Week 11
November 20, 2017
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Kansas City Chiefs

We're Not in Kansas Anymore


There are steady 20-plus MPH winds w/35 MPH gusts in New York and that will prevent the deep ball from being a major factor in the Giants game vs KC.

Look for Alex Smith revert to the dink and dunk game which defined his career before this year’s break-out campaign. I really don’t think it hurts anyone’s value though. The Giants problems stem from poor talking and Hill can take a screen pass for 80 yards at any time. The Giants are so poor against the TE that Kelce should still be heavily used in DFS. We should also see a nice bump in Hunt’s usage across the board.


11/19/17, 11:07 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Sterling Shepard

New York Giants

Migraines Sideline Shepard


The Giants may be without WR Sterling Shepard, a late addition to their injury report, due to migraines, source says. They’ll check him out closer to kickoff to be sure.
Update: Sterling Shepard (migraines) is inactive for Week 11 against the Chiefs.

This would have been an awesome match-up for Shepard, and he was looking at plenty of targets, but I don’t mess with migraines. I’m pivoting to other players, and none of them are Giants.


11/19/17, 11:04 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Rookie Wall?


Fournette came off of essentially 20 days of resting and rehabbing the injured ankle suffered in the fourth quarter of Jacksonville’s October 15th loss to the Rams, when he suited up last week against the L.A. Chargers. Last week, he carried 17 times for 33 yards. According to Florida Football Insiders, Leonard Fournette's ankle is "still not right," and he could be limited if he plays this week against the Browns.

I’ve heard a few people recognize that Cleveland’s run defense has been underrated this year. They started out pretty strong, but they have been fading lately, especially when it comes to the pass-catching backs over the past five games. Yeldon or Ivory could be that sneaky flex you’re looking for.

Update: Fournette is active, Ivory battling illness.


11/18/17, 11:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.floridafootballinsiders.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ground and Pound


According to Forecast.io, it's expected to be 39° F and with a 18% chance of snow and 20 MPH wind in Cleveland at 1:00 PM ET.

This is something to watch Sunday morning, especially if you were high on the Jacksonville passing game facing Cleveland this weekend. The snow doesn’t matter, but the wind could eliminate any deep balls. If you’re looking for a Dede or K. Cole explosion, like I have been, I think we’re going to have to wait at least one more week. Marquis Lee should be fine, he’ll still get his targets. The running game should benefit, but Fournette is questionable with an ankle.


11/18/17, 11:02 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotowire.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

Ajayi Slated for More Work in Week 11


Coaches have come out and said there is a concentrated effort to increase Ajayi's workload.

Fantasy Goo: Certainly Corey Clement impressed in their last game, Week 9 against Denver. However, he won't sustain the pace of 3TDs on just 13 touches. I do like both players in GPP, I would certainly save Clement for the larger tournaments where you take on more risk in order to differentiate yourself from the field. Still, Ajayi has had a bye week and a game to get familiar with his new digs. Each game from now on, should highlight his comfort and growth in the system.


11/18/17, 03:02 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.philly.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Tevin Coleman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com

Buffalo Bills

Bills Getting Gashed


In the last 3 weeks, the Buffalo Bills have given up 8 TDS. There is not a team in the league that has given up more than 8 rushing TDS ALL SEASON!

Fantasy Goo: There is trepidation about Gordon this week. Ekeler made a bit of a name for himself last week as Gordon owners experienced fits or rage and madness last week. I still like Gordon even in cash this week. Still whichever back you prefer, they should have a field day.


11/18/17, 12:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Jamaal Williams

Green Bay Packers

Next Man Up


As expected, Ty Montgomery officially ruled OUT for Sunday against the Ravens. Jamaal Williams should start at running back.

Williams is not Montgomery or Jones, I would not recommend starting him if you can prevent it. It will probably take a positive game script for him to be heavily use, don’t be surprised if we see Cobb being used in the backfield, especially in third-and-long situations.


11/17/17, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alshon Jeffery

Philadelphia Eagles

Open Door for Agholor


Eagles coach Doug Pederson says that Alshon Jeffery's ankle injury has been lingering for a while, but he is "optimistic" he'll play against the Cowboys Sunday night. He will be listed as questionable.

