April 21, 2018


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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck

Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.

04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek

Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.

04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush

49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.

04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving

Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.

04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons

Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)

04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch

Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.

04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy

Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.

04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged

Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.

04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls

Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.

04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson

Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.

03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack

Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.

03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That

Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.

03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case

Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.

03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount

The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.

03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler


Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Year end top positional weeks (TPW) for the 2016 season - Evans,

Top Positional Weeks - Full 2016 Season

Posted by d-Rx on 01/17/17

by   The Archer


More Articals


Top Positional Weeks - Quarterbacks

Full 2016 Season

Top Positional Weeks QBs - Season End 2016

(View Larger Chart)


QB Bullets

The Big Boom Theory:

11 QBs played in at least 75% of their team’s games and registered QB1 performances in at least half of them. Only three of those QBs averaged a weekly Top 5 performance during those QB1 weeks.  Tom Brady averaged a Top 5 performance in his 8 QB1 games, Aaron Rodgers averaged a Top 4 performance in his 12 QB1 games, and Drew Brees averaged a (crazy) Top 3 performance in his 10 QB1 games.

Spur of the Moment:

Six QBs managed to not only play in all 16 games for their team this season, but they managed to do so by performing at a QB1 level for at least half of them. One QB just happened to have accomplished this in his only NFL season. Dak Prescott legitimately turned heads this year after registering 10 QB1 weeks in his very first 16 games; four of which he made possible by scoring both through the air and on the ground.

12's Dozen:

Coming in late, off a four-week vacation, Tom Brady gauged what needed to be done to catch up to speed and still be considered for MVP honors. His plan was to release some pent-up overpressure and toss 12 TDs against AFC peons Cleveland, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, and Buffalo--all while averaging Top 5 QB numbers during those weeks. Tom's just gonna Brady.

Like Like It:

Riding on coattails of his 2015 season, Kirk Cousins proved to (probably) everyone that last year wasn't a fluke and recorded 56% of his games as QB1 performances. Kirk will get paid this offseason, and he will likely continue to do what he does best; everything we don't expect him to.

Sack it up:

Even after another unremarkable season by the Colts, statistically speaking, it's hard to truly appreciate how good Andrew Luck performed. In his 15 games started, Luck posted Top 12 numbers 73% of the time; 3rd best among all QBs this season. In these 11 games, Luck benefited the most by keeping his TD numbers above the number of occasions where he was sacked, 28-to-23.

QB Nullets

High Floor, Low Ceiling:

14 QBs played in all 16 games for their team this season. While each of those 14 registered QB1 weeks, four QBs could not do it more than 25% of the time. Joe Flacco and Eli Manning recorded only four QB1 weeks from their 16 games, while Carson Wentz and Philip Rivers recorded only three across theirs.

Super Brown:

Have you ever read those articles where they take the best traits out of several different players and create one super player with them? Well, if you combined all four of the 2016 Browns QBs, the manufactured result is still a Browns QB. The thing about this QB, though, is that he would have had four QB1 performances! Sadly, this was an attempt to make the Browns appear favorable, but it just can't be done.

Fitzcious Cycle:

One year removed from seven QB1 weeks in 2015, Ryan Fitzpatrick was firm on his new season rate of $1-million per touchdown per game; completing only twelve TDs in twelve games this season and earning a Top 12 performance only once. Interesting fact: Ryan Fitzpatrick went to Harvard.





Top Positional Weeks - Running Backs

Full 2016 Season

Top Positional Weeks RBs - 2016 Season End

(View Larger Chart)





RB Bullets


Hit 'Em Low, Hit 'Em High:

Six RBs played in at least 75% of their team's games and registered RB1 performances in at least half of them. Only three of those six RBs were not only able to post Top 12 numbers at RB in a week, but they were also able to post Top 12 numbers at WR during that same week. DeMarco Murray did it in Week 1, Ezekiel Elliott in Week 10, and David Johnson in Week 13. Showing off even further, David Johnson averaged over five receptions in the 12 weeks that he posted RB1 numbers; second only to Le'Veon Bell's average of six-plus receptions in the nine weeks that he posted RB1 numbers.


Success Token:

After serving a three-game suspension, Le'Veon Bell blazed defenses in nine of his 12 games; grinding his way to 75% RB1 weeks. To maintain such success, Bell managed an average of 175 all-purpose yards and a touchdown in those nine games. Looking forward to next year, it's difficult to know if Bell can maintain playing that high. To be blunt, though, it's a good chance he will.


