Week 20
January 21, 2019
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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


I know it probably makes me an asshole... but sign him now Pace! https://t.co/95ErElTr9E


07:26 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @vxmcclure23: Surprised to see Mitch Trubisky over Matt Ryan to replace Jared Goff in Pro Bowl but oh well.


06:29 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@JhawkChalk89 Yes, I lied, I got triggered and un-freinded someone on facebook after their Mitch Trubisky gloat session.


06:27 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @FourVerts: this is the MLK day content we all needed https://t.co/mJPmiNdVDz


06:24 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


I will not be triggered by people thinking Trubisky is now great after being named to the pro-bowl. I will not be t… https://t.co/SwyRSf0Oc3


06:17 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


"Narrative" had to be the most overused word of 2018.


06:05 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @Chris_Evans91: Hue wore leggings so he could beat the handicapped and old people onto the flight when they were called. When asked… https://t.co/4NzsfCGvJp


05:57 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Waz

@WazNFL


@PeoplezPen It was ridiculously less expensive for me to fly into NO and then take a rental to Mobile.


05:52 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Waz

@WazNFL


@PeoplezPen Southern hospitality.


05:51 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @sarah_malle: Introducing next-gen-scrapy: I took all 400+ Pass Charts from Next Gen Stats from 2017 onwards and extracted every… https://t.co/0rP6AxtxsI


05:34 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Waz

@WazNFL


RT @AwesemoDFS: Anyone else glad we get to see Mahomes and Brees in the Pro Bowl?


04:14 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @theFFanalysts: NFL Mock Draft 2.0 is here, happy #MockDraftMonday! #NFLDraft 5 Writers, 32 picks 💥 2 Top 10 Trades 🔥 3 QBs (2 ver… https://t.co/r3xBKkJX0M


02:43 PM, Jan 21, 2019

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Waz

@WazNFL


Sike.


04:52 AM, Jan 21, 2019

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @EliotCrist: Still blows my mind that Tom Brady has played in more Superbowls (7) than road playoff games (6).


03:57 AM, Jan 21, 2019

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


I went 0 for 2 today...


03:54 AM, Jan 21, 2019

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Waz

@WazNFL


Gene Steratore is awfully cringe.


02:46 AM, Jan 21, 2019

3

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @majesstik1: What does the player pool look like when you use player prop bets to calculate projected points? Glad you asked, he… https://t.co/8rlFZjnZxL


05:28 PM, Jan 20, 2019

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @GridironSchol91: Coming Soon! 2019 #NFL #DraftProFiles with @PeoplezPen and myself. Top Rated QB: Dwayne Haskins, Ohio State… https://t.co/ViQRjx8N5V


03:46 PM, Jan 20, 2019

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @DP_NFL: Good Morning Cardinal fans...check out my game plan for you this off-season. Nice short and sweet!! https://t.co/3NodOls8Lg


03:46 PM, Jan 20, 2019

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @TheHateful8FF: Did the 2018 #FantasyFootball season seem different to you? In his most recent article titled “2018 Fantasy Footbal… https://t.co/BfjYGGY1jn


03:46 PM, Jan 20, 2019

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @PyroStag: Incredible that this can be asked at such a young age, but if you set the line for career MVPs for Patrick Mahomes… https://t.co/aNfpbCbDgf


11:59 PM, Jan 15, 2019

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @ReggieBush: Just when you think you’ve seen it all, @ClemsonFB you guys deserve better you are world champs and this is the hon… https://t.co/oZSQfVAgBm


09:55 PM, Jan 15, 2019

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @jetswhispers: ESPN's Adam Schefter announced the Jets are finalizing deal with Gregg Williams to become their defensive coordinator.


09:49 PM, Jan 15, 2019

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @pixelnfl: Adam Gase’s introductory presser 👀 #nflart #nyjets #jets #AdamGase #footballart #jetsnation #nflart #pixelart… https://t.co/foFARjww4g


09:46 PM, Jan 15, 2019

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @GeoffLambert77: Sorry to everyone that gets the newsletter and gets the spreadsheet a day late, flaw with the newsletter that I'm g… https://t.co/un7kqCoSPm


09:46 PM, Jan 15, 2019

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @MaclandJ: So I’ve got rankings updated @DynastyHHPod I’m probably wrong according to some & giving away market inefficiencies… https://t.co/cFriuwuyYh


10:55 PM, Jan 13, 2019

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @PaulCrane7: NEW Scout's Honor podcast with Joe Flacco's most likely landing spot and the OC who may join him. Problems in PIT i… https://t.co/vsfgxPVl7V


10:46 PM, Jan 13, 2019

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @Uncle_Odds: James White #DFS If you’re taking a shot with the Patriots backfield for me it would be White #NEvsLAC #GoPats C… https://t.co/1SqVcHyhS7


