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April 21, 2018
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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck


Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.


04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek


Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.


04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush


49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.


04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.sacbee.com


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving


Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.


04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons


Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)


04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch


Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.


04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.denverpost.com


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy


Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.


04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged


Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.


04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls


Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.


04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.newyorkjets.com


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson


Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.


03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack


Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.


03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That


Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.


03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case


Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.


03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount


The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.


03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel


Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.


03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat


Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.


03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun


The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.


03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again


The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.


03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track


DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”


03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All


Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.


03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 8

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 8 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 10/29/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 8 DFS

 

 

Pillar: WR, A.J. Green – FanDuel - $8,500 / DraftKings - $8,600

A.J. Green is a lineup lock for me. Coming off a game where he had just three catches for 41 yards Green and Dalton are motivated to get back on track. Coming off games with less than 50 or less receiving yards in the last two plus years Green has averaged 7.5 receptions on 11.33 targets for 106.33 yards and .83 touchdowns. The Colts have allowed the fifth most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers on the season and don’t have a player who can match up with Green on the outside, and their best range safety Malik Hooker is now out of the lineup. A.J. is one of the top five wide receivers in yards per route run and moves around the formation enough that he should get a ton of great coverage. The Colts have allowed three different receivers over 100 yards and have allowed 4 touchdowns to wide receivers. Look for Green to establish himself against this Colts secondary and be the pillar of your lineups.

 

Sleepers: WR, Chris Hogan – FanDuel - $7,400 / DraftKings - $6,500

Chris Hogan is coming off two underwhelming games, totaling 5 catches for 90 yards on ten targets. This week, the Chargers matchup well with the Patriots pass catchers. Casey Heyward should be on Brandon Cooks but second year standout Trevor Williams is likely to cover Hogan for most of the game. Hogan has been playing half his routes in the slot, allowing him to move around the field and get in favorable spots. The former Lacrosse star is a touchdown waiting to happen, and with Gronk also in a tough spot, he could benefit. The Chargers have allowed the third most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season and Hogan is a redzone magnet right now.  

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: Joe Mixon– FanDuel - $5,900 / DraftKings - $4,700

Joe Mixon is in a great spot this week, much like the rest of the Bengals as the Colts are allowing more fantasy points across the board than anyone. The Colts have allowed the most rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs this season. They have also allowed 414 rush yards to running backs over just the last three weeks and 613 over the last five. Mixon had his best game efficiency wise last week rushing for 48 yards on 7 carries, but did not get a carry in the second half and was vocal about it this week. Look for the Bengals to try and establish Mixon and A.J Green early. For his price, I don’t think there is anyone else with Mixon’s upside this week.  

 

I’d Avoid – Tyreek Hill – FanDuel - $7,600 / Draftkings - $6,200

Tyreek Hill is going up against the tough Denver Broncos secondary. No matter where Hill lines up this week he will face a tough corner matchup with Roby, Talib, and Harris patrolling the field. With a lot of attention expected to be on Hill I will not be rostering him this week. In two games against the Broncos last season, Hill was targets 15 times hauling in 9 passes for 52 yards and a touchdown. But all that production came in just one game in Week 11 and he was shut out on five targets in Week 16. Tyreek is a game breaker, but I would expect this game to run through Hunt and Kelce in the pass game.  

 


ØC's Week 8 DFS

 

Pillar: RB, LeSean McCoy – DraftKings $8,700 / FanDuel $8,400

McCoy is coming off the best performance of his season, which included not one but two rushing touchdowns; the first time he’s tasted the end zone. LeSean also averages just over five receptions and 24.8 total touches per game. If you know anything about how I choose my players, the main statistic to look at is opportunity. This offense revolves around McCoy and will continue to do so at home against an Oakland defense ranked 24 against fantasy running backs.

 

Sleeper: RB, LeGarrette Blount – DraftKings $5,100 / FanDuel $6,100

LeGarrette Blount is the starting running back for the hottest team in the league but he’s in a semi-slump, totaling 19 FF points over the last three weeks. This is a recipe for a cheap option with tremendous upside. The Eagles face the winless 49ers at home, and San Francisco boasts the worst rushing defense in the league. Zeke Elliot just went to town for over 40 FF points in Week 7, and while you shouldn’t expect a similar output, the 20 FF point range is very much in reach for such a cheap option.

 

Dart Throw: RB, Jalen Richard – DraftKings $4,300 / FanDuel $5,300

After Marshawn Lynch was ejected from the Thursday Night football match-up in Oakland, Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington assumed a shared role in the Raiders backfield. Washington has 10 touches for 40 yards and touchdown while Richard totaled 13 touches for 76 yards. Washington is the goal line back but proved he won’t be getting many receptions out of the backfield. Buffalo has a top 10 defense against the rush which should mean more passing and check downs to the running backs. Richard is the playmaker who can handle this type of game flow.

 

Fade: RB, Melvin Gordon – DraftKings $8,100 / FanDuel $7,900

We all know that Bill Belichick and the Patriots love to take away one playmaker on their opponent and force them into a one dimensional game plan. Gordon has a very inconsistent fantasy acumen, posting 36 FF points one game and 5.7 points the next. I believe the Pats will try to force Rivers into throwing the ball which can always lead to two or more interceptions, especially since the Chargers should be playing catch up. Gordon could collect a short yardage touchdown, but it wont be worth the $8k price tag.

 

Stack

RB, LeGarrette Blount – DraftKings $5,100 – FanDuel $6,100

WR, Nelson Agholor – DraftKings $5,400 – DraftKings $6,000

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 8 -

 

ØC (4-3 | 822.66 pts) vs. d-Rx® (3-4 | 724.7 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 8 

 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 7 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 7 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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