Week 11
November 13, 2018
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Pyromaniac.com

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Love this guy! So does Andrew Luck. https://t.co/LQUjE3KGoA


04:48 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

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RT @NickMartinezBR: Smh Booger https://t.co/FpwfEYLRzB


04:42 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @alltwentytwo: one thing going forward. the bills and the jets suck but if the league is trending to condensed formations, then we… https://t.co/qRyvzEBYXN


04:07 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @RyFo18: Booger saying Eli is not a HOFer he can stay on air for all-eternity now.


04:02 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@903124S @KevinRuprecht Yeah, but teams should use play action more anyways. Part of the point. Run more from shotg… https://t.co/e5oeYNuP5b


03:59 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @WorldWideWob: Markelle Fultz’s form is quickly becoming the Charles Barkley golf swing of basketball my lord https://t.co/zBVmeNMe8L


03:49 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @TJHernandez: Excluding the results from Monday Night, here's a look at how often teams passed in neutral game script (game withi… https://t.co/JXg05bKb0W


03:48 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @beerswater: Top 5 #MFL10 QB Win Rates through last night. Mahomes way out in front, but still below 20% (you'll see how that co… https://t.co/8zhAT1VgFw


03:41 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Wheeler

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@LeviAndrewFF Landry vs Adams?


03:11 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @BradKelly17: Ezekiel Elliott once had the 7th best 110m Hurdle time in the Country at 13.77s Others in the top 20 that year: 1… https://t.co/hqOuwT5hbi


03:06 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @pyroman1ac: Waiver Wire Pickups Week 11 (After Week 10 Games) by Houdini https://t.co/qM41BKQKW9 https://t.co/zqKh5Eanyz


02:59 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @PyroStag: I did not see Alvin Kamara scoring even more touchdowns than last season, even with an uptick in work. That was v… https://t.co/pqapnq2S46


02:57 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


We'll Make Great Pets. BBC News - UFOs spotted off Irish coast under investigation... https://t.co/LnQhJ9vVX9


12:53 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @LordReebs: Julio Jones cleared 1,000 yards yesterday, just the 11th time that a player has hit the 1,000-yard mark receiving t… https://t.co/oe0ei9frPD


12:47 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @PyroStag: There are currently 9 quarterbacks on pace for 320+ fantasy points this season in 4-point passing, -2 fumble and IN… https://t.co/4TfWcavA0p


12:25 AM, Nov 13, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @DomiNateFF: Who did you bench on your #FantasyFootball teams in #Week10 that you regret? I’ll start…I played Fitzpatrick over… https://t.co/GZoHOiB8U7


10:54 AM, Nov 12, 2018

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RT @AdvSportsLogic: Before setting those line ups, check out out updated ranks. #FantasyFootball: Week 10 Updated Rankings QB:… https://t.co/oArauvIKdX


10:24 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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@amaze652


RT @FFD260: Ryan Fitzpatrick attempting to throw the lead block down. #Bucs #Redskins #NFL https://t.co/0Te1hbJEWJ


10:16 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


Two of us left in a $800 pot survivor pool and I'm about to lose to Matt Barkley. #FeelsBadMan


07:31 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@MikeMarFF and I'll follow that up with a Freeze on Michael Thomas. Good luck!


06:05 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Waz

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@MikeMarFF I am using Magnetism on Michael Thomas this week. Your move.


04:59 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Chris Carson, althogh technically game time decision, he was unable to practice all week. a DNP on Friday is always… https://t.co/QMaq3ItP6n


04:45 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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RT @pyromaniacmo: Fantasy Football Narrative street - revenge games - Moncrief vs Colts & D Lewis vs. Pats. Also, Josh Gordon will fa… https://t.co/wsAtfXFglF


04:43 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


@PyroStag @73Davewhite @pyroman1ac Howard = safer floor as this will be another positive game script for him - he w… https://t.co/VfShIR1Tn2


04:43 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @PyroStag: Here is the Week 10 overlay of receptions to each position against what their opponent this week is allowing to run… https://t.co/xOPnnAPIIB


04:35 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Fantasy Football Narrative street - revenge games - Moncrief vs Colts & D Lewis vs. Pats. Also, Josh Gordon will fa… https://t.co/wsAtfXFglF


04:33 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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RT @Top2Sports: Need last minute #DFS help? #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFL -@FFJVAPHL has you covered for #DraftKings & #FanDuel… https://t.co/FDsg12zmWm


04:10 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @pyroman1ac: Use Vegas to get a #FantasyFootball advantage in #NFL Week 10... and make sure to check out the detailed write-up t… https://t.co/hbrLdfbkmP


10:00 PM, Nov 10, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@dtlerch The confusing part to those not truly immersed in hoodie culture is probably the fact that it's not a pullover.