06:07 PM, Jan 13, 2019

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @PaulCrane7: NEW Scout's Honor podcast with more coaching news including landing spots for Mike McCarthy and Bruce Arians, coord… https://t.co/rjY7T56Nsg


06:03 PM, Jan 13, 2019

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Currently, in the @Ravens vs. @Chargers game, the 2 highest scoring fantasy players for each side= defenses. Accor… https://t.co/kxXxYLeOTn


08:47 PM, Jan 06, 2019

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


02:13 PM, Oct 06, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/ZiHjlwIXio


03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


04:19 PM, Oct 04, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/XRG0konwbt


02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

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Vegas landscape for week sixteen - vegas implied point total

Vegas Vantage Point for Week 16

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 12/23/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Next, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. In other words, which teams will score points, and which positions have the best chance of leading those teams.

 

Vegas Implied Poin Total Week 16


A word to the wise, I start tapering off my weekly allotment in DFS money during week 16. There are some teams that will likely look to rest a few guys for playoffs. There are others who are out that may want to test a RB or two before the off season. So, I do reduce my weekly budget for DFS. Next week, I generally do not play at all. For the playoffs, I might toss out a GPP lineup just for fun, but that is about it. Sadly, the DFS season is coming to an end. But not quite yet…

 

Baltimore has both a high implied team total (26.75) and the highest spread of the week. This could be a perfect opportunity for Alex Collins, fantasy’s 7th best RB in the last 5 weeks. Baltimore is ranked 8th best for rushing offense according to Football Outsiders. They will face an Indy team that allowed both McCoy and CJ Anderson to surpass 150 rushing yards in each of their last 2 games.

 

Both Vikings backs should be in play as they are 9 point favorites and are expected to score over 26 points. This should favor a positive ground game. McKinnon is typically their pass catcher, thus the Vegas numbers suggest Murray as he is their between the tackles back. Murray is 4th in the NFL in red zone rushing attempts with 37.

 

New Orleans has the highest implied total of the slate. Vegas has the Saints pegged to score 29.5 points against visiting Atlanta. How can you not love both Saints RBs – Ingram, 10th in red zone attempts, and Kamara. Amazingly, in the last 5 weeks, both of these backs are inside the top 4 for Draft Kings scoring during that time. This one could easily turn into a shootout, which opens up Atlanta’s passing game.

 

You have to love KC’s running game as they are 10 point favorites over a visiting Miami team that has a weighted Defensive rank of just 23rd on Football Outsiders. Since Andy Reid handed offensive play calling over to Matt Nagy, Akeem Hunt looks like his early season self again. He put up 22.8 and then 39.6 Draft Kings points since the Nagy appointment.

 

How can we have a Vegas piece without looking to the Patriots. The Pats are favored by just over 10 and are expected to score almost 29 points. They will be without Burkhead, which could mean this is a great week for Dion Lewis. However, Wild Bill could also call up plays for Gillislee, or even White. Because of the multiple outcomes, I would only use these players in GPP situations.

 

Carolina has a favorable spread as well (-9). Although McCaffrey is not their typical ground back, I am not counting on a J-Stew. McCaffrey has 5 games over 20 Draft Kings points. He has 5 overall TDs in the last 6 games. Cam Newton is a fantastic cash pick this week as he is always a dual threat. Plus, the Tampa CBs are collectively, quite possibly the worst in the NFL.

 

Gurley and the Rams are a great pick as they have an implied team total of nearly 29 and are favored by almost a TD.  Plus, Woods will be back in the receiver fold. I could see the Rams easily surpassing their implied team total against the Titans.

 

The Steelers are 10 point favorites and have an implied team total of 27. Do I need to even mention the Bell and Brown. In the last 5 weeks, they are at the top of their positions for average Draft Kings points scored on a per game basis. Houston has Gawd awful corners. They have surrendered 16  touchdowns to opposing WRs, and allowed 7 of them to get that 100 yard bonus on Draft Kings. As for opposing backs, 11 all-purpose TDs and 3 of the opposing backs went for at least 100 yards. Finally, Houston is allowing a league high 27.1 points to their opponents.

 

Last but not least, Philly has the 3rd highest implied team total of the week at just 28.25 and carry a spread of 8. This game is expected to be the 3rd highest scoring game of the week as Philly has opened the flood gates on the defensive side. I could see Crabtree doing well with lots of looks by Carr as they will need to put up points to stay in this. Walford has not practiced all week and Cooper has only managed 1 limited practice so far. On the Philly side, remember Foles tossed 4 TDs last week. The Philly receivers have a tougher time this week however. According to PFF, Agholor has a slightly more favorable matchup.

 

Starting in Week 7, I started tossing out picks. My record thus far:

Straight bets Against the Spread: 14-8-4

 

For Week 16:

 DET (-3)

LAC (-6.5)

LAR (-6.5)

WAS (-3)

OAK (+9)

 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

Become a Pyro Pro: http://bit.ly/1K5Af4R