The Numbers Won't Lie:

Although he managed only four RB1 weeks in 14 games, Jay Ajayi proved to the rest of the NFL that if you rush for more than 200 yards in a game, you're guaranteed a Top 12 performance that week. Ajayi did it three (read: THREE!) times, and the Dolphins only started handing him the ball five weeks into the season. Is it sustainable? Absolutely not, but isn't that what we all said after he did it the first time?


Effective, But:

While Latavius Murray played 14 games, it should be noted that he played less than 55% of the Raiders offensive snaps. Although Murray's snaps were limited, he still managed to post six RB1 performances by averaging 97.8 all-purpose yards and 1.6 touchdowns in those weeks. As the workhorse RB era in the NFL continues to fade out, the Raiders are likely to continue working DeAndre Washington and Jalen Richard into their gameplan, leaving us with nothing better to do than watch snap shares.


Bear Trap:

When you learn that a running back ran for 1611 all-purpose yards in 15 games this year, you naturally anticipate seeing that he finished Top 12 among RBs for the majority of those weeks. For Jordan Howard, that wasn't the case. Touchdowns were tough to come by for Howard. He logged only 8 on the year, and 3 of those occurred in the same week. If the Bears can become more efficient moving the football, and Howard remains effective at the goal line, it's safe to assume that RB1 weeks will become a norm for the soon-to-be sophomore RB.




RB Nullets


Sharing, Not Caring:

After registering RB1 weeks in an impressive eleven out of fifteen games (73%) in 2015, Devonta Freeman managed similar performances in only 44% of the Falcons' sixteen games this year. While Freeman and stable companion Tevin Coleman were concurrently able to procure RB1 weeks twice this season (Weeks 3 & 5), it was Coleman who dominated the Falcons backfield in Weeks 2, 4, and 16. Coleman went from posting zero RB1 weeks in 2015 to five in 2016. For as long as these two engines share a one-car garage, relying on consistent RB1 weeks from either may result in persistent frustration.



Among the names at the top of the 2016 disappointment list sits Todd Gurley's. Sure, it's probably difficult carrying an entire NFL team on your back, but is it really so hard to average more than 3.2 yards per carry when you're handed the ball 278 times? 25% of Gurley's games translated into RB1 performances this season, but with weekly finishes of 10, 12, 9, and 12, is it anything to celebrate? To salt the wound even worse, Gurley had not even topped 3.8 yards per carry in his four best weeks. The lack of Jeff Fisher likely won't fix this, but what else is there to be hopeful about?


All Purple, No Gold:

After (seemingly) being handed the keys to a potential career year in Week 2 after a "season-ending" Adrian Peterson injury, Jerick McKinnon could not receive enough, nor make enough use out of his carries. While he made practical use as a situational receiver, the Vikings offensive line did nothing to make McKinnon's rush attempts easier. Adding injury to insult, Matt Asiata continued to own the Vikings goal line work. McKinnon's season was forgettable and two RB1 weeks is all that remains to show for it.




Top Positional Weeks - Wide Receivers

Full 2016 Season

Top Positional Weeks WRs -2016 Season End

(View Larger Chart)





WR Bullets


In The Champ's Corner:

When you have one of the greatest QBs to ever play the game throwing his players a football, the odds to have those players not have a Top 12 week is low. In 12 of 16 weeks this season, at least one Packers WR finished as a WR1. Some weeks, two Packers WRs finished as a WR1. Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb did it in Week 13, and Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams did it in Week 14. Since it's unlikely for an elite QB to settle for above average, he made sure to have at least three of his WRs to finish as a WR1 in the same week. Jordy Nelson, Davante Adams, and Geronimo Allison all finished as a Top 12 WR in Week 10.


Saints Go Marching Up:

Not only did New Orleans Saints WRs Michael Thomas and Brandin Cooks receive a generous number of targets from Drew Brees this season, but they both also managed to turn those targets into catches and translate those catches into yards and touchdowns. In his first NFL season, Thomas finished among the Top 12 WRs in four of his 15 games, while second-year WR Cooks attained the same feat in four of his 16. If Drew Brees continues to Grand Marshall the Saints' march, there will be no retreat for either WR next year.


Twelve Strikes, 300, The Perfect Game:

While WR1 weeks are anticipated by the cream of the crop, it's not every week when you get to truly appreciate how great some of these players are. In Week 4, Julio Jones caught 12 passes and ran scared with them for a total of 300 yards. Jones became the 6th WR to post 300 receiving yards since 1940. Week 4 was just one of Jones' six WR1 weeks across the 13 games that he played this season. In those six games, he averaged a weekly finish among the Top 5 WRs, his comfort zone.