02:52 PM, Nov 10, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@dtlerch Uh, that's obviously a hoodie.


02:50 PM, Nov 10, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


02:13 PM, Oct 06, 2018

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Brad holmes

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@pyroman1ac https://t.co/ZiHjlwIXio


03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

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Brad holmes

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RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


04:19 PM, Oct 04, 2018

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Brad holmes

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@pyroman1ac https://t.co/XRG0konwbt


02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

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Vegas landscape for week sixteen - vegas implied point total

Vegas Vantage Point for Week 16

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 12/23/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Next, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. In other words, which teams will score points, and which positions have the best chance of leading those teams.

 

Vegas Implied Poin Total Week 16


A word to the wise, I start tapering off my weekly allotment in DFS money during week 16. There are some teams that will likely look to rest a few guys for playoffs. There are others who are out that may want to test a RB or two before the off season. So, I do reduce my weekly budget for DFS. Next week, I generally do not play at all. For the playoffs, I might toss out a GPP lineup just for fun, but that is about it. Sadly, the DFS season is coming to an end. But not quite yet…

 

Baltimore has both a high implied team total (26.75) and the highest spread of the week. This could be a perfect opportunity for Alex Collins, fantasy’s 7th best RB in the last 5 weeks. Baltimore is ranked 8th best for rushing offense according to Football Outsiders. They will face an Indy team that allowed both McCoy and CJ Anderson to surpass 150 rushing yards in each of their last 2 games.

 

Both Vikings backs should be in play as they are 9 point favorites and are expected to score over 26 points. This should favor a positive ground game. McKinnon is typically their pass catcher, thus the Vegas numbers suggest Murray as he is their between the tackles back. Murray is 4th in the NFL in red zone rushing attempts with 37.

 

New Orleans has the highest implied total of the slate. Vegas has the Saints pegged to score 29.5 points against visiting Atlanta. How can you not love both Saints RBs – Ingram, 10th in red zone attempts, and Kamara. Amazingly, in the last 5 weeks, both of these backs are inside the top 4 for Draft Kings scoring during that time. This one could easily turn into a shootout, which opens up Atlanta’s passing game.

 

You have to love KC’s running game as they are 10 point favorites over a visiting Miami team that has a weighted Defensive rank of just 23rd on Football Outsiders. Since Andy Reid handed offensive play calling over to Matt Nagy, Akeem Hunt looks like his early season self again. He put up 22.8 and then 39.6 Draft Kings points since the Nagy appointment.

 

How can we have a Vegas piece without looking to the Patriots. The Pats are favored by just over 10 and are expected to score almost 29 points. They will be without Burkhead, which could mean this is a great week for Dion Lewis. However, Wild Bill could also call up plays for Gillislee, or even White. Because of the multiple outcomes, I would only use these players in GPP situations.

 

Carolina has a favorable spread as well (-9). Although McCaffrey is not their typical ground back, I am not counting on a J-Stew. McCaffrey has 5 games over 20 Draft Kings points. He has 5 overall TDs in the last 6 games. Cam Newton is a fantastic cash pick this week as he is always a dual threat. Plus, the Tampa CBs are collectively, quite possibly the worst in the NFL.

 

Gurley and the Rams are a great pick as they have an implied team total of nearly 29 and are favored by almost a TD.  Plus, Woods will be back in the receiver fold. I could see the Rams easily surpassing their implied team total against the Titans.

 

The Steelers are 10 point favorites and have an implied team total of 27. Do I need to even mention the Bell and Brown. In the last 5 weeks, they are at the top of their positions for average Draft Kings points scored on a per game basis. Houston has Gawd awful corners. They have surrendered 16  touchdowns to opposing WRs, and allowed 7 of them to get that 100 yard bonus on Draft Kings. As for opposing backs, 11 all-purpose TDs and 3 of the opposing backs went for at least 100 yards. Finally, Houston is allowing a league high 27.1 points to their opponents.

 

Last but not least, Philly has the 3rd highest implied team total of the week at just 28.25 and carry a spread of 8. This game is expected to be the 3rd highest scoring game of the week as Philly has opened the flood gates on the defensive side. I could see Crabtree doing well with lots of looks by Carr as they will need to put up points to stay in this. Walford has not practiced all week and Cooper has only managed 1 limited practice so far. On the Philly side, remember Foles tossed 4 TDs last week. The Philly receivers have a tougher time this week however. According to PFF, Agholor has a slightly more favorable matchup.

 

Starting in Week 7, I started tossing out picks. My record thus far:

Straight bets Against the Spread: 14-8-4

 

For Week 16:

 DET (-3)

LAC (-6.5)

LAR (-6.5)

WAS (-3)

OAK (+9)

 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

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