Week 7
October 21, 2018
Articles
Newsfeeds
SHARE

Pyro® Twitterfeed

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


Good news for the #Bills nobody retired at the half this week....


06:48 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


What DOES Blount have over Patricia, the Lion’s coach? K Johnson busts a 71 yard run. Two plays later,Blount can no… https://t.co/zFhhV1tS63


05:48 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Mo other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Why are folks still surprised by all the missed-extra points this season... they moved it back 13 yards in 2015. No… https://t.co/Su9bdXvfOG


05:46 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@ScottFish24 I agree, but that's an odd way to type Tyreek Hill.


05:19 PM, Oct 21, 2018

3

See Waz other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @Cole_Kev: QB runs inside the two are the highest success rate play. You run a sneak or draw with Mariota, especially with the… https://t.co/6qXmjQI4RZ


05:06 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @csdfantasy: This week's Head-2-Head players are Taylor Gabriel and Albert Wilson #FantasyFootball #NFL https://t.co/yAaWOY2WbG https://t.co/A2krNIzJ8N


04:52 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

Dqcj3rtxqaakwyn

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @evansilva: Uh oh. https://t.co/1I02IozH0w


04:52 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @AdamSchefter: Jacksonville's newly-acquired RB Carlos Hyde is inactive today vs. Houston.


04:52 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

Dqc5dy_xqaemjoj

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @nyjets: Straight fire. #ColorRush #MINvsNYJ https://t.co/DW7F7qslYq


04:52 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @pyroman1ac: Week 7 Pyro Player Rankings by @PyroStag & @FF_Wheeler QBs: https://t.co/58wL7Y0hWZ RBs: https://t.co/r2jGtDe8hC… https://t.co/Ry7ORyIfDC


04:48 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @SkullKingRyan: Check out the larest podcast where Ryan and Justin take you through about half of this weekend's games to see who y… https://t.co/NDK7JVwKg6


04:44 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Mo other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Anzah is inactive for the Lions D. But I could see the Lions getting up in this game forcing Mia to throw. If so, D… https://t.co/o5shvi3PLl


04:43 PM, Oct 21, 2018

1

See Mo other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @CTowersCBS: I think Melvin Gordon’s job is safe, you guys.


04:29 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


That was a bad call there.... C'mon man.


04:27 PM, Oct 21, 2018

3

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @pyroman1ac: Week 7 Pyro Player Rankings by @PyroStag & @FF_Wheeler QBs: https://t.co/58wL7Y0hWZ RBs: https://t.co/r2jGtDe8hC… https://t.co/Ry7ORyIfDC


04:23 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Week 7 Pyro Player Rankings by @PyroStag & @FF_Wheeler QBs: https://t.co/58wL7Y0hWZ RBs: https://t.co/r2jGtDe8hC… https://t.co/Ry7ORyIfDC


04:22 PM, Oct 21, 2018

1

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


@adog235 Chubb


04:21 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


@duke5021 we'll know more after this week, I think Chubb is the starter, but Duke could carve a significant role


04:21 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@Adamtz I get so anxious with it, especially when I'm rooting for the team on defense.


04:19 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Waz other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


@Idr__ nah


04:19 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@RobertIrvin210 Coin-flip worthy. I'd lean Rudolph.


04:18 PM, Oct 21, 2018

1

See Waz other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @MitchellRenz365: Raiders Trading Amari Cooper? - How does this impact #FantasyFootball? - Are the Cowboys a real option? - Is Amari… https://t.co/Z8Ep147xRu


04:14 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


Hell of a day for Dion Lewis.


04:11 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


The "let's pretend to go for it on 4th down" plays have really annoyed me lately. I can't recall the last time I saw it work.


