Week 11
November 13, 2018
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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Love this guy! So does Andrew Luck. https://t.co/LQUjE3KGoA


04:48 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @NickMartinezBR: Smh Booger https://t.co/FpwfEYLRzB


04:42 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @alltwentytwo: one thing going forward. the bills and the jets suck but if the league is trending to condensed formations, then we… https://t.co/qRyvzEBYXN


04:07 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @RyFo18: Booger saying Eli is not a HOFer he can stay on air for all-eternity now.


04:02 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@903124S @KevinRuprecht Yeah, but teams should use play action more anyways. Part of the point. Run more from shotg… https://t.co/e5oeYNuP5b


03:59 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @WorldWideWob: Markelle Fultz’s form is quickly becoming the Charles Barkley golf swing of basketball my lord https://t.co/zBVmeNMe8L


03:49 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @TJHernandez: Excluding the results from Monday Night, here's a look at how often teams passed in neutral game script (game withi… https://t.co/JXg05bKb0W


03:48 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @beerswater: Top 5 #MFL10 QB Win Rates through last night. Mahomes way out in front, but still below 20% (you'll see how that co… https://t.co/8zhAT1VgFw


03:41 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


@LeviAndrewFF Landry vs Adams?


03:11 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @BradKelly17: Ezekiel Elliott once had the 7th best 110m Hurdle time in the Country at 13.77s Others in the top 20 that year: 1… https://t.co/hqOuwT5hbi


03:06 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @pyroman1ac: Waiver Wire Pickups Week 11 (After Week 10 Games) by Houdini https://t.co/qM41BKQKW9 https://t.co/zqKh5Eanyz


02:59 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @PyroStag: I did not see Alvin Kamara scoring even more touchdowns than last season, even with an uptick in work. That was v… https://t.co/pqapnq2S46


02:57 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


We'll Make Great Pets. BBC News - UFOs spotted off Irish coast under investigation... https://t.co/LnQhJ9vVX9


12:53 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @LordReebs: Julio Jones cleared 1,000 yards yesterday, just the 11th time that a player has hit the 1,000-yard mark receiving t… https://t.co/oe0ei9frPD


12:47 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @PyroStag: There are currently 9 quarterbacks on pace for 320+ fantasy points this season in 4-point passing, -2 fumble and IN… https://t.co/4TfWcavA0p


12:25 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @DomiNateFF: Who did you bench on your #FantasyFootball teams in #Week10 that you regret? I’ll start…I played Fitzpatrick over… https://t.co/GZoHOiB8U7


10:54 AM, Nov 12, 2018

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RT @AdvSportsLogic: Before setting those line ups, check out out updated ranks. #FantasyFootball: Week 10 Updated Rankings QB:… https://t.co/oArauvIKdX


10:24 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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@amaze652


RT @FFD260: Ryan Fitzpatrick attempting to throw the lead block down. #Bucs #Redskins #NFL https://t.co/0Te1hbJEWJ


10:16 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


Two of us left in a $800 pot survivor pool and I'm about to lose to Matt Barkley. #FeelsBadMan


07:31 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@MikeMarFF and I'll follow that up with a Freeze on Michael Thomas. Good luck!


06:05 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@MikeMarFF I am using Magnetism on Michael Thomas this week. Your move.


04:59 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Chris Carson, althogh technically game time decision, he was unable to practice all week. a DNP on Friday is always… https://t.co/QMaq3ItP6n


04:45 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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@amaze652


RT @pyromaniacmo: Fantasy Football Narrative street - revenge games - Moncrief vs Colts & D Lewis vs. Pats. Also, Josh Gordon will fa… https://t.co/wsAtfXFglF


04:43 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


@PyroStag @73Davewhite @pyroman1ac Howard = safer floor as this will be another positive game script for him - he w… https://t.co/VfShIR1Tn2


04:43 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @PyroStag: Here is the Week 10 overlay of receptions to each position against what their opponent this week is allowing to run… https://t.co/xOPnnAPIIB


04:35 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Fantasy Football Narrative street - revenge games - Moncrief vs Colts & D Lewis vs. Pats. Also, Josh Gordon will fa… https://t.co/wsAtfXFglF


04:33 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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RT @Top2Sports: Need last minute #DFS help? #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFL -@FFJVAPHL has you covered for #DraftKings & #FanDuel… https://t.co/FDsg12zmWm


04:10 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @pyroman1ac: Use Vegas to get a #FantasyFootball advantage in #NFL Week 10... and make sure to check out the detailed write-up t… https://t.co/hbrLdfbkmP


10:00 PM, Nov 10, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@dtlerch The confusing part to those not truly immersed in hoodie culture is probably the fact that it's not a pullover.