Earning Your Keep:

After spending four years buried on the Dolphins depth chart, Rishard Matthews was treated kindly in Free Agency when he was given the opportunity to be spotlighted in an offense led by Marcus Mariota. After a battle with snaps and targets against rookie Tajae Sharpe and veteran Andre Johnson, Matthews stood victorious among his peers and earned the confidence of his coach and quarterback. In a career year, Matthews caught 65 passes for 945 yards and 9 touchdowns; a performance that included four WR1 weeks. Assuming Mariota recovers from his injury positively, the trend should continue, even if the Titans add a WR in the 2017 Draft.


Someone’s Gotta Do It:

In his third season, Mike Evans proved that all he needs is for someone to throw him a football.  This was not only his third season of exceeding 1,000 receiving yards, but it was also his second season of reaching 12 touchdowns. Evans converted 171 targets into 96 receptions this season and managed to post eight WR1 weeks in doing so. While the Buccaneers lack another reliable pass-catcher, Evans' volume will be appreciated and relied upon until they do.



WR Nullets


QB Proofed:

Coming off many draft boards in the 1st round last offseason and as one of the first five wide receivers picked, DeAndre Hopkins proved everyone wrong and verified that he is, in fact, not "QB-proof." It's obvious that a 4-year $72-million contract just isn't enough to have a QB deliver a football to his elite WR. Unless Brock Osweiler is going to get paid $19 to $21-million to hold a clipboard for the next three seasons, the future remains devastatingly bleak for Hopkins' fantasy value.


Collateral Damage:

Each just one year removed from leading the NFL in touchdowns with 14, Jets WR Brandon Marshall and Jaguars WR Allen Robinson finished this season with three and six touchdowns, respectively. It just so happened that their QBs performed much worse than they did the year prior. Many owners were burned by any one of these four players this year. There's still hope that QB Blake Bortles and Robinson can reignite the flame they had in years past. As for QB Ryan Fitzpatrick and Marshall, who knows where either of them will be playing next season? At least there's not much room for them to decline statistically.


It Wasn't Supposed To Be Like This:

In his "this time I mean it" final season, Steve Smith Sr. was going to play angry, catch a metric ton of footballs and score dozens of touchdowns. We anticipated a season worth cheering him on for. What we got from Smith Sr. this season was an average performance from a player who, at times, performed as if he were 37. The classic Smith Sr. never settled with average, nor did he ever play as his age would assume. Steve Smith Sr. was a spectacle to watch for 16 years, and with just two WR1 weeks in 14 games this season, it seems as it's over for good.




Top Positional Weeks - Tight Ends

Full 2016 Season

Top Positional Weeks TEs - End of 2016 NFL Season

(View Larger Chart)




TE Bullets



Defying the odds of being able to recover from a ruptured patellar tendon well enough to return to being a productive pass-catching NFL TE, Jimmy Graham should absolutely be the Comeback Player of the Year. Not only did Graham play every game this season, but he also managed to produce TE1 numbers in half of them. With an entire offseason to devote to strength and conditioning, as opposed to recovery, Graham should start next season right where he left off.


The Red-Zoned Reindeer:

After a slew of devastating injuries, as well as a late offseason QB acquisition, no one stepped up more for the Minnesota Vikings than Kyle Rudolph. After leading all TEs in targets with 132 as well as finishing 2nd among all players in red zone targets, Rudolph tied for the second highest percentage of TE1 games with 56%. At 27 years old, Rudolph seems to have established himself a permanent role with the Vikings and with that, his targets and touchdowns should sustain.


Frequent IR-er:

After an offseason ankle surgery and subsequent back injury caused him to miss the first eight weeks of the season, Tyler Eifert wasted no time doing what he does best, catching touchdowns on limited opportunities. Two assumptions that continue to surround Eifert in his four seasons is that he can't stay healthy and that he's touchdown dependent. While Eifert's done nothing to make anyone think otherwise, it's difficult to overlook how good he is when he is catching those touchdowns. In his eight games this season, Eifert manage to post TE1 numbers in five of them. Not surprisingly, he was scheduled for back surgery at the end of this season. And so, it goes...


TE Nullets


So Easy, Ifeanyi Can Do It:

Season after season, the TE player pool is one that many of us wish we could avoid. While the price of paying for one of the top TEs may not be worth the price or an optimal move, the struggle to find one later who will score your team points may not be either. Looking at Top Positional Weeks for Tight Ends, often times, a touchdown isn't even necessary for a player to finish as a TE1. At the same time, a touchdown by a TE will likely guarantee them a TE1 week. Frankly put, if a TE catches two receptions for 50 yards and finishes that week as a TE1 like Ifeanyi Momah did this year in Week 13, is there really anything to be excited about?





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