03:26 PM, Oct 21, 2018

10

See Waz other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Jags have only 1 TE available on Draft Kings - Grinnage. O'Shaughnessy, ASJ, Niles Paul, and Goolsby all are out. Grinnage just 2.5K


02:36 PM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Mo other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


So used to watching the quick action on the Red Zone channel. There is something to be said for watching the whole… https://t.co/J7mPSIteNH


01:44 PM, Oct 21, 2018

2

See Mo other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Love watching Purdue spank Ohio State...


03:02 AM, Oct 21, 2018

6

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Qzru2rjqnb0chnae

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @Rodcox84: Y’all ! This might be the funniest thing I have ever saw in my life https://t.co/nZQgsPgK5E


01:51 AM, Oct 21, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Dmx8_qav4aas9dh

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @HistoryToLearn: The richest man in the world, Jeff Bezos, in his executive office back in 1999. https://t.co/Ci7C8kf3PS


04:45 PM, Oct 20, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@andybehrens When did Brad do that?


02:01 AM, Oct 18, 2018

2

See Waz other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


02:13 PM, Oct 06, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/ZiHjlwIXio


03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


04:19 PM, Oct 04, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/XRG0konwbt


02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Vegas landscape for week eight - vegas implied point total

Vegas Vantage Point for Week 8

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 10/27/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

SHARE ON

This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Obviously, the more touchdowns a team puts up, the more fantasy points those players will have. For this, we will look at implied team totals.

 

So, now that we have identified the hottest teams of the week, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. Does Vegas tell us a high scoring team will likely be playing with a lead? If this is the case, then such a positive game-script indicates more rushing attempts. Thus, we want RBs on those teams. If Vegas expects a higher scoring team to be on the losing end of a shoot-out, that is to play from behind, this tells us to expect more of a passing attack.

 

That’s it. In essence, we are looking for high implied team totals and an indication as to which positions will likely get the most opportunity to score those points.

 

 

Week 8 Vegas Implied Point Total and Details

 

 

The highest implied team total for Week 8 is none other than the Eagles. Vegas has them scoring nearly 30 points. They are facing the visiting 49ers, who are the fastest paced team in the league, and simultaneously the least efficient. Essentially that means that Philly should expect a significant increase in the amount of offensive snaps. That means opportunity, opportunity, opportunity. Although it is a positive game script, let’s spend a minute looking at the Eagles’ air attack. Wentz is on fire and will quite possibly be tossing it towards three of the worst cornerbacks in the league. According to PFF, Nelson Agholor has the most advantageous matchup for any starting WR this week. Alshon Jeffery is not far behind. Jeffery has faced some real shut down corners lately. Because of this, the impression is given that the team is not looking to him, or somehow he is not performing. Such is not the case, he is actually 3rd in air yards. I love both Eagles WRs in DFS this week. Heck, I am sprinkling in some Wentz as well. Only the Patriots are giving up more fantasy goo to opposing gunslingers than the 49ers. Plus, how can you not love the ground game. As stated, this should be a positive game script as Philly also opened with the highest spread, 11.5. San Fran has allowed the most carries of 5 yards or more. If indeed the spread is accurate, you can easily see the Eagles relying on the ground attack to chew up the clock. Thus, I also like Blount and I am not alone. PFF grades all the positions. As far as rushing grades for NFL running backs, Blount is graded as the 12th best. Especially in Fan Duel, Blount is a nice play.

 

The next highest implied point total goes to the Saints, who are home to Chicago. New Orleans is expected to rack up 4 TDs and win by more than a score. So, not only do I want Saints players, especially at home, but I want their RBs especially. Currently, a debate rages concerning the best Saints back to roll in DFS. Even on full point PPR, I still like Ingram. In the last 3 weeks, Ingram has racked up 57 looks to 30 for Kamara. So, Ingram is playing in a friendly home environment, has been getting nearly 2-1 looks in the last three games, and the team is expected to score 4 TDs, and win by more than a full touchdown. You know how Fox likes to run the ball. Well, the Saints could very easily get out to an early lead and just take the air out of the ball, something Fox does by second nature seemingly. This is perhaps the most likely of outcomes, and that is exactly the name of the game here; we are trying to narrow down a few games and look to the most likely outcomes and thus indentifying game scripts and teams that will have plenty of opportunity to score. This week, the Saints are right up there.