02:52 PM, Nov 10, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@dtlerch Uh, that's obviously a hoodie.


02:50 PM, Nov 10, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


02:13 PM, Oct 06, 2018

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Brad holmes

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@pyroman1ac https://t.co/ZiHjlwIXio


03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


04:19 PM, Oct 04, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/XRG0konwbt


02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

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Vegas landscape for week fifteen - vegas implied point total

Vegas Vantage Point for Week 15

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 12/14/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Next, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. In other words, which teams will score points, and which positions have the best chance of leading those teams.


Just remember to check the game times. There are plenty of different slate options as we have a Thursday game and two Saturday games for Week #15

 

Vegas Implied Point Total Week 15 chart


If you are looking for a shoot-out, look no further than the Pats visiting the Steelers. This game is the only one set to go for over 50. It opened at 54 points and only a 1 point spread. Basically, if you have New England and/or Pittsburgh players, get them in. Chris Hogan looks to return this week. He was already able to get in a limited practice. Pay attention to reports, if he is able to get in a full practice, then I like him as a relatively inexpensive play with very high upside. Remember, he is a favorite of Brady in the red zone. With 27.5 implied points, that is a position that Brady’s boys should be in more often than not. You have to like Brandin Cooks and of course Gronkowski. The RB community continues between Lewis, Burkhead, and the other Patriot backs. You can count on it every week, Lewis is a solid floor play and Burkhead is your ceiling. If you want possible exposure to the majority of the scoring, then Brady is your guy. In DFS, Bell will likely see a high percentage of ownership. If you can manage your budget, stacking him with Brown would be a powerful line-up for your opposition to contend with. It will be hard to go wrong in this contest, these guys are studs and Vegas has this as the highest scoring game by far. This is a great game stack. Of course, I will have some GPP exposure to 0% of this game for a contrarian approach, but that will be a small percentage of my line-ups.


You will also want to pay similar attention to the Saints. For Week #15, they have the highest implied team total at 31 points. Certainly Brees will be at the center of this. They are indeed home. Engram is attractive this week as Kamara is coming off a concussion. Sean Payton sounds optimistic about his chances to play. Kamara cleared a major hurdle as he already logged a full practice this week, but officially, you will want to double check his status as he has not cleared concussion protocol at the time of posting this article. So, if he is out, or plays with a reduction in his role, Engram will be in line to benefit and has been a solid cash play all season. The Jets are a funnel D as opponents look to take advantage of their weak secondary. Football Outsiders ranks them 27th against the pass. Indeed, they also rank them 27th against opposing #1 WRs. Thus, you have to like Michael Thomas, but the fear is they get up early and rely on the ground game. Game script heavily favors the backs in this contest as they have the highest spread of the week, a whopping 15 points. That spread represents the highest for Week #15. Accordingly, if it plays out as Vegas is predicting, both of the Saints backs should be solid plays. Again, just monitor Kamara’s health.


There are two other backs who should see a predominant run heavy script. The Vikings are home to the Bengals and are favored by 10.5 points. Latavius Murray should get a lot of work and will certainly get Red Zone attention. In addition to Murray, Fournette should have a positive game script as well. The Jags are home to Houston and Vegas opened this contest with Jacksonville as 11 point favorites. He racked up his 5th triple-digit rushing day last week. He has been banged up and was held out of practice Wednesday because of his quad, which is a new tweak on his laundry list of bumps and bruises. Still, this game script should heavily favor the ground attack.


Starting in Week 7, I started tossing out picks. My record thus far:

Straight bets Against the Spread: 13-7-2


For Week 15:

NO(-16)

MIN (-11)

DAL (-3)

ATL (-6)

SF (-2)

BUF currently OFF but I can easily see Miami having a letdown after a short week an upset.


 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

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