I’m looking at Nelson Agholor having a nice opportunity to put up some points with Dallas being the 24th ranked defense against opposing WR’s. Ertz coming off of the injury report is an obvious play, he’s a must start whenever he’s on the field.

It seems as though Jeffery plays through injuries every year, but he’s not very effective when he does. His injuries tend to linger and former performance enhancer users tend to get hurt more often.


11/17/17, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kareem Hunt

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Charcandrick West

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Sterling Shepard

New York Giants

Sterling Shepard's Time to Shine


The Giants are going to need to put the ball in the air against KC. Keep an eye on the winds in this one. If it is north of 15mph, I will lessen my DFS shares.

Fantasy Goo: If the winds are not bad, Shep could get some looks as he should dominate KC's Steven Nelson. There are 84 starting cornerbacks in the NFL for Week #11. Nelson comes in at #80 according to PFF


11/17/17, 06:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.nflweather.com


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Rob Gronkowski

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Mike Evans

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:43 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:42 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Melvin Gordon

Los Angeles Chargers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/15/17, 11:23 PM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Latavius Murray

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


LATAVIUS MURRAY – RB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 34% OF CBS LEAGUES

He is still getting a lot of touches, and this week had 17 carries for 68 yards with a touchdown. Getting the redzone carries makes him a worthy add in deeper leagues.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Garrett Celek

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


GARRETT CELEK – TE – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAGUES

With George Kittle out of the game, Celek had four catches for 67 yards with a 47-yard touchdown. He is viable as long as Kittle is out.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Jamison Crowder

Washington Redskins

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


JAMISON CROWDER – WR – REDSKINS – AVAILABLE IN 61% OF CBS LEAGUES

Crowder came back to action and had four receptions for 76 yards and one run for five yards. He is finally starting to make an impact when healthy.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Matt Breida

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


MATT BREIDA – RB – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAUGES

Breida had himself a nice game this week, carrying the ball nine times for 55 yards with a touchdown and had one catch for three yards. The 49ers are looking to the future, and Breida will get more looks going forward.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


CASE KEENUM – QB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 73% OF CBS LEAGUES

Looking for a quarterback? Well, how about Keenum? He has the job and the weapons and is doing well. This week he completed 21 of 29 passes for 304 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions. This is a first place team and they need him the rest of the way.


11/14/17, 07:39 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 7

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 7 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 10/22/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 7 DFS

 


Pillar: RB, LeSean McCoy – FanDuel  7,900 / DraftKings $7,400

LeSean McCoy is coming off a bye week and looking to establish himself and also trying to find the endzone for the first time this season, he says this is his longest scoreless streak ever, so he has to be hungry to eat that invisible cereal that Zeke seems to dominate. One way the Bills can get Shady back on track is by running him from the shotgun more. Last season Buffalo run shotgun on 81% of plays, 74% of their runs came from shotgun. In 2017, Buffalo averaging just 44% plays from shotgun and just 25% of their runs have come from shotgun. They are averaging 5.18 yards per rush in shotgun and 2.76 from under center this season. This could be something that was worked on during the bye week and would show a lot of new wrinkles for this team this season. McCoy is one of the best shotgun runners in league history, and needs to be deployed as such. The Bucs are a middle of the road run defense, but they were just torched by Adrian Peterson last week, let’s see if another running back can get back on track against them on Sunday.

 

Sleepers – Adam Thielen – FanDuel - $6,900 / DraftKings - $6,700 

Going back to the well here with Adam Thielen. He is still just underpriced for the production he is giving you despite a ceiling that has yet to be reached. Even if Diggs is in the lineup, Thielen still has a massive upgrade in terms of the coverage he is facing as Baltimore is giving up points to slot receivers while presenting stout coverage to guys on the boundary. Thielen provides a five catch floor and can be a cash game play, but is also usable in GPPs for an upside we have yet to see this season by scoring a touchdown. Two of the three touchdowns allowed by the Ravens to wide receivers this season have come by players who primarily play in the slot in Allen Hurns and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Thielen is in consideration for me no matter the format this week.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw – Marlon Mack – FanDuel - $5,300 / DraftKings - $4,100

