 25% of their runs have come from shotgun. They are averaging 5.18 yards per rush in shotgun and 2.76 from under center this season. This could be something that was worked on during the bye week and would show a lot of new wrinkles for this team this season. McCoy is one of the best shotgun runners in league history, and needs to be deployed as such. The Bucs are a middle of the road run defense, but they were just torched by Adrian Peterson last week, let’s see if another running back can get back on track against them on Sunday.

 

Sleepers – Adam Thielen – FanDuel - $6,900 / DraftKings - $6,700 

Going back to the well here with Adam Thielen. He is still just underpriced for the production he is giving you despite a ceiling that has yet to be reached. Even if Diggs is in the lineup, Thielen still has a massive upgrade in terms of the coverage he is facing as Baltimore is giving up points to slot receivers while presenting stout coverage to guys on the boundary. Thielen provides a five catch floor and can be a cash game play, but is also usable in GPPs for an upside we have yet to see this season by scoring a touchdown. Two of the three touchdowns allowed by the Ravens to wide receivers this season have come by players who primarily play in the slot in Allen Hurns and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Thielen is in consideration for me no matter the format this week.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw – Marlon Mack – FanDuel - $5,300 / DraftKings - $4,100

So I got tired of writing up Martavis Bryant so that means he will probably go off. Mack is the pick this week, and there is some more clarity to his role after the Colts lost Robert Turbin to a season-ending injury. As the infamous Chuck Pagano said, it is now the Frank and Mack show, he actually said a bunch of weird shit on the topic that makes for a hilarious read but that is neither here nor there. Mack Gained 22 yards on his first carry, but then only say 1 more resulting in a four-yard loss.  So why the gamble on Mack? Well we have seen his explosiveness in small spurts, and without Turbin, a guy who was playing 38% of the running back snaps, he should now start to assert himself in an offense that has to be based on the ground game with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback. The Jaguars are allowing over 17 fantasy points to opposing running backs just on rushing alone, and that is Mack’s game as he has yet to establish himself as an established receiver. Mack has been tremendous breaking off chunk plays, and the Jags have been allowing them repeatedly.

 

Fade: RB, Melvin Gordon – FanDuel - $7,700 / Draftkings - $7,000

Melvin Gordon is coming off two weeks in which he has dominated fantasy scoring by scoring five total touchdowns. Gordon also scored a receiving touchdown against the Broncos in Week 1 and his receiving ability gives him a nice floor in season-long  leagues. The crux of the issue is his 5 receiving touchdowns seem unsustainable and he has never scored a rushing touchdown against the Broncos in his career. Gordon does average nearly 100 scrimmage yards in his career against the Broncos but GPP winning upside is lacking for me this week. Outside of an Orleans Darkwa surprise last week, the previous high rushing by a running back against the Broncos was just 54 yards, by Melvin himself in Week 1 and it took him 18 carries.

 

 

 

ØC's Week 7 DFS

 

 

Pillar: RB, Ezekiel Elliot – DraftKings $9,000 / FanDuel $8,700

Elliot has been given a third life after a temporary restraining order was issued this week so he could play against the 49ers. Well, try to restrain yourself from adding Zeke to every fantasy lineup you have. San Francisco is dead last in defending fantasy running backs and in PPR formats, Elliot has proven even more viable with 21 targets since Week 1. He averages 18.7 FF points per game and Dallas is coming off their bye Week after another tough defeat to the Packers. Elliot will be in prime form to dominate your tournament.

 

Sleeper: WR, Cooper Kupp – DaftKings $4,600 / FanDuel $4,400

The entire Rams passing offense has been on a slide as of late, but the Cardinals just allowed Ryan Fitzpatrick of all people to nearly put up 22.6 FF points and nearly 300 yards passing. I see a bounce back game for Goff and the receiving corps, but both Robert Woods and Sammy Watkins will be covered by the likes of Patrick Peterson and the Honey Badger. This leaves Kupp in the slot to dink and dunk his way down the field and into the end zone. I expect at least seven receptions for 100 yards and possibly a score this week.

 

Dart Throw: QB, Tyrod Taylor – DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $7,000

Tyrod and the well-rested Bills offense get a home game against the worst defense in the NFL vs fantasy quarterbacks. Taylor also has 32 rushing attempts on the season for added bonus points to your lineup for a fraction of the price. You should always look for the cheapest option with the best match-up first and see if you like the rest of your lineup around it. In this case, Tyrod is a beautiful head to my monster lineup.

 

Fade: WR, Mike Evans - DraftKings $7,600 / FanDuel $8,100

The Bills rank 9th against fantasy WRs and they are playing in Buffalo coming off a bye week. We are not yet sure if Jameis Winston can play, which means Ryan Fitzpatrick will return to the starting lineup. The Bills secondary is far superior to that of the Cardinals, whom FitzMagic roasted for over 20 FF points in a relief effort last weekend. The tough matchup in a hostile environment with a hobbled or backup quarterback is a recipe for a wasted budget. 

 

Stack

QB, Tyrod Taylor – DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $7,000

WR, Zay Jones – DraftKings $3,600 / FanDuel $4,500

 

 

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 7 -

 

ØC (3-3 | 694.14 pts) vs. d-Rx® (3-3 | 643.08 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 7 

 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 6 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 6 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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