 

Of course, Vegas loves the Patriots. There is plenty of talk that New England’s D found its stride. Really? There was a Stephen King like fog that settled on the stadium last week, and Matt Ryan just down right had a bad game. I can see this one getting into a shootout. Now, the Chargers are a funnel D. Football Outsiders have them as a top 10 pass D, but only ranked 27th versus the rush. Now with New England, that could be one of four backs, but if I load up one, Dion Lewis looks great again, and Wild Bill has been relying on him more and more. On the other side of the ball, I think Rivers can certainly have a game, after all, the Pats are still allowing the most fantasy points to opposing gunslingers. I love a GPP stack with Rivers and K. Allen. Mr. Allen will draw the most coverage from Eric Rowe. PFF has 110 grades for CBs in coverage. Well, Rowe ranks 109, so, the optimists can say he is not THE worst CB graded. So he’s got that going for him.

 

Last week, we say Amari Cooper loyalists get paid off. Well, I believe the positive TD regression will continue for Julio as well. He got his first score last week, in what ended up being a terrible game for Matty Ice. Despite the team’s woes, Julio still has 3 games over 90 yards. He faces the Jets who just gave up 3 TDs last week to WRs alone.  Atlanta does have the 4th highest implied total of the week, as they are expected to put up 27 points. They are on the road. Despite that, and considering their performance last week, Vegas still picks them as the favorite. Road favorites have been paying off lately in DFS. That basically means if the game was in Atlanta, then Vegas would expect the team to win by double-digits. Freeman is always a solid play, especially in Draft Kings where he is getting rewarded for receptions. A back like that rises to the occasion regardless of game-script.

 

The following reflects current Vegas numbers, not opening.

 

Now, I have done exceptionally well in straight betting this year. So last week I tossed out my favorite pick, taking Jacksonville ATS, or Against the Spread. Well, they dominated last week, so let us see if that trend can’t keep going. As much as I hate bets involving my beloved Lions, in the last two games, both Bell and Brown have been the games leading rusher and receiver. Big Ben, only has 1 INT in that time and 3 TDs. Golden Tate is banged up and the Steelers have arguably one of the best pass defenses in the league. Pit is just one of three road favorites this week. If you want to parlay that, I would also take the under. The over/under has been on the rise and is currently sitting at 47. Pitt has not been in a game yet this season that has racked up that many points. The Lions, when they have faced a solid run and pass D, have floundered. If you add up average pts scored and average pts allowed for both teams, they do not reach this week’s current over/under on this game, 47 points.

 

I like Seattle as they are home to the visiting Texans. For Seattle, Jeremy Lane, who missed the last two games, is practicing again and barring setbacks, should be ready to go. On the Houston, side, they have some major injuries, with three defensive players not practicing so far this week, and one offensive lineman. As mentioned earlier, Seattle is just starting to turn it on. I like Seattle, and the over, which is crawling up and hovers around 45.5 currently.

 

Finally, I like Buffalo, as the Raiders have to fly all the way across the country for an early game. The Raiders D can certainly be taken advantage of. Not only that, we are seeing a Buffalo offense continue to rise each week. McCoy is one of the most heavily involved backs in the game, and how about Deonte Thompson, a great GPP play this week. He could really work in nicely to this receiving core that needs a boost. Plus, you always have the Tyrod factor against an ugly Raiders D. Buffalo is actually favored by just less than 3 points now, which is where they opened.

 

So I am putting it out there this week

 

SEA (-6) and under – 45.5

 

PIT (-3) and the under 47

 

BUF (-2.5)


 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

Become a Pyro Pro: http://bit.ly/1K5Af4R

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

Become a Pyro Pro: http://bit.ly/1K5Af4R