Week 11
November 20, 2017
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Kansas City Chiefs

We're Not in Kansas Anymore


There are steady 20-plus MPH winds w/35 MPH gusts in New York and that will prevent the deep ball from being a major factor in the Giants game vs KC.

Look for Alex Smith revert to the dink and dunk game which defined his career before this year’s break-out campaign. I really don’t think it hurts anyone’s value though. The Giants problems stem from poor talking and Hill can take a screen pass for 80 yards at any time. The Giants are so poor against the TE that Kelce should still be heavily used in DFS. We should also see a nice bump in Hunt’s usage across the board.


11/19/17, 11:07 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Sterling Shepard

New York Giants

Migraines Sideline Shepard


The Giants may be without WR Sterling Shepard, a late addition to their injury report, due to migraines, source says. They’ll check him out closer to kickoff to be sure.
Update: Sterling Shepard (migraines) is inactive for Week 11 against the Chiefs.

This would have been an awesome match-up for Shepard, and he was looking at plenty of targets, but I don’t mess with migraines. I’m pivoting to other players, and none of them are Giants.


11/19/17, 11:04 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Rookie Wall?


Fournette came off of essentially 20 days of resting and rehabbing the injured ankle suffered in the fourth quarter of Jacksonville’s October 15th loss to the Rams, when he suited up last week against the L.A. Chargers. Last week, he carried 17 times for 33 yards. According to Florida Football Insiders, Leonard Fournette's ankle is "still not right," and he could be limited if he plays this week against the Browns.

I’ve heard a few people recognize that Cleveland’s run defense has been underrated this year. They started out pretty strong, but they have been fading lately, especially when it comes to the pass-catching backs over the past five games. Yeldon or Ivory could be that sneaky flex you’re looking for.

Update: Fournette is active, Ivory battling illness.


11/18/17, 11:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.floridafootballinsiders.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ground and Pound


According to Forecast.io, it's expected to be 39° F and with a 18% chance of snow and 20 MPH wind in Cleveland at 1:00 PM ET.

This is something to watch Sunday morning, especially if you were high on the Jacksonville passing game facing Cleveland this weekend. The snow doesn’t matter, but the wind could eliminate any deep balls. If you’re looking for a Dede or K. Cole explosion, like I have been, I think we’re going to have to wait at least one more week. Marquis Lee should be fine, he’ll still get his targets. The running game should benefit, but Fournette is questionable with an ankle.


11/18/17, 11:02 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotowire.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

Ajayi Slated for More Work in Week 11


Coaches have come out and said there is a concentrated effort to increase Ajayi's workload.

Fantasy Goo: Certainly Corey Clement impressed in their last game, Week 9 against Denver. However, he won't sustain the pace of 3TDs on just 13 touches. I do like both players in GPP, I would certainly save Clement for the larger tournaments where you take on more risk in order to differentiate yourself from the field. Still, Ajayi has had a bye week and a game to get familiar with his new digs. Each game from now on, should highlight his comfort and growth in the system.


11/18/17, 03:02 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.philly.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Tevin Coleman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com

Buffalo Bills

Bills Getting Gashed


In the last 3 weeks, the Buffalo Bills have given up 8 TDS. There is not a team in the league that has given up more than 8 rushing TDS ALL SEASON!

Fantasy Goo: There is trepidation about Gordon this week. Ekeler made a bit of a name for himself last week as Gordon owners experienced fits or rage and madness last week. I still like Gordon even in cash this week. Still whichever back you prefer, they should have a field day.


11/18/17, 12:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Jamaal Williams

Green Bay Packers

Next Man Up


As expected, Ty Montgomery officially ruled OUT for Sunday against the Ravens. Jamaal Williams should start at running back.

Williams is not Montgomery or Jones, I would not recommend starting him if you can prevent it. It will probably take a positive game script for him to be heavily use, don’t be surprised if we see Cobb being used in the backfield, especially in third-and-long situations.


11/17/17, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alshon Jeffery

Philadelphia Eagles

Open Door for Agholor


Eagles coach Doug Pederson says that Alshon Jeffery's ankle injury has been lingering for a while, but he is "optimistic" he'll play against the Cowboys Sunday night. He will be listed as questionable.

I’m looking at Nelson Agholor having a nice opportunity to put up some points with Dallas being the 24th ranked defense against opposing WR’s. Ertz coming off of the injury report is an obvious play, he’s a must start whenever he’s on the field.