So I got tired of writing up Martavis Bryant so that means he will probably go off. Mack is the pick this week, and there is some more clarity to his role after the Colts lost Robert Turbin to a season-ending injury. As the infamous Chuck Pagano said, it is now the Frank and Mack show, he actually said a bunch of weird shit on the topic that makes for a hilarious read but that is neither here nor there. Mack Gained 22 yards on his first carry, but then only say 1 more resulting in a four-yard loss.  So why the gamble on Mack? Well we have seen his explosiveness in small spurts, and without Turbin, a guy who was playing 38% of the running back snaps, he should now start to assert himself in an offense that has to be based on the ground game with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback. The Jaguars are allowing over 17 fantasy points to opposing running backs just on rushing alone, and that is Mack’s game as he has yet to establish himself as an established receiver. Mack has been tremendous breaking off chunk plays, and the Jags have been allowing them repeatedly.

 

Fade: RB, Melvin Gordon – FanDuel - $7,700 / Draftkings - $7,000

Melvin Gordon is coming off two weeks in which he has dominated fantasy scoring by scoring five total touchdowns. Gordon also scored a receiving touchdown against the Broncos in Week 1 and his receiving ability gives him a nice floor in season-long  leagues. The crux of the issue is his 5 receiving touchdowns seem unsustainable and he has never scored a rushing touchdown against the Broncos in his career. Gordon does average nearly 100 scrimmage yards in his career against the Broncos but GPP winning upside is lacking for me this week. Outside of an Orleans Darkwa surprise last week, the previous high rushing by a running back against the Broncos was just 54 yards, by Melvin himself in Week 1 and it took him 18 carries.

 

 

 

ØC's Week 7 DFS

 

 

Pillar: RB, Ezekiel Elliot – DraftKings $9,000 / FanDuel $8,700

Elliot has been given a third life after a temporary restraining order was issued this week so he could play against the 49ers. Well, try to restrain yourself from adding Zeke to every fantasy lineup you have. San Francisco is dead last in defending fantasy running backs and in PPR formats, Elliot has proven even more viable with 21 targets since Week 1. He averages 18.7 FF points per game and Dallas is coming off their bye Week after another tough defeat to the Packers. Elliot will be in prime form to dominate your tournament.

 

Sleeper: WR, Cooper Kupp – DaftKings $4,600 / FanDuel $4,400

The entire Rams passing offense has been on a slide as of late, but the Cardinals just allowed Ryan Fitzpatrick of all people to nearly put up 22.6 FF points and nearly 300 yards passing. I see a bounce back game for Goff and the receiving corps, but both Robert Woods and Sammy Watkins will be covered by the likes of Patrick Peterson and the Honey Badger. This leaves Kupp in the slot to dink and dunk his way down the field and into the end zone. I expect at least seven receptions for 100 yards and possibly a score this week.

 

Dart Throw: QB, Tyrod Taylor – DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $7,000

Tyrod and the well-rested Bills offense get a home game against the worst defense in the NFL vs fantasy quarterbacks. Taylor also has 32 rushing attempts on the season for added bonus points to your lineup for a fraction of the price. You should always look for the cheapest option with the best match-up first and see if you like the rest of your lineup around it. In this case, Tyrod is a beautiful head to my monster lineup.

 

Fade: WR, Mike Evans - DraftKings $7,600 / FanDuel $8,100

The Bills rank 9th against fantasy WRs and they are playing in Buffalo coming off a bye week. We are not yet sure if Jameis Winston can play, which means Ryan Fitzpatrick will return to the starting lineup. The Bills secondary is far superior to that of the Cardinals, whom FitzMagic roasted for over 20 FF points in a relief effort last weekend. The tough matchup in a hostile environment with a hobbled or backup quarterback is a recipe for a wasted budget. 

 

Stack

QB, Tyrod Taylor – DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $7,000

WR, Zay Jones – DraftKings $3,600 / FanDuel $4,500

 

 

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 7 -

 

ØC (3-3 | 694.14 pts) vs. d-Rx® (3-3 | 643.08 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 7 

 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 6 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 6 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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