It seems as though Jeffery plays through injuries every year, but he’s not very effective when he does. His injuries tend to linger and former performance enhancer users tend to get hurt more often.


11/17/17, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kareem Hunt

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Charcandrick West

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Sterling Shepard

New York Giants

Sterling Shepard's Time to Shine


The Giants are going to need to put the ball in the air against KC. Keep an eye on the winds in this one. If it is north of 15mph, I will lessen my DFS shares.

Fantasy Goo: If the winds are not bad, Shep could get some looks as he should dominate KC's Steven Nelson. There are 84 starting cornerbacks in the NFL for Week #11. Nelson comes in at #80 according to PFF


11/17/17, 06:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.nflweather.com


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Rob Gronkowski

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Mike Evans

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:43 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:42 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Melvin Gordon

Los Angeles Chargers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/15/17, 11:23 PM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Latavius Murray

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


LATAVIUS MURRAY – RB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 34% OF CBS LEAGUES

He is still getting a lot of touches, and this week had 17 carries for 68 yards with a touchdown. Getting the redzone carries makes him a worthy add in deeper leagues.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Garrett Celek

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


GARRETT CELEK – TE – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAGUES

With George Kittle out of the game, Celek had four catches for 67 yards with a 47-yard touchdown. He is viable as long as Kittle is out.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Jamison Crowder

Washington Redskins

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


JAMISON CROWDER – WR – REDSKINS – AVAILABLE IN 61% OF CBS LEAGUES

Crowder came back to action and had four receptions for 76 yards and one run for five yards. He is finally starting to make an impact when healthy.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Matt Breida

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


MATT BREIDA – RB – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAUGES

Breida had himself a nice game this week, carrying the ball nine times for 55 yards with a touchdown and had one catch for three yards. The 49ers are looking to the future, and Breida will get more looks going forward.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


CASE KEENUM – QB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 73% OF CBS LEAGUES

Looking for a quarterback? Well, how about Keenum? He has the job and the weapons and is doing well. This week he completed 21 of 29 passes for 304 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions. This is a first place team and they need him the rest of the way.


11/14/17, 07:39 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com

DFS Advice for FanDuel and DraftKings for the 2017 in Week 9

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 9 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 11/05/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 9 DFS 

 

 

Pillar: RB, Ezekiel Elliott– FanDuel - $8,900 – DraftKings - $9,000

Well, well, well, we meet again. After thinking all week that Zeke was suspended, people are now rushing to make him a part of their lineups. Zeke is in the middle of a hot streak with three straight 100 yards games and averaging an awesome 33.1 fantasy points over the last two weeks. Zeke gets a Chiefs defense allowing 108 rushing yards to opposing running backs a game and that has allowed seven touchdowns to the position on the season. Over the last three weeks however, the Kansas City Chiefs have been gashed by the run, allowing 426 yards on 84 carries with three touchdowns and five receptions a game to the position. Zeke is going to continue to get road until we get word on his suspension, because if this is the last one he will have a six-week bye.

 

Sleepers: RB, Adrian Peterson – FanDuel - $6,800 / DraftKings - $5,600

Adrian Peterson is in a prime spot this weekend against the San Francisco 49ers. Over the last three weeks, the San Francisco 49ers have allowed 638 total yards and five touchdowns to opposing running backs. All day gets to face a defense that is reeling, right now and with Drew Stanton at quarterback we know they shouldn’t try to air it out. Over the last five weeks, the 49ers have allowed 1,013 total yards and six total touchdowns to opposing running backs, need I say more? Well I will, because that is what I do. In PPR scoring 11 different running backs have gone for double-digit fantasy points against the 49ers this season. Over the last two season the 49ers are allowing 28.5 carries for 129 yards and 1.125 touchdowns to opposing running backs on the ground and through the air is 5 receptions for 50 yards and .35 receiving touchdowns. All the Cardinals have at this point or not, I am firing up Peterson this weekend.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: TE, Jimmy Graham – FanDuel - $6,200 / DraftKings - $5,000

Jimmy Graham is coming off one of his best games with the Seattle Seahawks hauling in two touchdowns against the Houston Texans. This week he gets the Washington Redskins who are shutting teams wide receivers down this season, allowing the sixth fewest fantasy points in PPR scoring. The Redskins are allowing the fourth most points to opposing tight ends, and have allowed the most reception yards to them, despite 20 receptions less than the worst team there. Five different tight ends have topped 12.5 fantasy points against the Redskins in just seven games this season. Currently leading the league in targets within the ten this season, Graham also has a good touchdown expectation.

 

Fade: WR, Will Fuller – FanDuel - $7,800 / DraftKings - $7,800

Without Deshaun Watson, I don’t know how to value Fuller. The downgrade to Savage at this point is monumental. Savage has not thrown a touchdown pass in 105 attempts in his career, and Watson was throwing one every 10.74 attempts. Without a touchdown projection, Fuller looks pressed to have a tough time despite the butter matchup. It is just too risky now to touch Fuller, despite being in a smash spot.

 

  

ØC's Week 9 DFS

 

 

Pillar: WR, Tyreek Hill – DraftKings $6,700 / FanDuel $7,700

Check out these home/away game fantasy point totals for Tyreek Hill:

 

 

The Chiefs Week 9 matchup is on the road against a Cowboy secondary allowing the 26th most FF points to receivers. Enough said.

 

 

Sleeper: RB, Alvin Kamara – DraftKings $6,300 / FanDuel $6,600

Alvin Kamara has five straight fantasy performances of over 12 FF points, including a 10 reception outburst in Week 6. With Adrian Peterson out of the picture, Kamara is the clear RB1a to Mark Ingram, who fumbled twice last week and seems to be in the dog house. Alvin and the Saints will face a putrid Buccaneers defense at the Super Dome. Kamara is a clear RB2 back in PPR formats and could easily explode if Ingram continues to fumble.

 

 

Dart Throw: RB, Damien Williams – DraftKings $3,700 / FanDuel $4,500

The trade of Jay Ajayi to the Philadelphia Eagles left a major gap for waiver wire addicts to decipher who could take over a prominent role in the Dolphins rushing attack. As daily fantasy is always PPR, ill go with the back with more opportunity to collect receptions out of the backfield. Kenyan Drake may get the starting job, but since 2016, Williams has out touched Drake in receiving 31 to 12. Put me down for this low risk (and cheap) dart throw in a struggling offense with a back up QB.

 

 

Fade: WR, DeAndre Hopkins – DraftKings $9,100 / FanDuel $9,100

Hopkins is definitely worth this price with DeShaun Watson as his quarterback. But the injury gods decided they needed a sacrifice, and all Texan player owners cried out in misery. With Tom Savage passing the ball, each receiver is downgraded a level (WR1 à WR2). Savage totaled only 62 passing yards and two fumbles in Week 1 before getting the hook. Wide receiver is only as good as the QB allows him to be, and this is going to be a nightmare for Hopkins (and Fuller owners).

 

Stack

QB, Drew Brees – DraftKings $7,000 – FanDuel $8,400

RB, Alvin Kamara – DraftKings $6,300 – FanDuel $6,600

 

 

d-Rx's Week 9 DFS

 

 

Pillar: QB, Russell Wilson - FanDuel $8,500 / DraftKings $7,300

Russell is hitting his mid-season destruction of any defense stride like always and the Redskins are middle of the road. Russell was the best QB last week against a better defense in the Texans, so I like him again this week to put up some serious points!

 

Sleeper: WR, Corey Davis - FanDuel $5,500   / DraftKings  $4,400

He's been healthy for weeks and ready to show why he was drafted with the 5th overall pick in April. In week 1 he had 10 targets and has been injured since. I'm rolling the dice on him even though the Ravens are a solid defense against WRs on the season.


Dart Throw: TE, A.J. Derby - FanDuel $4,500   / DraftKings $

This call is inspired from our Pyro Podcast the other night where Staggs pointed out how Broke Asswiper loves to feed the tight end. A.J. has been having some solid games lately, so he's a great add at the cost he comes at. 


Fade: RB, Joe Mixon - FanDuel $6,300 / DraftKings $5,100

I've been sort of crappy at calling my fades, so take this with a grain of salt.


Stack

Russell Wilson - FanDuel $8,500 / DraftKings $7,300

Doug Baldwin - FanDuel $7,900 / DraftKings $6,900

 

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 9 -

 

ØC (4-4 | 925.68 pts) vs. d-Rx® (4-4 | 853.88 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 9 

 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 8 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 8 weeks 

 

 


 Stagg Party's Ideal Week 9 Lineup

 

Stagg's Week 9 Lineup


 

  

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